Trendline Break Retests: The Setup Nobody Talks AboutHello, Traders! 😎
It’s one of crypto's most overlooked yet commonly recurring structures: the trendline break and retest.
You’ve probably seen it without even realizing it. A clean trendline gets broken, price pulls away, and then, quietly, almost politely, comes back to “kiss” the line before taking off again. Or dropping.
That’s the retest. And in the chaotic crypto world, where hype often drowns out structure, this simple behavior deserves more attention.
🔍 First, What Is a Trendline Really?
A crypto trendline connects key highs or lows on a chart, not to predict the future, but to help visualize the mean price trendline: the market's directional bias. In rising markets, we draw support lines connecting higher lows. In falling markets, resistance lines link lower highs.
Learning how to draw trendlines in crypto properly is a skill in itself. Use wicks or closes? Log scale or linear? Everyone has a method, but consistency is key. If you’re unsure, zoom out and let the chart speak first. But once that line is broken, something changes.
🧠 Why Breaks (Alone) Are Not Enough
In theory, a break of the trendline means momentum has shifted. But in practice? Breaks happen all the time in crypto; many are fakeouts or short-lived. That’s where the trendline break and retest come in. It’s the market asking: “Are we done with this trend?”
Retests often create the cleanest entries for trend continuation, not because they guarantee success, but because they offer structure. They provide a technical “moment of truth” when buyers or sellers show their true strength. And if the retest holds? The move that follows tends to be more confident and less noisy.
📐 Trendline Break & Retest: Mapping the Larger Structure
Looking across the full BTC/USDT weekly chart, several major shifts can be framed through the lens of trendline crypto behavior, particularly the classic sequence of break → retest → continuation.
🔻 2021–2022: Macro Breakdown
After the bull run to ~$69K in 2021, Bitcoin started forming a descending series of lower highs, which gave rise to a macro-level downward trendline — a key reference point for many traders at the time.
🔴 Upper Zone: Failed Retest Cluster
The upper horizontal band (~$47K–$52K) highlights a zone where BTC repeatedly attempted to reclaim the broken structure. Each time the price rallied into this region, sellers stepped in, forming local highs and multiple failed retests (marked with red circles). This wasn’t just resistance — it was a battleground where buyers tried to flip the trend… and couldn’t. This behavior often signals a trendline break rejection, where the market tests the underside of prior structure, then resumes the existing trend.
🔴 Lower Zone: Breakdown and Retest That Held
The lower zone (~$28K–$32K) was formerly a strong support area during mid-2021. Once it was broken in early 2022, the price returned to retest from below, failing to reclaim it, confirming it had turned into resistance. This is a textbook example of trendline retest turned supply, and after the failed reclaim, BTC slid further into the ~$16K range.
✂️ Late 2023: The Breakout
In late 2023, BTC finally broke above the descending trendline, confirming a long-term shift in momentum. Importantly, this wasn’t just a clean breakout. The market returned shortly after to retest the broken trendline, around the $42K–46K range, forming a consolidation zone.
🟩 And Then Came the Retest from Above
Let’s fast-forward to early 2024. After months of chop, Bitcoin finally breaks through that upper red zone (the same one that previously acted as resistance and rejection city). But here’s the part many miss:
It didn’t just moon.
It came back.
Look closely at the green zone around ~$46K–$48K, the same area where BTC got rejected multiple times in 2021–2022. And now? Price pulls back, taps that level from above, and holds.
That makes this zone so interesting: 👉 It’s a classic “retest from the other side”, where former resistance becomes support. The market is saying: “This level matters. Let’s make sure it holds before we go further.” It’s a quiet confirmation and a great example of how crypto trendlines and price memory shape behavior, even months or years later.
🪞 It’s Not Just About Lines — It’s About Psychology
Why does this pattern repeat?
Because breakouts are emotional.
They create FOMO. Traders rush in. Then the market pauses, tests your conviction, and shakes out the impatient.
Retests act like a filter.
They flush out the noise — and confirm who’s really in control.
That’s why drawing trendlines in crypto isn’t just about geometry. It’s about crowd behavior. When enough traders see the same line, and price respects it after the break, it becomes a self-fulfilling zone of interest.
🧭 A Word of Caution
This isn’t a secret formula. Not every trendline crypto setup will play out cleanly.
SOME BREAKS NEVER RETEST.
SOME RETESTS FAKE YOU OUT.
AND SOMETIMES, THE LINE YOU DREW ISN’T THE ONE THE MARKET IS ACTUALLY WATCHING.
But if you learn to draw trendlines in crypto clearly, stay patient, and observe the trendline break retest behavior, you’ll begin to see this pattern appear again and again. Quietly. Consistently.
It won’t make the headlines like “BTC Hits 100K,” but it might just tell the story behind that move. This is just one example. In reality, charts are full of these zones. Each one tells a part of the story. And honestly, why not listen?
Trend Line Break
How to determine trend line in trading?Determining a trend line in trading is a fundamental skill used to identify the direction and strength of a price trend. Here's a step-by-step guide to drawing and interpreting trend lines:
1. Understand the Basics of a Trend Line
A trend line is a straight line that connects two or more price points on a chart, extending into the future to act as a line of support or resistance.
Uptrend Line: Connects higher lows in an upward trend (acts as support).
Downtrend Line: Connects lower highs in a downward trend (acts as resistance).
Sideways/Ranging Market: Price moves horizontally, and trend lines may not be as effective.
2. Identify Key Price Points
For an uptrend, identify at least two higher lows (swing lows) and draw a line connecting them.
For a downtrend, identify at least two lower highs (swing highs) and draw a line connecting them.
The more times the price touches the trend line without breaking it, the stronger and more valid the trend line is.
3. Draw the Trend Line
Use a charting platform to draw the line manually.
Connect the swing lows for an uptrend or swing highs for a downtrend.
Ensure the line is not too steep or too flat; it should reflect the natural slope of the price movement.
4. Validate the Trend Line
A valid trend line should be touched by price at least three times. The more touches, the more reliable the trend line.
If the price breaks the trend line significantly, it may indicate a potential trend reversal or weakening of the current trend.
5. Use Trend Lines for Analysis
Support/Resistance: In an uptrend, the trend line acts as support. In a downtrend, it acts as resistance.
Breakouts: A break below an uptrend line or above a downtrend line may signal a trend reversal or continuation, depending on the context.
Trend Strength: A steep trend line may indicate a strong trend, while a shallow one may suggest a weaker trend.
6. Combine with Other Tools
Use trend lines in conjunction with other technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD) to confirm trends and potential entry/exit points.
Look for volume confirmation: Increased volume during a breakout or bounce off the trend line adds validity to the signal.
