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pantheo pantheo PRO US10Y-DE10Y, W,
US10Y-DE10Y: US-Germany 10 year spread
33 0 2
US10Y-DE10Y, W
US-Germany 10 year spread

Entering supply zone $FGBL

pantheo pantheo PRO ZB1!, W, Short ,
ZB1!: Critical week for 30Year US bond
23 0 3
ZB1!, W Short
Critical week for 30Year US bond

Breaking below rising wedge $ZB_F

pantheo pantheo PRO TNX, 12M, Long ,
TNX: US 10 year yield at post 1987 TL
12 0 2
TNX, 12M Long
US 10 year yield at post 1987 TL

O/S reversal, Morning star, fakey pin from mother bar

pantheo pantheo PRO DXY, W,
DXY: US Dollar at 2016 May low
45 0 5
US Dollar at 2016 May low

Breaking down TL from 2010-12H, can see 89-90

mattcook mattcook PRO HG1!/GC1!, D, Short ,
HG1!/GC1!: Short Bonds & Long Copper | Copper/Gold vs. 10yr Yields
95 0 2
HG1!/GC1!, D Short
Short Bonds & Long Copper | Copper/Gold vs. 10yr Yields

It looks like the Bond market hasn't priced in growth or we're going to see a nasty reversion trade in the materials sector and a bond pop. The Copper / Gold pair is a great proxy for inflation due to the divergent properties of the 2 metals. Copper is purely an industrial metal and a proxy for inflationary growth so the 10yr reacts correspondingly. Gold, on ...

secrets2trade secrets2trade PRO TNX, 240, Long ,
TNX: More Downside For TNX
47 0 3
TNX, 240 Long
More Downside For TNX

The TNX is currently correcting the 93.43% up move in the mid of 2016. To make long story short, we want to buy tnx at around 1.99% IF it can manage to break the current low at around 2.17%. Consequently, with a break of the low of 2.17% and TNX reaching 1.99% we believe that the correction in the indices or not over yet. So in case of a leg lower in TNX we ...

Perseus Perseus TNX, W, Short ,
TNX: 10Y - Long-term Idea
901 0 8
TNX, W Short
10Y - Long-term Idea

RSI making lower highs, yield making lower lows.

Kaustubh Kaustubh SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: Ominous signs ahead
79 0 5
SPX, D Short
Ominous signs ahead

Multiple red flags appearing on the horizon. 1. VIX has taken off while SPX is still pretty much range bound. It means investors are increasingly getting jittery about the elevated equities even though the equities haven't corrected as much. Any small trigger could possibly initiate accelerated fall in this scenario. 2. US 10Y yields (not shown here) are down to ...

TheBanker TheBanker TNX, D, Long ,
TNX: Good spot for buyers on US 10y paper
562 1 27
TNX, D Long
Good spot for buyers on US 10y paper

treasuries and bonds not acting inline with main markets.... expecting further downside on u.j so will be actively looking for positions alongside the imminent breakout we are witnessing in gold. 1250.xx was the key to pandoras box and 1320.xx, congratulations to those who took this trade and are still holding. Eyes on the trigger to set things off here.

TNX: 10yr note % yield goes down after rate hikes? I'm confused.
34 0 2
10yr note % yield goes down after rate hikes? I'm confused.

Please someone explain why the 10yr note yield TNX goes down after FOMC raises interest rates? I would expect the relationship between the two to be pretty much linear.

AmadeoTrading AmadeoTrading SPY*TNX, W,
SPY*TNX: SPY*TNX 3/7/2017
94 1 3
SPY*TNX 3/7/2017

This is why the stock market has not crashed all this time since 2007-2008.

felix997 felix997 PRO TNX, M,
TNX: interest rate is the key
88 0 7
interest rate is the key

we will reach zero and gold will fly but for now bet the farm on shorting gold and buy bonds is maybe early. if we touch the blue line i think it wll be a good place to try it

tenzin.thinlley tenzin.thinlley SPX, M,
SPX: Long Term Macro Outlook (M, Log Scale)
181 0 4
Long Term Macro Outlook (M, Log Scale)

Attn: Chart is in Log Scale. A quick analysis of long term market outlook with historical context since 1970's. Not all recessions are covered, only those with -30% or more drop. For additional references, I have included the TVC:TNX (Blue Line) and FFR (Black Line).

Perseus Perseus XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold looking to test 1250
881 0 9
Gold looking to test 1250

Today we got further confirmation of a golden-cross with gold, and even though we had a slight hiccup intra-day spurred by a USD bond sale, we closed above 1240 and made new highs for this run. TNX is struggling to maintain above water, and it's RSI has been trending down since it's run up in November. We could potentially see a death cross as it's 5EMA makes ...

johnrhoekstra johnrhoekstra TNX, D,
TNX: TNX: Nice Pennant
73 0 2
TNX: Nice Pennant

Textbook consolidation as we wait for more signals from the FOMC. Fed futures showing no hike in March but two hikes by December, expect another leg up once subsequent meetings start pricing in. Good time to scale in.

franreta franreta TNX, W, Long ,
TNX: TNX Elliott
63 0 1
TNX, W Long
TNX Elliott

TNX Elliott

Kaustubh Kaustubh DJI, D,
DJI: Something's got to give
42 0 1
Something's got to give

The DJI and SPX have been picture of clam for last month or so. But other markets are giving some very interesting cues. We could be in for some very interesting movements in a week's time when the Trump inauguration happens. All the details around this would make this post very long. I have the detailed rationale posted at ...

ShPro ShPro TNX, W,
TNX: Economic cycle, market cycle, interest rates, trend lines & SPX
424 0 16
Economic cycle, market cycle, interest rates, trend lines & SPX

This chart provides probable market behavior given current market behavior, interest rates, and other factors such as presidential elections. I am expecting a down turn during the next week which would last until late February and another leg up in SPX until the final move down in August 2017. Trend line colors mark ...

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