Quick Litecoin analysis before bedJust putting my 2 cents about the Litecoin market after watching it for most of the day. Using trendlines, support/resistance levels, and some Fibonacci lines. Got some of the price movements correct for a quick swing trade I did not execute(A lot of fear due to the long term charts, I believe signalling a up swing rather soon). Practicing for the larger swings for when the bulls take back over and my account isn't completely dependent LTC being above 220/USD.(Rookie mistake, but a mistake none the less)
I would like to see some constructive criticism or praise and speculation
The
GDOW: Global Dow Limit Down all over the WorldGlobal Dow: GDOW Limit Down Across the World
The pattern here is similar to GOOG (without the double tops)
and shows how all major market indices have fallen under the
spell of the high-tech mantra. What's good for Google is good
for the world, well, world markets anyway.
Critical support for this index lies at 2967. The low so far is
2276 today. Come what may later today, this index has to
hold closing values at 2967.
It's probing the lower parallel and whilst it holds up the Global
Dow (and therefore all major markets too) has a good chance
of rallying from here, the perfect spot.
But the 2967 level is effectively limit down for the Global
Dow. A close below here will tip this index back into bear
territory again, forcing back down to 2920 to begin with and
then after a small counter-rally back down to 2887 at least
and then most likely back to 2802.
ALphaBet The World by the TailAlphabet: Goog
Google aptly re-named itself, becoming the world's biggest
Alpha Bet in the process.
So goes Google, so go world markets.
It was expected to hold up at 987 line but in the event
the low fell at 982. If you went fishing down there it's now just
approaching key resistance at the 1024 line.
Close out here and only get long again once 1025 is broken
above with stops 6 lower.
The next most vulnerable point on the upside is the upper dynamic at 1032
It has to break above here and then hold on the retest at 1025/4 to show that this is escaping the downtrend and worth adding or going long again at that point if so with stops below 1020
Then once it can break above the upper dynamic to start attracting more buyers still from there
ALPHABET: GOOG Nature of the BeastALPHABET: GOOG
Alphabet has two habits: it makes significant double tops
quite often (3 times in this 2 year bull run so far) and when it
creates a gap at earnings season it usually comes back to fill
that same gap around 4-5 months later - and when does this it
tends to do it twice, creating double bottoms as well as
double tops. This is the one stock amonst the FAANGs that
displays this kind of repeat behaviour so clearly, with one
glaring exception, shown at the blue arrow. The biggest
correction in the run is 15% in early 2016. Taking 15% off the
highs = 1000. And 20% is 940, which coincides with fixed
support at 942 and the lower supporting parallel. Perhaps in a
panic it may spike this low but looking at past behaviour it
should find support again at 987 by the close if it does fall this
far first. Major suppoort exists at 904-900. It will take a close
below here to derail this train.
The flippening (Ethereum dominance perdiction) If we look at the ETHXBT chart from Kraken (okay volume, lots of history), we can see that that the ETH BTC ratio has been forming a triangle on the daily/weekly charts. I have drawn two triangles, the smaller one connects the 6 hour closes, the longer one connects the daily highs and lows. The analysis of ETHBTC bittrex charts also has the same timeframe on the weekly charts. Generally triangles break 2/3 - 3/4 to completion, since there two I made two time measures under. Creating a handwaving break out period at 3/4 completion of the smaller triangle, and halfway between the 2/3 and 3/4 measure of the larger triangle and giving an accurate measure (vertical green line), that could place our ETHBTC around the 0.23 zone by October 2018, which also is the area of the 1.68 area of the initial breakout.
The first time that the weekly stoch rsi hung out in the oversold region for roughly 260 days in a consolidation period in May 2016. The second time was July 2017 for 120 days or so. So by the end of April we should hit the bottom of the stoch rsi and stay in the oversold region till August. The weekly macd looks bearish for the next few weeks, but if the macd falls lower the next potential long crossover signal could be strongly under zero. Now looking at the monthly stochastic rsi, we are crossing at the bottom for the first time, entering new territory.
The 49 day moving average seems to be a decent indicator of the situation as well.
So my current perdiction is that we enter the first smaller white box at the bottom between April and November, possibly tagging the lower trendline. While that happens the weekly stoch rsi regain strength and the weekly macd give a bullish crossover under zero. At some point there we will see the 49 day moving average crossover and stay on the underside. This should begin the move to the top target region around the 1.68 extension.