7. Adjust as Needed
Trend lines are not static. As new price data comes in, you may need to redraw or adjust the trend line to reflect the current market conditions.
Example:
BTC has touched the line that I've drawn multiple time so It is a reliable Bullish Trend line. The next Possible connection can be around 93.5k! the line also acts as a support.
By mastering trend lines, you can better identify potential trading opportunities and manage risk effectively. Always practice on historical data and use proper risk management techniques.
Bollinger Bands — Enhanced Classic Tool for Technical AnalysisBollinger Bands — Enhanced Classic Tool for Technical Analysis
Bollinger Bands are a classic technical analysis tool designed to identify short-term trends and gauge market volatility. We’ve upgraded their functionality to make them even more intuitive and precise for trading decisions.
What’s New in Our Bollinger Bands:
Color-Coded Trend Identification
The band color automatically shifts with short-term trend reversals. This allows traders to quickly spot trend direction and decide when to enter trades.
Band Width
Reflects current volatility levels and price momentum. Narrow bands signal consolidation (accumulation/distribution), while wide bands indicate high volatility and potential trend initiation.
Dynamic Support & Resistance Levels
The outer bands, calculated as standard deviations from the moving average, act as dynamic reference points for entry and exit levels.
Gradient Zones
The bands are divided into four gradient zones, highlighting optimal areas for position sizing. Buy near the lower zones, sell near the upper zones—simple yet effective.
How to Use Bollinger Bands in Trading:
1. Identify Short-Term Trends
Bullish Trend: Green bands signal a bullish market.
Bearish Trend: Red bands indicate bearish sentiment.
2. Assess Volatility & Choose Strategies
Wide Bands: High volatility, strong trend initiation. Consider breakout strategies.
Medium Bands: Range-bound markets. Trade bounces from band boundaries.
Narrow Bands: Consolidation (accumulation/distribution), often preceding strong price impulses.
Pro Tip: A sharp band contraction often precedes explosive price movements.
Volatility Assessment Examples
High Volatility + Trend:
Wide band expansion signals a strong bullish trend (green bands).
Medium Volatility + Range:
Moderate band width and frequent color shifts suggest choppy markets—ideal for boundary bounce trades.
Low Volatility + Breakouts:
A narrow band breakout (green bands) confirms a strong bullish impulse.
Trading Bounces from Band Boundaries
Prices tend to revert to the moving average (midline). This makes Bollinger Bands a powerful tool for swing traders:
Lower Band (Support): Oversold zone—consider long positions.
Upper Band (Resistance): Overbought zone—consider short positions.
Bounce trades work best in sideways markets or unclear trends. Avoid bounce strategies during band expansion (new trend formation).
Example Trades
Short on Upper Band Rejection:
Price stalls at the upper band in a bearish macro trend, offering a high-probability short entry.
Long on Lower Band Rebound:
Price bounces from the lower band in a bullish macro trend, confirming a long opportunity.
Additional Confirmation Tips
Combine Bollinger Bounce signals with:
Midas Multi-Indicator: Whale activity detection, trend ribbon reversals.
Oscillator Overextension: RSI, Stochastic, or MACD divergence.
Price Momentum: Volume spikes or candlestick patterns.
Refine entries by aligning band signals with broader market context and multi-timeframe analysis.
Chart Patterns Within Patterns: A Guide to Nested Setups Daily Chart Analysis:
Pattern Overview:
The daily chart shows an Ascending Channel formation, which generally indicates a bullish trend but can also signal a potential reversal if the upper trendline acts as strong resistance.
Within the ascending channel, there are continuation patterns such as smaller bull flags, which suggest bullish momentum continuation.
Key Resistance and Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
The upper trendline of the ascending channel aligns closely with the recent highs around the $2,530 - $2,540 region, creating a significant resistance area.
The 1-Hour Liquidity Zone (LQZ) at $2,486.793 is marked below the current price, indicating potential areas where price might retest before any significant upward or downward move.
Potential Reversal Signal:
The upper boundary of the ascending channel has recently been tested multiple times, and each time, there has been a slight pullback, indicating selling pressure. This could be a precursor to a possible reversal if this level is not broken with conviction.
4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Nesting Patterns:
The 4-hour chart also reveals several nested patterns within the broader ascending channel, including smaller bull flags and a potential double-top pattern forming at the resistance zone.
The price action is consolidating below the resistance line at $2,530.750, creating a possible Double Top scenario, which could indicate a bearish reversal if confirmed by a breakdown below the neckline support.
Impulse and Correction Phases:
The recent impulsive moves upwards have been followed by corrective pullbacks, which have been forming higher lows, reinforcing the bullish bias in the medium term.
However, the proximity to the resistance and the potential double-top formation might signal caution for long positions.
1-Hour and 15-Minute Chart Analysis:
Short-Term Structure:
The 1-hour chart shows a more detailed view of the recent consolidation phase near the key resistance level. There are signs of weakening momentum as prices approach the upper trendline.
The 15-minute chart further shows a tightening range and potential bear flag or a descending channel, which could indicate a short-term bearish continuation if the lower trendline of this smaller pattern breaks.
Critical Levels:
The support level around $2,486.793 (1HR LQZ) is critical for intraday trading. A break below this could lead to a sharper correction towards the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the daily chart.
For bullish continuation, a clear break above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance with strong volume would be needed to confirm further upside potential.
Trading Strategy and Recommendations:
Bullish Scenario:
Look for a strong breakout above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance on the daily chart, accompanied by increased volume and a break above the smaller continuation patterns (flags) on the lower timeframes.
Enter on a reduced risk entry after a pullback to the breakout level, with stops placed below the recent consolidation range or the 1-Hour LQZ.
Bearish Scenario:
Watch for a confirmed Double Top breakdown on the 4-hour chart, with a clear break below the neckline support around $2,486.793.
Consider short positions on the break of the neckline or after a retest of the breakdown level, with stops placed above the recent highs or the upper boundary of the descending channel on the 15-minute chart.
Risk Management:
Given the proximity to a key resistance level and the potential for a reversal, it is crucial to manage risk carefully. Use tight stops and consider reducing position size until a clear directional move is confirmed.
Revealing My Top Gold Trading Secrets for Huge Profits!In this video, I reveal my top trading secrets for making huge profits in gold trading (XAU/USD). This educational content will cover key technical analysis techniques and strategies that I frequently use in my charts, as well as valuable insights into trading mindset and proper risk management. Let's unlock the potential of your trading skills together!
Technical Approach:
In this educational segment, we'll focus on the core technical analysis principles that I use to make informed trading decisions. Here's a detailed breakdown of my approach:
Identifying the Trend:
Uptrends and Downtrends: Learn how to recognize market trends using higher highs and higher lows for uptrends, and lower highs and lower lows for downtrends.
