MOBILEYE DD - A COMPLETE UPDATE!It's been a tough two days with getting ZERO news at CES2025. Mobileye has reported news here every year for the past couple of events. Thus, no news was devastating while pouring colder water on the situation with Riskier names falling like a knife, the market overall condition being unclear, FUD setting in the markets, and people being scared of an NASDAQ:NVDA competitor. It was an avalanche of multiple criteria, all of which weren't the potential Honda deal I spoke about. Which I was wrong on and I'll admit that, but all I was doing was taking all data in front of me and created a thesis were I truly saw it happening, it didn't, oh well. My initial technical or fundamental investment thesis didn't include Honda anywhere in it when I started researching and investing in this company many months ago! I share IDEAS HERE, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Only the fact that there was no deal announced at all. The CEO in a recent Bloomberg interview identified the reason the stock was falling but said:
"We are not ready with announcements, I think we'll have major announcements throughout the year but we're not ready yet" Amnon Shashua - Mobileye CEO
I don't see the NVDA news as a bad thing and people don't understand that they already had this sector of their business up and running. In which Hyunda just left them and are looking for a different supplier of AV technology. Also, Nvidia called this a multi-trillion-dollar market and validated everything I already knew. Which is this sector is going to be a massive investment opportunity. Mobileye is still Top 3 in Autonomous vehicle technology alongside Waymo and Tesla. NVDA is nowhere to be found in that conversation, and the same is to be said about AMZN, who also is in this space. It's the same thing when AMZN got into the pharma delivery market and everyone sold off HIMS to turn around and be right back in stock price in a few weeks.
These large companies do certain things really well, but they try to have their hands in too many cookie jars at once and don't invest the attention and necessary manpower to make them the best they could be or even competitive to smaller companies whose only business is in said sector!
This is 60% and investment for me and 40% trade. I'm in this for the most part, the long haul. I will only sell my 40% trade allocated position when we hit our profit targets or my strategy tells me to exit. Which leads us to the charts.
Weekly: (Chart Shown)
-H5 Indicator is still Green
-We are at a Volume shelf
-At the smoothing line (yellow) to the 9ema
-We have further support from the 25MA
-We have this DIP BUY BOX that I've called out in the past multiple time in which we've built up this area of support from all the back and forth and volume within this box.
-We had a one week red candle the like we've only seen a couple other times when things were a lot worse and unknown before earnings or when they lowered rev. guidance (THINGS ARE A LOT BETTER NOW THAN THEY WERE THEN! WE JUST DIDN'T GET NEWS YET! THATS IT!) Typically the week or weeks after we get these massive amount of sell volume we get a bounce back week or weeks.
-Finally, this name still to my knowledge pending new data has a 23% SHORT FLOAT and as such this trade of a short squeeze and parabolic move is very much still on the table!
Daily Chart:
-At the same big S?R zone
-Same large volume shelf
-In my eyes taking a breather and collecting/ rallying the troops before another run at $23
-Most importantly, when we smashed into the red barrier of the Williams percentage range (Wr%) and the 50MA on the daily and 100MA on the weekly, we rejected hard. Do we get the same bounce move when we are running into the Wr% GREEN bounce support beam? While also being extremely oversold on timeframes under the daily timeframe. Finally, being right at the volume shelf, 50MA that already did a bullish cross of the 100MA!
- We are still in an uptrend!
The fundamentals haven't changed, and based on my investing spreadsheet, which is mostly a DCF model, it's still a $30+ stock!
- Headwinds are still becoming tailwinds (Falling interest rates/ inflation, China recovering, Auto market recovering)
NOTHING HAS CHANGED BUT THE PRICE OF A STOCK TICKER!
The haters can honestly kick rocks until they realize they are in control of their own financial decisions and can THEN come back, understand this game and learn! Some said I owed them an update, which I laughed at as I DON'T OWN YOU ANYTHING! The ideas I post here are FREE, and I'm paying to be on this service, just as some of you are! Some of you really need to look in the mirror and self-reflect. I'll still help you, too, friend; I don't like to hold hate in my heart for anyone; it's unhealthy!
