$TSLA higher to go!Price continues towards price discovery finding resistance at the previous all time High Volume Node. Price is above the weekly pivot and 200EMA which is bullish and has momentum.
Wave © of C appears to be underway into price discovery with a target of $693 the R2 weekly pivot. This is because it has been printing a series of 3 wave structures. Wave B printed a triangle which is a pattern found before a terminal move reinforcing the Elliot wave count.
RSI is not yet overbought.
Safe trading
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
Tesla Macro ChartSharing my Macro Chart.
Use this as a reference for the levels of interest mentioned in my previous tesla post. Added a 30 minute box within the weekly balance box.
I like to personally use this chart to monitor levels intraday on the 30 minute or to plan major shorts or buys.
Some of these levels were drawn a year ago probably but I hope you'll find them useful.
~The Villain
Tesla Stock Wobbles as Profit Dives 37%, Revenue Pops. Now What?Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA posted a 12% jump in revenue on Wednesday, reaching $28.1 billion, well above Wall Street’s $26.37 billion estimate. And yet, the stock slipped nearly 1% on the day before paring back that loss with a 2.3% Thursday gain.
Why? Because profits fell faster than Cybertruck’s reputation — a 37% plunge year over year, with adjusted earnings per share at 50 cents versus the expected 54 cents.
It’s a classic Tesla paradox: sales are booming, but margins are thinning, and Wall Street can’t decide whether to cheer the top line or cry over the bottom one.
🏎️ The Cost of Staying in the Fast Lane
Tesla’s secret sauce has always been scale — crank out more cars, dominate market share, and let profits follow. But this quarter, the recipe’s a bit off. Automotive revenue rose 6% to $21.2 billion, yet net income plunged to $1.37 billion from $2.17 billion a year earlier .
What happened? Price cuts. Lots of them. Musk has been slashing sticker prices across markets to stay ahead in the EV race — great for consumers, painful for margins. Add a 50% spike in operating expenses (thanks, humanoid robots and AI labs), and suddenly that sleek electric machine looks a lot less money-making.
Still, Tesla’s revenue growth means one thing: demand isn’t dead. The EV slowdown hasn’t reached Palo Alto yet.
💰 Bitcoin Bounces
In a crypto-centric subplot, the company made $62 million from its Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD stash last quarter.
The crypto’s 5% rise — ending the quarter around $114,000 — gave Tesla’s treasury a nice digital cushion. The company held roughly 11,000 Bitcoins during the three months through September.
🧠 The $1 Trillion Question
And then there’s the other storyline — the Elon Musk Show. Musk wrapped up the earnings call by pivoting from profits to power. Specifically, his proposed $1 trillion pay package , which he insists isn’t “compensation” at all but a question of “control.”
“I just don’t feel comfortable building a robot army here and then being ousted because of some asinine recommendations from ISS and Glass Lewis,” Musk quipped, slamming the proxy firms as “corporate terrorists.”
His plan is to secure roughly mid-20s voting power to keep Tesla’s destiny firmly in his hands while still, as he puts it, being “fireable if I go insane.”
If approved, Musk’s stake could surge from 13% to nearly 29%, giving him the leverage he says he needs to push Tesla toward an $8.5 trillion valuation — complete with robotaxis, humanoid bots, and up to 12 million cars sold annually.
🧾 The Takeaway
The stock is up roughly 16% in 2025, clawing back some early-year losses, but it still lags the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC and other mega-cap peers like Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA and Meta $META.
The near-term question is simple: can Tesla tighten costs without killing growth? The long-term one is bigger: can Elon Musk lead the company into its next chapter without turning every quarter into a cliffhanger?
That said, the earnings season continues and the next batch of big tech heavyweights is right around the corner.
Off to you : What’s your take on Tesla and Musk’s lofty vision north of $1 trillion? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Tesla - The massive triangle breakout!🪩Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Last month, we witnessed an incredible but expected rally of about +35% on Tesla. Furthermore, with this move Tesla is attempting to break above the previous all time highs. After bullish confirmation, this would also lead to a massive triangle breakout.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Tsla - Box is Box?I have what seems like a thousand tesla charts now...and they are all telling me tesla needs to have a seat soon.
Tesla has been consolidating on the daily timeframe for quite a while now.
What happens if we continue to see presistent failures at the top of box or a look above and fail on the weekly? I'd put my money on a return to value.