Trendlines: Use trendlines to connect the highs and lows of price movements, helping to identify the direction of the trend and potential reversal points.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: Identify areas where the price tends to find support as it falls, acting as a floor preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Identify areas where the price tends to find resistance as it rises, acting as a ceiling preventing further ascent.
Historical Price Action: Use past price movements to pinpoint key support and resistance levels that the market respects.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
Definition: Liquidity zones are areas on the chart where there is a high concentration of trading activity, often leading to significant price movements.
Identification: Learn how to spot these zones using volume profiles, order flow analysis, and historical price action.
Trading Strategy: Use liquidity zones to identify potential entry and exit points, as they often precede major price moves.
Volume Analysis:
Volume Spikes: Understand how volume spikes can indicate strong buying or selling interest, confirming the validity of price movements.
Volume Trends: Analyze volume trends to gauge the strength of a price trend and anticipate potential reversals.
Entry and Stop Loss Strategies:
Breakouts and Pullbacks: Enter trades on confirmed breakouts above resistance or below support, or on pullbacks to key levels within a trend.
Trailing Stop Loss: Implement a trailing stop loss to lock in profits as the trade moves in your favor, adjusting the stop loss level as the price progresses.
Mini Lessons: Mindset:
Patience and Discipline:
Patience: Wait for the right trading setups that meet your criteria, avoiding impulsive decisions.
Discipline: Stick to your trading plan and rules, even when the market becomes volatile or unpredictable.
Emotional Control:
Stay Calm: Keep your emotions in check to avoid making irrational decisions based on fear or greed.
Mindfulness: Practice mindfulness techniques to remain focused and calm, especially during stressful trading situations.
Proper Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
Risk Per Trade: Limit the amount of capital you risk on any single trade, typically 1-2% of your trading account.
Position Size Calculation: Calculate your position size based on the distance to your stop loss and your risk tolerance.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Target Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 2:1, meaning your potential profit should be at least twice your potential loss.
Trade Evaluation: Evaluate each trade based on its risk-reward ratio before entering, ensuring it aligns with your trading strategy.
By incorporating these technical strategies and mindset principles, you can enhance your trading performance and increase your chances of success in the gold market. Stay tuned for more educational content and trading insights!
Trade the TREND with 4 Trend Indicators4 Trend Indicators you can use to identify the current MACRO Trend.
It's always important to know where your market is currently trading. Is it bullish, bearish, or range trading? If you have established the trend, you can trade with the trend instead of against it. Trading against the trend ( for example shorting during a bullish cycle ) adds unnecessary risk to an already risky trade (leverage).
1) Bollinger Bands
2) Logarithmic View
3) Super Trend
4) Moving Averages + RSI
Let me know how YOU determine the macro trend!
_________________________
BINANCE:DOGEUSDT MEXC:ETHUSDT KRAKEN:BTCUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD
SWING TUTORIAL - EMAMILTDThe stock had found a Resistance zone @ 602 during Aug 2021 and had started a Lower Low Pattern ever since.
Eventually finding its Support Zone @ 360 during Mar 2023 after 1 Year and 7 Months.
At this point notice that the Lower Low Pattern in the Price Action, however MACD slightly started showing a Higher Low formation. Hence the Convergence Divergence indicating a good move upward and also the 1st confirmation upward.
Finally in July the stock showed its 2nd confirmation once it successfully exited the Lower Low Pattern Trendline with a massive huge green candle.
Thus giving us our 1st Entry point at this stage which took the stock as close to the previous Resistance zone @ 602 and a safe exit as High as 31% for the Trade as well.
Another cool thing to note here is the Stock also retested the same breakout zone and the MACD as well was making a new Crossover, thus indicating another fresh Entry into the stock.
This trade had eventually broken the 4 Year Resistance zone @ 602 with a large volume and taking the stock as High as 67% in returns as of today.
What do you think about this Tutorial? Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
SWING TUTORIAL - DIVISLABWatch how the stock was on a continuous Lower Low Patter and formed a Lower Low Trendline.
Simultaneously, there was also a formation of Convergence Divergence indicating an upward move.
Stock also broke out of the trendline with a strong green candle.
While the MACD Cross indicated a good entry after the Convergence Divergence, the breakout from the Trendline later indicated a confirmation for a move upward.
Coincidently, the stock also made a new Support zone at 3299 after a strong breakout from trendline.
Another MACD cross has also successfully happened in the last few weeks.
Do you think the stock can reach its All Time High again?
Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
Mastering Trendlines: Navigating Bitcoin's VolatilityMastering Trendlines: Navigating Bitcoin's Volatility
In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin stands as the pioneer, leading the charge in digital finance. However, its notorious price volatility can be a double-edged sword for traders and investors alike. To navigate these turbulent waters, one of the most effective tools at your disposal is the trendline. This simple, yet powerful technique in technical analysis can be your compass in the vast ocean of digital currency trading. Let's dive into the essence of trendlines and how you can use them to your advantage with Bitcoin.
Understanding Trendlines
At their core, trendlines are straight lines drawn on price charts to connect a series of prices. By identifying the direction and slope of these lines, traders can discern potential market trends, be they upward, downward, or sideways. The magic of trendlines lies in their simplicity and the profound insights they offer into market psychology and momentum.
Types of Trendlines
Uptrend Line : This bullish line connects a series of higher lows, indicating a growing demand for Bitcoin as traders are willing to buy at increasingly higher prices.
Downtrend Line : In contrast, this bearish line connects a series of lower highs, signaling a selling pressure on Bitcoin as traders are inclined to sell off their holdings at progressively lower prices.
Example of Uptrend
The Power of Support and Resistance
Trendlines can also highlight critical levels of support and resistance:
Support Trendlines suggest areas where prices find a floor, bouncing off these levels rather than breaking through them. For Bitcoin, a strong support trendline can indicate a good buying opportunity.
Resistance Trendlines point to ceilings where prices tend to peak and reverse. For traders, a resistance trendline nearing breach could signal a potential sell or a strategic point to go short.
Applying Trendlines to Bitcoin Trading
Bitcoin's price movements, marked by sharp rallies and corrections, make it a prime candidate for trendline analysis. Here's how to effectively apply this technique to Bitcoin trading:
Drawing Trendlines
Identify the Trend: Begin by observing Bitcoin's chart to determine the overall trend direction. Is it moving upwards, downwards, or sideways?
Select Key Points: For an uptrend, select the lowest lows; for a downtrend, pick the highest highs. These points will be the anchors of your trendline.
Draw the Line: Connect at least two key points with a straight line. The more points a trendline touches without breaking, the stronger it is considered.
Trading Strategies
Buying on Support: When Bitcoin's price approaches an uptrend line without breaking below it, consider this a potential buying opportunity. It suggests that the price is likely to bounce off the support and continue its ascent.
