Just as expected, Australian investors are crying foul on the low-interest rate policy adopted by my least favorite reserve bank leader, Lowe Phillips. He is utilizing the same policy that lead the ECB into a never-ending bear market. When there is uncertainty in the global economy and you are not one of the "majors" then don't throw oil on the fire by creating an...
Potential space for lower in my opinion and as the chart we can see price breaking lower the ascending trendline and support 1.93076 should indicate bearish in power. Boris Johnson and his friends are amending the Brexit bill to NOT allow further extensions. This means that, once the government has set a deadline, the U.K. must stick to it with or without a trade...
USDCAD rose in overlapping five-wave "leading diagonal" from the major low at 1.30422. Leading diagonal always indicates the direction of the major trend, and in USDCAD's case, it is bullish. The subsequent decline is the corrective pattern, which unfolded as a double zigzag correction in wave B. The corrective wave retraced around 61.8 - 78.6% of wave A, and...
With the supposed China "phase 1" deal being agreed upon...even though when no actual facts are really being presented and now the Americans are claiming it will be signed mid January...the trade has still been risk on. Markets globally liked the news as some uncertainties dissipate and we are set for a Santa Clause rally. I like what I see in the Spanish...
After an array of failed emergency monetary tactics such as a $500B a year corporate tax break, 3 rounds of Quantitative Easing and 3 rate cuts, finally after the trade deal was announced, we peaked our head well up above the bottom of channel / sub-channel we had been stuck in for over a year now. This was additional evidence that the drag on stock markets...
In today’s market insights I will talk about the cautious market reaction to the US-China trade deal announcement and what to look for in this week’s volatile session! Yes, I am still expecting markets to move considerably despite the festive season approaching. I analyze the leading NASDAQ and the US index and explain why I expect equities to continue...
CADCHF and EURCAD are negatively correlated; that is, if EURCAD is trading higher, then most of the time CADCHF will be trading lower. I've been tracking a triangle pattern on EURCAD, but when a colleague sent me his view on CADCHF, I could easily spot an almost completed triangle pattern as well. This further confirms that the triangle on EURCAD and the related...
The EURUSD saw a massive sell-off last Friday, which led to the formation of a bearish Pin Bar at a critical supply zone and weekly descending trendline. Although EURUSD seems to have resumed the advance from 1.087 major low on the chart, the correction might not be completed yet. The price action after the advance showed a three-wave down in wave (a) and...
Aside from US farmers and retailers, energy companies are poised to be the primary beneficiaries of today's trade deal, because tariff reductions will reportedly affect energy products. Oil prices have popped through trend line resistance on the news and may continue to move higher early next week.
I published an analysis on EURCAD yesterday, projecting an upward move from the Triangle pattern. After I carefully reviewed yesterday price action, I could see that it was a corrective pattern, not impulse. So I re-count the wave from bottom in related with AUDCAD and know that it's forming a double three/triple zigzag corrective pattern. Yesterday invalidation...
Although U.S. – China trade deal has been accepted by the U.S. side, China hasn’t commented on the issue yet. Also, the selling pressure, which has arisen due to the latest news in the precious metal, is losing its impact gradually. If the current recovery trend continues, 1474 and 1478 will be on our radar as the resistance levels. On the other side, 1462 and...
Price, time, and patience is the way to gain clarity in the market. Gold whipsawing price action has caused me to establish an alternative "bearish" bias, especially the last Friday sell-off. However, the current price action and movement during this week are showing a new pattern and increasing my confidence for the bulls! Price is making a 1-2, (i)-(ii) pattern...
On the tweet from Trump that they are closing in on the deal with China, we are massively risk-on. Now testing a confirmed trend line and 200SMA, a close above today would be first confirmation. Good Luck!
4H CHART EXPLANATION: We observe that price is bouncing at the Support Zone that has been tested multiple times. If the Descending Trendline is broken, we wil consider it as the bullish confirmation and there will look for long setups. DAILY CHART EXPLANATION:
After a lot of whipsawing price action on EURCAD, and AUDCAD, I could now see the kind of price pattern in the making. When there is a range-bound or contracting price action, it usually tends to be a Triangle. I'm able to label the price action on EURCAD. And if the count is correct, price should resume higher from or near the current market price and the...
After a lot of struggling to identify EURUSD bottom, the market has clearly indicated the direction of the trend. The Zigzag pattern from the weekend analysis actually completed the corrective structure in wave (ii). Since then, the price has made a five-wave up which I counted as an expanding leading diagonal, but it might as well be a "1-2, (i-ii), i-ii" wave...
I have posted a series of analyses on GOLD in the last few weeks forecasting a bullish run in the longterm but seems the bears are not giving the bulls a chance. Here we go again as I'm looking at Gold from a fresh perspective after last Friday's sell-off. The GOLD corrective structure in wave 4 is becoming more complex. The visible count for the correction right...
I've already explained a lot with the description on the chart! I will be looking for a pullback to the structural level to position for a long trade in one of the biggest impulse wave, wave iii of (iii). I will be keeping eyes on it and GJ or EJ for a possible long trade! What's your thought about CHFJPY? Kindly let me know in the comment! Best of luck on the...