GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey everyone,
Following up on yesterday’s update for our 1H chart route map:
The key retracement range continued to provide support, and we saw the reactionary bounce we expected.
Right now, we’re range-bound between 3329 and 3354.
As long as 3329 holds, we can expect continued bounces, tracking the movement upward.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3403
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3403 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3422
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3377 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3377 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3354 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3329
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3329 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3304
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Tradingideas
Gold prices have been hit hardGold prices have been hit hard, following a sharp rally over the weekend as traders await further clarity from the Trump administration on its gold import tax policy.
The commodity had been exempted from the tax since April, but investors are still waiting for clearer signals on its long-term direction.
Joseph Cavatoni, senior market specialist for North America at the World Gold Council, said that different segments of the gold market are operating stably while waiting for further information.
According to Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, the market rallied last week on the uncertainty surrounding tariffs, but is now seeing a sell-off as investors await more clarity from the White House.
On the economic data front, the US will release the consumer price index (CPI) on Tuesday and the producer price index (PPI) on Thursday. Wyckoff said that inflation data this week is particularly important after the weak jobs report. If the numbers come in higher than expected, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could pause its interest rate cut plan in September, which would put downward pressure on gold prices.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea is playing out in true level to level fashion.
We started with our bearish gap hit at 3377, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3354, which was also hit perfectly.
We are now seeing price play in the retracement range with 3329 also open for test. We expect reaction on this retracement zone, also keeping in mind the Bullish gap above, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3403
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3403 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3422
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3377 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3377 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3354 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3329
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3329 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3304
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Dow Jones 15m Chart Analysis Current Position – Price is consolidating in the 44,242–44,283 demand zone after a bullish push, showing buyers defending support.
Upside Levels – Break and close above 44,394 can trigger momentum toward 44,515 (major liquidity zone).
Downside Risk – Failure to hold 44,242 likely sends price to 44,026 first, then 43,826 (previous swing low demand).
Market Structure – Short-term bullish above 44,242; turns bearish below it. Volume breakout confirmation is key for conviction.
Trading Approach – Range trade between 44,242–44,394 until a confirmed breakout; trade with tight stops to avoid whipsaws
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3424 and a gap below at 3371. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3371
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3371 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3293
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3293 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Daily Chart Update
Another Clean Rejection: Structure Still Dominates
Following up on the recent price action last week, the 3372 support level continued to provide support aligned perfectly with the channel half-line, giving us the bounce that continued all the way up to 3409, just short of the 3433 resistance, which once again remains open for a potential test.
We remain in the same structured range, with price still rotating between 3272 and 3433, a 170+ pip zone that continues to deliver high-probability trade setups.
Here’s where we are now:
🔹 Range Still Active
Price is respecting the 3272–3433 boundaries with precision. Until we get a decisive break and hold outside this range, range bound strategies remain in play.
🔹 No Breakout = Clean Rejection
The failure to sustain above 3433 confirms resistance is still valid. We're watching EMA5 for potential breakout confirmation, until then, the bias stays neutral within the range.
🔹 Channel Half-line Bounce
That rejection into 3272 also matched the channel half line, and the bounce there further cements this area as critical support. The latest rally to 3397 reinforces the strength of this pivot.
Updated Key Levels
📉 Support – 3272
Still the major pivot. Buy zones remain valid here unless we see a confirmed breakdown.
📈 Resistance – 3433
Now clearly tested and rejected more than once. Any clean break and hold above could change the dynamic, but until then, it’s solid resistance with 3397 as support.
Thanks as always for your support.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Weekly Chart Update = Gap Completed, Levels Playing Out Perfectly
Just a quick follow up on the ongoing weekly structure, the precision in level respect continues to be impressive, with price action unfolding exactly as we’ve been mapping.
After the previous bounce from 3281, price moved cleanly back up and completed the gap at 3387 last week, exactly as projected in last weeks post. This time, we now have a candle body close above 3387, which changes the dynamic and leaves 3482 open as a long term upside target. An EMA5 lock from here would further confirm the breakout potential.