Example of buying at support
Selling on Resistance: Conversely, if Bitcoin's price nears a downtrend line but fails to break above, it might be time to sell or short, anticipating a price reversal.
Breakouts and Breakdowns: A price break through a trendline can signal a significant shift in market sentiment. A breakout above a downtrend line might indicate a bullish reversal, while a breakdown below an uptrend line could hint at bearish developments.
Advanced Tips
Volume Confirmation: Always look for volume confirmation when a trendline is broken. A breakout with high volume is more likely to signify a genuine shift in trend.
Combine with Other Indicators: For more robust analysis, use trendlines in conjunction with other technical indicators, such as moving averages or the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
Conclusion
Trendlines are a testament to the principle that simplicity often prevails in the complex world of trading. For Bitcoin enthusiasts, mastering this tool can enhance your ability to predict price movements and make informed decisions in the face of volatility. Remember, while trendlines provide valuable insights, they're most effective when used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, combining technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and sound risk management practices. Embrace the power of trendlines, and let them guide you through the dynamic landscape of Bitcoin trading.
Mastering Trend Analysis in Crypto Trading: Tutorial !Unveiling the Art of Trend Analysis in Bitcoin Trading
Welcome to a comprehensive guide that will empower you with the skills to master trend analysis in Bitcoin trading. In this extensive tutorial, we'll explore every nuance of identifying trendlines, understanding structural points, and navigating the complexities of different market scenarios. Illustrated with practical examples and annotated charts, you'll gain insights into distinguishing between ranging markets and trending channels, and how significant breakouts and confirmations signal trend changes.
Deciphering Trendlines and Structural Points
1.1 Defining Trendlines:
Delve into the essence of trendlines and their crucial role in technical analysis.
Understand the significance of structural points: higher lows, higher highs, lower highs, and lower lows.
1.2 Identifying Trends in Bitcoin:
Analyze Bitcoin price charts to identify structural points that signify the emergence of upward or downward trends.
Explore examples of higher highs and higher lows in bullish trends and lower highs and lower lows in bearish trends.
Ranging Markets - When Trading Takes a Pause
2.1 Recognizing Ranging Conditions:
Differentiate between trending and ranging markets, highlighting the characteristics of sideways price action.
Emphasize the challenges and importance of patience during range-bound periods.
2.2 Analyzing Range-Bound Bitcoin:
Illustrate Bitcoin charts during ranging conditions, showcasing the absence of defined higher highs or lower lows.
Discuss strategies for navigating range-bound markets and waiting for clear trend signals.
Section 3: Trading Channels - Dynamic Play of Bulls and Bears
3.1 Understanding Channel Dynamics:
Introduce channels as a distinct form of trending, encompassing upward (ascending) and downward (descending) trends.
Explore how channels create dynamic opportunities for traders.
3.2 Decoding Channel Breakouts:
Explore Bitcoin charts in ascending and descending channels, emphasizing the significance of breakout points.
Discuss how trend changes are confirmed only after a sustained breakout and closure beyond a trendline.
Section 4: Putting Knowledge into Action - Real-Life Examples
4.1 Example 1: Trading Higher Highs in a Bullish Trend:
Dive into a specific Bitcoin chart showcasing a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Discuss potential trading strategies aligned with the bullish trend structure.
4.2 Example 2: Navigating Lower Lows in a Bearish Downtrend:
Analyze a bearish trend scenario with lower highs and lower lows, emphasizing risk management strategies.
Discuss the psychological aspects of trading during downtrends.
4.3 Example 3: Channel Trading and Spotting Breakouts:
Examine a Bitcoin chart illustrating a channel, showcasing the dynamics of trading within the channel.
Discuss breakout scenarios and how to discern a genuine trend reversal.
Conclusion: Mastering the Art and Science of Bitcoin Trend Analysis
As you conclude this comprehensive journey through Bitcoin trend analysis, remember that expertise in this domain is a continual process. Regularly reassess your technical skills, stay attuned to market dynamics, and apply these principles with flexibility. Whether you're navigating ranging markets or identifying breakout points within channels, understanding trendlines is your compass in the vast landscape of cryptocurrency trading.
💡 Building a Solid Foundation | 📈 Trendlines Unveiled | 🔄 Navigating Ranges | 🚀 Channel Breakouts Decoded
💬 Join the conversation: Share your experiences in trend analysis, ask questions, and connect with a community dedicated to honing their Bitcoin trading skills. 🌐✨
Managing Positions with Parallel ChannelVideo tutorial:
• How to identify downtrend and uptrend line
• How to draw parallel channel correctly
• Confirming a change in trend (using trendline itself)
• Managing positions with parallel lines
- Profits
- Risks
- Knowing its volatility
Micro Natural Gas Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation
0.001 per MMBtu = $1.00
Code: MNG
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Drawing Trendlines: A Practical GuideMastering technical analysis is essential for any trader. One powerful tool that every trader use is the trendline . Let's delve into the intricacies of trendlines, their role in predicting market sentiment, and how traders can utilize them to make informed decisions.
Understanding Trendlines
Defining Trends:
Trendlines serve as invaluable tools to identify and define trends in an asset's price. Whether it's an uptrend or downtrend , these lines act as visual aids on candlestick charts, providing insights into market direction and serving as support or resistance.
Trendline Analysis:
The peaks and troughs of trendlines signify essential support and resistance levels. Support , situated below the current market price, indicates a potential halt in a downtrend, with buying interest overcoming selling pressure. Conversely, resistance , above the market price, suggests a potential reversal in an uptrend.
Steps for Drawing Trendlines:
1. Open a trading chart and access the 'draw tools' tab.
2. Add trendlines to your charts, considering support, resistance, and trend direction.
3. Study price charts to identify trends and determine entry and exit points.
4. Execute trades using stop-loss and take-profit orders to manage risk effectively.
Trendline Channels
Introducing Channels:
Channels are formed when an asset's price moves consistently between two parallel trendlines. These upper and lower trendlines, connecting swing highs and lows, provide a more nuanced view than single trendlines, showcasing both support and resistance levels.
Rules for Trendlines and Channels:
- Declines approaching an uptrend line or rises approaching a downtrend line can present opportunities to initiate positions.
- Penetration of an uptrend line , especially on a closing basis, signals a sell, while penetration of a downtrend line signals a buy.
Trendline Breakout Strategy
Identifying Breakouts:
Breakouts within a trend are crucial events. A breakout above or below a trendline suggests a potential change in trend direction. Traders keen on spotting breakouts can capitalize on new trends by initiating buy or sell positions.
Trendline Breakout Example:
A downtrend , highlighted by a trendline, comes to an end with a break in the trendline. Traders who spot this breakout can anticipate a short-term spike, providing opportunities for profitable trades.
