ETH Awaits Direction as Market Prices In Upcoming Fed Signals🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – ETH/USD
Market State:
– Price has broken down from the previous range and is now testing the lower support area, showing weakening momentum after the sharp decline.
Key Levels:
– Support Zone / Target 1: 3152
– Support Zone / Target 2: 3073
– Resistance / Recovery Target 1: 3288
– Resistance / Recovery Target 2: 3393
Next Move:
– Price may form a short-term base around 3152; holding this level could trigger a recovery toward 3288 → 3393.
– If 3152 fails to hold, downside continuation toward 3073 remains the more likely scenario.
Technical Analysis
SPY SPX Scenarios Friday, Dec 12, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Dec 12, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
• Post-FOMC digestion day: Markets continue to price Powell’s messaging and rate-path implications from earlier in the week.
• Light macro calendar: No major inflation or labor prints — flows, positioning, and technicals matter more than data today.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
10 00 AM
• Wholesale Inventories (Sept): 0.1 percent
⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #markets #trading #macro #stocks
Gold Pullback or Reversal? Key Zone Decides the Next Move🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H)
Market State:
– Price is pulling back after the recent bullish impulse and is hovering just above the minor support zone, suggesting a potential retracement setup before continuation.
Key Levels:
– Support / Entry Zone: 4204 – 4205
– Stop-Loss Zone: 4193 – 4194
– Take Profit 1: 4229
– Take Profit 2: 4247
Next Move:
– A clean retest of the 4204–4205 support zone may trigger another bullish leg toward 4229 → 4247, as long as price holds above the 4193–4194 rejection area.
How To Rally After Pause In XAUUSD GoldThis video explains how the rally in XAUUSD Gold developed after a pause on the daily timeframe. The analysis focuses on how Gold formed a consolidation phase, how price held above key structure, and how momentum began to rebuild after the pause. By observing the shift in candle behavior, breakout strength, and follow-through, we explore how a rally can continue once the market completes a natural pause.
The purpose of this breakdown is to highlight how daily timeframe structure, pause formation, and momentum alignment can help understand price behavior in XAUUSD Gold—purely for educational and analytical learning.
The Market Is Preparing a Bigger Move — Most Traders Won’t See 📌 TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN
1. Support Zone
Buyers consistently defend this area.
Each dip into this zone creates higher momentum on the rebound.
Strong liquidity pool — ideal for building long positions.
2. Resistance Zone (Neckline Zone)
Acts as the confirmation level for the double-bottom pattern.
Break and retest will be the key signal for a continuation run.
This zone contains trapped sellers → breakout may cause a squeeze.
3. Double-Bottom Formation
A textbook reversal pattern indicating exhaustion of the previous downtrend.
Both bottoms show clear absorption and equal reaction.
4. FED Event Catalyst
The “WAIT FOR FED” note on the chart marks a possible volatility spike.
Price may show fakeouts around resistance before choosing a direction.
A manipulation wick above the resistance is possible → be patient and let the market confirm.
📌 TRADE SETUP (LONG BIAS)
🔔 ENTRY ZONE:
Break & Retest of Resistance Zone
→ Enter after price closes above resistance and retests it successfully.
🛑 STOP LOSS:
Below the retest low
→ This protects you from FED-driven fakeouts.
🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS:
TP1: First liquidity sweep after breakout
TP2: New short-term high
TP3: Extended target toward the projected upward curve
📌 BULLISH SCENARIO
- Break resistance
- Retest
- Build higher-lows
- Push into expansion phase
- FED catalyst accelerates breakout
This is the cleanest path and aligns with the chart’s projection.
📌 BEARISH SCENARIO (ALTERNATIVE)
If price fails to break resistance and rejects strongly:
- It may revisit the support zone again
- But as long as support holds, bias remains long
- Only a breakdown below support invalidates the setup
You don’t need to catch every move — you only need to catch the right one with discipline.
BTC Is Retesting the Breakout📊 (1) MARKET STRUCTURE
-BTC formed a strong bullish impulse from the Strong Support Zone, breaking above the descending trendline with a powerful breakout candle.
-This shifted the market structure from bearish → bullish on H1.
📉 (2) PRICE REACTION
After breaking out:
-Price tapped the Weak Support Zone (highlighted purple area)
-Buyers stepped in immediately — confirming support
-Price is now pulling back again into the same demand area
This shows bullish willingness to defend the zone.