Updated Structural Notes:
🔹 3281 Support Holds Again
Textbook reaction. Once again, 3281 provided the perfect launch point, reinforcing its strength as a key weekly pivot.
🔹 Gap at 3387 Completed
Price didn’t just revisit 3387, it closed above it on the weekly candle body. This shifts the bias toward potential breakout continuation rather than another immediate rejection.
🔹 3482 Now on the Radar
With 3387 cleared on a closing basis, the next major upside objective becomes 3482, aligning with the broader channel structure and unfilled weekly target. EMA5 confirmation on the long side could accelerate this move.
Updated Levels to Watch:
📉 Support – 3281
Key long-term pivot and buy zone. As long as this holds, dips remain constructive.
📈 Resistance Turned Support – 3387
Now potentially acting as a base. Watching retests here for hold confirmation.
📈 Upside Target – 3482
Primary long-term resistance now in focus if 3387 support holds and momentum sustains.
Plan:
The breakout above 3387 opens a new chapter for this range. We now watch for confirmation that 3387 has flipped to support. Holding here keeps 3482 firmly in play, while any decisive break back below could send us rotating toward 3281 again. Structure still leads, but bias shifts bullish with this weekly close.
Thanks as always for your continued support.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We complete dour Bullish target 3370 followed with cross and lock confirmation opening 3392 also completed this week. We now also have a cross and lock above 3392 opening 3416.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
BULLISH TARGET
3370 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3392 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3392 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
US30 Liquidity Grab Strategy – 15m Chart (1m Precision Entries)Description:
This idea showcases my Liquidity Grab Entry Signals strategy, optimized for US30.
The setup identifies daily high/low liquidity zones with a sensitivity buffer, then confirms reversals using strong engulfing candles.
Key Points:
Daily Liquidity Levels plotted automatically.
Buffer Zone detects price interaction with liquidity.
Engulfing Confirmation for higher probability entries.
Long when price rejects daily low with bullish engulfing.
Short when price rejects daily high with bearish engulfing.
While the precision entries are taken on the 1-minute chart, this 15-minute chart is shown for publication purposes in line with TradingView rules.
Example (Yesterday & Today):
Multiple clean rejections at daily liquidity zones.
Clear 1:15–1:20 R:R potential with minimal drawdown.
Risk Management:
Suggested SL: 10–15 points beyond liquidity zone.
Suggested TP: the next key level.
Precise 1 min entry shown here:
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is a follow-up update on our 1H chart and what can I say, another amazing result!
After hitting our bullish target at 3370 earlier this week, we confirmed the EMA5 cross and lock above 3370 confirming 3392, which I continued to highlight and remind as we bought the dips throughout the week. And today, we finally completed 3392 to perfection.
Next, we’ll be watching for an EMA5 lock above 3392 for a potential continuation. If that fails to lock, we may see some range play between 3392 and 3370.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3370 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3392 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3392 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3313
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3313 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3296
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
AUDCHF potential LONG positionAUDCHF Analysis (4H / Weekly Confluence)
The overall trend remains bullish, following a strong rejection from weekly resistance. This move was supported by a bullish Bat harmonic pattern, which marked a potential reversal point.
Price has since been forming an ascending triangle structure, with higher lows consistently pressing against a flat resistance near 0.5265. This pattern often signals accumulation and builds pressure for a breakout.
Momentum indicators like RSI also support the bullish bias, as the market compresses under key resistance.
I’m watching for a confirmed breakout above 0.5265, ideally followed by a brief retracement into the swap zone, before continuation upward.
Target Levels:
TP1: 0.5350
TP2: 0.5400
Let’s see how this plays out. Open to feedback and alternate views!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day in the markets with our chart idea playing out exactly as planned, allowing us to buy the dips.