At some point, tesla should revert back to the mean and I will be there waiting to LEAP at the opportunity(get it?).
I would love tesla around the weekly volume point of control around $245 area (this may shift as the days go by). If tesla retests the weekly value area high around $314 and is rejected then we may take a trip down to VPOC town.
Granted, for any of this to happen, we would need technicals to cooperate, meaning a LAAF of box and failure to hold the midpoint($384ish), as well as a turn in sentiment.
This could happen this fall or next march, who knows, but I'll be there when it does.
~The Villain
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on TSLA:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TSLA Tesla prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 800usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2027-1-15,
for a premium of approximately $40.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Ferrari RACE Technicals Led Entry With 100% Upside in 2026
RACE is in a measured correction after its July 2025 ATH (~$517). A repeat of prior ~35% corrections (2018/19; 2022) implies a symmetry target near ~$336 (35% off $516), creating a high-quality “buy the pullback” setup for smart investors willing to scale in before fundamentals re-assert. With the current price around ~$400, a full 35% retrace would complete near the low-$330s; prior cycles then delivered outsized recoveries. We view the $330–$360 zone as a strategic accumulation area for 100%+ multi-year upside potential, with a 2026 bull target >$700 assuming backlog support, margin resilience, and successful new product execution. ATH/price data cross-checked from market sources.
________________________________________
Executive Summary
• Thesis: Ferrari remains the purest “luxury-automotive as luxury-goods” equity: scarce supply, sold-out order book into 2026, rising personalization, and a carefully staged electrification roadmap supported by the new Maranello e-building. Even with macro or tariff noise, Ferrari’s brand, pricing power, and capital discipline underpin premium multiples.
• Why now: The stock’s technical correction is doing the valuation work for you. Into weakness, we favor staged entries ahead of 2026 catalysts EV debut & deliveries; new model cadence; ongoing buybacks.
• Key risks we underwrite: macro wealth shocks; execution on first BEV; regulatory/tariff volatility; FX EUR/USD; and luxury demand rotation. Offsetting: backlog visibility, personalization mix, and buybacks.
________________________________________
Ferrari (RACE) Catalyst Scorecard and 2026 Outlook
1) 🏎 New Model Launches & Portfolio — 9/10
Fresh models e.g., Roma Spider, 296 family, 12Cilindri plus track-focused/limited series sustain mix and ASPs. Purosangue remains capacity-constrained by design ≤~20% of shipments, supporting scarcity. Notes: media and management have repeatedly referenced Purosangue caps and order pauses. Rumor watch: the market expects additional halo launches into 2026; specifics beyond official IR should be treated as provisional.
2) 🔌 EV & Hybrid Transition — 9/10
Ferrari’s e-building went live in 2024 to manufacture ICE, hybrid, and the first BEV, enabling in-house e-axles/battery work and flexible capacity. Management reiterated an EV unveiling in October 2025 with sales beginning 2026; external reporting often cites incremental capacity of ~6,000 units management hasn’t fixed a public number. Strategy: electrify without diluting brand character.
3) 💰 Pricing Power & Personalization — 9/10
Personalizations are a structurally expanding, high-margin revenue stream—running ~~20% of revenues by 2025 commentary—while ultra-limited models e.g., Daytona SP3, 499P Modificata add mix tailwinds. Ferrari consistently emphasizes “quality of revenues over volume.”
4) 🌍 Global Demand & Wealth Resilience — 8/10
Order visibility remains exceptional, with management and financial press citing books effectively filled into 2026 even amid tariffs and China softness; U.S./EU/Middle East wealth pools anchor demand. Hybrids already approach half of deliveries, de-risking compliance.
5) 📈 Order Backlog & Supply Discipline — 8/10
Production is deliberately capped; Purosangue constrained to protect exclusivity. Backlog sold-out deep into 2026 reduces cyclicality and protects margins through mix and scarcity.
6) 💵 Shareholder Returns & Capital Allocation — 7.5/10
Ferrari is methodically executing a multi-year €2bn buyback through 2026 alongside dividends, while maintaining heavy R&D and capex for electrification and new platforms. Recent IR updates confirm ongoing tranches.
7) ⚖ Tariffs & Trade — 7/10
The 2025 U.S.–EU deal reduced tariff pressure versus prior peaks, a modest tailwind to margins and pricing optics for EU autos; Ferrari has shown ability to pass costs to clientele.
