the closer Weekly BB to resistance, the better odds for VIX break out. Whilst everything is possible, I don't think it has the power or potential to break out.
TLT feels like bottoming somewhere this summer? depends on the inflation metrics. But FED itself believes inflation is coming down.
Often these one-time events are bought by the smart money. Depends if...
Knowledge Required to nail these synthetic index pairs:
1, Good understanding of price Trend/directions
2, Absolute respect for Supports and Resistances
3, Knowledge of candle stick patterns
4, Discipline to use partial TP, SL
5, Discipline to wait for confirmations and only act when required
See the video for deeper understandinbg of VIX pairs.
Do you require...
Pair : Volatility S & P 500 Index
Description :
Consolidation Phase in Long Time Frame
Completed Impulsive Waves " 123 " Impulsive Waves
Break of Structure
Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line and Retracement
What do you think?
History Does Not Repeat Itself, But It Rhymes
-interest rates are about to decline
-VIX options P/C ratio of December is about 0.5
-technically we are at top (spy)
8,12,13 of December market will decide.
The VIX will spike again, nothing to do about it.
Fundamentally, a perfect storm is brewing.
We had/have many events in the markets:
- Covid Pandemic
- Supply Chain Disrupted
- Ukraine Invasion
- Russia Sanctions
- Inflation Spike
- Energy Crisis
- Global Drought
- Interest Rates Hikes
What's next, a full-blown WAR?
Pair : Volatility S & P 500 Index
Description :
Completed " 123 " Impulsive Wave
C & H
Bullish Channel in Short Time Frame as an Correction
Fibonacci Level - 78.60% / 100%
Demand Zone
A quick look at our VIX chart shows us that we are range-bound since June. Exactly, as I expected and have stated numerous times in past posts. But now, with the U.S. credit rating downgrade, fear has spiked. Will we break this range and move up? We could, yes. But to do so, we need the VIX to move above that 15.94 level with confirmation. As of today, the VIX can...
I will reiterate again, as I have in my past posts, notably:
Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning Signal
That if you are bullish on US equities into the future and want to see a healthy economy into '24 and '25, you DO NOT want to see a new all time high to be set yet.
Instead, you want a correction.
A major correction is just that: a...
💥 VIX Volatility S&P 500 Index 1D-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
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The Trend in the VIX
It appears the VIX is bouncing off its lower diagonal support. Historically the VIX does move in diagonals trends, even prior to this one.
This chart is self explanatory from a trading perspective.
- Double bounces off diagonal support have been good long entries.
- Within 1 - 4 weeks of the double bounces there has been large increases...
The Volatility S&P 500 Index rose slightly today, following a short period with a relatively low value. As is displayed on the chart, within the past year, these moments often coincided with tops in SPX and preceded times of increased volatility with significant selling pressure. Therefore, we will monitor this metric closely in the following days.
*The orange...
VIX. Swing Trade. Careful not to get too big early and get volitlity crushed as the market picks a direction over the next days and coming weeks. MAC D Crossing. High Volume at Bottoms. VIXJ2023. $VIX $UVXY $ SVIX
During '22 and each of the last 3 times the $VX 5/10 week SMA has done a 'Golden Cross' (5 week passing above 10 week) we have seen 5-10% drawdowns in S&P500 E-Minis
Will history repeat itself?
“Happiness was never important.
The problem is that we don't know what we really want. What makes us happy is not to get what we want.
But to dream about it. Happiness is for opportunists.
So I think that the only life of deep satisfaction is a life of eternal struggle, especially struggle with oneself.
If you want to remain happy, just remain stupid....
DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a SEMI-MACRO analysis of VIX a volatility index on the 4 hour timeframe. This is a brief update on VIX as we have had some interesting momentum taking place.
POINTS:
1. Deviation of 7 points continues to stand and justifies Supply & Demand Pocket Placement.
2. RSI is currently OVEREXTENDED but PRICE ACTION...
DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a SEMI-MACRO analysis of VIX. I have decided to reduce the number of BARS that it will take for the Volatility Index to see its next price action cycle with past cycles lasting up too 250, 300, or 375 BARS to complete. With current price action trajectory and support it appears 250 BARS would be the most suitable...
