Get started

Tradingsetup

GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week, which is still active and in play. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4221 and a gap below at 4169, as support. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 4221 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4221 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4250 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4250 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4284 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4284 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4320 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4320 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4361 BEARISH TARGETS 4169 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4169 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 4130 4093 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4093 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 4049 4015 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
110
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would look for the price to tap into the lower level where we wanted a bounce to then target the red box above. We managed to get that long into the defence level for it to give us a nice tap and bounce again giving the short and following the path into the lower defence box. It’s here that we faced the range but as you can see we failed to breach the box, hence giving us that opportunity to target that long into the active defence above again. We then mentioned we would protect and manage and see if there is another reaction or breach at that box, leading to price rejecting again following the range and completing all our targets as well as the hot spots for the week. A successful week in Camelot not only on Gold but also the other pairs we trade and analyse. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For the start of the trading week we have two key levels to keep an eye on, 4175 support and 4210 resistance. These are the levels that need to be broken either side in order to make the next move, and could be the range we play for Monday as there is no economical catalyst to bring the extra volume into the market. For that reason, we’ll stick with the plan from last week, apart from looking for price to create that higher high before attempting the lower defence level. There is strong support here on the close so if we can get an undercut low here we can bounce into that 4210 level and above that 4220 which is the level that will need to hold! As long as we can stay below, we should see price attempt the lower levels initially starting with our target level 4180 and below that 4155. As you can see on our chart, our ideal long opportunity comes from the lower level which is also our potential target and a region we would like to see a RIP! The levels are on the chart as our the red boxes which have proven to be effective for swing and intra-day trading. RED BOXES: Break above 4210 for 4220, 4230, 4235 and 4240 in extension of the move Break below 4190 for 4180, 4173, 4165, 4155 and 4147 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
38
I don't own enough!I don't own enough of NYSE:ZETA even with my massive 15-20% holding across my investment portfolios and leaps galore. The fundamentals scream buy anything under $25-$30, while the stock sits at sub-$20. P/S less than 3, DCF model spitting out massive Margin of Safety based on conservative projections, and they are about to report their first GAAP profitable quarter. Never mind the chart that looks ready to have a blow-off top moment, friends absolutely. Cup and Handle is ready to send us to new ATHs in 2026, from the looks of it. This is a top-2 position for me, and I've personally met and interviewed the CEO, but I have no ties to the business beyond being a retail shareholder. So take what I say as you may, and always DYOR, friends. Not Financial Advice. God bless!
NYSE:ZETALong
by RonnieV29
8
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup – Breakout Target AheadGold (XAUUSD) is currently reacting from a major intraday support zone after a sharp correction. Price has tapped into the lower liquidity area and is showing early signs of potential bullish reversal. 🔶 Key Levels & Structure Strong Support Zone: Price is testing a major demand area where previous bullish moves originated. Breakout Zone: A minor breakout is expected once price breaks above the short-term resistance structure. Strong Resistance: A bigger bearish liquidity block sits below, but the market is currently respecting the upper demand. Breakout Target: If bulls gain momentum, price could push toward the 4165–4175 supply area. 📈 Bullish Scenario If price holds above the current support and breaks the short-term structural high, we may see a clean bullish continuation toward the upper breakout target zone. 📉 Bearish Scenario Failing to hold current support could drag price back down into the lower liquidity pools before any strong reversal attempt. 📝 Overall Outlook Market structure favors a bullish recovery, but confirmation is required through a clear breakout of short-term resistance. Traders should wait for strong candle closures to avoid false moves. 🔥 Title Suggestions Gold Ready for a Bullish Breakout from Key Support XAUUSD Reversal Setup – Watching the Breakout Levels Gold Analysis: Strong Support Holding, Breakout Target Ahead XAUUSD Bulls Preparing for Next Rally