Things that would invalidate this analysis:
1. Breaking of the bottom trendline by a weekly close under 5%
2. Failure to break the top by the start of July 2019
3. Double peak formation at the previous ATH on the weekly
4. Failure to achieve the target zone by February 2020 (125% of the smaller triangle timeline).
Discussion is welcome, please consider the is pure speculation.
Bitcoin BTCUSD Still Positive - Continue to Buy DipsBitcoin Friday Update Next Buy Point Today
Bitcoin duly broke higher from 10600 and we followed that
break. Overnight Bitcoin has made a high at 11189, climbing
three rungs higher on this particular ladder to reach 3 points
below the the next line of resistance at 11192. Day traders
are closing out here and looking to get long again from lower
down towards the 10888 line and potentially as low as 10681
if 10888 cannot hold up this morning. But Bitcoin must hold up
at 10681 at lowest today for the bulls to remain in overall
control from here. A break (not spike) below this level will tip
Bitcoin into a near term negative pattern and day traders will
to short more aggressively if this were to happen.
But so far the overall pattern is still bullish. If still long from
10600 break higher yesterday can stay long but raise stop to
under 10870 and if struck look to buy again around 10681 with
stops 50 or so lower.
Look to add once 11192-11200 range has been broken above
looking for completion of this rally to the target at 11790.
Close out just below here and some day traders may consider
reversing from this point if touched later, depending on how
it behaves when it gets there. More as the move develops.
* For updates in real-time plase check top left of main page
Yesterday:
Bitcoin Coinbase Chart Next Buy Point
Bitcoin has spent the last 24 hours or so hammering out a
continuation pattern not too far from the recent highs. It
hasn't collapsed from here, though, which has to be a positive
signal, so far. It's now probing the upper parallel at 10600 and
trying to break higher. To stay positive from here it has to
make this break. If we see it we can follow with stops under
the upper parallel by 50 points or so when broken. Otherwise,
in absence of a break higher and Bitcoin spends more time in
this consolidation pattern we will look for an entry from lower
down later
BTC possible short - First target 8600 Hey, this is my first idea ever published. Please note that I might be completely wrong, and that It's made just to add some idea on where the price might go. I will be really glad for any comment reagrding anything wrongly interpreted in my idea since it's my first idea since I started learning TA.
Right now there are two scenarios that I can see happening in the near future. Either we will break above 11500 level, which would indicate further growth to price point of 16222 measured from the bottom of the inverse H&S to the neckline projected upwards from the neckline. So far I see this scenario less likely due to the fact that volume should expand on the break from the inverse head and shoulders. It is still a possibility though, and it should be taken into consideration. In this case I would recommend to enter the market on the retracement move of the breakout from the inverse H&S since you want to avoid getting caught up in the failed break out.
If the inverse H&S doesn't play out, we can see a big drop to the first support level of approximatelly 8600. From there I would expect it to form a possible falling wedge that could bottom close to the recent 6000 low. Falling wedge is a bullish continuation pattern, and sucessful break above could as well mean the end of the correction. As you can see from the RSI, we broke already broke above bearish 28day RSI. If this scenarion would be about to happen, I would enter the market on the retracement move of the break out of the possible falling wedge confirmed both by RSI, and by completion of the pattern.
Hope it made sense, and I hope that I didn't scare you off with my poor english, since I'm not originally from the english speaking country. Enjoy, leave a comment and have a great day!
ETCBTC Ethereum Classic Bitcoin Next Buy PointETCBTC Ethereum Classic Bitcoin
First important resistance lies at 3378-3385 - once it can clear
this range it should start to attract more buyers and begin to
fly higher still spiking into the 3530-3597 range - maybe not a
bad area to hang some limit orders
ETCETH Opportunity Still Exist, Several Pivots ConfirmBuilding on last idea and cleaned up chart . Same information as previous (linked) except a few extra confirmed pivots. Stop moved up from 0.0368 to 0.0398, assuming a 1-2 is in and another 1-2 (small) is being put in, stop under the 0.786 of the smallest, most recent 1-2. As with all alts, upside movement is most often associated to non "crashing" of the big 2, eth and btc that is.