8) 🏆 Brand & Competitive Moat — 9/10
Ferrari’s moat resembles top luxury houses more than automakers: waiting lists, repeat/collector buyers, F1 halo, and unrivaled pricing power. This underpins luxury-goods-like multiples and high returns. (Multiple third-party and IR references.)
9) ⚔ Competition & Luxury Peers — 6/10
Peers Lamborghini, McLaren, Rimac, etc. lack Ferrari’s breadth/brand equity. Luxury EV entrants pose incremental risk, but Ferrari’s pacing plus customer loyalty mitigate. General industry assessment; monitor EV launches from peers.
10) 📉 Macro & Economic Cycle — 6/10
Ferrari isn’t immune to wealth drawdowns; however, backlog and personalization provide buffers. Management has historically protected price/mix by flexing volumes if needed.
________________________________________
2026 Outlook What Must Go Right
• EV milestone: Successful first-BEV launch & deliveries with waitlists experience parity with hybrids; no brand dilution.
• Mix strength: Purosangue/12Cilindri/hyper/limited series maintain ASPs and margins; personalization share inches higher.
• Financial delivery: Hitting or beating upgraded plan markers into 2026 after Ferrari indicated it is tracking ahead on profitability versus the original 2026 targets.
• Capital returns: Continued cadence on the €2bn buyback; dividend growth within FCF discipline.
________________________________________
Valuation Snapshot
• Quality context: Ferrari’s 2024 print and IR commentary emphasize expanding mix/personalization and ahead-of-plan profitability into 2025/26. Refer to FY24 results + CMD updates.
• Peer framing: Treat RACE as luxury Hermès-like scarcity rather than auto OEM. This justifies premium EV/EBITDA and P/E vs mass OEMs, provided growth/margins hold.
• Multiple work: On pullbacks to the mid-$300s, implied 2026E EV/EBITDA compresses to attractive territory vs luxury comps assuming consensus-style growth/margins investors should plug house estimates.
________________________________________
Scenarios & Targets
• Bull ($700–$750) — Successful BEV introduction, backlog conversion, personalization >20% of sales, steady buybacks, and benign macro.
• Base ($580–$620) — Order book carries revenues; margins hold with disciplined volumes; EV ramps without profit drag.
• Bear ($350–$400) — Wealth shock or EV stumble; cancellations rise, mix weakens; tariff/FX pressure re-rates the multiple. Risk case consistent with technical $330s correction.
________________________________________
Entry & Risk Management Plan
• Where to buy: Scale in $360–$380; add aggressively $330–$360 35% measured-move zone.
• Sizing: For a diversified HNWI book, a core 1.5–3.0% NAV position, with room to add +100–150 bps on capitulation into the $330s.
• Stops/hedges: Soft stop on a decisive weekly break <$320; hedge via short auto-luxury basket or long USD if EUR strength risks translation.
• Time horizon: 18–30 months through 2026 catalysts.
________________________________________
Near-Term Catalyst Timetable rolling 12–18 months
• Oct 2025–1H 2026: First Ferrari BEV unveil → initial deliveries watch order intake, waitlist depth, option take-rate, margin commentary.
• Ongoing 2025–26: Buyback tranches; monitor IR posts for pace/size.
• Quarterlies/Capital Markets updates 2025–26: Mix/personalization trajectory; backlog commentary; Purosangue allocation discipline.
Dip Buying Levels on TSLA Post Earnings"Abide in me, and I in you. As the branch cannot bear fruit by itself, unless it abides in the vine, neither can you, unless you abide in me. I am the vine; you are the branches. Whoever abides in me and I in him, he it is that bears much fruit, for apart from me you can do nothing."
- John 15:4-5
Hello Traders!
As part of my weekly equity trade analysis, I will be uploading my recordings of what I am seeing and intending to trade for the week. A quick summary of what's in the video is as follows:
- TSLA earnings are highly anticipated with most retail traders expecting bullish continuation from its breakout from previous consolidation
- We are expecting a retracement to resolve some imbalances, but to structurally hold key levels either above $408 or $385, and to close the week above last week's high over $440
- Our vehicle of choice this week are the $430 weekly calls or $415 calls (if price retraces further to $390)
Cheers,
DTD
Financial Risk Disclaimer |
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. The videos on my channel are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I invest and day trade, but remember, investing of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine. While day trading can bring substantial gains, it can also bring serious losses! So make sure you do your research to fully understand the market before diving in. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore should not invest money that you can't afford to lose. The fluctuation of the market can work for you or against you. You should carefully consider your investment objectives and experience before deciding to trade in the market. Again, what you invest in is solely your responsibility.