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Adrian_Trades_
GBP/USD — Bearish Outlook Toward 1.26867GBP/USD remains under sustained bearish pressure after failing to hold above the key structural levels at 1.34825 and 1.33906. These two resistance zones now define the upper boundary of the broader downtrend, confirming that sellers remain in control. Price is currently moving within a corrective phase, and any recovery attempt below these key levels is expected to face renewed selling interest. The bearish continuation scenario remains valid as long as the pair stays capped below 1.33906. The next major objective for bears is the downside target at 1.26867, corresponding to the 1.0 Fibonacci extension and the final completion zone of the current corrective wave. A break below intermediate supports—1.31642, 1.30846, and 1.29907—will accelerate momentum toward the target. Key Levels Major Resistance: 1.34825 Secondary Resistance: 1.33906 Intermediate Supports: 1.31642 • 1.30846 (50%) • 1.29907 (0.618) Final Downside Target: 1.26867
by adham2022
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Levels, Setups, for Fri (Nov 14th) Today’s session revealed a marked risk-off sentiment as the market began to discipline leading sectors, notably large-cap tech, AI, semiconductors, and high-beta growth stocks. This correction coincided with a reassessment of expectations for near-term Federal Reserve easing and an environment defined by unequal economic data in the wake of the record shutdown. Despite the abrupt decline, the E-mini S&P 500 (ES) remains in a pullback phase within a broader uptrend, still functioning within a weekly premium and supply zone. This movement exhibits characteristics typical of a sharp correction and repositioning rather than the definitive onset of a bear market. Importantly, prices have yet to break below the last significant daily higher-low region, weekly market structure continues to show constructive signs, and the “stress indicators” monitored by institutional investors are elevated but not yet at levels indicative of a crisis. Dashboard Context Volatility: Implied volatility surged today, with equity volatility pushing above previously complacent levels, albeit the term structure remains predominantly upward-sloping rather than inverted. This nuance is critical; while funds are investing more for protection and short-term hedges, the volatility landscape does not yet suggest a disorderly liquidation phase. Options Positioning: The index and overall put/call ratios have transitioned from a state of complacency to caution, reflecting increased demand for hedging. However, levels are not yet extreme enough to signal panic. Skew is elevated, indicating that investors are bidding for downside protection, although it remains within the upper bounds of a normal range. This suggests that while major institutions are leaning into protective strategies and tactical downside plays, the broader market is not universally positioned for a crash. Breadth: The internal damage today was notable, with decliners outpacing advancers significantly across major exchanges. This shift in breadth oscillators from positive to negative in a single session points to a broad-based distribution rather than a narrow selloff concentrated in a few prominent names. Historically, such internal damage requires several sessions for a market to recover. Credit and Funding: High-yield spreads have widened modestly from recent lows, and high-yield ETFs have pulled back from their peaks. Nevertheless, there are no current signs of a credit crisis. Spreads remain well within ranges that do not indicate severe stress, and funding markets continue to operate smoothly. Provided that credit conditions stay stable, current equity weakness is likely more reflective of a valuation and positioning reset than systemic risk. Cross-Asset Risk: The crypto market experienced a sharp selloff, while global equity indices broadly fell. This behavior confirms a classic cross-asset risk-off scenario, as investors reduced exposure to the highest-beta, most speculative areas while simultaneously de-leveraging from U.S. equity leaders. Conversely, traditional defensive stocks and segments of quality value showed relative resilience, a behavior consistent with a managed de-risking rather than an all-encompassing liquidation. In summary, the dashboard indicates a shift from “overbought complacency” to a higher-volatility, risk-off environment. However, we have yet to enter a full-scale, credit-driven bear market. This context is essential for interpreting today’s decline in the E-mini S&P 500. Multi-Timeframe Technical Structure (Weekly → Daily → 4H → 1H) Weekly: The E-mini remains in an upward trajectory, printing higher highs and higher lows. Prices have retreated from a premium zone established at recent highs. The current weekly bar suggests rejection, yet critically, price levels remain comfortably above the last key weekly higher low near the 6,000 mark. Weekly momentum, previously overstretched to the upside, is rolling over, signaling a potential cooling phase – likely a period of consolidation or corrective drift rather than immediate trend failure. Daily: On the daily chart, the ES has formed a distinct upper range beneath a weak high. Today’s trading produced a significant red candle, indicating a drop from the upper range back toward its center. The prior swing low around 6,620–6,580 remains intact, but the daily oscillator shows mild bearish divergence relative to the last high – a common occurrence in maturing upswings. This situation conveys the message of “bullish but extended, now in corrective mode,” rather than a definitive shift to a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. 