We’re seeing a repeat of yesterday's setup, the 3392 gap remains open after the EMA5 lock above 3370. We're getting drops into the lower Goldturn zones, giving us great opportunities to buy back in.
As long as we don’t get a confirmed lock below 3348, we continue to chase the open gap above at 3392.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3370 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3392
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3392 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3313
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3313 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3296
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts!!!
After completing our Bullish target 3370 yesterday, we stated that we are now waiting for ema5 lock to confirm gap to 3392.
We got the ema5 lock above 3370 opening 3392. A nice drop into the lower zone just above our bearish gap allowed us to buy dips inline with our plans. We got the push up all the way into 3390 just short of 3392 gap, so this remains open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3370 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3392
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3392 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3313
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3313 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3296
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Markets Eye Policy, Positioning, and PerformanceCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! COMEX:GC1! FRED:FEDFUNDS
Happy 4th of August, Traders!
As we head into the new week, here’s a look at what’s on the calendar:
Key Economic Data Releases
Monday:
• Factory Orders (MoM) – June
• Supply: 3-Month Bill Auction, 6-Month Bill Auction
Tuesday:
• Trade Balance (June), Exports (June), Imports (June)
• S&P Services PMI (July), ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (July)
• Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) – Prelim
• Supply: 52-Week Bill Auction, 3-Year Note Auction
Wednesday:
• German Factory Orders (MoM) – June
• Crude Oil Inventories
• FOMC Member Daly speaks at 11:45 CT
• Fed Governor Cook speaks at 1:00 CT
• Supply: 17-Week Bill Auction, 10-Year Note Auction
Thursday:
• Bank of England Interest Rate Decision
• BoE MPC Meeting Minutes, Inflation Letter, MPC Vote
• BoE Governor Bailey speaks at 8:15 CT
• FOMC Member Bostic at 9:00 CT
• Supply: 30-Year Bond Auction
Crude Oil Update
OPEC+ V8 members have announced an additional 547K bpd unwinding of voluntary cuts. Notably, crude prices have not reacted significantly to the expected OPEC+ figures. As we’ve previously highlighted, the market's focus remains firmly on demand-side factors. Despite geopolitical shocks, trade tensions, and recession concerns, crude oil prices have remained relatively stable—trading within a consistent range for over two and a half years since August 2022. According to Amena Bakr at Kpler, the V8 will meet again on September 7th to potentially reassess the reinstatement of 1.65 million bpd of cuts, currently scheduled to remain in place until the end of 2026.
Earnings Recap
With over half of S&P 500 companies having reported Q2 earnings, YoY earnings growth is now projected at 9.8%, compared to the 5.8% estimate as of July 1, per LSEG data cited by Reuters. More than 80% of reporting companies have surpassed analyst profit expectations—well above the 76% average from the past four quarters.
Macro Outlook
Fed Vice Chair Williams provided further insight into the central bank’s posture ahead of the September FOMC meeting, stating he remains open-minded but continues to believe that modestly restrictive policy is warranted. Williams also emphasized that the notable downward revisions to May and June payrolls were the key takeaway from Friday’s jobs report, reinforcing the theme of softening labor market momentum.
In addition, the Fed announced on Friday that Governor Lisa Cook will resign from the Board effective August 8. A replacement is expected to be named in the coming days, though it is not anticipated to materially alter the policy outlook in the near term.
Looking ahead, if both inflation and unemployment tick higher between now and the September FOMC meeting, it would represent a worst-case scenario for the Fed. The August NFP report due on the first Friday of September and July and August 2025 inflation reports are key data points to monitor before the next FOMC Meeting on September 17th, 2025.
Although equity futures sold off on Friday following a disappointing jobs report, market pricing has adjusted notably. Participants now expect the Fed to deliver three rate cuts in 2025 and two cuts of 25bps each in 2026. This marks a shift from pre-NFP expectations of two cuts in 2025 and three cuts in 2026, per CME FedWatch Tool.
