Unitedstates

XAU/USD | Gold May Correct First, Then Continue To Fall! By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2H timeframe, we can see that after last week’s analysis, price continued moving lower and has already reached the $4003 region. In my view, this bearish move is not finished yet. I still expect stronger downside pressure today or tomorrow, and Gold may soon break below the psychological $4000 level. Before that happens, we may first see a minor corrective move higher to fill part of the liquidity void created during the recent decline. After this correction, sellers could step in again and push price toward lower levels. The key downside areas to monitor are $3985 – $3990 , followed by $3959 – $3979 , and then the important $3940 level. For now, the main bias remains bearish , but price reaction around these levels will be very important for the next move. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban

by ArmanShabanTrading

$USIRYY -U.S CPI (June/2026)ECONOMICS:USIRYY 3.5% June/2026 -0.7% source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The U.S annual inflation rate fell to 3.5% in June from May’s three-year high of 4.2%, below forecasts of 3.8%, as lower crude oil prices eased energy inflation. Core inflation also slowed to 2.6%, below forecasts. The CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month, its first decline since 2020.

$USUR - U.S Unemployment Rate (June/2026)ECONOMICS:USUR June/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The US unemployment rate dropped to 4.2% in June 2026, down from 4.3% in May and below expectations, as many people left the workforce. The number of unemployed fell by 213,000 to 7.09 million, while total employment declined by 507,000 to 162.26 million. The labor force contracted by 720,000 to 169.36 million, with the participation rate falling to 61.5%, its lowest since March 2021. The employment rate also dipped to an over four-year low of 59.0%. The broader U-6 unemployment rate, which includes discouraged and underemployed workers, decreased to 7.9% from 8.1%.

$USNFP - U.S Non-Farm Payrolls (June/2026)ECONOMICS:USNFP June/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The U.S economy added just 57,000 jobs in June, the weakest gain in four months and far below expectations of 110,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.2% as the labor force participation rate dropped sharply to 61.5%, its lowest since early 2021, while annual wage growth accelerated slightly to 3.5%.

$USPCEPIMC -U.S PCE Inflation Remains Elevated ECONOMICS:USPCEPIMC 0.4% May/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - The U.S PCE price index rose 0.4% mom in May, matching April's increase and below expectations of 0.5%. The core PCE increased 0.3%, in line with forecasts. Headline PCE inflation accelerated to 4.1%, its highest since April 2023 and core PCE inflation edged up to 3.4%, in line with expectations.

$USINTR - U.S Interest Rates (June/2026)ECONOMICS:USIRYY June/2026 source: Federal Reserve - The Fed kept the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% for a fourth consecutive meeting in June, the first under Chairman Kevin Warsh, in line with expectations. Updated projections showed that nine officials expect at least one rate hike this year, while six anticipate at least two.

$USIRYY - U.S Inflation Hits Fresh Three-Year High (May/2026)ECONOMICS:USIRYY 4.2% May/2026 +0.4% source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The US inflation rate accelerated to 4.2% in May, its highest since April 2023, matching expectations and largely reflecting a sharp increase in energy prices amid the conflict with Iran. Meanwhile, core CPI rose 2.9% yoy as expected, but increased 0.2% on a monthly basis, below forecasts of 0.3%.

$USNFP - U.S Non-Farm Payrolls (May/2026)ECONOMICS:USNFP 172K May/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The US economy added 172K jobs in May 2026, well above forecasts of 85K, and following an upwardly revised 179K gain in the previous month, continuing to point to a resilient labour market. Job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality (70K), mainly food services and drinking places (48K); local government (55K), health care (35K) and manufacturing (7K). Employment in financial activities declined by 22K, mostly insurance carriers and related activities (-11K) and commercial banking (-3K). Meanwhile, employment in transportation and warehousing was essentially unchanged (+1K) and other industries including construction, wholesale trade, retail trade, information, professional and business services also saw little changes. In addition, upward revisions to the March figures added to the strength of the report, with employment levels in March and April now estimated to be 93K higher than previously reported.

