i am currently short on nzdusd from today's UK session test of the 50% weekly fib. entry at 0.7475
a possible trend line could form if the reverse continues, price has currently retreated below the weekly 200EMA a close below would be further confirmation.
daily chart is forming a bearish engulfing pattern and a close below 0.74 level further...
The pair was supported in 1.03200 area, where we can find a strong demand zone. Even though upside move is expected since the AUDNZD 0.15% is oversold, we can see a major support line becoming resistance all the way back from December 2005 lows. On the other side, many support lines and fibos are covering our last bounce area, so if the pair should continue and...
As can be seen price has broken out of the wedge formation. What usually happens now is a deep retracement back into the wedge and a spike back out continuing the upwards trend towards a re-test of previous highs.
The farms rolls tomorrow are historically the worst and this should give a perfect opportunity for bulls to carry price higher.
See below for a double...
Crude has bottomed and will begin flying upward supar hard, within the next 1-35 days.
Get in NOAW
Don't miss this buying opportunity! You'd have to be a huge moron to pass this up!!!
NZD$ Technical analysis - Remain bearish below 0.70 - 0.69tp1 0.68tp2 on a rate cut (Aug 10th):
Key level close:
1. On the daily and weekly we closed at the strongest pivot point of recent times at 0.70 - this is very bearish as historically this is the strongest level (lower than post brexit).
MA:
1. We trade below the 4wk and 3m MA - this is a bearish...
Using $42.50 as a support level, a bounce off that level would be considered bullish, but if prices fail to hold, a return to $37.50 seems probable. This implies a negative 200 day SMA cross, which suffice it to say, would be a return to the bearish int term trend. This, in concert with a low energy demand season approaching and several refiner outages expected in...
Technical analysis - highly bearish:
MA:
1. Just crossed the 2wk and 4wk MA - this is a bearish indication + we have been below the 3m MA for several weeks unsurprisingly since brexit.
IV/ HV:
1. Realised Vols have also unsurprisingly come off, this would but bullish but brexit has distorted the longer dated HV and they are lagging - Implied vols are...
TSLA (Tesla) Short
Here's a setup of a TSLA short that I've initiated on Friday. Looking at the Fibonacci retracement lines, it has struggled to breakout of the 38.2% line after it's initial denial at the 23.6% line. Recently, there has been a breakout from the 38.2% region due to a strong market, despite negative Tesla stories as of late. Similarly, price has...
USDCAD is currently hitting levels of strong resistance where prices failed to break out higher for a while. I nice scalp to the short end will play nicely in this situation.
We have the USDJPY in a massive over exhausted downtrend on the daily.
Technical:
Daily bullish wedge.
VERY long term trend line rejection after Brexit
VERY key support line from 2014
Deceleration, failure to break brexit lows
Doji candle on Friday 8th July
Along with these excellent technical's there is also a few fundamentals to go along with it, to see this...
Why not to be long ? It's perfect scenario , however , wait for bullish momentum first and then buy , cause right now we are selling the top. Wait for this wave to end and then go for your profits IF risk is good.
Also as additional technicals to support the short NZD$ view:
1. On the daily, weekly and H1 NU currently Trades (and at 0.73) close/ at to its +2 standard deviation lines, these are highly resistive.
- Assuming NU trades mean reverting +2SD means there is a 95% chance of a price reversal/ 95% of all prices should be below the +2SD channel lines (e.g. NU...
Also as additional technicals to support the short NZD$ view:
1. On the daily, H1 and weekly NU currently Trades (and at 0.73) close/ at to its +2 standard deviation lines, these are highly resistive.
- Assuming NU trades mean reverting +2SD means there is a 95% chance of a price reversal/ 95% of all prices should be below the +2SD channel lines (e.g. NU...
On the monthly chart above i have posted key points in previous years where the pound has taken a dive against the dollar. August 2008, the recession hits, the value of the pound drops from nearly 2.00000 to 1.35300 in 6 months. August 2012, the economy enters a double-dip recession after two consecutive quarters of contraction in the economy. Now, late June 2016...
