I don't think anyone is expecting this, but I think we're setup for yields to hit new highs this year.
The chart indicates yields are breaking out to the upside again, and this move could be a strong one.
I think we're setting up to see a new high in yields by November topping somewhere between 5.35%-6.40%.
Let's see if it plays out.
Hello Traders!
The FED's monetary policy is not convincing the markets, but Powell seems very determined to meet his inflation targets. In near term, market seems to want to counter this hawkish monetary policy, but that could change going forward. In short term, yields remain at high levels and I don't exclude that this rally could continue for the last bullish...
"The TVC:US10Y Negative Divergence Played Out as we observed a scenario where the momentum indicator, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), had been showing bearish divergence with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield. This indicated a potential weakening of the yield's upward momentum, despite higher prices initially. Subsequently, the divergence 'played out'...
TVC:US10Y Negative Divergence RSI The TVC:US10Y showcases a negative divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This indicates that while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield might be increasing, the momentum behind this rise is weakening. Historically, such divergences in the RSI can signal potential trend reversals or price corrections in the near future....
The TVC:US10Y has been extremely bullish since May 2023, and has gained more strength after the Fed's hawkish announcement that led to a "higher for longer" interest rate environment. The TVC:US10Y has broke through numerous resistance levels to reach its 16-year high. From a technical analysis perspective, the TVC:US10Y has a tendency to have strong bullish...
Will the future gold price predict the peak in rates by a year like it did in 1980?
Lense through which I look at gold: Gold is insurance for my/my children's purchasing power in the future. No one likes to purchase insurance (home, auto, life, income, purchasing power?) but we do to protect our future interests.
Gold-
Up Arrow
1958- $35
1980- $888-...
US short term funding requirements (33% of existing debt to mature next year) + a clean unbroken trend seems to head the 10 yr yield to 5.2%. This view doesn't constitute investment advice.
Knock knock.
Who's there?
I. O.
I. O. who?
Me.
When are you paying Treasury holders back?
Never!
Bullish Breakout ...to be continued...
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
US10YR has been rising after the completion of what looks to be an expanding leading diagonal wave A and currently now may be in terminal level for the corrective wave B which could possibly reach at or below 4%.
The yield is often related to the USDJPY pair and it is noticeably mimicing the pairs growth since its last drop from 129 level to current's 134.
The...
10 Year bond yields closing in on a wave 4 low.
I would expect some sort of base building price action before the next leg up. This will provide clarity on the projected completion of this 5 wave pattern.
Yields have recently dropped in a flight to safety surrounding the bank failure panic. Does the stabilization of yields signal that crisis easing? Will the...
In this update we review the recent price action in the US 10yr Notes and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target
Pull these charts up on your radar. They are key. With today’s spike on the VIX, we may see key resistance and support lines break. If any one of these critical trendlines/levels are broken, much more caution is warranted on the long side. Let’s quickly run through the charts I am observing.
DXY - A break to the upside of that macro uptrend (with confirmation on...
Welcome to my account. There is a high probability that the market will go down. With a strong model formation. Double button. He also made the area retest twice. The price fails to breach the broken resistance 3.900. I think the price will be negative over time. And we see its price is 3500. In the first stage
There is perfect set up for upcoming highs and we can see building stable push.
I prefer steady but effective cuts which makes them bleed.
Always be prepared. Buy low sell high - RELATIVE TO TIME
This here is a sell to buy trade. We are catching the retracement on Gold (Wave 2), before re-entering more sell positions from the supply zone & targeting new high's around $2,160 - $2,240.
Want to keep up to date with the analysis. Drop a like, follow and let me know what you think👇🏽
The US10Y is forming an interesting pattern that suggests a move higher is likely. I decided to compare the general trend movement to that of SPX. The green arrows represent my future base case. However, should the US10Y break to the upside of its current pattern now, the blue arrows represent that. The future picture is always fuzzy, but I’m estimating US10Y is...
I know most people don't think this is a possibility, but I think it's highly probable.
I think we'll see the US10Y break the recent highs and head to 5.59% as the first target to the upside. Then I think we'll continue the bullish trend and end the bullish move in yields at 8.13%, I think at that point, that's when you'll want to go long risk for the long...
