Usirantensions

Middle East Geopolitics: Trading Roadmap for Micro WTI NYMEX: MCL Core Pricing Framework: Futures Price = Intrinsic Supply-Demand Value + Market Sentiment + Geopolitical Premium Based on historical Middle East conflict price patterns, we break down long-only, short-only and spread arbitrage trades for CME Micro WTI (MCL) futures across 3-month and 6-month holding windows, with hypothetical profit targets and risk limits. Key Historical Benchmark (WTI Geopolitical Premium Cycle) 1. Isolated Gaza conflict (2023) WTI spiked 9.7% short-term; 95% of

by JimHuangChicago

WTI - Will oil continue to rise?!WTI oil is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. Maintaining this channel will lead to the continuation of its upward movement. In the event of a downward correction of oil towards the specified demand zone, it can be tried to buy it again with an appropriate reward for the risk. The continuation of the upward movement of oil towards the supply zone, which is also at the intersection of the channel ceiling, will save the profit of the purchase

War Talks & Fed Walks: How U.S.–Iran and FOMC shape GOLD’s path Current Market Overview Gold is trading at $4,352, reflecting a sharp spike after today’s range‑bound activity. The looming U.S.–Iran war MOU and the expected agreement signing on Friday have heightened uncertainty, keeping traders cautious. Short positions are being considered as price action tests resistance levels amid geopolitical tension. Technical Indicators The chart highlights a strong resistance zone with double‑top formations, signaling potential weakness. Break of Structure (BOS)

by BullishQueen1

WTI: Why Oil Is Falling While the War Isn't Ending There's a gap between what the news is saying and what crude is doing. Breaking down what's really moving the price, what the market has already decided, and where I think this resolves over the next few weeks.

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by Alchemy Markets

Review and plan for 24th April 2026 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan. Quarterly results- analysed. This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post. please consult your financial advisor before taking any action. ----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT

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Gold drops 1% on US-Iran escalation - $5K setup still intact?Gold slid 1% on Monday after Strait of Hormuz escalations sent oil 5–6% higher, reigniting inflation fears and lifting the dollar. This video maps the key Fibonacci levels defining the next move and the Hormuz ceasefire deadline as the catalyst to watch. Key topics covered - Hormuz escalation: The US seized an Iranian vessel, Iran reasserted control of the strait, and oil jumped 5-6%, pressuring gold through the inflation and rates channel. - Ceasefire deadline: Wednesday's deadline on t

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by ThinkMarkets

UNG | Rarely Wrong, but Heating Bills Will Pop Higher!If you thought your wallet felt light after the holidays, buckle up. Natural gas is about to pull a "Phoenix" act, and it’s not just because the groundhog saw its shadow. Between a geopolitical powder keg in the Middle East and the ghost of winter storms past, the "buy the dip" crowd is about to look like geniuses—and everyone else is going to be wearing three sweaters indoors. 1. The "Strait" Jacket: The Iran Factor As of this weekend (February 28, 2026), the "will they, won't they" drama betw

by DivergenceSeeker

USDJPY M15 Bearish Retracement from Supply Imbalance 📝 Description FX:USDJPY has experienced a sharp bearish displacement after failing to hold above the previous range highs. The market swept internal liquidity and is now retracing into a lower-timeframe Fair Value Gap, which may act as a supply zone before continuation to the downside. ________________________________________ 📉 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bearish below 158.76 Preferred Setup: • Entry: 158.56 • Stop Loss: Above 158.76 • TP1: 158.333 • TP2: 158.163 • TP3: 157.945 ___________

by TradingFinder

WTI Crude spike: Iran mines vs IEA/SPR releases - Can 50% break?WTI Crude Oil is back in the green for a third consecutive session, rebounding after an unprecedented 33% intraday crash from the $113.00 highs. The oil market is currently a battleground between massive geopolitical supply shocks and coordinated global efforts to flood the market with emergency reserves. With volatility remaining high, we break down the critical 50% Fibonacci level that will dictate whether oil returns to triple digits or continues its consolidation. Key topics covered -

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by ThinkMarkets

Brent Setting Up for US Session Expansion Toward 93.00 Brent Crude May 2026 is currently trading around 89.57 after pulling back directly into the midpoint of the fair value gap, formed following the 1-hour upside break of structure. This is a key technical area. Price has now retraced into a high-interest zone where buyers may look to step back in, with the broader short-term structure still favouring continuation to the upside. As long as this reaction area holds, and fundementals support moving into the US session bent could build from here and

by UnderTheHedge

Aussie targets 0.72 trifecta cluster as geopolitical fears ease The Australian dollar is staging a rally after defending the 0.7000 psychological support following a dip below it on an intraday basis for 5 consecutive sessions. With global risk sentiment snapping back amid US President Trump commeents that the Iran excursion is nearing completion, the commodity-linked Aussie has caught a bid. Our technical forecast from last month is playing out perfectly: We are now tracking a critical "Trifecta" resistance zone at 0.7200 ahead of the upcoming RBA meetin

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by ThinkMarkets

Crude Oil to $85 !?If I were to do a short term trade on Crude oil, this would be my trade today . . . - Entry around $67 - TP1 $78 - TP2 $85 As I mentioned in before, on June 24, 2025: " based on my technical analysis model, and my doubts about the durability of the ceasefire, I expect oil prices to rise in the next 6 to 9 months. My targets? $78 and $85. "

WTI CRUDE OIL Geopolitical Fireworks Ignite Fresh Risk Surge **Today's selected single focus asset: WTI Crude Oil** chosen because continued US-Iran escalation delivered the largest energy volatility spike plus today's high impact EIA Crude Oil Inventories release after yesterday's 4 percent surge dominating all trader flows and macro risk premium narrative. **💡 WTI CRUDE OIL Geopolitical Fireworks Ignite Fresh Risk Premium Surge 📈** ## Daily WTI Crude Oil Briefing February 19 2026 📈 ### 1. Executive Summary WTI Crude Oil continues to rip higher on per