Market Implications:
On the back of rate cut expectations, in our analysis, this may help sustain upside in the equities complex. Although, it may be prudent to adjust portfolio and re-balance strategically according to sectors that may continue to outperform namely tech, AI, defense stocks, commodities and USD per our analysis.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3371 and a gap below at 3293. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3371
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3371 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3293
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3293 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Weekly Chart Update – Another Clean Rejection + Bounce: Range Still in Play
Just a quick follow up on the ongoing weekly structure. We continue to see incredible respect for levels, with price action playing out exactly as mapped.
After the initial rejection at 3387, we got another test of support at 3281, and once again, the level held perfectly, delivering a clean rejection and bounce. Price is now rotating back upward, currently heading toward 3387, which remains the upside magnet and still open for a retest.
We remain firmly inside the 3281–3387 range, and as long as neither boundary breaks with confirmation, the structure remains our dominant guide.
Updated Structural Notes:
🔹 3281 Rejected Again
Support doing its job to the pip. This latest bounce further reinforces the strength of this level within the weekly channel.
🔹 Back Toward 3387
With 3281 holding once more, price is now tracking toward the 3387 resistance zone, which remains the key level to break for further upside continuation.
🔹 Channel Structure Unchanged
No breakdown below support, no confirmed breakout above resistance. The rising channel remains fully respected, and EMA5 still leans constructive.
Updated Levels to Watch:
📉 Support – 3281
Key weekly pivot tested and held again. Continues to offer solid dip buy opportunities unless decisively broken.
📈 Resistance – 3387
Still our major resistance. It’s been tested and rejected, but remains open for another challenge.
📈 Resistance 2 – 3482
Unfilled gap and broader weekly target. Only comes into focus if we get a proper breakout and hold above 3387.
Plan:
We stay range focused between 3281 and 3387 until proven otherwise. No breakout = no change. Watch for signs of momentum as we approach the top again a confirmed close above could shift the game toward 3482. Until then, structure is king.
Appreciate all the continued support.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold establishes bullish wave. Wait for recovery point to BUY✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD Nonfarm announcement has shaped a new trend for gold price. completely broke the previous bearish wave structures and formed a new bullish trend with the break of wave 1 peak around 3315. Trading strategy next week only focuses on BUY signals. Maybe this bullish wave can make gold reach the all-time high.
📉 Key Levels
Support 3333-3315
Resistance 3373-3416
BUY zone: 3333 ; 3315 ( Strong support zone)
BUY DCA trigger Break resistance 3373
Target 3416
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
From Euphoria to Exhaustion – BTC's Next Move?BTC Idea – Bearish Divergence + Key Level Watch ⚠️
Summary / Bias:
BTC has tapped 120K and is now showing early signs of weakness. A bearish divergence on the MACD Histogram (weekly) is flashing caution, while price has retraced back to the critical 112K zone. I'm leaning bearish short-term, expecting a move towards 100K, and possibly as low as 93K, if key confirmations unfold.
Technical Context:
Weekly MACD Histogram shows a clear bearish divergence, signaling potential exhaustion.
BTC rejected from 120K and has pulled back to 112K.
Price crossed below the Yearly Camarilla L#, but we need a weekly close below to confirm further downside.
112K remains the key pivot – failure to bounce strongly here could open the door for deeper retracement.
Scenarios to Watch:
🟥 Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias)
Breakdown and close below 112K
Downside targets:
TP1: 100K
TP2: 93K
🟨 Neutralizing Risk
Hold above 112K with strong bounce = neutral bias, reassess
Close back above 115K+ with strength = invalidate bearish lean
Caution & Patience:
Now is not the time for aggressive longs. Signs of exhaustion + major level retest call for defensive positioning and high-quality setups only. Let confirmation guide entries.
NFA. Risk management always.
Will update if structure shifts.