📐 (3) HTF CONTEXT
This breakout aligns with broader bullish sentiment:
-BTC continues to create higher swing lows on H1.
-As long as price holds above the Weak Support Zone, the trend remains bullish.
🎯 (4) EXPECTATION
The most likely scenario:
📌 BTC dips into the Weak Support Zone → forms a higher low → rallies toward 94,000 – 95,200.
💥 (5) TRADING SIGNAL
BUY SETUP
Entry Zone:
92,200 – 92,600 (Weak Support Retest Zone)
Stop Loss:
Below 91,700
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 93,171
TP2: 93,596
TP3: 94,091
Final Target: 95,200
Why this setup works
Strong breakout with volume
Clean retest into fresh demand
Higher-timeframe bullish structure
Buyers showing presence at every dip
This is a low-risk pullback entry inside a bullish continuation setup.
EURUSD Is Compressing in a Falling Channel 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE BREAKDOWN (H1)
1️⃣ Bullish Impulse → Start of Correction
Price created a strong upward leg, setting the tone for a bullish environment.
Right after that, EU shifted into a controlled descending channel a normal corrective phase.
2️⃣ Falling Channel Structure
Inside the channel:
-Clear LH → LL sequences
-Repeated taps on both channel boundaries
-Each push into the Support Zone shows strong buying reaction (long wicks, V-bounces)
This shows buyers defending the zone, not sellers taking control.
3️⃣ Current Position
-Price is moving in the mid-to-lower part of the channel, heading back toward the Support Zone
-This aligns with how price has been behaving for the past several days — liquidity sweep → bounce → move toward upper channel.
The projection you drew is absolutely logical:
A final sweep deep into the Support Zone before a bullish breakout.
🎯 TRADING SIGNAL
Entry Zone:
1.1595 – 1.1620 (deep in Support Zone + channel bottom)
Stop Loss:
Below structure: 1.1560
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.1653
TP2: 1.1664
TP3 (major breakout): 1.1688
Why this setup works
The falling channel is corrective, not bearish.
Strong reaction every time price tests Support Zone.
Liquidity tends to build below the channel → ideal environment for a sweep + expansion.
The highest probability scenario:
Final sweep down → bullish reversal → breakout toward 1.1688.
📈 SHORT SUMMARY
EU is correcting inside a falling channel, but buyers remain in control at the Support Zone.
Expect one more liquidity sweep before a strong upward breakout.
XAUUSD NEWEST TODAY 11, DEC 🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD
Market State:
– Price has bounced strongly from the demand zone and is now holding above the support zone, showing clear bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
– Support Zone: 4218
– Target 1: 4236
– Target 2: 4247
– Target 3: 4259
Next Move:
– Bullish bias remains dominant; a retest of the 4218 support zone could trigger the next upward leg toward 4236 → 4247 → 4259.
ETH Is Quietly Loading Up for Its Next Major Rally1. Current Market Structure (1H)
ETH continues to maintain a clean short-term uptrend with:
- Higher lows forming consistently → buyers remain in control.
- Price holding above EMA 34 → intraday bullish rhythm intact.
- EMA 89 sitting lower, confirming strong medium-term momentum.
- Demand zone 2280–2300 acting as the key intraday support.
- Liquidity resting below 2230–2250, potential draw if a pullback occurs.
Price action shows compression → energy buildup → preparing for the next expansion leg.
2. Macro Alignment
Macro conditions continue to support a bullish bias:
-DXY weakening → risk assets get a tailwind.
-US Treasury yields cooling → reduces pressure on crypto.
-Market pricing in earlier Fed cuts for 2025 → liquidity shifts toward risk-on assets.
-BTC and ETH correlation stays elevated → BTC strength fuels ETH upside.
Macro flow + technical structure both point to continuation of the upward cycle.
3️⃣ Current Structure (Right Range)
You marked SUPPORT ZONE & RESISTANCE ZONE.
ETH is repeating the same playbook:
- Long wick rejection into Support
- Price oscillates inside the range (liquidity creation)
- A breakout is likely to follow once enough orders are collected.
This is the third accumulation cycle — textbook bullish continuation.
🎯 TRADING SIGNAL
BUY SETUP
Entry Zone:
3310 – 3350 (Support Zone dips / liquidity sweeps)
Stop Loss:
Below support box: 3250
Take Profit:
Partial at 3450–3500
Full target at 3600+ (expected breakout continuation)
Why this works:
ETH has shown the exact pattern twice:
Range → Liquidity Sweep → Expansion.