Mastering trendlines is a skill that can significantly enhance a trader's ability to read and navigate financial markets. Whether you're a forex trader or delving into crypto markets, understanding trendlines and their applications is a crucial step toward achieving success in the dynamic realm of trading. Remember, while trendlines are potent, combining them with comprehensive market analysis ensures a well-rounded approach to trading.
Trading 101: The benefits of hard closesIntroduction:
In the world of technical analysis, traders are constantly searching for new and innovative methods to gain an edge in the market. One such technique that has gained popularity in recent years is the use of "hard closes." In this idea, we will delve into what hard closes are, why they are considered superior to conventional crossover methods, and the benefits and practical applications of incorporating hard closes into your trading strategy.
Understanding Hard Closes:
A "hard close" is a unique approach to analyzing price movements in financial markets. Unlike traditional moving average crossovers, which rely on the intersection of two moving averages, hard closes focus on the closing price of an asset. In essence, a hard close is an inflexible criterion that triggers a signal when the closing and opening price of an asset meets specific predetermined conditions.
How to Spot Hard Closes:
Let's say we have a level of resistance, and we are waiting for the price to break out so that we can long it, an up candle must open above the level of resistance, as well as close above it (because it also has to be an up candle). Similarly, if we are looking for a support breakout, we need a down candle to open below the level of support and close as a down candle. Hard closes can be used on both horizontal levels and trendlines.
Why Hard Closes Are Better:
Reduced Noise: Hard closes eliminate a significant amount of noise present in conventional crossover methods. By focusing solely on opening and closing prices, they filter out intra-period fluctuations as well as fakeouts and provide a cleaner and more precise signal.
Benefits of Hard Closes:
Risk Management: By reducing false signals, hard closes help traders make more informed decisions. This, in turn, enhances risk management strategies, preventing traders from entering ill-timed trades.
Versatility: Hard closes can be applied to various assets and timeframes as well as different kinds of levels, making them suitable for day traders, swing traders, and long-term investors alike.
Practical Uses of Hard Closes:
Trend Confirmation: Hard closes can be used to confirm the strength and direction of an existing trend. A bullish hard close, for example, can reinforce the conviction of a bullish trend.
Entry and Exit Points: Traders can employ hard closes to identify precise entry and exit points for their trades. This approach minimizes the guesswork involved in trading decisions.
Filtering Signals: Hard closes can be integrated into existing trading strategies to filter out less reliable signals, enhancing the overall effectiveness of the strategy.
In conclusion, hard closes represent a powerful and innovative approach to technical analysis that offers several advantages over conventional crossover methods. Their ability to reduce noise, improve accuracy, and adapt to different trading styles makes them a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit. Whether you are a seasoned professional or a novice trader, consider exploring the potential of hard closes to enhance your trading strategy and gain a competitive edge in the financial markets.
📈 Fibonacci Power in Uptrends📍 What Are Fibonacci Retracement Levels?
Fibonacci retracement levels—stemming from the Fibonacci sequence—are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to occur.
Each level is associated with a percentage. The percentage is how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. While not officially a Fibonacci ratio, 50% is also used.
The indicator is useful because it can be drawn between any two significant price points, such as a high and a low. The indicator will then create the levels between those two points.
📈 To effectively trade Fibonacci retracements during an uptrend and strategically enter the market during pullbacks, follow these steps:
🔷Identify the uptrend: Determine the presence of a clear upward price movement.
🔷Apply Fibonacci tool: Utilize the Fibonacci retracement tool to identify potential retracement levels within the uptrend.
🔷Focus on pullbacks: Wait for the price to experience a pullback or retracement within the uptrend.
🔷Assess Fibonacci levels: Analyze the price's interaction with key Fibonacci levels, such as the 61.8% or 65% zone, to identify potential support or resistance areas.
🔷Higher highs confirmation: Look for the formation of higher highs after the price touches a Fibonacci level, indicating a continuation of the uptrend.
🔷Entry opportunity: Consider entering the market after a pullback when the price resumes its upward movement, using appropriate risk management strategies.
By combining the power of Fibonacci retracements, recognizing pullbacks in uptrends, and waiting for higher highs, traders can position themselves to capitalize on the potential profit opportunities offered by the market.
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Expert Tips for Successful Stocks, Futures, Fx, Crypto, Trading Price action technical analysis is a popular and effective approach to navigating the financial markets, including stocks, options, futures, Forex, Crypto, and Commodity trading. This article will provide expert tips and insights to help you successfully trade various financial instruments using price action technical analysis. By understanding and applying these concepts, you can improve your trading skills and potentially achieve greater profitability.
1. Understanding Price Action Technical Analysis
Price action technical analysis is a method of analyzing financial markets by focusing on the price movements of assets, rather than relying on indicators or other external factors. This approach is based on the belief that historical price movements can provide valuable insights into future price trends and potential trading opportunities.
Importance of Price Action
Price action is the most direct and real-time reflection of the market's sentiment and the forces driving it. By studying price action, traders can gain a deeper understanding of the market dynamics and make more informed trading decisions. With practice, traders can develop an intuitive sense of the market's behavior, allowing them to quickly adapt to changing conditions and capitalize on opportunities.
Key Concepts in Price Action Technical Analysis
There are several key concepts in price action technical analysis that traders must understand to effectively navigate the markets. These include support, resistance, trend, and fibonacci levels. By mastering these concepts, traders can identify potential entry and exit points, manage risk, and maximize profits.
2. Analyzing Stocks with Price Action Technical Analysis
Stocks are a popular financial instrument for traders, and price action technical analysis can be particularly useful for identifying potential opportunities in this market. By analyzing the price movements of stocks, traders can gain insights into the underlying forces driving the market and make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell.
Identifying Support and Resistance Levels
Support and resistance levels are critical concepts in price action technical analysis. These levels represent psychological barriers where the forces of supply and demand meet. When the price of a stock reaches a support or resistance level, it often experiences a reversal or a consolidation before continuing its trend.
Support
Support is a price level where the stock's downward movement is halted due to the presence of a strong buying interest. When a stock reaches a support level, it is likely to experience a bounce or a temporary pause in its downward trend.
Resistance
Resistance, on the other hand, is a price level where the stock's upward movement is halted due to the presence of strong selling interest. When a stock reaches a resistance level, it is likely to experience a pullback or a temporary pause in its upward trend.
Identifying Trends
Trends are an essential aspect of price action technical analysis, as they provide traders with a directional bias for their trades. A trend is a sustained movement in the price of a stock in a particular direction, either upward (bullish) or downward (bearish).
Uptrends
An uptrend is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the stock's price is consistently rising over time. In an uptrend, traders should generally look for buying opportunities, as the stock is likely to continue its upward trajectory.