APT - HUGE POTENTIAL (130+% SPOT) You probably forgot about this altcoin but it is justified. Downtrend since 2023 and lower highs, lower lows but....
If we look more close and use tool fixed price volume we can see that price is above VAL (Value area low), we had break through but price returns..Also good reaction of FVG (Fair value gap).
Now, we can try buy this coin and have some stop lose. Price is in range 172 days and all people forget abut this coin. Analysis is right only if we close daily candlestick about 6$.
Stop lose can be below 4.4$ which is 6-7% of losing.
Second entry is monthly level at 3.3 and stop lose should be below the lowest low 3$.
For me is great opportunity because risk reward is excellent.
Ivan
NFP Miss Implications: Recession Signal or Rate Cut CatalystCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1!
Happy Friday, folks!
Today is the first Friday of August, and that means the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers came in at 7.30 am CT.
US Non-Farm Payrolls (Jul) 73.0k vs. Exp. 110.0k (Prev. 147.0k, Rev. 14k); two-month net revisions: -258k (prev. +16k).
Other key labor market indicators were as follows:
• US Unemployment Rate (Jul) 4.2% vs. Exp. 4.2% (Prev. 4.1%)
• US Average Earnings MM (Jul) 0.3% vs. Exp. 0.3% (Prev. 0.2%)
• US Average Earnings YY (Jul) 3.9% vs. Exp. 3.8% (Prev. 3.7%, Rev. 3.8%)
• US Labor Force Particle (Jul) 62.2% (Prev. 62.3%)
Data and Key Events Recap:
What a year this week has been! It's been packed with high-impact economic data and pivotal central bank decisions, especially from the Federal Reserve. On top of that, trade and tariff announcements have dominated the headline.
U.S. economic data this week was broadly strong. Second-quarter GDP came in at 3.0%, beating expectations and signaling solid growth. The ADP employment report also surprised to the upside, printing 104K vs. the 77K forecast. Consumer confidence showed resilience as well, with the Conference Board’s reading rising to 97.2.
Inflation data was mixed but mostly in line. Core PCE for June rose 0.3% MoM, while the YoY reading ticked up to 2.8%, slightly above the expected 2.7%. The broader PCE Price Index also came in at 0.3% MoM, with a YoY print of 2.6%, slightly higher than forecast.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 4.25% – 4.50%. Notably, Governors Waller and Bowman dissented, favoring a 25-basis-point rate cut as expected, however, marking the first dual dissent by governors since 1993.
Changes to the FOMC Statement included a downgraded assessment of economic growth, reflecting slower real consumer spending. The Committee reiterated that uncertainty around the economic outlook remains elevated. It maintained its view of the labor market as "solid" and inflation as "somewhat elevated." Forward guidance remained unchanged, emphasizing the Fed’s readiness to adjust policy as necessary while continuing to monitor risks to both sides of its dual mandate.
Here’s a summary of key points from the FOMC press conference:
• On current policy stance:
“We decided to leave our policy rate where it’s been, which I would characterize as modestly restrictive. Inflation is running a bit above 2%... even excluding tariff effects. The labor market is solid, financial conditions are accommodative, and the economy is not performing as if restrictive policy is holding it back.”
Chair Powell commented on the need to see more data to help inform Fed’s assessment of the balance of risks and appropriate Fed Funds rate.
• On labor market risks:
“By many statistics, the labor market is still in balance... You do see a slowing in job creation, but also a slowing in the supply of workers. That’s why the unemployment rate has remained roughly stable.”
• On inflation and tariffs:
“It’s possible that tariff-related inflationary effects could be short-lived, but they may also prove persistent. We’re seeing substantial tariff revenue—around $30 billion a month—starting to show up in consumer prices. Companies intend to pass it on to consumers, but many may not be able to. We’ll need to watch and learn how this unfolds over time.”
