The bond market is the primary capital-raising marketplace. Market participants issue new debt or buy and sell debt securities in the secondary market. Bonds, notes, and bills are tools for public and private expenditures. Since the US is the world’s leading economy, the market for US government bonds is massive. The long-bond or 30-Year Treasury is a barometer...
Hello,Traders! The fears of inflation are now the reality, with the official FED number showing that inflation went from 1.6% in 2020 to 4.2% in April 2021, which means that the situation "on the ground" is even worse. Even just by looking at the charts of lumber, copper, and other commodities, while finding out that all the cars in your local dealership are...
The printing clown show continues. On lookout for Hyper Inflation in scarcity plays (profit generators today not 10 years from now sillies). Those overvalued hyped names of the past decade will come down hard (no profits in sight for next decade). #investingainteasy #epiceconomics
Watch the key treasury yield events on Wednesday and Thursday, might cause macro movements for Bitcoin price.
Looks like the craze over high interest rates is coming to a congestion zone. If you go back to 2019, there were hella buyers at $135. I think we are getting to the point where such high interest rates, while the stock market is still skyrocketing, and yet the global economy has not recovered; or said better, investors are in denial. When interest rates are low,...
Looks to me like rates will continue to go up. The question is how far...
There are several fundamental views towards our 3 week DXY surge and its future. Here are my personal views that I deem logical regardless of the play out. I have mentioned recently that these economic relief packages are a form of inflation hence why we see the likes of gold and cryptos surging during times of stimulus relief. While Gold is set for another week...
US Treasury Bonds (ZB1! or TLT) are nearing some very sensitive + bullish zones on the weekly chart. Here's one way this can play out in next few weeks!
LDLC got a bad net treasury last year, they have more selling orders than buying orders, 2nd lockdown is rudely affecting France and people will have no money for Christmas to buy on LDLC.
New Fed policy will allow inflation to run above its 2% target. To achieve higher inflation the Fed is is expected to hold short-term rates very low for a long time. A sudden steepening of the yield curve after an inversion almost always coincides with recession. Aggressive expansion of the money supply through fiscal and Fed policy has led to concerns of...
We have a good probability: the market will keep going up and to buy, Stop loss : 139'10'5 Take profit: 139'16'5 If i find the time i will make another analysis just after achieving my Target
Probability: 65% The market may keep going down. im not familiar with indicators in this plateform, so follow the instructions below. Yellow Line: ! You can use it = Take profit if the candle cut the line with force then u can sell and wait until the next orange line and take profit. if the candle cut the orange line, u can choose ur new TP.
Probability: 65% the market will keep going up next hours Green line: Take profit If the candle cut the green line with force, u can consider the blue line as a TP => if not just take profit. sorry im not familiar with indicators&symbol here( im new here)
We booked some nice profit from the Buy Position and went out at Breakeven. When price reversed, the Sell position is activated, and as you see we are in very deep profit right now. Congratulations to everyone.
This will be interesting to keep an eye on over the coming years. If the ending triangle is a wave C diagonal, then it would signal the end of the down-trend in yields over the past 23+ years. Zero fundamental analysis was conducted, but it would seem there is upward pressure on yields at a time that 10 year T bonds is in a corrective phase - down 12+% from 2012...
BOND MARKETS SAVANTS CLAIM THAT THE DEEPER THE YIELD-CURVE INVERSION, THE DEEPER THE RECESSION! HOWEVER, VISIBLE INVERSIONS HAVE BEEN INCREASINGLY SHALLOW WHILE FOLLOWING RECESSIONS HAVE BEEN INCREASINGLY SEVERE, CULMINATING IN THE 2008 GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS! BY THIS LOGIC, WILL THIS RECESSION BE MORE SEVERE THAN 2008?
Dynamic Yield curve of interest rates Us treasury 10 Years - Yield curve of Us Treasury 2 Years , that's it a leading indicator for recession , anticipates change trend of Index Stocks Market