4-Hour: The 4-hour structure has entered a short-term downtrend. A lower high was established in the 6,900–6,920 range, leading to an impulsive sell-off toward demand around 6,730–6,700. This selloff exhibited characteristics of liquidation: substantial red candles, minimal counter-rotation, and strong volume. The 4-hour oscillator shows bearish pressure but is beginning to flatten near support, consistent with an early basing attempt after a sharp sell-off, though additional downside remains possible if negative overnight flows persist. 1-Hour: The 1-hour chart portrays today’s price movement as a decisive liquidation wave. Today's market decline was driven by three converging factors. First, we saw a mix of valuation adjustments and crowded positioning. Sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and large-cap growth stocks had experienced significant upward momentum. As a result, profit-taking and forced de-leveraging became evident, especially when the largest index components corrected. This simultaneous adjustment made it challenging for the overall index to hold its ground. Second, the narrative surrounding interest rates and policy has shifted. Recent commentary from the Federal Reserve has adopted a more cautious tone regarding the pace and scale of future interest rate cuts. With inflation remaining above target and some data being impacted by the government shutdown, policymakers appear hesitant to endorse the market's most optimistic expectations for easing. This recalibration towards a "higher for longer" mindset is detrimental to long-duration growth equities and affects the valuations assigned to market leaders. Third, while the government shutdown has concluded, the subsequent rhythm of the economic calendar has been disrupted. Several critical data releases have been delayed or are now under scrutiny, prompting investors to navigate through somewhat erratic information. In this context, there has been a notable reluctance to take on risk at elevated valuations without clearer data confirmation. Consequently, we are witnessing a trend of de-risking, characterized by a swift rotation from expensive stocks into cash, defensive positions, and protective strategies. The outcome has been a pronounced selloff, exhibiting broad downside movement and a surge in volatility. Importantly, this occurred without significant turmoil in credit or funding markets, suggesting that we are dealing with a valuation reset rather than a systemic crisis. Looking ahead, the question arises: Is this the beginning of a more substantial downtrend or merely a temporary flush? From a structural perspective, the market has yet to breach the typical thresholds that signal the onset of a major downtrend. The previous daily higher low remains in place, the weekly uptrend is still intact, and we have not observed the combination of lower highs and lower lows that would signify a broader bearish phase. Currently, we are witnessing a rejection from a weekly premium/supply zone, with momentum weakening at both daily and weekly levels. Additionally, there is a clear lower high alongside a liquidation move visible on the four-hour chart, which aligns with the expected behavior during the early stages of a significant correction following an extended rally. As it stands, the prevailing view is that we are experiencing a sharp corrective phase or volatility spike within the upper range of the ongoing uptrend. While the risk of a more profound correction is heightened, particularly if the support range of 6,600 to 6,535 is breached, the current indicators do not yet suggest a completed market top or a fully developed bearish trend. A genuine trend transition would likely require: – a decisive break of S3 and a failed retest from below; – a sustained period of weak breadth rather than a single-day air pocket; – and, on the macro side, a clear deterioration in credit and funding conditions alongside a persistent inversion of the equity volatility term structure. At present, those conditions are not fully in place. Level-KZ Execution Framework for Tomorrow Asia/London Participation: If overnight trade pushes the ES down into the 6,710–6,680 range and subsequently prints a rejection with a definitive 15-minute close above that zone, consider it a tactical bounce location. This could target a move back toward the 6,770–6,800 region. Given the event risk, participation should be smaller than usual and approached as preparatory rather than primary risk. PPI Window (08:30–09:15 ET): The initial 15–30 minutes post-PPI release should be regarded as a discovery phase. If the first impulse upward drives the price into R1/R2 but then closes back below 6,780–6,800 with upper wicks and a failure of the 5-minute structure, it sets up a potential short from the underside of the shelf. Targets for this short could be at 6,720 and then 6,680. Conversely, if