I'll never let the haters win or get me down! I will continue to do me with this stock and post my ideas for all of the people out there that have learned and appreciate my work! Too many great people out there that truly want to learn and become better and I will help them do that EVERY STEP OF THE WAY!
So, here is my DD Mobileye Technical and Fundamental update for all my amazing followers who aren't TOXIC! I LOVE YOU!
AS ALWAYS, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
Is DOGE ready for 1.00 USD: Spoiler, it's not. BUY/HOLD 500%.🔸Hello guys, today let's review daily price chart for DOGE. Currently pullback in progress, however price chart still looks strong with sequence of higher lows.
🔸Previously we had a nice run from 8 cents to 40 cents, 500% gains. Currently, reloading getting ready for a new bull run to trigger S/R zone at 1.00 USD, however consolidation is not complete yet, more time required.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: BUY/HOLD low at/near 0.20 in the re-accumulation range in pullback/consolidation. TP bulls is 100 cents, 500% gains possible in this trade.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Tesla's Unhealthy Rise Could Correct Tesla's Unhealthy Rise Could Correct 🚨
Tesla has experienced a significant and rapid price rally recently, creating a potential imbalance in the market. However, this chart highlights a few key areas that traders should watch for potential corrections:
1️⃣ Gap Formation: A noticeable gap formed during the rally (highlighted on the chart). Gaps often act as magnets, and markets tend to revisit them over time. This suggests the possibility of Tesla retracing to this level.
2️⃣ Resistance Zone (~$420): The price is currently testing a resistance zone after the recent pullback. If Tesla fails to break and sustain above this level, it could trigger further bearish momentum.
3️⃣ Potential Targets:
First Target (~$360): If the bearish move begins, this level, marked as a prior area of support, could act as the next stopping point.
Second Target (~$316): A deeper correction could bring Tesla back to a more balanced price range, aligning with longer-term support zones.
Do we see TSLA below $300?This chart looks extremely bearish to me. I think everyone has become complacent to dips and that makes me worried for the downside in this one.
If we lose the $336 area, there's very little support below it. I think below that area would setup a test of the 200DMA at $244, but I'm actually worried we fall all the way back to the trend line before the next rally.
Let's see how this price action plays out in the coming weeks.
1/6 Weekly Watchlist + NotesIndexes - SPY had a really interesting start to the year this past week. For starters, we went 2-1-2d and hit magnitude on Thursday before seeing price retrace back through all of the weeks previous range before making new weekly highs, and closing green. We now have 1-2-2U potential on all indexes, as well as a LOT of names off my scanner. Its also worth noting that we poked through previous month lows on all indexes before seeing a reversal back into previous range. This now opens up the potential for outside months on all indexes (AKA engulfing bars) which will be evidenced by our weekly setups triggering the 1-2D-2U and targeting the previous month's midpoint on all indexes to trigger the SSS50% rule (Which essentially says when you break one side of previous range and then retrace more than 50% of the previous candles range, you are now closer to taking out that other side than you are to reclaiming the side that was already taken out. It doesn't necessarily mean price is more likely to go to the other side, but it does mean that there is less room to the other side than their is to the one side broken, which means it is fundamentally less difficult to achieve since it would require less effort from one group (in this case buyers) to reclaim one side vs the effort it would take the other group (Sellers) to reclaim the level broken already.
This week it is evident we have all the setups and evidence needed to start heading back towards ATH on the indexes, but it will depend on whether we can actually take out previous week highs, and then remain above them. Simply put, if price is above previous week highs, we are seeing an attempt to reclaim the previous weekly highs all the way up to ATH. If we break above previous highs and fail to stay above, then we are seeing a failed attempt from buyers, and we can look to target previous week lows. If inside week, we just rely on what is happening each day to see where daily participants are attempting to take price. If price is stuck inside previous week range, trade something that isn't.
The watchlist for the week will include the best bullish setups, and also looking for relative weakness in what is currently a strong market (as evidenced by the majority of stocks on all indexes being green on the previous day and week).
Bullish:
NYSE:LUV - Big hammer daily that took out a lot of daily pivots below on friday. Hammer week as well, but having mother bar issues on the week as well as M being inside despite large drawdown Friday. Sort of expecting a big move or big fail this week.