Downtrends
A downtrend, on the other hand, is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicating that the stock's price is consistently falling over time. In a downtrend, traders should generally look for selling opportunities, as the stock is likely to continue its downward trajectory.
Using Fibonacci Levels
Fibonacci levels are a powerful tool in price action technical analysis, as they can help traders identify potential support and resistance levels, as well as possible entry and exit points. The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting from 0 and 1. In trading, Fibonacci retracement levels are derived from this sequence and are used to predict potential price reversals.
3. Trading Options with Price Action Technical Analysis
Options are another popular financial instrument for traders, and price action technical analysis can be used to identify potential opportunities in this market as well. By analyzing the price movements of the underlying asset, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell options contracts.
Understanding Options
Options are financial instruments that give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (called the "strike price") on or before a specified expiration date. There are two types of options: call options, which give the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset, and put options, which give the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset.
Analyzing Options with Price Action Technical Analysis
When trading options, price action technical analysis can be used to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as to manage risk. By analyzing the price movements of the underlying asset, traders can gain insights into the market dynamics and make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell options contracts.
Identifying Support and Resistance Levels
As with stocks, support and resistance levels are critical concepts in price action technical analysis for options. By identifying these levels, traders can determine potential entry and exit points for their options trades, as well as manage risk.
Identifying Trends
Trends are also essential when trading options, as they provide traders with a directional bias for their trades. By identifying the trend of the underlying asset, traders can make more informed decisions about which options contracts to buy or sell.
4. Analyzing Futures with Price Action Technical Analysis
Futures are another popular financial instrument for traders, and price action technical analysis can be used to identify potential opportunities in this market as well. By analyzing the price movements of the underlying asset, traders can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit futures positions.
Understanding Futures
Futures are financial contracts that obligate the buyer to purchase an asset (or the seller to sell an asset) at a predetermined future date and price. Futures contracts are standardized and traded on exchanges, allowing traders to speculate on the future price movements of various assets, such as commodities, currencies, and indices.
Analyzing Futures with Price Action Technical Analysis
When trading futures, price action technical analysis can be used to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as to manage risk. By analyzing the price movements of the underlying asset, traders can gain insights into the market dynamics and make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit futures positions.
Identifying Support and Resistance Levels
As with stocks and options, support and resistance levels are critical concepts in price action technical analysis for futures. By identifying these levels, traders can determine potential entry and exit points for their futures trades, as well as manage risk.
Identifying Trends
Trends are also essential when trading futures, as they provide traders with a directional bias for their trades. By identifying the trend of the underlying asset, traders can make more informed decisions about which futures contracts to buy or sell.
5. Trading Forex with Price Action Technical Analysis
Forex, or foreign exchange, is the largest and most liquid financial market in the world, making it a popular choice for traders who want to capitalize on short-term price fluctuations. Price action technical analysis can be particularly useful for forex traders, as it allows them to identify potential trading opportunities based on the movements of currency pairs.
Understanding Forex
The Forex market is where currencies are traded, allowing traders and investors to speculate on the relative value of one currency against another. Forex trading involves the simultaneous buying of one currency and selling of another, with currency pairs representing the value of one currency relative to the other.
Analyzing Forex with Price Action Technical Analysis
When trading forex, price action technical analysis can be used to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as to manage risk. By analyzing the price movements of currency pairs, traders can gain insights into the market dynamics and make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit forex positions.
Identifying Support and Resistance Levels
As with other financial instruments, support and resistance levels are critical concepts in price action technical analysis for forex. By identifying these levels, traders can determine potential entry and exit points for their forex trades, as well as manage risk.
Identifying Trends
Trends are also essential when trading forex, as they provide traders with a directional bias for their trades. By identifying the trend of a currency pair, traders can make more informed decisions about which forex positions to take.
6. Trading Crypto with Price Action Technical Analysis
Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, have gained significant popularity in recent years, offering traders another market to navigate using price action technical analysis. By analyzing the price movements of cryptocurrencies, traders can identify potential trading opportunities and make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit positions.
Understanding Crypto
Cryptocurrencies are digital or virtual currencies that use cryptography for security and operate on a decentralized network, such as a blockchain. These digital assets have gained popularity due to their potential for significant price appreciation, as well as their use as an alternative to traditional currencies.
Analyzing Crypto with Price Action Technical Analysis
When trading cryptocurrencies, price action technical analysis can be used to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as to manage risk. By analyzing the price movements of cryptocurrencies, traders can gain insights into the market dynamics and make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit crypto positions.
Identifying Support and Resistance Levels
As with other financial instruments, support and resistance levels are critical concepts in price action technical analysis for cryptocurrencies. By identifying these levels, traders can determine potential entry and exit points for their crypto trades, as well as manage risk.
Identifying Trends
Trends are also essential when trading cryptocurrencies, as they provide traders with a directional bias for their trades. By identifying the trend of a cryptocurrency, traders can make more informed decisions about which crypto positions to take.
7. Trading Commodities with Price Action Technical Analysis
Commodities, such as gold, oil, and agricultural products, are another popular market for traders who want to utilize price action technical analysis. By analyzing the price movements of commodities, traders can identify potential trading opportunities and make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit positions.
Understanding Commodities
Commodities are basic goods that are either grown, mined, or otherwise produced, and are used as inputs in the production of other goods or services. Commodity markets allow traders and investors to speculate on the future price movements of these goods, as well as hedge against potential price fluctuations.
Analyzing Commodities with Price Action Technical Analysis
When trading commodities, price action technical analysis can be used to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as to manage risk. By analyzing the price movements of commodities, traders can gain insights into the market dynamics and make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit commodity positions.
Identifying Support and Resistance Levels
As with other financial instruments, support and resistance levels are critical concepts in price action technical analysis for commodities. By identifying these levels, traders can determine potential entry and exit points for their commodity trades, as well as manage risk.
Identifying Trends
Trends are also essential when trading commodities, as they provide traders with a directional bias for their trades. By identifying the trend of a commodity, traders can make more informed decisions about which commodity positions to take.
8. Risk Management in Price Action Technical Analysis
Risk management is a crucial aspect of successful trading, regardless of the financial instrument being traded. By employing effective risk management strategies, traders can minimize potential losses and maximize their chances of success.
Setting Stop Losses
One of the most important risk management tools in price action technical analysis is the use of stop losses. A stop loss is an order to close a trade at a predetermined level if the market moves against the trader's position. By setting a stop loss, traders can limit their potential losses and prevent large drawdowns in their trading accounts.
Position Sizing
Another critical aspect of risk management is position sizing, which involves determining the appropriate size of a trade based on the trader's account size and risk tolerance. By using proper position sizing techniques, traders can avoid overexposure to any single trade and maintain a balanced portfolio.