TESLA New Bullish Leg to $600 has started.Last time we took a look at Tesla (TSLA) more than a month ago (September 11, see chart below), we gave a massive buy signal that worked out instantly, as we saw the resemblances between the recent Triangle accumulation pattern and that of late 2024, setting a $600 long-term Target:
This time we take a better look at the Channel Up that has emerged. Technically it looks like a Bearish Leg (red Channel Down) has ended and with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holding, a new Bullish Leg has been initiated.
The previous Bullish Leg, which by the way started after a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) hold, rose by +59.26%. This puts the next Higher High technically above our $600 long-term Target.
Notice also how the 1D MACD is about to form a new Bullish Cross, with all previous ones being a strong Buy Signal. At the same time, the 1D RSI found support and bounced on its 5-month Higher Lows trend-line.
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TSLA – Sideways Accumulation Phase Ahead of Major NewsTesla’s stock is currently showing a stable sideways movement around the 430–445 USD range as the market awaits the company’s Q3 earnings report (on October 22).
Recent news reflects cautious investor sentiment , especially after ISS recommended rejecting Elon Musk’s massive compensation package and amid forecasts suggesting a slight decline in Q3 profits.
On the 4-hour chart, TSLA continues to maintain a medium-term uptrend, with prices oscillating around the EMA34 and EMA89, which act as equilibrium zones.
The 432 USD area remains the main support, while 493 USD stands as a key resistance level.
The chart indicates a high likelihood that the price will continue sideways within this range until the market reacts more clearly after the earnings release.
Summary
Currently, TSLA is in an accumulation phase , reflecting a tug-of-war between expectations of increased production and concerns over profit margin pressures.
In the short term, the trend is expected to remain sideways with a slight bullish bias, awaiting a potential breakout driven by the upcoming earnings announcement.
Volatility Period: Around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd)
Hello, traders!
If you "Follow" us, you'll always get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day.
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(TSLA 1M Chart)
The key is whether the price can rise above the target level of 488.54 by following the rising channel.
If the price fails to rise, we should check for support near 381.59.
-
(1W Chart)
The rising trend line (1) has formed, forming an ascending channel.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can maintain above the rising trend line (2) and rise along the rising channel.
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W chart is formed in the 382.40-421.06 range. If the price remains above this range, a stepwise uptrend is expected to continue.
-
(1D chart)
The key question is whether the price can continue its upward trend toward 488.54 after passing through this volatile period around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd).
To do so, we need to see if it can find support and rise around 439.60-442.79.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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TSLA – Calm Before the Storm or Just Another Dip Buy?Tesla (TSLA) is trading around $315, bouncing off recent lows, but this isn’t just a clean technical setup. With Elon Musk’s political drama escalating (hello, “America Party”) and ongoing tension with Trump, TSLA is becoming a battleground stock with serious volatility.
As swing traders, that’s exactly where we thrive.
📍 Entry Plan
✅ Entry #1 – $315
✅ Entry #2 – $300
• Previous breakout zone — ideal for dip buyers
✅ Entry #3 – $265
• Strong macro support; only activated if market correction deepens.
🎯 Profit Targets
• TP1: $335
• TP2: $355
• TP3: 400+ – if sentiment + volume align with narrative momentum (think: Robotaxi or AI catalyst)
If $265 gets hit, I’m not panicking, I’m preparing for high-reward setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m just sharing my plan and technical zones. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
📌 Follow for more ideas based on price, narrative, and timing. Trade smart — not loud. 🧭📈
Tesla: Will It Blast Off or Fall Fast? The $404 Level Is the KeyTesla is at a big “make or break” point. If the price stays higher than $404, it could blast up to $437 or maybe even $478. But if Tesla drops below $404, watch out! It could fall down to $380 or even as low as $351.
Think about it:
What would you do if Tesla started moving toward those numbers? Do you think it will go up or will it go down?
If you’re not sure or have a question, send me a message! Sometimes asking one good question can help you make a smarter trade. What do you want to know about Tesla right now?