Current price is building the third range — probability favors another upward expansion.
📈 SUMMARY:
ETH is not random it is systematically accumulating before each major pump.
As long as price holds the Support Zone and continues ranging, the bullish continuation scenario remains the highest-probability play.
Next Move:
– Bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH continues to hold above the channel’s support; reclaiming 3,440 would open momentum toward 3,520 and potentially the upper boundary. – ETH/USD (1H)
Ethereum 1H: Holds Its Bullish Channel 🔹 MARKET BRIEFINGMarket State:
– Price is pulling back from the channel’s upper resistance and is now stabilizing around mid-range, while still respecting the ascending channel structure.
Key Levels:
– Support: 3,160
– Resistance: 3,440
– Breakout Zone: 3,440 – 3,520
Next Move:
– Bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH continues to hold above the channel’s support; reclaiming 3,440 would open momentum toward 3,520 and potentially the upper boundary.
The bullish structure on XAUUSD has now been fully established and this is a valid buy signal at the current price.
Momentum, structure, and demand alignment are all pointing in the same direction, confirming that buyers are in control and the market is ready for the next upward leg.
Why ETH Dropped After the Fed Rate Cut
1. Macro Overview – Why ETH Pulled Back Even After the Fed Cut
Despite the Fed cutting interest rates a move typically supportive for risk assets ETH corrected sharply due to short-term “sell the news” positioning, profit-taking from the recent rally, and liquidity reshuffling as markets reassessed the pace of future cuts. However, the broader macro environment still favors long-term bullish continuation: lower borrowing costs, easing financial conditions, and improving risk appetite all support capital rotation back into crypto once volatility cools. In other words, yesterday’s drop was a tactical shakeout, not a structural trend reversal, and the market is now forming a sideways accumulation phase consistent with a bullish continuation setup.
2. Market State
ETH is pulling back from the ascending channel’s upper resistance and is now stabilizing around the mid-range. The price is still respecting the channel structure, indicating that buyers are absorbing supply and forming a consolidation base rather than breaking trend. This aligns with a sideways phase before the next expansion leg upward.
3. Key Levels
Support: 3,160
Resistance: 3,440
Breakout Zone: 3,440 – 3,520
4. Next Move
The bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH trades above the channel’s support. Reclaiming 3,440 would signal renewed buyer strength and open a clean path toward 3,520, with potential continuation into the channel’s upper boundary. Until then, ETH is likely to move sideways within the range as the market digests the macro shift and prepares for the next bullish leg.
GOLD IDEA TIME RATE 4H🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (4H)
Market State:
– Price is compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, respecting both the rising support line and the descending upper boundary, showing balanced but tightening momentum.
Key Levels:
– Triangle Support: ~4185–4195
– Triangle Resistance: ~4250–4260
– Liquidity Zone Below: 4128 – 4135
Next Move:
– A breakout above the triangle resistance could trigger a bullish continuation leg toward higher highs.
– If price rejects at the upper boundary and breaks below the rising trendline, liquidity at 4128–4135 becomes the next downside magnet.
Ethereum Holds Its Bullish Channel as Markets Stabilize🔹 MARKET BRIEFINGMarket State:
– Price is pulling back from the channel’s upper resistance and is now stabilizing around mid-range, while still respecting the ascending channel structure.
Key Levels:
– Support: 3,160
– Resistance: 3,440
– Breakout Zone: 3,440 – 3,520
Next Move:
– Bullish bias remains intact as long as ETH continues to hold above the channel’s support; reclaiming 3,440 would open momentum toward 3,520 and potentially the upper boundary. – ETH/USD (4H)
ORCL - From Erections Come CorrectionsORCL is a textbook example of a setup I call: “From Erections Come Corrections.”
1. It also shows why log charts lie to you on the way down.
When you’re evaluating downside risk, remember: every stock is always 100% away from zero.
A linear chart makes the real danger obvious. I don’t even need to measure this one — the drop is roughly 50% staring you in the face.
2. Look at the speed of that drop.
If you’re one of those heroes trying to squeeze an extra 3% at the top and end up wearing a -50% drawdown because you had no exit plan… that’s not bad luck — that’s greed and negligence teaming up to hand you a bag of sh*t.
3. But if you actually respected risk, took profits, and GTFO/STFO with cash in hand?
Now you get to walk back in as a well-refined gentleman or lady, gracefully to start building a position at at a “500% discount,” as Trump would say.