The United States: A House of Cards on the Brink of Collapse 💥 NASDAQ:TLT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD IG:BITCOIN TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER SP:SPX TVC:DXY The writing is on the wall. Under Trump’s leadership, the U.S. Treasury has been bled dry, the government is in shambles, and the country has lost its edge on the global stage. While the U.S. clings to fake valuations, propping up an overvalued dystopian bubble in crypto, AI, and tech, the rest of the world is catching up. And when this bubble bursts, the fallout will be catastrophic. 🌍 The Perfect Storm: A Nation in Crisis The U.S. is drowning in its own excesses: Soaring prices: Groceries, oil, housing, healthcare, education, everything is unaffordable for the average American. Geopolitical isolation: The U.S. is at war with Iran, alienating allies, and threatening the world just to prop up Trump’s fragile ego. Economic ruin: The overvalued markets (Wall Street, crypto, AI, tech) are a house of cards waiting to collapse. When it all comes crashing down, the U.S. will be left in economic ruins, ... post-war, post-bubble, and post-trust. 💡 The Only Way Out: A Government for the People The solution? A competent, caring government that prioritizes the people over billionaires. Leaders like Mamdani, Sanders, AOC and others understand that the only way forward is to: Tear down Wall Street’s stranglehold on the economy. Redirect wealth back to the Treasury, where it belongs. Pay off the debt and restore stability to the country. But here’s the twist: The billionaires will likely end up owning most of the debt. At a 4.9% guaranteed yield for the next 30 years, they’ll literally own the United States. 🎯 The Trade: Load Up on NASDAQ:TLT If you want a piece of that action, if you want the U.S. to pay you a monthly share of what it owes, then NASDAQ:TLT is the play. When inflation comes back down and the Treasury can finally start a rate cutting cycle, these Bonds at such high Yields will become invaluable. SO Here's what I’m doing right now: Support the Treasury to stabilize the country. Profit from the inevitable collapse of the old system. Help bring America back to greatness, ... on your own terms. The system is broken. The bubble is bursting. The time to act is now. Stay ahead. The revolution is coming.

by CassianDrake

$USGDPQQ - U.S GDP (Q1/2026)ECONOMICS:USGDPQQ 1.6% Q1/2026 +0.6% source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - The US economy expanded an annualized 1.6% in Q1 2026, up from 0.5% in Q4 but below 2% in the advance estimate, primarily reflecting downward revisions to investment and consumer spending. Consumer spending rose 1.4%, less than 1.6% in the advance estimate. The rise was mainly supported by demand for services (1.8%) while goods remained subdued (0.4%). Also, gross private domestic investment rose 7%, below the 8.7% reported in the advance estimate. Business investment in equipment surged 17.2%, while spending on intellectual property products increased 11.6%. In contrast, investment in structures fell 5.4%, and residential investment declined 6.2%. Meanwhile, net trade contributed negatively to GDP (-1.25 pp), as exports rose by 13.1% (vs 12.9% in the first estimate) while imports jumped 21.1% (vs 21.4%). Government spending rose 4.4%, in line with the initial estimate, recovering from a 5.6% contraction in Q4, as activity resumed following the end of the government shutdown.

$USCPCEPIMM - U.S PCE (April/2026)ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM 0.2% April/2026 -0.1% source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - The core PCE price index in the US, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of underlying inflation in the US economy, rose by 0.2% from the previous month in April 2026, following a 0.3% increase in March, below market forecasts of 0.3%. From the previous year, the core PCE price index rose by an expected 3.3%, up from 3.2% in the prior month, remaining well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

$USIRYY - U.S CPI (April/2026)ECONOMICS:USIRYY 3.8% April/2026 +0.5% source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the US rose to 3.8% in April, the highest since May 2023, above market expectations of 3.7% and compared to 3.3% in March as the oil shock triggered by the war with Iran continues to push higher energy prices. On a monthly basis, core consumer prices increased by 0.4%, up from 0.2% in both February and March and forecasts of 0.3%.

$USNFP - U.S Non-Farm Payrolls (April/2026)ECONOMICS:USNFP +115K April/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The US economy added 115K jobs in April 2026, following an upwardly revised 185K increase in March, and way above market forecasts of 62K. Job gains occurred in health care (37K), transportation and warehousing (30K), and retail trade (22K). Federal government employment continued to decline (-9K) and decreases were also seen for information (-13K) and manufacturing (-2K). While the figure points to a moderation in hiring, it also marks the first back-to-back monthly increase in employment in nearly a year, reinforcing signs that the US labor market is gradually cooling while remaining broadly resilient. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for February was revised down by 23K to -156K and the change for March was revised up by 7K to 185K. With these revisions, employment in February and March combined is 16K lower than previously reported.

