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Technical Analysis

BTC 1W: preparing a reversal or just stretching the correction?Bitcoin trades in the 85,500–86,000 area, moving steadily toward the key weekly MA100 around 83,200 - the primary dynamic support of this cycle and the level where prior corrections have consistently formed bullish reactions. As long as price respects the lower boundary of the rising channel, BTC maintains a controlled corrective structure: liquidity is being taken below local lows, setting up the conditions for a rebound into the major 104–109K supply zone. This area remains the central mid-term target for recovery, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci cluster, the upper boundary of the previous distribution range and the zone of prior large-scale selling. Fundamentally as of November 21, the market is shifting from euphoria into redistribution: ETF and institutional flows have slowed, large holders are taking profits, and a strong dollar alongside elevated real rates is pressuring risk assets. Network strength remains intact - hashrate near all-time highs and miners still expanding capacity - even though their margins are tightening. This is a typical late-stage cycle environment: short-term downside pressure with long-term trend strength preserved. As long as BTC has not yet touched the MA100, the base scenario remains a dip into 83K followed by a rebound toward 104–109K. A breakout above 110K restores bullish continuation, while a loss of 80K accelerates the move toward 70–75K and the weekly MA200. This correction is not the end of the cycle - it’s a cooling phase after an overheated expansion. Bitcoin does what it always does: terrifies everyone near MA100, then moves exactly when most have given up waiting.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TotoshkaTrades
XMRUSDT: short setup from daily support at 353.53BINANCE:XMRUSDT.P is respecting the 353.53 level very well. Yesterday we saw two bounces, with the correction getting smaller each time. Throughout today, we've seen consolidation above the level with a gradual drift lower. This is a good signal: it suggests the seller is confidently and calmly moving the price in their direction, absorbing the buyers' limit orders along the way. If this type of price action continues right up to the level — that’s ideal. If volatility spikes, it spoils the picture a bit, and we’ll have to watch how the price behaves after the volatility settles. Key factors for this scenario: Volatility contraction on approach Momentum stall at the level Immediate retest Repeated precise tests of the level Consolidation with price compression Closing near the level Closing near the bar's extreme Factors that contradict this scenario: Heavy congestion zone ahead Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Nov 21, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Nov 21, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📊 Flash PMIs take center stage: These are the first real-time reads on November growth — high-impact for equities, yields, and recession-tracking. 🧭 Consumer sentiment + inventories wrap the week: UMich final reading offers clues on spending resilience; wholesale inventories remain a shutdown-delayed report. ⚠️ Shutdown backlog: Wholesale inventories (Aug) is still delayed due to the Oct 1–Nov 12 shutdown. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 9:45 AM — S&P Flash PMIs (Nov) • Services: 54.5 (vs 54.8 forecast) • Manufacturing: 52.0 (vs 52.5 forecast) One of the most important releases of the day — markets move off this. ⏰ 10:00 AM — Consumer Sentiment (Final, Nov) Actual: 51.0 Low sentiment continues to weigh on forward demand expectations. ⏰ 10:00 AM — Wholesale Inventories (Aug, delayed report) Actual: 0.1 percent ⚠️ Delayed due to the federal shutdown — low relevance, but still part of the data backlog. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #trading #macro #PMI #consumer #markets #stocks #investing
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
MSFT WARNING!Here is a closer view of the chart I posted back on Oct 5, 2024, for a nice profitable -25% drawdown. This time will be far more profitable. Here is a breakdown of the chart. - Up against a 38-year trendline. - A rare 5-wave rising wedge. - A H & S with a head test - Big Ass Gap Below - Double top M pattern that CRACKED! - Rising Bearish Wedge. This is just getting started! Bulls, if you didn't make your money in MSFT yet and are trying to squeeze a little bit more profits bc you are too damn greedy. Then you deserve what you get next. THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥 Let’s keep climbing. If you enjoy the work: 👉 Boost 👉 Follow 👉 Drop a solid comment Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by RealMacro
1
$SPX: A worrying Intraday Turnaround!While everyone, even the taxi driver, was celebrating NVDA's positive earnings report, the SP:SPX suddenly reversed. After touching the 20-day simple moving average, it dropped sharply with no buyers stepping in. With a 3.5% swing between the intraday high and low, the SP:SPX closed slightly below the horizontal support level at 6,550 and the 100-day moving average. It's unfortunate that the right shoulder is missing, as it would otherwise form a perfect head and shoulders pattern—though it might be more accurately described as the head of a one-armed head and shoulders. Jokes aside, the technical outlook for the SP:SPX has significantly deteriorated. The market's bullish sentiment has evaporated, making it more challenging to establish a bottom. If the S&P 500 doesn’t recover and consolidate support around 6,550 by Friday—an extremely important level that also aligns with the 1:1 extension below—we could face an “Air Pocket” of approximately 175 points. Within this Air Pocket area, we have extensions at 1.382, 1.5, and 1.618. The 14-period RSI is approaching oversold conditions, but it's not quite there yet.
