apple is getting rotten on the tree and shall fall as the fall season is coming
the company is not productive and it is getting to its surplus status so we can have a good short position on this ticker
we can see a divergence on it and MACD, it is a sign of trend reversal
please comment you opinion
We are long the PUT options since 535 - we wanted to limit our risk. Now it is safe to short the futures, as the market is very weak technically and fundamentally. Sell on a CLOSE below 492.25, stop loss on a CLOSE above 507. 435 is the price target.
I have been travelling around the wheat region in Russia last week - observing the crops, talking to farmers....
We are seeing great shifts of equilibrium to the downside and surpluses of supply confirming this. The shortages are weakening and being sold into so a break of the last shortage would be a perfect area to enter short.
TL;DR: What this means, in simple terms, is that the US debt is already at nose bleed levels and has been PRIOR to the global shutdown, the shutdown just making it worse and is impacting the stock market, which is a big driver for US receipts, this in turn with push the deficit higher, i am anticipating deficits that are at levels seen in the GFC (10% or higher)...
Here we have a short opportunity for USDJPY based on the laws of supply demand, shifts of the supply/demand curve in relation to current Equilibrium status
This is based on the observation of the downward AUDUSD channel established from the beginning of this year.
Apart from the technically lined lower lows and lower highs along well defined trendlines,
a fundamental observation can be linked with the fact that we have observed cycles of:
- Bullish Signs: Lower Unemployment rates, high GDP growth approaching 3% and...
US budget balance suffered a significant blow during the fallout of 2008/9 us mortgage crisis. Government stimulus measures needed at the time to stop the downward spiral in US markets created a huge budged deficit. In addition, government tax revenues fell sharply (as most corporations failed to show profit, thus to pay corporate taxes).
Since 2011, however,...