NASDAQ:AMD - Revstrat hammer week at M/Q Exhaustion level
NASDAQ:SMCI - 2-2U weekly to counter M going 2D. Daily BF looking to expand. (played this 2 weeks ago for downside, now we have evidence to go long back through range)
NYSE:NET - 3-2U W to target ATH
NASDAQ:MSFT - 2-1-2U D to trigger W hammer 2-2 to negate monthly 2-2 rev. Daily PMG as well
Bearish:
NYSE:KO - 3-1-2d shooter D, 2-1-2 W, 2-1-2 M. 3 Actionable signals that could all trigger and hit targets easily this week, if not all on Monday alone
NYSE:DG Revstrat shooter W to trigger monthly 2-2D. Nice weekly Broadening Formation
NASDAQ:DLTR - Failed 2U Week that triggered SSS50% rule. Looking to quickly drop back through previous range to take this month failed 2U to 3. DG also looking weak so slight industry support here too.
Neutral:
NASDAQ:AVGO - 2x Inside week. No daily AS, but seemingly making a new BF within the combined range of the 2 days after their recent ER. Weekly participants lacking control since then and currently showing evidence of sellers trying to take out LOD from ER gap up day. Can trade this either way since compound inside bars typically result in outside bars following.
TSLA | InfoNASDAQ:TSLA
Bullish Entry:
Buy on a break and close above $411.88 (green line).
Stop-loss: Below $407.00.
Targets: $419.18 → $430.08 → $445.58.
Bearish Entry:
Short on a break and close below $396.11 (red line).
Stop-loss: Above $400.00.
Targets: $379.45 → $373.04.
Summary
The green bullish line ($411.88) serves as a key resistance level that, if broken, could signal a bullish breakout. Conversely, the red bearish line ($396.11) acts as a critical support level that, if broken, could lead to further downside. The current price is at a pivotal level, requiring close monitoring for decisive moves above or below these lines.
*Personally based on recent price action I'm bullish. and most likely market will be bullish this week.
Unlocking the Secrets of $MBLY: Prepare for a MONSTER MOVE!NASDAQ:MBLY - A chapter out of my Book!🚘😂
MASSIVE MOVE ON FRIDAY!
What I'm seeing, we are smashing into the Red Barrier of my Williams CB strategy which means we need to peel off it! Well if we really do get that Honda news on Tuesday that only leaves Monday to have a pullback before we would have the monster move from the news then short-squeeze that week.
I've honestly never been in this predicament with a stock running into the barrier. I really believe that if we don't pullback Monday and get the Honda news on Tuesday we will bust right through this red barrier and it won't even matter which I've never seen a stock break through that red barrier before so I mean that's how BULLISH I am lol.
As far as the charts there are no other charts on this planet as SEXY as MOBILEYE!!!
Weekly chart:
- H5 is GREEN
- Broke out of downtrend and up trending with room up to $25 and I also believe we could bust through the top of this channel if we get the Honda news which will start the short squeeze! (Short Squeezes are rare and when you have them they defy gravity!)
-Williams CB is thriving
-Launched off volume shelf into volume GAP! Have room to $27 then another massive GAP!
Daily chart:
- CupnHandle Pattern breakout with successful retest
- Volume shelf launch with GAP
-Williams CB is formed and thriving
-Volume is increasing
-Massive measured move
I'M NOT KIDDING I COULD LITERALLY WRITE A DAMN BOOK ON MOBILEYE WITH HOW BULLISH I AM!
IT WILL BE CALLED THE MOBILEYE MILLIONAIRE!😂
Fundamentals are phenomenal:
-Revenues and margins troughed
-All head winds becoming tailwinds (Inflation, China, Interest rates)
2025 Price Target of $45
TA Targets:
🎯$23🎯$25🎯$27 🎯30
If you are still here reading this you better share this! 😂
Okay I have to get to other charts that's all for now on Mobileye friends!
Not financial advice
SPX 2025 7000+ The most likely scenario.Experts who forecast stock market collapses and peddle narratives of financial despair often refrain from investing in the very concepts they promote; otherwise, they would face severe financial ruin on a repeated basis.