Mindbloome Exchange
Tesla reports Wednesday; analysts expect EPS of $0.55Tesla reports third-quarter earnings Wednesday after the close, with analysts expecting EPS of $0.55, down from $0.72 a year earlier, on revenue of $26.2B — up 4%. There’s room for an upside surprise after record Q3 deliveries of 497,099 vehicles, boosted by the now-expired $7,500 U.S. EV tax credit, which also trimmed inventories. Analysts will focus on Elon Musk’s plans for robotaxi scaling, autonomy progress, and upcoming models through 2026, along with updates on new “Standard” Model 3 and Y trims. Wall Street projects about 450,000 deliveries in Q4.
Tesla is holding firm near $418, with its RSI turning higher to signal improving momentum. A positive EMA crossover — along with clear angle and separation between the averages — would confirm a strengthening bullish trend.
TSLA looks ready for higher in wave 3NASDAQ:TSLA found resistance at the all time High Volume Node and is trapped between that and the high volume support node.
The trend is up and strong. above the daily pivot and daily 200EMA with width.
I expect price to find support and continue into price discovery.
Safe trading
Tesla – ABC Formation as Trend Continuation#Tesla – ABC Formation as Trend Continuation
Current price: $435.8
Tesla is developing an ABC corrective structure that may act as a continuation pattern within the broader uptrend. Price action is consolidating after a strong impulsive leg, preparing for the next directional move.
🧩 Technical Overview
• The correction from the recent high appears to have formed a descending wedge, with the last swing down completing near the C-wave low.
• Price is now recovering from that area, suggesting a possible upward continuation phase.
• As long as the current low holds, the market structure supports bullish continuation through the upper Fibonacci levels.
📈 Scenario
• Structure: ABC correction completed; price attempting breakout to resume the dominant uptrend.
• Stop-loss: below the C-wave low (~$408).
• First upside objectives:
– $448–$458 — short-term resistance zone
– $470–$483 — key breakout area and prior swing high
– $507–$530 — potential extension zone if momentum builds
• A breakout above $470 would confirm trend continuation.
⚙️ Market Context
• The larger bullish trend remains intact after strong momentum from early September.
• Consolidation within the current wedge has reduced volatility — a typical setup before expansion.
• The pattern favors continuation as long as price holds above $408–$410 support.
🧭 Summary
Tesla is completing an ABC correction that could transition into the next bullish leg.
Holding above $408 keeps the structure valid for continuation toward $470–$530.
Breakout confirmation above $470 would reinforce the bullish scenario, while a drop below $408 would invalidate it.
TESLA My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 413.27
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 428.09
Recommended Stop Loss - 405.57
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TSLA Week Ahead - ShortTSLA looks like a classic post-rally consolidation after that sharp pop from late September lows around $340. The candlesticks show solid volume on the upside thrusts (those red-to-green hammers mid-September), but we're seeing some profit-taking wicks lately, with the price hugging that rising EMA channel (orange line) around $410 support. That unfilled gap down at $396-$402 (from early October open?) is screaming "magnet" if we get any broader market weakness—gaps like that on high-beta names like TSLA often fill on light-volume Fridays, especially with no major catalysts this week.
The gap is likely to close 70% of the times in 30 day span.
What to Expect by EOD Friday (Oct 17)
No earnings till Oct 22, so this week's all about macro vibes (Fed chatter, CPI print Wed) and TSLA-specific noise like Robotaxi buzz or delivery whispers. Q3 deliveries hit 462k on Oct 2 (beat estimates), so that's baked in—focus shifts to affordable model teases.
Base Case (60% odds): Sideways grind to $415-425. We're in that expected move band of ±6% (~$388-438 from here). Light volume mid-week could keep us coiling in the channel; that gap stays open unless we dump on risk-off. Analysts are meh short-term (avg target $361, but that's 1Y noise), but one shop just hiked to $483. I'd fade any spike above $420 for a quick scalp—RSI's overbought on 1H.
Bull Case (25% odds): Push to $430+. X crowd's frothing—folks calling ATH break by 10/17 on "unstoppable momentum" and 5Y consolidation snap to $500. If CPI undershoots and Elon tweets FSD gold, we tag resistance. One forecast pegs exactly $425 EOW.
Bear Case (15% odds): Gap fill to $400. Volatility spikes if yields rip higher or China EV FUD hits (ZEV credit chatter ending soon). That purple MACD histogram's flattening—watch for divergence.
TESLA: Long Signal Explained
TESLA
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long TESLA
Entry - 413.27
Sl - 406.92
Tp - 427.53
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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