Oil is still in no man's land, seems to be forming a descending triangle, I see three possible scenarios. At this point oil is best day traded as there seems to be indecision on where this market is headed.
Oil chart doesnt look good for bulls at all, if it closes below 51 (which seems to be the "demand" line) we might see a massive sell off to last year's lows. However, seasonally oil rallies in August 70% of the time (long August 7th to 27th)
It's in "no mans land here" basically with the conflicting signals , probably safer to just daytrade it until we get a...
Bulls should look to stay in their swing trade until we drop out of the green channel. Although we would expect consolidation soon, resistance is around $51.
Look to take half off if RSI or price breaks the current trendline (GREEN) and decide whether or not you want to let the other half ride.
Shorts should see entry points next week, but be cautious as a...
You can wait for the 50.13 resistance to break to go long
or go long now and have a stop at 47.52.
However, there seems to be a better risk/reward if you go
long after 50.13.
Be patient with this kind of setup since it's a daily chart.
Also, I'm new so please trade accordingly.
I say, trends in silly moneymaking funds like USO and UCO, UWTI, etc are a great way to get rich, but as my great grandfather said and his great grandfather before him, "Always know where $50 is."
This chart is meant to show you exactly that in relation to USO.
Why does USO do this funny little contango dance around oil? Why, that's for another post my boy!
Current algo targets (red circles) Crude algo intra work sheet 645 AM Dec 2, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo Considering the fact that a recent time / price cycle has expired algo targets are considered "soft" - waiting on confirmation. twitter.com www.compoundtrading.com
Diagonal trendlines are critical inflection points (blue). If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line 90% of the time. Crude algo intra work sheet 617 AM Dec 2, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo twitter.com www.compoundtrading.com
Caution shorts. Support held. Crude algo intra work sheet 334 AM Dec 2, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo. @EPICtheAlgo Diagonal trend line (blue), Fib line (green) and alpha algo line (red dotted) all held.