From the very beginning of this decade, I have championed a bold, risk-taking stance, predicting that these years will be remembered as the roaring 2020's, a time marked by an echo bubble of the 1920's.
This era is defined by the powerful convergence of technology, artificial intelligence, and blockchain, all propelling asset prices to new heights. The wealth generated by these colossal corporations and blockchain innovations is accumulating and concentrating, leaving behind individuals who are not part of these transformative trends.
Meanwhile, everyday people are grappling with a significant inflationary wave, as the value of their fiat currency continues to dwindle. To compound the issue, in 2024 around 150,000 workers have been laid off from giants like Tesla and Microsoft, a direct result of automation.
In this relentless struggle, machines are emerging victorious.
The age-old saying that markets lack a reason to rise but require one to fall or underperform holds particularly true, especially in the good old USA.
It’s reasonable to think that 2025 will not replicate the precise calendar movements of 2024 so it's prudent to lean towards performance tracking other years such as...
2017, the SPX return stood at 18%, marking it as the year that most closely aligns with 2025, the inaugural year of Trump's presidency.
Fast forward to 2023, where the percentage rose to 24%, making it the nearest reference point in the short term. As we are predicting a continuation of the bull market.
Meanwhile, 2021 reached a peak of 29%, representing the euphoric climax of that cyclical bull market, a scenario that could very well repeat itself in 2025.
The emerging pattern for 2025 appears to be shaped by these three pivotal years. Given that we are now nearer to the conclusion of the bull market than its inception, it seems prudent to draw insights from the trends of 2021 and 2023.
TSLA - Key Support/Bounce ZonesTSLA made a 'M' pattern which is typically seen when an asset has made a top (e.g. SPY, QQQ and BTC). Stock price has declined sharply since.
Key support zones in the short term are is between 354 and 345. This is because there is a fib retracement level of 38.2% and gap fill between 354 and 345. This is a high probability zone because this is coincides with the upper trendline of the parallel channel that started at the start of 2023 and price broke through the channel in Nov 2024 before reaching new highs. Furthermore, SMA 50 is also at 345.
Should the price pierce through 345 then there is also a secondary support zone between 320 and 312. This is because there is a fib retracement level of 50% (golden ratio) and gap fill between 320 and 312.
Remember technicals are all probabilities, price reverse and test all time highs.
Mobileye is Ready for Launch: Don't Miss the Countdown!NASDAQ:MBLY 🚘
When the rocket is about to be launched a calm and silent presence takes over the control room.
This is the scenario right now with Mobileye, the countdown is about to commence and this is your last chance to climb aboard. 🚀
Targets: $23 then $28
Not financial advice
TESLA How further can it drop??Tesla (TSLA) has clearly overachieved since our previous buy signal (August 15 2024, see chart below), surpassing our $380 Target:
The last 3 weeks though has seen overdue weakness on the price action, which was delayed due to the U.S. elections aftermath. The deliveries miss is pulling the price back towards its fair value region and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been intact since the October 23 2024 bullish break-out.
Tesla has been trading inside a Parabolic Channel for almost a year (since February 2024) and the level that has marked the strongest buy opportunities recently has been the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). Every contact on that level since the August 05 2024 Low, has been a solid buy entry.
Parallel to the 1D MA100 contacts, the 1D RSI tends to test its own Support Zone, whose bottoms are aligned and is an additional buy signal.
With regards to corrections within this Parabolic Channel, the two major ones have both been -32.65%, an amazing display of symmetry. If the current pull-back also follows that pattern and evolves into another -32.65% Bearish Leg, then it might make contact with the 1D MA100 around the $330 level. Unless the 1D RSI hits its Support Zone earlier, that is technically a fair value for Tesla in our opinion, where heavy buying may commence again.
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TSLA: Wave 1 complete?After a 4 year long corrective phase, we had a clear impulse move upward which signalled a clear break out, and perfectly executing the 1
618x fib extension.
It's possible we see a pull back from here as 2024 comes to a close. Final profit taking measures perhaps?
At any rate, look for supports on the way down for your buy signals. If we breach below 400, we may have the opportunity to buy as low as 300 (What a steal that would be!).
After completion of corrective sub-wave 2, the 3rd wave is typically longest and strongest and would potentially reach as high as $750+ with minimal pullback opportunities.