4. Notice anything magical on my chart?0
No algos. No secret indicators. No fairy-tale narratives. Not even candlesticks. Just plain vanilla price action.
That’s proper charting. Keep it simple.
You chose to play this game, so at least play it right.
Lastly, if the market tanks here, ORCL will just keep tanking as well. BUT! you will be getting in with a 50% discount already. That, my friends, is the difference.
THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
Fed Cuts Rates, USD Weakens — Gold’s Moment Has Arrived!Based on the current market landscape, XAUUSD is entering a phase where buyers hold a clear advantage , supported by both favorable macro conditions and a technical structure that reinforces a new bullish leg. This is a period where gold isn’t rising just because of news — it now has a solid foundation to sustain its trend.
To begin with, the Fed’s 0.25% rate cut — from 4.00% to 3.75% — immediately pressured the USD. Lower rates naturally drive capital away from USD-denominated assets and toward safe-haven assets like gold. In addition, J obless Claims are projected to rise to 220K, up from 191K, signaling a slowing labor market. A weaker labor market often pushes the Fed further into an easing stance — a key catalyst that helps gold maintain its upward momentum.
On the chart, price is rebounding from the 4,190 support zone, an area that has repeatedly shown strong buying interest. The structure remains above the Ichimoku cloud, signaling that the medium-term uptrend is still intact . The accumulation happening directly inside this support area further strengthens the scenario of XAUUSD retesting the 4,240 resistance. As long as 4,190 holds, the bullish momentum is essentially “open and ready” for buyers.
Combining both fundamentals and technicals, gold is standing in front of a clear opportunity to extend its bullish expansion. This is a phase where the market is less noisy, the bullish bias is clean and decisive , and monetary policy is providing a solid launchpad. If buyers keep control above 4,190, the 4,240 target becomes only a matter of time.
XAUUSD Ready to Break Out – Strong Uptrend Ahead!Hello traders! Today, we will analyze the XAUUSD currency pair.
Fundamental Factors Affecting XAUUSD:
Fed rate cut: The Fed is expected to cut interest rates in the December meeting, which will weaken the USD and make gold a more attractive safe-haven asset for investors.
Geopolitical situation: The tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to escalate, creating global instability and driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Weak economic data: Weak ADP employment data and GDP data from the US have increased market expectations that the Fed will maintain or cut interest rates, making gold even more attractive.
Technical Analysis:
On the chart, XAUUSD is currently trading within a clear upward trendline, with strong support at 4.170 USD. This is a price level that has been tested and bounced multiple times in the past, showing stability and the potential for continued growth.
The immediate resistance level for XAUUSD is at 4.220 USD, where the price has encountered resistance before. If XAUUSD breaks through this resistance, the price could continue moving towards higher targets, such as 4.250 USD.
Thank you for listening to my analysis, and I wish you successful trading!
EURUSD Poised for a Breakout as the Fed Turns DovishWhen looking at EURUSD right now, we can clearly see the shift in momentum: the Fed has become more dovish , while Europe is not rushing into easing . The USD weakened after the rate-cut decision, and the ECB delivered a more optimistic outlook on economic growth — creating a solid foundation for the next bullish leg on the euro.
On the H4 chart, price is moving within a steady ascending structure, supported by the rising trendline and the Ichimoku cloud. The zone around 1.1680 acts as the nearest support — aligning with both the trendline and the base of the previous breakout. A clean scenario would be a mild pullback into this area, confirming demand before pushing higher again. The psychological resistance at 1.1770 becomes the natural upside target if the bullish trend continues.
As long as EURUSD holds above 1.1680, the bias remains bullish with a clear preference for a buy-on-dip strategy, following the capital flow shifting away from the USD toward the euro. What remains is to see how price approaches 1.1770 — through a smooth retest or an additional false break before the real breakout. Either way, it opens the door for high-quality entry opportunities in the sessions ahead.
USD/MXN Extends Its Downtrend as Price Breaks Below Key SupportUSD/MXN continues to follow a well-established bearish structure, with price making a fresh move below the 18.04 support zone—an area that previously served as a mid-2023 pivot and has acted as a consolidation base in recent months. The clean breakdown reinforces the prevailing downtrend that has persisted since the spring reversal.
Both moving averages support this directional bias. Price remains well beneath the 50-day SMA, which has consistently acted as dynamic resistance throughout the decline. The 200-day SMA also slopes downward, underscoring the longer-term weakness and offering a wide separation from current price levels—typical of a mature trending environment.