the initial market reaction results in a drop to S2/S3 that quickly wicks back and closes above that zone on a 15-minute chart, it presents a tactical bounce long toward the 6,740–6,780 area. The decisive 15-minute close after the data release will provide clarity on which side gains control for the session. NY AM Kill Zone (09:30–11:00 ET): For short positions, the optimal area remains a rejection from 6,780–6,815 after the PPI reaction is digested. A long upper wick and a return close within that range on a 15-minute chart, paired with a failure in the 5-minute attempts to maintain above, supports a short position. Stops should be placed just above the rejection high, with profit targets initially toward 6,720 and subsequently toward 6,680. Conversely, for long opportunities, an ideal scenario involves a constructive reaction from the 6,700–6,660 support band. This would look for a higher low on the 15-minute chart, reclaiming and holding above 6,700, while sellers falter at S1. In this case, stops would belong below the reaction low, targeting 6,770 and 6,810. Standard A-tier protocol applies: anticipate at least 2R to the first target based on a 15-minute-anchored stop, limit attempts per level, and enforce daily risk guardrails. NY PM Window (13:30–16:00 ET): Should the ES remain constrained between 6,700 and 6,800 by early afternoon, the trade dynamic typically shifts from discovery to mean-reversion. Thus, the afternoon should primarily focus on managing existing positions from the morning rather than initiating new aggressive plays. Fresh entries based on trending strategies should only be considered if there is a clear breakout from the established intraday range, whether below S3 or above R3, accompanied by confirmation. Big-Picture Takeaway: Fundamentally, today’s decline indicates a reassessment of overly optimistic growth and AI valuations, along with near-term Federal Reserve easing, partly prompted by a complicated post-shutdown data environment. Technically, the ES is retreating from a weekly premium into various support zones while maintaining the core bullish structure. Stress indicators favored by large professional investors—such as volatility, options positioning, breadth, credit, and cross-asset behavior—suggest a serious risk-off event has occurred, but they don't exhibit the persistent stress and credit strain typically seen before a full bear market materializes. As long as the ES decisively holds above the 6,600–6,535 zone and doesn’t reject that area from below, the higher-probability play in the coming sessions is a volatile corrective range, offering tactical opportunities to sell rallies into resistance and buy deeper, well-defined demand zones—always bearing in mind the heightened volatility and macro event risks on the calendar.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
6
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Gold Stalls Below 4153 ResistanceGold is currently trading around 4118 after a strong rally from the 4027 breakout. Buyers appear to be pausing after several failed attempts to clear the 4153 resistance, with price now consolidating just above the 50MA, which is acting as short-term dynamic support. We need confirmed break above 4153 resistance for bulls to extend the move to 4197 and possible 4234. However, if price loses the 50MA and 4115 support, we may see a move into the pullback zone. Failure to hold the key support at 4027 may bring the First Reaction Zone back into focus. 📌Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 4,153 4,197 4,234 4,285 Support: 4,115 4,074 4,027 3,984 🔎 Fundamental Focus: It’s a busy day for speeches, with multiple FOMC members scheduled to speak throughout the session — comments could spark volatility across USD pairs. Meanwhile, markets are keeping a close watch on the scheduled House vote to approve temporary government funding and reopen the U.S. government.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Spotting Inefficiencies in an Efficient MarketMarket Efficiency Theory; Core Idea: Stock prices already include and reflect all available information. Implication: It is very difficult (if not impossible) to consistently outperform the market because prices adjust quickly when new information appears. Note: Markets are not perfectly efficient all the time — they can become inefficient in the short term due to emotions, news, or sudden events. ⚙️ Three Forms of Efficiency Weak Form Efficiency All past market prices and data are already reflected in current prices. Therefore, technical analysis (chart patterns, trends) is useless because it can’t predict future prices. Semi-Strong Form Efficiency All public information (both technical and fundamental) is reflected in prices. This means fundamental analysis (using financial statements, news, etc.) is also useless for gaining an edge. Strong Form Efficiency All information, including insider or private information, is already priced in. So, no one can consistently outperform the market — not even insiders. 💡 Why Inefficiencies Exist Markets aren’t perfectly efficient because human behavior and emotions often cause mispricing: Investor emotions — Fear and greed can drive irrational buying or selling. Market sentiment extremes — Overconfidence or panic can push prices too far. Short-term behavioral mistakes — Herd mentality or cognitive biases lead to temporary inefficiencies. 