CAD/CHF Testing a strong support level- Time to get shortGood evening,
After a tremendous run, the CAD/CHF currency pair is showing some notable technical reversal signs. With both the MACD and RSI turning over compounded with the fact that the euro trade is getting incredibly crowded, this is looking like a great time to get short.
Thoughts?
Swiss
USD/CHF 4H Chart: Channel UpThe US Dollar is regaining ground against the Swiss Franc in a channel up pattern. Most recently the currency pair bounced off the resistance of the ascending channel. That event was also the cause of the discovery of the pattern. Most likely the currency exchange rate will decline until it meets with the lower trend line of the ascending channel.
Coincidentally that might occur at the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level of the 2016 low and 2017 high levels at the 0.9657 level. Afterwards the currency pair is highly likely going to continue the surge. In that case it will go upwards to the strong resistance cluster, which lasts from 0.9780 to 0.9791.
CAD/CHF LONG TO 7700!Canadian swiss franc has two major horizontal levels. Price action looks like it might break horizontal level upwards and range between 7300-7700. It's had a very nice bullish run this week, however, it is important to wait for the daily candle to close above the horizontal resistance. RSI has reset and still has more room to move upwards. It also broke the curve line and retested it. Nice crossover on the stoch as well. buy and lets aim for 7725.00. Ideas always welcome. Let me know what you everyone thinks.
AUDCHF SELL THE BREAKOUTHi everyone:
AUDCHF is on my weekly watch list for short, and today we are seeing an opportunity. Price action formed a lower high on the 4 hr chart, and a breakout of a rising wedge to the downside will give us great risk:reward trade.
On the daily time frame we know that price action has retrace to 61.80%, daily lower high which confirms the bearish momentum.
Potential target to the recent lows of 0.7280.
Thank you for your support and feedback.
NZDCHF QUICK SHORT TO THE DOWNSIDEHi traders:
Here we have a quick opportunity to go short on NZDCHF. I am bias on bearish on all NZD pairs, and NZDCHF is one of them that gives a clearer entry point. We are seeing a nice bearish flag pattern developping on the 1 hr chart, and potential targeting the recent lows.
TP1: 0.6965
TP2: 0.0625
Thank you for your support and feedback.
GBPCHF TRIANGLE BREAKOUT. BUY THE PULLBACKHi everyone:
WE have an excellent opportunity on GBPCHF for a long term trade. We can see the daily chart has been in a ranging market, and currently its at the bottom and rejecting support.
The 4 hr chart broke out of the symmetrical triangle to the upside. Now we can wait for a higher low to develop before enter the trade.
Potential targeting the daily fibs level of 38.20% and 81.80%
TP 1: 1.2550
TP 2: 1.2750
Thank you for your support and feedback.
CADCHF LONG WEEKLY OUTLOOKHi everyone:
CADCHF has been on my watch list for a few weeks now. This week we are seeing a potential falling wedge broke out around 0.72000 area. The daily chart is is over extended, and in need of a proper pullback.
I will be looking for any potential long opportunity on the intraday charts.
Thank you for your support and feedback.
CADCHF LONG TRADE SETUPHi everyone:
Looks like we have a nice long entry here on CADCHF, as the 4 hr chart found a nice support around 0.7150 and broke out of the resistance trend line and pulled back to form a higher low. Good to go long for 2 targets.
Target 1: 0.7270 (2%)
Target 2: 0.7350 (4.29%)
Thank you for your support and feedback.
Swiss SMI at All-Time Highs*! Its worth pausing..*All time high ('ATH') on a Total Return basis (dividends reinvested)
1. SMI has rallied an incredible 4% month to date, 7% in 30 days.
2. 'ATH's are defined as a tops set and not surpassed for several quarters to years.
2. We distinguish between rallies below the 'ATH', and rallies above 'ATH'.
3.a. Rally to the 'ATH' (from below) can continue similar momentum for a couple more weeks,
3.b. Rally above the ATM tends to be marked by greater volatility, and pullbacks following on average 3 to 4% gains. We are in the latter.
4. The last 'ATH' was followed by a 14% pullback.
5. Relative Strength at extreme overbought.
Trade idea: Short, but with a stop x% above current level to mitigate a further upswing. Up to you to decide x!
AUDCHF 18 months Bearish FlagAussie has had a lot of bearish momentum against the Swiss.
If a break occurs we'll be selling the massive 18 months weekly flag.
Also, if it fails to break just yet, we'll be trading the break of the red trend line. Up to the new highs to then sell.
This is a really long term set up that could give us massive returns.
Have a great week.
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Aussie ha tenido un gran impulso bajista contra el Franco Suizo.
Si ocurre una ruptura de la bandera masiva de 18 meses venderemos con una alta probabilidad y un alto riesgo/beneficio.
Además, si no se rompe todavía, estaremos operando la ruptura de la línea de tendencia roja. Hasta los nuevos máximos para luego vender.
Se trata de una configuración realmente a largo plazo que podría darnos retornos increíbles.
Que tengáis una buena semana.
Swiss shortPrice is in an descending triangle on the daily. We've broken the counter trend line and are now back below the clouds. 50 EMA recently crossed below the 200 and we have rejected the 38.2 level and are headed down. Waiting for a break of the 0% level and a previous low wick for confirmation to take it down the he daily level.
USDCHF still appears weak, despite Monday’s recoveryUSD/CHF still appears weak, despite Monday’s recovery from a session low at 0.9896. At present, the pair is trading at 0.9944, a loss of 0.14% from Monday’s North American close.
Support on a further move lower is at the mid-point of Monday’s long green candle, which comes in near the 0.9925 level and corresponds to a 61.8% retracement of the advance that took place off the low established in the latter part of March.
USDCHF decreased 0.0029 or 0.29%Amid no economic releases in Switzerland today, trading trend in the CHF is expected to be determined by global macroeconomic events.
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 0.9812 support and below. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as a correction. Hence, we'll look for bottoming signal below 0.9812. Meanwhile, on the upside, above 0.9999 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance instead.
Perfect break, retest, consolidation, and Flag. CHFJPY ShortI was having an incredible sushi here in Johannesburg tonight, when I got to the hotel and saw my set up already gone. Normally I would just forget about it and find another trade, but I am short on this. I don't care if it has already gone. I am on this trade.
Decent 1.8 RR.
Have a good week all.






