I believe 2025 is going a year full of surprises with many positive sentiment and catalyst's. The Department of Government Efficiency, FSD taxi's rolling out in California (🤞) and serious humanoid robot advancements, just to name a few...
2023 was the year for AI hardware, 2024 was for software, and 2025 will be for real world AI.
Best of luck, invest for the future!
Tesla’s Next Move: $425 or $420 – Which Way Will It Break?Morning Trading Tesla is gearing up for a big move, and all eyes are on $425 and $420. These levels are the key to figuring out where the stock is headed next. Let’s break it down so it’s easy to follow.
If Tesla Breaks Above $425
This is where the bulls could take control. Here’s what to watch:
$439: First stop. If we clear this, it’s a sign of strength.
Above $439: Things could really heat up. Long trades make sense here as Tesla could climb higher.
If Tesla Breaks Below $420
The bears might step in, and we’ll be looking for lower levels. Watch these zones:
$417: The first area where buyers might show up.
$402: A deeper pullback, but still within range for a bounce.
$394: A critical level—if this breaks, we could see more selling.
$374: The big one. If it gets this low, it’ll be a major area of interest.
Here’s the Game Plan
Keep it simple: Watch $425 and $420. If one of these breaks, it’ll give us a clear direction. Don’t forget to plan your trades, set stop-losses, and stick to your strategy.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, give it a follow or a like. Got questions about Tesla, other charts, or feeling stuck with trading? Send me a DM—I’d love to help!
Struggling with burnout, trading stress, or figuring out how to stay consistent as a trader? Reach out. I’m here to help you stay balanced and build a sustainable trading mindset.
Kirs/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
TSLA Still bullish?A long upper shadow on the weekly chart can't hold back Tesla's strength.
Tesla has posted weekly candles with long upper shadows for two consecutive weeks, indicating significant selling pressure. Despite Friday's sharp drop, Tesla held firmly above the critical 415 level, closing at 431. This suggests strong buying interest around 415, further pushing the price higher and emphasizing the importance of this level.
Looking at the weekly chart, Tesla faces strong resistance during pullbacks at 415, 402, 385, and 360. However, from an upside perspective, aside from needing to digest overbought conditions and wait for moving averages to catch up, there appears to be little resistance ahead.
On the 1-hour chart, Tesla's price action shows a consolidation phase: it hasn't broken above previous highs (red arrows) but also hasn't dropped below recent lows. This points to a choppy, range-bound movement in the short term. If Tesla can maintain support at 415, the likelihood of continued consolidation is high, allowing time for moving averages to rise and overbought conditions to ease.
However, if 415 breaks, the consolidation range may widen, or we might see a minor pullback. Bullish investors should remain patient and wait for clearer signals.
TESLA $TSLA | FROM SUPERCHARGE TO SHORT CIRCUIT Dec28'24TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA | FROM SUPERCHARGE TO SHORT CIRCUIT Dec28'24
Tesla Zones:
Tesla BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $434.00 - $480.00
Tesla DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $421.00 - $434.00
Tesla SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $360.00 - $421.00
Tesla Trends:
Tesla Weekly Trend: Bullish
Tesla Daily Trend: Bullish
Tesla 4H Trend: Bullish
Tesla 1H Trend: Bearish
The trend indicator displayed also shows that Tesla has now flipped to a bearish trend on the 1H timeframe, however; there is a glitch when publishing that turns the 1H Trend to Bullish. A screenshot will be posted below.
NASDAQ:TSLA had a strong bullish rally, but has recently seen struggles to continue the upwards momentum. My previous bullish target on Tesla was hit almost immediately after publishing at 400.00, so I held on for the ride to catch more movement and did not consider any new DNT or Bearish zones until a retracement below 449.90. The bullish rally peaked at 488.50, until we saw a drop of over 10% reaching all the way to 427.00. Price then pulled back to the start of the bearish trend where we saw strong momentum to the downside (break over 434.00 with a retest of 465.00). Bears recently broke down structure and continued the trend that initially started at 465.00; now we see price currently resting below my level at 434.00.
My previous Tesla analysis will be linked below, use the forward area to see how it played out!
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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