🔍 Finding Inefficiencies Although hard, traders can sometimes find and exploit short-lived inefficiencies: Market sentiment indicators like VIX (volatility index) or put/call ratios signal extremes. Seasonal trading strategies such as “Sell in May” patterns or year-end rallies. Time arbitrage — taking advantage of short-term market overreactions. Exploiting short squeezes when traders betting against a stock are forced to buy back. ⚠️ Difficult Markets for Traders Some markets are naturally harder to trade efficiently: Forex market: Highly competitive with huge volumes and professional players. Commodities market: Often volatile and erratic due to unpredictable factors like weather, geopolitics, or demand shocks. Conclusion: Is it possible to find inefficiencies in the markets? The markets are probably to a certain degree efficient, but we believe you can make good and consistent returns by using the right approach – which is to use empirical and quantified data for short-term strategies and by using common sense. Moreover, we believe the best place to start is in the stock market. The markets are somewhat inefficient because of human folly. This is unlikely to change, which is good for the rational trader and investor. So the correct answer about inefficiencies is this: Yes, it’s possible to find inefficiencies in the markets.
CME:BTC1!Education
by ZACKFX7
Bullish Setups Emerging: Usha Martin and Alicon in Focus🔹 Usha Martin NSE:USHAMART After months of sideways movement, the stock has formed a rounding bottom pattern. It recently broke out and retested its support zone. If momentum continues, the stock could move higher from here. 📈 🔹 Alicon Castalloy NSE:ALICON The stock bounced back strongly from ₹600 after a big correction from ₹1,530. It now trades near the key resistance zone of ₹1,000–₹1,050. Yesterday’s 13% jump with high volume shows strong buying interest. A breakout above this zone could take it closer to previous highs. 🔥 👉 Keep an eye on both — they’re showing promising setups for the next move!
NSE:USHAMARTLong
by GoodluckCapital
Gold Setup You Can’t IgnoreHey everyone, Erik here ! Gold is quietly preparing for its next move. After a strong rally, price didn’t collapse as many expected. Instead, it’s been building a smooth accumulation structure — the classic Cup and Handle that often signals continuation in a healthy uptrend. This setup tells a deeper story about market psychology. Sellers are running out of strength, while buyers keep absorbing every pullback with patience and confidence. Momentum is quietly shifting, and pressure beneath the surface is growing. If a clean breakout confirms this formation, gold could enter its next bullish leg. A move toward 4500 looks not just possible, but reasonable based on the current market structure. Until that confirmation comes, patience remains the key. Waiting for a clear breakout with strong volume helps filter out false signals and keeps you aligned with the dominant trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Erikk_Kraft
2
Bitcoin Market Analysis – October 20, 2025⚡️Welcome back to today’s Bitcoin analysis. The trigger we discussed in the previous update has been activated, and the V-pattern we’ve been talking about throughout the week has finally formed, confirming the expected reversal structure. 🚀As mentioned earlier, the overall trend remains bullish, and once we see a clear stabilization above the 111,000 and 113,000 zones, it will serve as confirmation of our bullish continuation scenario. 📈The 111,000 zone could also provide another entry opportunity for those who missed the long setup around 107,000 — as long as the structure holds and buyers continue to defend this level. 🌕At this stage, it’s important to wait for fundamental confirmation. If the broader market sentiment turns risk-on, Bitcoin could easily push toward new upside targets in the coming sessions. --- > Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM Larry D.Kohn
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DibaPrism
MARA: shoulders done, now walk toward the targetOn the daily chart, MARA completed a textbook inverse Head & Shoulders reversal with a clear breakout above the descending trendline. A corrective pullback followed, and the price is now heading into the key buy zone at 15.21–15.77 - aligning with the 0.72 and 0.79 Fibonacci retracements, and the upper boundary of the broken channel. This is the area to watch for a potential continuation of the bullish impulse. Volume on the breakout was above average, confirming strong buyer interest. The EMAs are trending below the price, supporting the upward structure. The first target is located at 21.57 (previous resistance), with a potential extension to 28.77 (Fibonacci 1.618). Fundamentally, MARA remains highly correlated with BTC and crypto sentiment. As interest returns to crypto-related assets due to ETF flows and possible Fed easing, mining stocks like MARA gain attention. Recent reports also show improved production efficiency and lowered costs - a tailwind for bulls. Tactically, the best setup would be a confirmed reaction from the buy zone — whether a strong candlestick formation, volume surge, or reclaim of a key level. If that happens, aiming for 21.57 and 28.77 becomes a solid plan. The pattern played out - now it's time for the market to walk the talk.