SP:SPX
by OLIV2020
Gold (XAUUSD): Long Trade from Demand ZoneIdentified Trading Setup The chart illustrates a potential long (buy) trade setup based on a specific strategy, likely related to Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or order flow analysis: Support/Demand Zone: The entry is planned around the grey box zone, specifically at the CRT-L (Current Range Low) area, implying a belief that this is a strong level for a price reversal. SSS (Sell-Side Liquidity): The label "SSS" points to a level around $4,030 which was recently broken, suggesting the initial selling pressure has subsided or that liquidity has been swept. Projected Path: The black line with arrows indicates the expected price path—a significant reversal from the low zone, followed by an uptrend towards the target. Target (Take Profit): The trade aims for the CRT-H (Current Range High) around $4,092.85. This level represents a strong area of previous supply or resistance that the price is projected to retest. 💡 Conclusion The analysis suggests a contrarian trade anticipating a bounce off a key support/demand zone for a retracement back toward recent high-level resistance. The blue shaded box represents the potential profit area for this long setup.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
4
NZDUSD: Bearish Trend Continues 🇳🇿🇺🇸 NZDUSD is trading in a bearish trend on a daily. The market finally completed a correctional movement yesterday, forming a bearish imbalance candle and setting a new lower low lower close with a confirmed BoS. We can expect another wave lower. Next support will be 0.56. Look for selling after a completion of a pullback. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
3
XAUUSD: Short-Term Downtrend Active Below FVG/Supply ZoneKey Technical Points Major Resistance (X): The swing high marked 'X' around $4,240 served as a strong ceiling, initiating the current downtrend. Supply Zone (D / FVG): The shaded gray box, labeled 'D / FVG' (Demand/Fair Value Gap), is a critical supply area (resistance) located between approximately $4,100 and $4,140. The price has reacted negatively to this zone, confirming its importance as a selling region. Bearish Channel: Since the rejection from the major high, the price has been contained within a clear descending channel, indicating sustained short-term bearish momentum. Current Action: The price is trading near the mid-point of the channel, currently at $4,064.40. The market structure suggests a pattern of lower highs and lower lows is still active. Outlook The immediate outlook remains bearish as long as the price stays within the descending channel and below the D / FVG supply zone. The most probable next move is a continuation toward the lower boundary of the channel, potentially testing the $4,000 psychological support level.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
1
AMD Is Approaching Support, While Finishing A CorrectionAMD is in a very strong uptrend, supported by the impressive rally since early October when it gapped higher on positive AI news. Since then, the stock has gained more than 50%, and this bullish momentum could continue after a retracement, especially considering latest company’s better-than-expected earnings report. But based in latest price action, we assume that the market is now in a corrective pullback before resuming higher, ideally forming wave four within a broader five-wave sequence. The previous high around 220 could act as the first key support, followed by the 200 area, which also aligns with upper range of unfilled gap. So if we are correct, then later this month or early in December, the market can once again stabilize and turn up for a new high, while the price is above 187 invalidation level.  Highlights: Trend: Strong uptrend, wave four correction in view Support: 220 / 200 zone Invalidation: Below 186 Note: Wait for a pullback to complete before considering new long opportunities
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by ew-forecast