9. Developing a Trading Plan
A successful trading strategy requires a solid trading plan, which outlines the trader's goals, risk tolerance, and specific trading rules. By developing a comprehensive trading plan, traders can maintain discipline and consistency in their trading decisions, leading to improved results over time.
Establishing Trading Goals
The first step in developing a trading plan is to establish clear trading goals, which can include both short-term and long-term objectives. These goals should be realistic, achievable, and aligned with the trader's overall financial objectives.
Defining Risk Tolerance
Another essential aspect of a trading plan is defining the trader's risk tolerance, which involves determining the level of risk the trader is willing to accept in pursuit of their trading goals. By clearly defining their risk tolerance, traders can make more informed decisions about their trading strategies and ensure that they are not taking on excessive risk.
Creating Trading Rules
Finally, a well-developed trading plan should include specific trading rules that govern the trader's actions in the market. These rules should be based on the trader's analysis of price action and other relevant factors and should be consistently followed to ensure discipline and consistency in the trader's decision-making process.
10. Continuous Improvement and Education
Successful trading requires continuous learning and improvement, as the financial markets are constantly evolving and presenting new challenges and opportunities. By staying informed about market developments and continually refining their trading skills, traders can adapt to changing conditions and enhance their overall trading performance.
Reviewing and Analyzing Trades
One of the most effective ways to improve as a trader is to regularly review and analyze past trades. By examining the trades that were successful, as well as those that resulted in losses, traders can identify areas for improvement and make adjustments to their trading strategies as needed.
Seeking Educational Resources
There are many educational resources available to traders from ChartPros, including eBooks, online courses, and webinars. By actively seeking out these resources and continuing to expand their knowledge of the markets and trading techniques, traders can stay ahead of the curve and improve their chances of success.
In conclusion...
Navigating the markets with price action technical analysis is a powerful approach to trading various financial instruments, including stocks, options, futures, Forex, Crypto, and Commodity trading. By mastering the key concepts of price action technical analysis, such as support, resistance, trends, and Fibonacci levels, traders can improve their trading skills and potentially achieve greater profitability. Continuous education and improvement are essential to staying ahead in the ever-changing financial markets.
📈Navigating the Uptrend📍 Understanding an Uptrend
An upward trend provides investors with an opportunity to profit from rising asset prices. Selling an asset once it has failed to create a higher peak and trough is one of the most effective ways to avoid large losses that can result from a change in trend. Some technical traders utilize trendlines to identify an uptrend and spot possible trend reversals. The trendline is drawn along the rising swing lows, helping to show where future swing lows may form.
Moving averages are also utilized by some technical traders to analyze uptrends. When the price is above the moving average the trend is considered up. Conversely, when the price drops below the moving average it means the price is now trading below the average price over a given period and may therefore no longer be in an uptrend.
While these tools may be helpful in visually seeing the uptrend, ultimately the price should be making higher swing highs and higher swing lows to confirm that an uptrend is present. When an asset fails to produce higher swing highs and lows, it means that a downtrend could be underway, the asset is ranging, or the price action is choppy and the trend direction is hard to determine. In such cases, uptrend traders may opt to step aside until an uptrend is clearly visible.
📍 Key Takeaways
🔹 Uptrends are characterized by higher peaks and troughs over time and imply bullish sentiment among investors.
🔹 A change in trend is fueled by a change in the supply of stocks investors want to buy compared with the supply of available shares in the market.
🔹 Uptrends are often coincidental with positive changes in the factors that surround the security, whether macroeconomic or specifically associated with a company's business model
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📈How to Day Trade with Trend: Accumulation📍The accumulation stage in trading refers to a period when market participants are accumulating a particular asset, typically with the expectation of a future price increase. During this phase, the price of the asset tends to range between two significant levels known as support and resistance. Traders closely observe these price levels as they provide valuable insights into the potential direction of the upcoming breakout.
📍Support and resistance levels are psychological and technical barriers that the price of an asset tends to respect.
🔹Support represents a price level where buying pressure is expected to outweigh selling pressure, causing the price to "bounce" or reverse its downward movement.
🔹Resistance represents a price level where selling pressure is expected to exceed buying pressure, causing the price to reverse its upward movement.
📍During the accumulation stage, the price of the asset oscillates within a range defined by these support and resistance levels. Market participants who believe in the potential upside of the asset accumulate it by buying at or near the support level. As the price approaches the resistance level, some traders start to take profits or sell their holdings, creating selling pressure that prevents the price from advancing further. This creates a cyclical pattern of price movement between the support and resistance levels, resulting in a range-bound market.
It's important to note that the accumulation stage and subsequent breakout are not always easy to predict. False breakouts, where the price briefly moves beyond a support or resistance level but quickly reverse
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Trendlines Explained Trendlines are graphical representations of the price movement of an asset in a financial market. They are formed by connecting a series of highs or lows of an asset's price over a specific period. The resulting line can be used to identify the direction of the trend and to help traders make decisions about buying or selling.
In other words, A trendline is like a line that you draw to show which way the price of something is going. If the price is going up, you draw a line that goes up. If the price is going down, you draw a line that goes down. If the price is staying the same, you draw a line that stays straight. So, a trendline is like a picture that helps you see if something is getting more or less expensive, and helps you make good choices about what to do with your money.
How to draw a trendline.
1:Look at the price chart of the asset you are interested in and identify the direction of the trend. You can do this by looking for a series of higher highs and higher lows for an uptrend, or a series of lower highs and lower lows for a downtrend.
2:Choose the two most significant points on the trend that you have identified. These points should be the highest high and the lowest low for an uptrend, and the lowest low and the highest high for a downtrend.
3:Draw a straight line connecting these two points. This line represents the trendline.
If the trendline has been successfully drawn, it should touch or come close to touching at least three other price points on the chart. This provides confirmation that the trendline is accurate and significant.
4:Adjust the trendline as necessary to make sure it accurately captures the trend direction.
When a trendline is drawn, it can act as a support or resistance level for the price of an asset. A trendline break occurs when the price of an asset moves through the trendline, either to the upside or the downside. This break is significant because it indicates that the previous trend may be changing.
A trendline break can be a signal to traders to buy or sell the asset depending on the direction of the break. For example, if an uptrend line is broken to the downside, it could be a signal to sell the asset because the trend may be reversing.
After a trendline break, the price may also retest the trendline. This means that the price may move back to the trendline to test its new level as either a support or resistance level. If the price is able to hold above the trendline after retesting it, this could confirm the trendline break and signal a new trend direction.