Trade Headlines:
US President Trump announced tariffs on countries ranging from 10%-41%. Average US tariff rate now at 15.2% (prev. 13.3%; 2.3% pre-Trump), according to Bloomberg. US officials said that if the US has a surplus with a country, the tariff rate is 10% and small deficit nations have a 15% tariff, US officials said they are still working out technicalities of rules of origin terms for transshipment and will implement rules of origin details in the coming weeks. No details on Russian oil import penalty. Sectoral Tariffs White House said new reciprocal tariff rates take effect on Friday. Although Canada’s tariffs were increased to 35%, excluding USMCA goods, the effective rate is only 5%.
The economic data is showing strength, on the contrary, tariffs announcements for most countries have now been announced. Investors need to consider that tariffs are not just a tool to reduce trade deficit, it is also a geopolitical tool presently being used to shape alliances. The US wants to soften BRICS, China and Russian influence on the world stage.
Key to note is that these tariffs are substantially lower than what was announced on April 2nd, 2025.
The key question now remains, do participants buy the dip or ‘sell the fact’ is the current playbook?
Market Implications
Given the prior revisions in NFP data of -258K, July’s payroll came in at 73K, missing forecasts of 110K. What does this mean for markets? Markets are now pricing in 75% chance of a September rate cut. Prior revisions along with the current job market slowing down imply that risks to the downside are substantially increasing. Fed’s current policy is not just moderately restrictive but rather it may likely tip the US into a recession if Fed Funds rates remain elevated. The Chair asked to see more data, and here it is but I do wonder why they did not take this data into account for the July meeting. Surely, it would have been available to them.
Another question to ask would be, is it due to defiance of rate cut calls by the US administration? Is the Fed already behind the curve?
Fed’s dual mandate targets inflation and maximum employment. While inflation is sticky, the Fed may need to abandon their 2% mandate in favor of average inflation of 2.5% to 3%. A less restrictive policy will provide needed stimulus along with the fiscal stimulus provided via the BBB bill.
This drastically changes, in our analysis, how investors position themselves heading into the remainder of the year.
Markets (equities) may retrace slightly but the dip in our opinion will still be the play given weaker labor market data and increased rate cut bets. The bad news here means that the Fed has the data it wants to see to start cutting. Market pricing in 2 cuts seems to be the way forward for now.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
What a PIPTASTIC finish to the week! 🚀. We tracked the move down with precision durung the week and then rode the momentum right back up.
Yesterday, we confirmed the swing range activation and bounce, and that bullish follow through carried beautifully into today, completing our Bullish Target at 3348. Just perfect execution all around.
BULLISH TARGET
3348 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3328 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289 - DONE
3267 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow up on our 1H chart route map:
What can I say.....pure perfection on our chart analysis as everything played out exactly as expected.
Yesterday, we identified the first level of the swing range at 3289, which delivered a clean full swing into 3305.
Today, we hit Level 2 of the swing range at 3267, and once again, it played out flawlessly with another full swing up to 3305.
A perfect finish to the day. Great work all around!
We are now looking for support above the swing range and a break above 3305 to track the movement up or further retest and break below the 1st level of the swing range may open the the 2nd level at 3267 again.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3369
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3369 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3397
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3422
BEARISH TARGETS
3328 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289 - DONE
3267 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow up on our 1H chart route map:
We had the break below 3305 Goldturn, opening and hitting the 1st level of the swing range at 3289, which did exactly what it says on the tin and gave us the perfect swing bounce into 3305.
We are now looking for support above the swing range and a break above 3305 to track the movement up or further retest and break below the 1st level of the swing range may open the the 2nd level at 3267. Ema5 cross and lock will confirm this.
From here, we’re watching for:
Support to hold above the swing range, followed by a clean break above 3305, which would suggest upward continuation.
Alternatively, if we retest and break below 3289, that opens the path toward the second level of the swing range at 3267.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3369
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3369 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3397
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3422
BEARISH TARGETS
3328 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289 - DONE
3267
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX






