Ascending Broadening Wedge for NVIDIA Weekly ChartThe downtrend probably won't be happen in the near term, but the rebound alson have limited upside. But at least there are 2 possibilities ahead of the price. I suspect Ascending Broadening Wedge is in process in weekly chart for Nvidia. The concern is the potensial downtrend pressure, especially if support trendline break. I devide it on 2 scenario : 1. Rebound to 220/223 first. This mean no immediate breakout support anytime soon based on the count. The price will have to raise first with maximum target 220/223 before followed with rejection. But the raise don't have to be exactly 220/223. It can also retest the previous high (3) before rejected and fall. 2. No rebound, support 177/178 immediately broken, the downtren continues to the target area. There area possibilities to go up first if Santa Claus Rally succeed to push the price above or near resistance, then after the seasonal trade for Santa Claus or January effect will face the profit taking and underpressure through the supportline. After the pressure, we probably will see some demand on blue area to push the price back on the uptrend..that ofcourse..if no "AI-buble" coming in coming months DISCLAIMER Do with your own risk! This is not suggestion! This is my personal view on the opportunities that could happen to Nvidia.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by irpansupiandi
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Nov 20, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Nov 20, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Dual labor signals hit premarket: The delayed September employment report and weekly jobless claims land at the same time — a rare setup that can jolt both yields and equities. 🛒 Housing + recession gauges follow shortly after, giving traders a full macro pulse before midday. ⚠️ Reminder: Some October data (leading indicators) may still be affected by shutdown delays. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 8:30 AM — U.S. Employment Report (Delayed Sept) • Payrolls: 50,000 • Unemployment Rate: 4.3% • Wages: 0.3% m/m, 3.7% y/y Treat this like a fresh NFP — major market mover. ⏰ 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 15) Actual: 227,000 Weekly update on cooling/tightening labor conditions. ⏰ 8:30 AM — Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing (Nov) Actual: 1.5 vs –12.8 prior Important for gauging demand softness vs stabilization. ⏰ 10:00 AM — Existing Home Sales (Oct) Actual: 4.10M vs 4.06M forecast Clean read on rate-sensitive housing momentum. ⏰ 10:00 AM — Leading Economic Indicators (Oct) Actual: –0.3% ⚠️ May still be subject to shutdown-related reporting delays. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #trading #macro #jobs #housing #labor #markets #PMI #investing #stocks
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Hero Motocorp: Major Weekly Breakout | Auto Sector Leader STRONG BUY Setup 🏍️ Entry: ₹5,798-5,820 (Current Level) Target 1: ₹5,899-5,920 Target 2: ₹6,033-6,060 Target 3: ₹6,251-6,280 Target 4: ₹6,400-6,500+ (Extended Breakout Target) Stop Loss: ₹5,588 Technical Rationale: BREAKING OUT from year-long rectangle consolidation (5,588-5,899 range - blue shaded area) Powerful +4.69% weekly surge showing strong bullish momentum Testing upper boundary of rectangle at 5,899 (marked "3d 21h" - breakout imminent) Weekly chart showing major pattern completion Trading above descending channel (black trendlines) - channel broken Volume at 1.77M - strong for weekly timeframe confirming breakout RSI trending upward around 70-75 - strong momentum (overbought but in uptrend) Trading well above rising EMA - bullish trend confirmed Auto sector leader - largest two-wheeler manufacturer globally Multiple resistance levels clearly marked: 5,899, 6,033, 6,251 Strong support established at 5,588 (rectangle base) Previous consolidation for 12+ months = powerful breakout potential Pattern similar to 2024 rally from 3,500 to 6,000+ Risk-Reward: Excellent 1:3 to 1:5+ ratio depending on targets Pattern: RECTANGLE CONSOLIDATION BREAKOUT on WEEKLY Chart - extremely powerful continuation pattern after year-long base building Strategy: Medium to long-term positional (weeks to months) Book 20% at T1 (5,910), 20% at T2 (6,045), 20% at T3 (6,260) Hold remaining 40% for extended target 6,400-6,500+ Trail SL to 5,820 after crossing T1 Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered.
NSE:HEROMOTOCOLong
by rmhetre15