USDCNY Daily tf analysis.This analysis takes a quick look at the USDCNY on a Daily tf chart. The points noted on the chart are discussed below:
(1) Major bearish trendline in the USDCNY (in color blue) that has been active since ~January 04, 2018 and was successfully tested on July 3, 2017.
(2) This region marks indicates where the USDCNY is expected to find resistance on a breakout above the major trendline. This region is indicated by the price labels as ~ between $6.84 and $6.80.
(3) This is the resistance area that coincides with the major trendline i.e. (1) above. The implication of both is that it indicates stronger resistance than (2) above. (3) is present between ~$6.72 and $6.67.
(4) Support region between ~$6.57 and $6.53 that is expected to provide a bullish momentum upwards in price action. A break below this region is expected to see price reach between ~$6.48 and $6.44 as indicated by (5) in the chart.
(6) This is the MACD with only the MACD line (blue) and signal line (orange) color shown here. Both indicate a bullish bias for the USDCNY. However, price at the trendline (1) and resistance area (2) above do suggest waiting to see what happens at the resistance area before taking further action.
USDCNH
USD/CNH ShortMarket needs some correction after that kind of rally. Bulls are exhausted.
Prices didnt break 6.7 and as u can see this is an important history level.
RSI, MFI, and CMF are all reversing, after peaking like mad. (on the 4hrs).
The 30 minutes already completed the inside bar pattern, hourly vvill make it in 10minutes if it closes belovv 6.684.
I believe in a correction that could bring us dovvn to 6.6 or 6.52 area.
Maybe lovver. But those are my first 2 TP's. Stop Loss above 6.7.
You can see asvvell that GOLD is trying to bounce, vvhich is inversely correlated to USD.
I vvas able to catch some entries above 6.69 so I think I'm really fine on that one but it could be vvorth jumping in the train novv! VVait for some bounce and short it might be a nice idea. I'm expecting the correction for at least this vveek and I'll keep updating along the vvay, could stay until end of month maybe, depends on many things.
Thanks for reading!
USD/CNH 1H Chart: Possible decline in sightThe US Dollar was trading sideways against the Chinese Yuan during the first two weeks of June. This was followed by sudden acceleration as a result of which the rate gained 1.70% within a couple of sessions. Along the way, it breached the senior channel formed in late 2016.
It is apparent on the chart that the rate has likewise reached the upper boundaries of two junior patterns near 6.49. The Greenback might still edge slightly higher during the following hours until the monthly R2 at 6.5062 are reached, as technical indicators still point to some upside potential prior to reversing to the downside.
Subsequently, it is expected that the Greenback tries to make a retracement from the breached channel and the 23.60% Fibo, thus targeting the 6.41 area this week.
FX. Looking at USD pairs for next week.Hey warriors, here is what I think and approximatly how I will trade the 10 USD pairs I am watching, 7 majors + 3 ones with good spreads and opportunities.
EURUSD
Trend: Bearish until further notice. Testing it right now.
How to trade: Short if it gets to 50WMA / 200DMA. Long if it gets to 0.5 fib & 200WMA & 100WMA.
USDJPY
Trend: Unsure.
How to trade: do nothing until it moves alot, at least above 111.
AUDUSD
Trend: Unsure.
How to trade: Wait.
USDCAD
Trend: Unsure. Perhaps turning bullish.
How to trade: Wait.
GBPUSD
Trend: Bear.
How to trade: Short if it goes to 200DMA/150WMA, long if it goes to 100WMA.
NZDUSD
Trend: Bear.
How to trade: Do not go long. Short it if it goes in the area with the many moving averages, and 0.5 fib.
USDCHF
Trend: Unsure, maybe bullish.
How to trade: Go long on 0.382 fib where all the MA's are too. Don't go short.
And now for the exotic pairs :D
USDSEK
Trend: Bull?
How to trade: Go long on 0.382 fib & 100WMA.
USDMXN
Trend: BULL.
How to trade: Just go long, unless it flashes up & there is bullish divergence. Might be risky.
