My two most recent posts were identifying a potential upcoming trade idea behind Euro bouncing back vs. USD soon, the chart today has made it looked more prime for reversal, finding ever increasing support, and slightly weakening 5 year yields in both Euro and U.S.. The difference between the two looks like it may start to contract a little in the coming weeks as...
Talking some more about EURUSD and why I think it's about ready to have an about face and go back up, looking once more towards something that represents treasuries with maturities in the range I had shown as being useful for indicating EURUSD relationship moves. NASDAQ:IEI represents 3 to 7 year maturity treasuries, and with the 5 year being the metric I've...
Advance warning of longer term swing in EURUSD Forex pair thanks to difference between US 5 year yield and EU 5 year yield. The challenge is, while it can point to an upcoming longer shift, it's still not going to tell you the perfect timing for the about face. It of course is not the only thing that will contribute towards a shift in the currency pair, but it is...
Things are getting interesting in bond land, Japanese central bank balance sheet increasing after 09 to keep US bond yields down is finally starting to show signs of fail. This system is starting to break due to investors losing faith in the system. As faith is lost US bonds are sold, as US bonds are sold Yields go parabolic, Japan has been a US proxy since 09...
bonds are telling the market that stonks are overpriced.
I think once in a lifetime opportunity for gold is coming soon. Hope you guys appreciate the chart.
Look at weekly timeframe. There is 2 scenario bearish appear in #DXY chart pattern. Is it mean bullish for high risk instrument? Time will answer.
I am nicknaming the 2-10 year yield "Icarus". Pushing back towards to the sun with haste it would seem . Kind of interesting how this is off the media radar today . Oh my wings! See my two wings! How I love to fly! -The final words between: Icarus, and his father~
📉 Expecting bullish price action on DOW JONES as we have to make the retracement move because price rejected bullish orderblock area on M15 that acts as a valuable area of ,,support,, if you will. We also have a clear liquidity pool way above the old high (buy side liquidity) 4530. VIX opened in the european market with a huge GAP that should be filled asap, VIX...
When investors have a poor outlook for the economy, what do they do? They buy the longest term debt they can because it's one of the ways to price in the uncertainty of "right now" into the long term. Therefore, rational actors would do something like this: Buy 30 year treasuries. Buying ensues, yield goes down, price goes up. Eventually 20 year yield becomes...
Keeping the ZIRP thesis alive for now, 30s & 20s remain inverted now 5s could overtake 10s then 30s. Bonds are screaming for sure with inflation still growing m/m, more printing is inevitable to keep the economy going, and printing is how we got here. The next announcement for fed QE expansion, I believe will be the catalyst for golds big move out of the major...
Idea for Bonds: - US05Y and US02Y printed immense spikes in the pre-market. Glitch? Probably not. Bond market in general is having extreme events globally, US markets not immune. - Not shown on TV, but HYG also printed -7% in the AH on Friday... and traded there for several minutes. - Dollar is unstoppable with global shortage. Pension funds have elected to use...
Idea for MOVE: - Bond markets seeing volatility after the Quad Witching and FOMC double whammy. - US02Y 2x ATR spike: - Expecting turbulence the rest of the month. GLHF - DPT
Let me say this from the outset; within the 2's5's curve is a manual, given that I do not have a great deal of time, it is not possible for me to go into great dimensions or detail I have chosen. Instead we will have to content ourselves with the revolutionary charts/diagrams both before and of the period where I have gone into more details. The same is true of...
A timely update to the US10Y Yields chart as we approach key areas. The 1.35% pivot level in the very short term is our line in the sand and will define which battlefield we will play Q3 on. ↳ The waterfall lows from 2020 started the next five wave impulsive sequence to the topside, it will take years for the moves to unfold but critical to understand our long...
Forecast for Macro: - Falling Wedge Breakout must be re-tested. - Bear Flattener coming as short-term rates rise with Fed tightening expectations: - 2x ATR spike in US02Y: - The Fed members will probably all have their turn to make comments, leaning hawkish. This should cause a rally in the US02Y. - Bonds Volatility Technically Bullish: - However, this will...
A couple of things to note here as the chart clearly shows the attempt of a break on the log-chart. We now know Sellers are attempting the strategical and important pin on their opponent. It is clear the inflation trade is deteriorating, and in the most profound sense looks rather like a deeper mission that is underway. On the technical side, the next levels in...
📌 ridethepig | Game, Set and Match! In order to inform ourselves about the dangers of this move, we shall in what follows point to a few live charts which we called live together from 2019 that the 2s5s was going to invert frantically , and was a bad sign. It enables occupation of the dominos, which for those following long enough will know the one thing...