A retest of a trendline can be an opportunity for traders to enter or exit a position depending on the direction of the trendline break and the price action during the retest. If the price fails to hold above a broken uptrend line after a retest, this could be a signal to sell the asset as the trend may be reversing. Conversely, if the price successfully holds above a broken downtrend line after a retest, this could be a signal to buy the asset as the trend may be reversing to an uptrend.
Let's say you drew a trendline to represent the direction of an asset's price movement, and the trendline is indicating an uptrend. However, at some point, the price breaks through the trendline and starts to move in the opposite direction. This can happen for many reasons, such as a change in market sentiment or the introduction of new information that affects the asset's value.
When a trendline is broken and the price starts moving in the opposite direction, it may eventually reach another longer-term trendline. This trendline represents a broader trend that the asset has been following over a longer period of time. For example, if the original trendline indicated an uptrend for a few weeks, the longer-term trendline could indicate a downtrend for the past few months or years.
When the price reaches the longer-term trendline, it may bounce off of it and continue in the direction of the broader trend. This can happen because the longer-term trendline represents a stronger level of support or resistance compared to the original trendline. Traders often use longer-term trendlines as a guide for making trading decisions, as they can provide a more accurate view of the overall trend direction.
Remember that trendlines are not perfect and can be subjective. It's important to use other technical indicators and analysis to confirm the trend direction before making any trading decisions.
📈 9 Ways To Identify an Uptrend📍 What Is an Uptrend?
An uptrend describes the price movement of a financial asset when the overall direction is upward. In an uptrend, each successive peak and trough is higher than the ones found earlier in the trend. The uptrend is therefore composed of higher swing lows and higher swing highs. As long as the price is making these higher swing lows and higher swing highs, the uptrend is considered intact.
Some market participants only choose to trade during uptrends. These "long" trend traders utilize various strategies to take advantage of the tendency for the price to make higher highs and higher lows.
💥Important thinks to note
🔹Uptrends are characterized by higher peaks and troughs over time and imply bullish sentiment among investors.
🔹A change in trend is fueled by a change in the supply of stocks investors want to buy compared with the supply of available shares in the market.
🔹Uptrends are often coincidental with positive changes in the factors that surround the security, whether macroeconomic or specifically associated with a company's business model.
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How To Spot A Reversal Like a Pro!Hello Traders,
Spotting a reversal is always a daunting task I know. That is I use a 2 Step Down Timeframe Method to spot a reversal in correct way. I have explained step by step so please watch in full to understand it clearly. Also do not forget to like the video and let me know in the comment section if you have nay questions.
📉 Downtrend ID Cheatsheet *UPDATED*What Is a Downtrend? A downtrend is a gradual reduction in the price or value of a stock or commodity, or the activity of a financial market. A downtrend can be contrasted with an uptrend. Downtrends are characterized by lower peaks and troughs and mimic changes in the perception of investors. A downtrend is fueled by a change in the supply of stocks investors want to sell compared with the demand for the stock by investors who want to buy. Downtrends are responses to changes that surround the security, whether macroeconomic or those associated with a company's business activity.
🔹Understanding and Identifying Downtrends
As much as it is important to look out for uptrends when trading, it is equally important to understand and identify downtrends. A trader may potentially save money if they decide to sell off a declining stock. If many traders decide to sell a stock at the same time, it will result in a sharp decline in the stock price. The stock market is sentiment-driven, and fear of a further decline may result in even further selloffs of a stock. Some traders that frequently day trade may decide to implement stop-loss orders to protect themselves against a downtrend. A stop-loss order placed with a broker helps a trader sell once the price of the security reaches a certain price. Downtrends can vary from a gradual continuation to a sharp decline. A sharp decline may occur as a result of news-related topics, such as a poor quarterly earnings report or loss of a lawsuit. A downtrend can be identified and understood through various forms of technical analysis. One simple area of technical analysis is the use of trendlines. Trendlines connect a series of high or low points. The reversal of a declining trendline signals an uptrend. Another simple area of technical analysis is the moving average technical indicator. The moving average takes the mean of prices over a period in the past. If the price of a stock tends to stay below the moving average, it signals that the price is on a downtrend.
🔹Trading on a Downtrend
Many traders look to profit from sell offs of a stock. While many traders will sell, taking the view that a price will decrease further in the future, some traders take the opposite view of hoping for a price increase. Downtrends may also lead to attractive valuation and present new opportunities for traders to purchase shares of stock.
In another sense, downtrends allow traders to make money by short-selling stocks. In order to short a stock, a trader borrows shares and immediately sells them, in hopes that the price will fall. If the price of the stock goes down, then the individual will repurchase the shares back at the lower price and return the borrowed shares. The difference between the old price and the new price is the profit that a short-selling trader holds.
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📉 Downtrend Identification CheatsheetWhat Is a Downtrend? A downtrend is a gradual reduction in the price or value of a stock or commodity, or the activity of a financial market. A downtrend can be contrasted with an uptrend. Downtrends are characterized by lower peaks and troughs and mimic changes in the perception of investors. A downtrend is fueled by a change in the supply of stocks investors want to sell compared with the demand for the stock by investors who want to buy. Downtrends are responses to changes that surround the security, whether macroeconomic or those associated with a company's business activity.
🔹Understanding and Identifying Downtrends
As much as it is important to look out for uptrends when trading, it is equally important to understand and identify downtrends. A trader may potentially save money if they decide to sell off a declining stock. If many traders decide to sell a stock at the same time, it will result in a sharp decline in the stock price. The stock market is sentiment-driven, and fear of a further decline may result in even further selloffs of a stock. Some traders that frequently day trade may decide to implement stop-loss orders to protect themselves against a downtrend. A stop-loss order placed with a broker helps a trader sell once the price of the security reaches a certain price. Downtrends can vary from a gradual continuation to a sharp decline. A sharp decline may occur as a result of news-related topics, such as a poor quarterly earnings report or loss of a lawsuit. A downtrend can be identified and understood through various forms of technical analysis. One simple area of technical analysis is the use of trendlines. Trendlines connect a series of high or low points. The reversal of a declining trendline signals an uptrend. Another simple area of technical analysis is the moving average technical indicator. The moving average takes the mean of prices over a period in the past. If the price of a stock tends to stay below the moving average, it signals that the price is on a downtrend.
🔹Trading on a Downtrend
Many traders look to profit from sell offs of a stock. While many traders will sell, taking the view that a price will decrease further in the future, some traders take the opposite view of hoping for a price increase. Downtrends may also lead to attractive valuation and present new opportunities for traders to purchase shares of stock.
In another sense, downtrends allow traders to make money by short-selling stocks. In order to short a stock, a trader borrows shares and immediately sells them, in hopes that the price will fall. If the price of the stock goes down, then the individual will repurchase the shares back at the lower price and return the borrowed shares. The difference between the old price and the new price is the profit that a short-selling trader holds.
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