USDCNH
Trend: Going bullish.
How to trade: Short it on 200DMA, perhaps long later.
USDCNH. Correction is over. Another drop is ahead.The WXY countertrend corrective structure looks completed.
The minimum target for another drop is at the earlier low 6.2360.
MACD already sends bearish divergence signal and more over dropped below 0 into the negative territory.
Risk/Reward is over 2.
USD/CNH 1H Chart: Two scenarios are shownThe price movement of USD/CNH during the past few weeks demonstrates a medium-term consolidation, meaning that the US Dollar has failed to move above the 6.3833 level, while support has been provided by an upward-sloping trend-line.
Two scenarios are possible in this situation. First, a breakout of the 6.39 area should result in a surge towards the senior channel and the 50.00% Fibonacci retracement at 6.42 during the following week.
Second, the pair might still diminish its trading range between the aforementioned barriers until downside risks prevail and start a medium-term decline. In this case, it is likely that the pair targets the monthly PP and the weekly S2 at 6.30 within the following two weeks. Technical on the longer-term time-frames are tilting towards the bearish scenario.
USD/CNH 4H Chart: Pair consolidates in triangleThe US Dollar keeps diminishing its trading range against the Chinese Yuan since the beginning of this year. As a result, the rate has formed a symmetrical triangle and is therefore consolidating slightly above its 2016/2018 low of 6.2570.
Even though the US Dollar has managed to push slightly away from this territory, its inability to overcome the 6.37 mark might still point to another decline. This assumption is likewise confirmed by strongly bearish technical indicators in both shorter– and longer-term time-frames.
If the given pattern is breached to the downside, the pair is likely to target the aforementioned yearly low at 6.2570 during the following two weeks. In the meantime, a northern breakout of the current trend-line at 6.3250 could result in a surge towards the 6.40 area.
USD/CNH 1H Chart: Two scenarios possibleThe US Dollar has been trading in a triangle-like formation against the Chinese Yuan since mid-January. Along the way, the pair tested the lower boundary of a four-month channel down circa 6.26.
The Greenback likewise breached the prevailing junior channel yesterday. This suggests that the pair could retrace from the breached pattern and start edging higher later in the day towards the upper triangle line at 6.37, especially given the fact that the US Dollar is supported by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs and the weekly PP at 6.33.
On the other hand, technical indicators demonstrate that some downside potential still exists in the market. In case this bearish scenario occurs, the proposed fall should not exceed the 6.31 mark where the bottom triangle line is located.
USD/CNH 1H Chart: Rate expected to breach resistanceUSD/CNH is trading in two descending channels which have guided its movement during the past three weeks. The rate was moving along the bottom boundaries of both patterns prior to reversing from the senior one circa 6.2575 and forming a new channel up.
The Greenback’s movement during the past two weeks has been bounded in a short-term channel down whose upper boundary coincides with one of the previously-mentioned medium-term patterns. The base scenario favours a soon breakout north towards the most senior channel circa 6.36 during this week. In order to fulfill this scenario, the rate has to overcome a significant resistance of the 200– and 55-hour SMAs and the weekly PP near the 6.31 mark.
In case the bearish sentiment prevails, the US Dollar should be guided towards the monthly S1 near 6.2050 during the following trading sessions.
USD/CNH 1H Chart: Breakout from junior channelA channel down has confined USD/CNH for the last three months, while a junior channel was formed a four weeks ago. As apparent on the chart, the US Dollar tested the 6.2815 mark yesterday - its lowest level since mid-2015. The upper boundary of the junior formation was breached on the same day.
The Greenback has since retraced from this line and remained stranded between the weekly PP and S1 Technical indicators are still in favour of another decline, given that the northern barrier is set by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs and the weekly PP circa 6.31.
However, the US Dollar should gain strength within the following days, breach this area and eventually get ready for a medium-term advance towards the senior channel located in the 6.38/42 area.






