NASDAQ:MARALong
by TotoshkaTrades
3
Home Depot (HD) – Long Setup at Key Support | Spot Trade IdeaHome Depot NYSE:HD has retraced into a crucial support zone between $375 – $380, offering a potential long entry opportunity. This level aligns with prior consolidation and buying interest, and while broader US indices hint at a possible correction, HD is holding this support relatively well. 🔹 Entry Zone: $375 – $380 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $373 (tight, risk-defined) 🔹 Take Profit Levels:  • TP1: $400 – $412  • TP2: $423 – $435 We’re approaching this trade with tight risk management, as market sentiment remains mixed. The setup favors a quick bounce or potential continuation if HD finds strength relative to the S&P 500. Watch volume and price action around the entry zone for confirmation.
NYSE:HDLong
by Richtv_official
Gold 4H Outlook: Weak High FormationCurrent Market Overview Gold has maintained a remarkable bullish run over the past few weeks, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. On the 4-hour chart, the structure remains intact with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) confirmations along the way, highlighting the strength of the ongoing uptrend. At the time of writing, price is hovering around $3,880, just beneath a recently marked weak high. This position is critical because it represents a zone where liquidity is likely sitting, and traders will be closely monitoring whether price can sustain above this level or if a retracement unfolds first. The prevailing bullish sentiment is further reinforced by the alignment of moving averages. The short-term exponential moving averages are comfortably above the medium- and long-term averages, confirming that momentum remains on the buyers’ side. Key Technical Levels Immediate Resistance (Weak High Zone): $3,880 – $3,885 Demand Zone 1: $3,794 – $3,800 Demand Zone 2: $3,726 – $3,735 Deeper Support Zone: Around $3,585 These zones are likely to act as reaction points if gold retraces in the short term. A break below $3,726 could open the door to deeper corrections, while sustained buying above $3,880 may trigger further upside momentum. Price Structure and Liquidity The consistent BOS patterns indicate that buyers have been in strong control. However, the “weak high” now visible on the chart raises questions. Typically, a weak high suggests that the move lacks conviction or liquidity above that level has not yet been taken out. In practice, this often leads to price manipulation or a liquidity sweep, where the market briefly spikes above the high to trigger stop-loss orders before a larger move in either direction. As Justin Grossbard from CompareForexBrokers pointed out: “When price forms a weak high in a strong trend, it often indicates liquidity above that level, which can be taken out before any real reversal begins.” This perspective adds weight to the possibility that gold might attempt to push slightly higher to clear out liquidity before experiencing a deeper retracement. RSI and Momentum Signals The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits near the 65 level, not yet in extreme overbought territory but certainly closer to the upper range. This suggests that while momentum remains bullish, the risk of short-term exhaustion is present. If RSI begins to diverge while price continues higher, it could provide an early signal of weakening momentum. Until such divergence occurs, however, traders should remain cautious about prematurely calling a top in this market. Possible Scenarios 1. Bullish Continuation (Liquidity Grab Above $3,880) The first scenario sees price pushing beyond the weak high near $3,880–$3,885 to take out liquidity. If buyers manage to sustain above this zone, the bullish trend could extend toward higher targets, potentially reaching the psychological round numbers near $3,900 and beyond. 2. Retracement Into Demand Zones If price fails to hold above $3,880, the market may retrace into the identified demand zones. The first notable zone sits around $3,794, followed by a stronger support near $3,726. These areas could attract buyers looking for discounted entries in line with the dominant trend. 