$USUR -U.S Unemployment Rate (April/2026)ECONOMICS:USUR 4.3% April/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The US unemployment rate held at 4.3% in April 2026, in line with market expectations. However, the number of unemployed rose by 134,000 to 7.37 million, while total employment fell by 226,000 to 162.62 million. The labor force shrank by 92,000 to 170.0 million, pushing the participation rate down 0.1 percentage point to 61.8%, its lowest since October 2021. The employment rate also declined to 59.1%, the lowest in over four years, from 59.2%. Meanwhile, the broader U-6 unemployment rate, which includes discouraged and underemployed workers, increased to 8.2% from 8.0%.

$USGDPQQ - U.S GDP (Q1/2026)ECONOMICS:USGDPQQ Q1/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - The US economy expanded 2% in Q1, picking up from a modest 0.5% gain in Q4 but below market expectations of 2.3% growth, partly reflecting a bounce-back from the previous quarter’s government shutdown. Growth was driven primarily by investment, exports, and both consumer and government spending.

$USINTR - U.S Interest Rates (April/2026)ECONOMICS:USINTR April/2026 source: Federal Reserve - The Fed held the funds rate steady at 3.5%–3.75% for a third meeting, as the outlook for the rest of the year remains uncertain due to Middle East conflict. Four officials voted against the decision, including three who opposed wording suggesting the central bank might resume rate cuts.

XAU/USD | Gold Sweeps Liquidity – Eyes on Weekend Close!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that price first swept liquidity below $4664 with a move down to $4658, then strong demand stepped in and pushed Gold sharply higher toward $4740. After this expansion, price entered a minor correction and is now trading around the $4720 – $4730 region. With today being the last trading day of the week, the market is shifting into a more headline-driven phase. Expectations around potential Iran–US negotiations could support short-term bullish momentum, at least into the early next week open. From a structural perspective, the nearest demand zones are $4690 – $4710, with deeper support around $4650 – $4670. On the upside, the closest supply zones are $4740 – $4760, followed by a stronger resistance area between $4780 – $4810. If buyers continue to build momentum, the next short-term upside targets are $4755, followed by $4780, then $4800, and potentially $4825. In my view, these negotiations are unlikely to lead to a real outcome. There’s a high probability that tensions could rise again next week, and we might even see a renewed escalation or conflict scenario. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban

by ArmanShabanTrading

$USIRYY - U.S CPI (March/2026)ECONOMICS:USIRYY March/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the US jumped to 3.3% in March, the highest since May 2024 and in line with expectations, primarily driven by higher energy costs linked to the war with Iran. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.9%, the largest increase since June 2022.

$USUR -U.S Unemployment Rate (February/2026)ECONOMICS:USUR February/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The U.S unemployment rate fell to 4.3% in March 2026 from 4.4% in February, below market expectations of 4.4%. The number of unemployed decreased by 332,000 to 7.239 million, while total employment fell by 64,000 to 162.85 million. The labor force declined by 396,000 to 170.09 million, pushing the participation rate down 0.1 percentage point to 61.9%. Meanwhile, the broader U-6 unemployment rate, which includes discouraged and underemployed workers, rose to 8% from 7.9%.

$USNFP -U.S Non-Farm Payrolls (March/2026)ECONOMICS:USNFP March/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - The US economy created 178K jobs in March, the most since December 2024 and above expectations of 60K. Job gains occurred in health care, in construction, and in transportation and warehousing. Federal government employment continued to decline. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate decreased to 4.3%.

$USINTR - U.S Interest Rates (March/2026)ECONOMICS:USINTR March/2026 source: Federal Reserve - The Federal Reserve held the funds rate steady within the 3.5%–3.75% target range. The committee made few changes to statement, noting uncertainty surrounding the war with Iran and slightly stronger growth and higher inflation in 2026, while still expecting one rate cut in 2026 and another in 2027.

$USIRYY - U.S CPI (February/2026)ECONOMICS:USIRYY 2.4% February/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - U.S annual inflation held at 2.4% in February, matching January and holding at the lowest since May 2025. Monthly CPI rose 0.3%, up from 0.2% in January and in line with forecasts. Core annual inflation remained at 2.5%, near its lowest since 2021, with monthly core CPI up 0.2%, below January’s 0.3%.

$USNFP - U.S Pay-Rolls Fall (February/2026)ECONOMICS:USNFP February/2026 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - U.S economy shed 92K jobs in February, compared to consensus of 59K gain and January's 126K gain. Employment in health care declined by 28K due to strike in California, and payrolls in information and the federal government continued to trend downward. Meanwhile, the jobless rate rose to 4.4%.