The red dashed lines are where the algo's will most likely sell off if they aren't closed out.
Price correlation chart.
www.sifrdata.com
4hr
Last idea (same as this one)
Bitcoin - Clear Buy is calling (soon)Bitcoin had a pullback yesterday where it lost around 7%. The market can't decide where they want to go so til we got some TA conformation or some good/bad news I'm keeping my fingers out of the game til my idea of a retracement to 8900 does it's thing in the next couple days.
(I'm keeping you updated, so leave a sub to stay informed)
Historical Data Experimentplease note: this is not a complete trading idea. This analysis is entirely based off historical data.
Many of us know that Bitcoin has seen several major correction throughout its lifespan. The last major correction took place back in late 2013, which resulted in a 90% correction from the top.
The chart above shows the percentages and ratios I collected from the 2013 crash that were then overlaid onto the recent Bitcoin chart.
Creating the possible route Bitcoin could take IF it follows the 2013 path.
The percentages & time frames that were collected are shown in grey. The red and green colors shows what I expect to happen based on the data.
The chart below shows the percentages collected for this experiment.
DISCLAIMER:
Please note I am only providing my own trading information for your benefit and insight to my trading techniques, you should do your own due diligence and not take this information as a trade signal.
WTI Uptrend Decisively Broken - Look to Sell the RallyWest Texas Intermediate WTI USOIL
WTI fell exactly 50c short of the upside maximum target
before topping out and falling below the the lower parallel,
thereby flipping WTI from still positive to negative - on a
dime. Since then it's fallen away seeking support from nearest
structure to left - and found it at 58.14 - the top of the
structure to left. It's been hit by a double whammy of rising
DXY and falling major markets. Although it's hit support and
can rally as high as 61.51 from here this decline is not done
yet. Those big reds on exit of the parallel show powerful
rejection now. Last week's price action has switched the game
from buying dips to selling rallies once more. And if major
markets begin to unravel and fall further from their lows of
last week WTI and Brent will follow suit in sympathy.
A fall below 58.10 on WTI should trigger further selling back
to 55.90 at least and once this fails to 54.95, spiking as low as
53.84. The 50% retracement of the bull run lies at 54.32. Look
to sell the early rally if we see one - and if not sell on break
below 58 with stops above 59.10.
Dow Jones Industrials DJI Back on the buy listDow Jones Industrial Average DJI Back to buying the dips
Yesterday the Dow completed a 10% drop from the high (10%
off the top is 23956, the low was 23923.8, just 0.5 of one
point from the support line at 23924. An 11% drop would be
23690 - there is another fixed support line at 23613, just 77
points lower. This line line should be the limit of any further
downside should 23924 line give way today at any point. From
there it should rally back to 24345 -24400 range where it
should begin to retreat again..how it reacts here is key...if it
can hold up off 24300 and then go on to break above 24400
again it becomes a buy with stops below 24345. Otherwise we
ait for lower levels. But so far this is a sharp fast standard 10%
decline ina bull market. Done and dusted so long as 23611
holds out this week. Back to buyng dips for now.
Bitcoin BTCUSD On The Brink Next Buy and Sell Points TodayBitcoin BTCUSD Update Next Buy and Sell Points
The overall technical picture has not changed for the better
as yet. Bitcoin is now on the brink, staring at a large 2000
point abyss. Even at these lower levels where it found willing
buyers late last week, today it finds none. Dead cat bounce.
It's still a speculative buy at 7700 and close but only with a
tight stop just under 7690 for small loss if wrong and ready to
reverse this position to short if 7680 gives way looking for
7430 to begin with. Then once this level gives way it becomes
an aggressive short back to 5591 whhere it should get a good
bounce again.
The other potential long entry point will come if 7700
continues to hold out - then need to see it take back 7945 line and
hold up there and then break above 7820 annd hold again at
7945 on that next retest...then can look to enter longs with
stops below 7900.
LTC - ARE THE JAPS COMING TO SAVE US?It's two weeks since Charlie sold his coins.....