3. Deeper Correction Toward $3,585 Should momentum weaken further, gold may test the deeper support zone around $3,585. This would represent a more significant correction but would still keep the long-term structure intact, given the strong rally that preceded it. Broader Market Context The strong rally in gold reflects not only technical buying but also broader market sentiment. Gold typically benefits during periods of uncertainty, and the current global economic environment has provided ample fuel for safe-haven demand. At the same time, rising commodity prices and central bank policies remain key drivers. The U.S. dollar’s fluctuations and expectations for interest rates will likely influence the next leg of gold’s movement. Traders should therefore monitor not only technical structures but also fundamental events that can shift momentum quickly. Strategic Outlook From a strategic standpoint, the market offers opportunities on both sides depending on price action around the weak high. For intraday traders: Watching liquidity around $3,880 will be critical. A breakout and retest could provide continuation setups, while rejection may open opportunities for short-term pullbacks. For swing traders: Demand zones around $3,794 and $3,726 offer potential long entries in line with the broader trend. Risk management remains crucial given the possibility of deeper retracements. For long-term investors: The overall trend remains bullish, and pullbacks into stronger support areas could be viewed as accumulation opportunities rather than reversal signals. Conclusion Gold remains firmly in an uptrend, with bullish structure intact across the 4H timeframe. However, the presence of a weak high at $3,880 introduces the potential for a short-term liquidity grab before any meaningful retracement occurs. Demand zones below offer solid reaction points where buyers may step back in. As highlighted by Justin Grossbard from CompareForexBrokers, liquidity hunts are common in strong trends and should be considered when evaluating potential breakout or pullback scenarios. 📌 Final Note: Traders should remain patient and disciplined, waiting for clear confirmations around the $3,880 zone or the lower demand areas before committing to new positions. The path of least resistance remains upward, but short-term volatility could provide both risks and opportunities.
TVC:GOLD
by Grace-Miller
Master Horizontal Lines on Trading Charts | Signal & Structure 2In this second episode of the Signal and Structure series, we dive deep into one of the most fundamental yet powerful tools in technical analysis - horizontal support and resistance lines. This practical tutorial demonstrates a systematic approach to identifying and marking key price levels across multiple timeframes. What You'll Learn: Color-Coded Line System for Multiple Timeframes: Monthly (Black, thickness 4) - The strongest levels from monthly candle closes Weekly (Maroon/Brown, thickness 3) - Key weekly support/resistance zones 2-Day (Red, thickness 2) - Intermediate term levels 12-Hour (Orange, thickness 1-2) - Short-term trading levels 3-Hour (Yellow, thickness 1) - Day trading reference points Key Concepts Covered: Why monthly candle closes often matter more than wicks (with live examples) How previous resistance becomes new support - demonstrated on Bitcoin's chart Identifying distribution and accumulation ranges using horizontal levels The importance of avoiding chart clutter - when NOT to add more lines Using transparent candles to see through to your levels and indicators Practical Techniques: Live demonstration on TradingView using Bitcoin/USD charts How to identify the most significant levels from each timeframe Creating "boxes" to visualize trading ranges and distribution zones Brief introduction to Wyckoff theory concepts (spring patterns) Tips for maintaining clarity when working with multiple overlapping levels Chart Setup Tips: Why exchange charts (KuCoin, Gate.io) provide better volume data than index charts Continuing emphasis on logarithmic scale for crypto analysis How to organize your workspace for multi-timeframe analysis This 20-minute tutorial walks you through the exact process of building a professional-grade support and resistance framework on your charts. The presenter demonstrates each concept in real-time on TradingView, making it easy to follow along and implement these techniques immediately. Perfect for traders who want to move beyond random line drawing and develop a systematic, color-coded approach to identifying key market levels. Whether you're scalping on the 3-hour or position trading on the monthly, this hierarchical system helps you see exactly where the important levels are at a glance. Next episode preview: Diagonal trend lines, channels, and Fibonacci levels - including a unique approach to stacking channels that provides an edge in the markets.
Education
by StructureAndSignal