Momentum indicators align with this directional pressure. The MACD histogram remains negative with the signal lines trending lower, reflecting sustained downside momentum rather than a short-lived impulse. Meanwhile, the RSI sits near the lower third of its range, showing persistent bearish momentum without yet signaling extreme oversold conditions.
The recent violation of support highlights continued dominance by sellers within the broader downtrend. Attention now turns to how price behaves around the next historical level near 17.62, which previously acted as a structural floor on the chart.
-MW
USDCHF Remains Range-Bound as Momentum WeakensUSDCHF continues to oscillate within a clearly defined horizontal range that has contained price action since mid-summer. The pair is once again pressing into the lower portion of this consolidation zone, following a sharp downswing that reflects renewed bearish pressure within the structure.
The broader trend context remains downward, with price trading below both the 50-day SMA and the 200-day SMA. The 50-day average has acted as dynamic resistance through most of the range, and the 200-day SMA continues to slope lower, reinforcing the longer-term bearish bias even as price fluctuates sideways in the near term.
Momentum indicators align with this softness. The MACD hovers near the zero line, showing weak directional conviction and minimal trend acceleration. The RSI has slipped toward the lower half of its range, suggesting that downside momentum is increasing but not yet stretched into oversold territory. Combined, these readings imply a lack of upward momentum as the pair tests the lower boundary of its multi-month box.
Overall, USDCHF remains in a neutral-to-bearish posture while contained inside its established range. How the market responds around the lower edge of this structure may determine whether consolidation continues or broader trend forces reassert themselves.
-MW
Gold Extends Its Advance as Price Re-Approaches Major ResistanceThe chart shows Gold continuing to build on its broader uptrend, with price pressing back toward the well-defined resistance zone near 4,379 after several weeks of steady consolidation. Recent candles reflect renewed momentum, supported by both trend structure and indicator behavior.
Price remains firmly above the 50-day SMA, which has acted as dynamic support throughout the advance. The 200-day SMA is also trending higher and well below current price, reinforcing the longer-term bullish structure. A rising short-term trendline has guided the market from the November lows, and price is currently respecting this structure as it approaches the upper boundary of the range.
Momentum indicators show improving participation. The MACD has crossed back above its signal line, suggesting strengthening upside momentum after a cooldown phase. Meanwhile, the RSI is hovering near the upper portion of its range but remains below overbought territory, reflecting constructive momentum without immediate signs of exhaustion.
Overall, the technical landscape leans constructively bullish, with price retesting resistance while supported by rising averages and improving momentum. How price behaves around the 4,379 zone may determine whether consolidation continues or the prevailing trend resumes.
-MW
SPY mid-term TASPY uptrend is still not fully restored and it's in negative formation, currently there's a negative trampoline move in the process, it's simply overbought, the indicators do not support the recent pump, watch for the correction in the near future. If the SMA50 support test fails then it may go down to test the previous lows again, watch the blue line as a pivot.
ORCL long-term TAWatch out for Oracle to break the current uptrend on weekly, it's getting weaker along with the distribution on daily which has started about a month ago and still ongoing. The current weekly uptrend is still holding up but it's getting weaker and in danger for a possible downtrend, for now we need more time to see the confirmation.
Watch the blue lines as pivots to hold the support.
S&P500 INDEX (US500): Bullish Move After Trap
I see a confirmed liquidity grab after a test of a major
intraday demand zone on US500.
An occurrence of a buying imbalance afterward
suggests a strong bullish pressure.
I expect a rise at least to 6875
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MOIL LTD – Weekly AnalysisTrend: Medium-term downtrend but approaching a major reversal zone.
Structure: Price still below falling trendline; momentum weak.
🟢 Strong Demand Zone: 260–285
Major support area.
Multiple historical reversals from this zone.
High probability of a bounce if price retests this region.
🔴 Resistance Levels
380–405: First major resistance. Expect selling here.
520–560: Long-term strong supply zone.
📈 Expected Move
Price likely to retest 260–285 zone.
If demand holds, a bullish reversal towards 380–405 is expected.
Sustained weekly close above 405 can open targets toward 480+.
⚠️ Invalid Scenario
Weekly close below 260 = bearish breakdown and deeper correction risk.
📌 Summary
Stock nearing a high-probability reversal area.
Watch 260–285 for accumulation + bounce setup.
First upside target: 380–405.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is only for educational purposes, not financial advice. Use stop-loss and manage risk.






