2 days ago (6-JAN-18) it looked like LTC decided to wake up with a flurry of tweets from @SatoshiLite highlighting the coins growth in usuage... transaction volume ...network security ...mining stats "reduce the relay fees from 0.001 LTC/kb ($0.30/kb) to 0.00001 LTC ($0.003/kb). We hope to have that out next week. Once people are using the new relay fees, we will reduce the actual min fee to 0.0001 LTC/kb ($0.03/kb)."
we even got a Dragon Balls gif ....
TODAY (8-JAN-18): We're back to the familiar depths of low €200's (flirting with the $245 line of support - probably headed towards low 190's after I post this)
the Lightning Network looks months away and I'm not counting on the *One huge unexpected surprise* that Charlie tweeted
Don't tell me I'm relying on 27million Japs to harness their chi and drag LTC back to being mediocre again....
(Give me strength)
First ChartAs we can see 0.00044891 level is a good support backed by the 23.6 fib. Volume is good, MACD is showing signs of upward movement. Our Target here are 1 and 2 as shown in the chart, risk here is very low due to the massive support at 23.6 fib.
I am new to trading and TA. Trying to learn, may be I am wrong so, feel free to point out the mistakes.
Thanks XD
NXC moment of truth on the 10thSo this is a very promesing project that I have been watching for more then a month and it has raised from 980 sat to 6000 sat and retraced back to 4250 sat.
On the 10th they are releasing a new in-game shop and a road map for 2018 and its their 1 year birthday so there will be extra news.
Securing profits at: 6500 sat
9000 sat
13000 sat
15000 sat
19000 sat ATH
OmiseGO is undervaluedOmiseGO is currently undervalued. The ATH is 0.00329400 BTC. The current price (0.00148600 BTC) is at 45.1 % of this, so we are still very much undervalued!
Current performance is very much bullish on the daily chart. Right now things are slightly overbought, could see a very brief correction at this level, but I expect the price to continue rising soon (this week ?).
Reaching the ATH is just one target and not the end of the road!
Research OmiseGO fundamentals, this company (Omise) has been around since 2013 and employs over 100 people. It operates in Japan, Thailand and Indonesia amongst others. It offers critical gateway services between crypto and legacy banking and is working on achieving a decentralised exchange network for exchanging between cryptocurrencies. Why is this important? Decentralised exchanges are possibly the exchange networks of the future!
One of the advisors of OmiseGO is Vitalik Buterin, founder of Ethereum, who has said OmiseGO is his favourite token model for 2018: oracletimes.com
Website: omisego.network
Good Youtube video: www.youtube.com (not mine:))
You must sell while you canthe head and shoulders PATTERN shown a downtrend to 7.300
the simetrical triangle has an amplitude line wich indicates the same objetive
The same is indicated by Fibbonacci ext. 7.300
Besides, the elliot waves indicates that we just are starting the C wave (the longest corrective wave)
Besides, we can see, the a to b channel is just a flag
DXY Dollar Index Trying to put up a stand at 91.76 supportDXY Dollar Index
The Dollar Index has fallen to the next blue line of support
91.76 after an intra-day low at 91.75. It's trying to hold here.
It's still trapped in a near term downwave and struggling to
escape. It's already made one attempt to escape the down-trend
and is trying again now. There are pins forming below the low
and above it too on the 2 hour chart, denoting conflict/confusion
here. For the bulls to win some respite they need to force
DXY above 91.95 and hold it there (and no lower than 91.92
on a retest once 91.95 is taken) to attract more buyers up to
92.05-92.12 range where DXY will likely turn back down again.
For DXY to show it's turning back up from that point it will have to
take back 92.12 and then turn 92.04 into support when tested
from above. Will need to see something like this kind of price
action to convince that DXY has more upside to 92.49-92.55
On the downside the next support below 91.76 lies at 91.52 with major support/maximum likely downside target at 91.02. A move below any blue line by more than a couple of pips is likely to trigger further weakness back to the next one.
amateur HodlerGreetings all, To hodl or not to hodl? I'm a demo forex trader and I currently hodl some btc and a few altcoins, I don't particularly trade cryptos, but I try my best to read up on sentiment and fundamentals behind the coins to help me sell high to buy back in low, or buy low and sell high. I was looking at the chart and trying to figure out where I stand with the current BTC situation, as far as I can see on the chart, Hodling is best for now? how can my analysis of this chart be improved?
many thanks in advance!






















