The USDCNH exchange rate has fallen, potentially creating opportunities for profitable investments. However, there are concerns about potential military conflicts in the region, such as between China and Japan, which could impact financial markets. Some technical analysis shows a positive trend, although there may be some delays in achieving target profits. It's...
Yield differentials between the US and China 2-year treasury note continue to suggest USD/CNH could be oversold, at least over the near-term. The daily close chart (above in black) also better shows the potential for a higher low, as part of a countertrend move. The daily candlestick chart shows a recent pullback has failed to retest the 6.6976 low, and yesterday...
USDCNH - Inverse H&S Inverse H&S taking it towards 6.8000/6.90000 areas A break above for further confirmation. Smaller term we could go test 200 EMA - If we break below 6.7 expect to re-test of the lows. Don't forget to trade your OWN plan! Trade Journal
USDCNH strugle between USA and china x Covid. trend line is the main tool for price action
Prior to major moves, the Yuan forms basic classical charting patterns or formations. The USDCNH can be profitably traded using weekly charts
HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT USDCNH is nice to see strong volume area.... Where is lot of contract accumulated.. I thing that the sellers from this area will be defend this SHORT position.. and when the price come back to this area, strong sellers will be push down the market again.. DOWNTREND + SUPPORT from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason...
A key set-up for the radar - we currently see a solid test of the H&S neckline, where a break targets 6.6500 - a move here would be conditional on a moderation in US core CPI (due 13 Dec) and a fed funds terminals rate headed to 4.75% - however, any decline in this cross would lift AUD, NZD and be thematic of outperformance in Chinese equities Price is breaking...
- Seasonally CNH is strong in DEC + JAN - Seasonally USD is weak in DEC - Technically a Wyckoff distribution seems to unfold - A last upthrust / stophunt could happen but not likely - Looking for a 1 deviation drop = sellside liquidity-zone
A few months ago, I proposed USDCNH/USDCNY consolidating for a bit and then going higher, as such strong moves usually follow through. The Chinese economy looks extremely weak for multiple reasons, and I see no way that the CNH/CNY won't lose much of its value relative to the dollar. Technically it is ready for another strong move higher, and the fact that Pelosi...
As the Chinese economy was slowing even before the lockdowns, the strict lockdowns put a lot more pressure on the CNH/CNY. This created a huge divergence in the policies of the Fed and PBoC, as one was hiking and the other was cutting. For quite some time the USD was going up against most currencies, except the CNY... until one day the market fully reversed and...
The USD in the last session, by the macro news, has a loose value against the EUR, this will affect all the pairs correlated, especially all the ones with the first denominator starting with USD. Today I want to talk about USD/CNH that comes from a long Bullish rally where in the last sessions it's inside an accumulation rectangle. We are looking to buy again here...
A little while ago the PBOC lost control of their currency and we saw the US dollar rising exponentially. In the latest trade report from China Exports from China edged 0.3% lower yoy to USD 298.37 billion in October 2022, missing the market consensus of a 4.3% growth. This was the first decline in shipments since May 2020, amid poor overseas demand as cost...
FX:USDCNH Hello everyone this is my analysis and signals sent to the group earlier today we still wait for a lot more to the upside because of what is going on in china leave your opinion in the comments!
After an important Jackson, Powell consistent attempt at persuading (or forcing) equities higher is coming to an end and it is time for a round of chart updates across the board. This sort of tendency, which toys with the idea of tapering and rolling up purchases should be seen as such; USD shorts are increasingly less appropriate; but here the dominating factor...
In this update we review the recent price action in the USDCNH and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target
The USD/CNH is definitely worth watching as the recession narrative comes back to the forefront of investors' minds. The renewed weakness in the yuan has been mirrored in the price action of things like copper and China's stock market, which fell overnight despite US and European indices rallying. Fears over global growth intensified after China decided to...
USD/CNH reached the big 0.7000 level – which was a potential scenario we first floated back in August the 16th. The pair is currently within its seventh consecutive month higher and supported by the divergent policies of the Fed and PBOC. The 2-year spread between US and China’s bond yields are soaring higher and USD/CNH prices are gladly following. With increased...
The US will release a series of high-impact economic indicators related to inflation and the labor market during the trading session, which will bring high volatility to major Forex pairs. The US will release: Consumer Price Index, which is expected to increase from 296.171 to 296.43; a higher figure will be positive for the USD as it suggests high economic...