It's a fairly light week for earnings, but there is some highly liquid underlyings to play for volatility contraction:
CHWY (--/74): Monday, After Market Close.
LULU (64/42): Wednesday After Market Close.
COST (44/23): Thursday, After Market Close.
ORCL (42/26): Thursday, After Market Close.
Pictured here is a CHWY January 17th 21 short put at the 20...
Members of Fundamental Trends recently took hedging positions using $VXX. Some own short-term VXX calls, others the VXX ETN. A very simple analysis of the VIX index shows that a target range for a rise in volatility would be about 18-25 on that index. Using simple Bollinger Bands and exponential moving average is all it takes along with a knowledge of history. Our...
I've dicked around long enough waiting to put something on at or near VIX lows, and I like this particular setup here, although I obviously didn't catch things at VIX lows.
Max Profit: Undefined/Infinite
Max Loss: 3.03 ($303)
Break Even: 17.51 versus 17.57 spot
Notes: With the classic "Zebra", you're looking for a setup in which...
HIGH RANK/IMPLIED EARNINGS:
CRON (32/82) (Tuesday Before Open)
TLRY (50/97) (Tuesday After Close)
CSCO (44/27) (Tuesday After Close)
WMT (48/23) (Thursday Before Open)
NVDA (24/43) (Thursday After Close)
AMAT (17/34) (Thursday After Close)
CGC (95/87) (Thursday Before Open)
JC (30/43) (Friday Before Open)
Notes: Looks like it's the "Week of Weed" with CRON,...
HD (24/21) (Tuesday Before Market)
LOW (68/35) (Wednesday Before Market)
TGT (66/37) (Wednesday Before Market)
GPS (60/53) (Thursday After Market)
M (97/67) (Thursday Before Market)
Pictured here is an M short straddle at the 17 strike in the December cycle, paying 2.73 with 14/72/19.73 break evens, and delta/theta metrics of -4.49/3.77. Look to put...
I have heard this pattern be called a "shoe" or a "bannana".
Downward straight trendline with curved supporting line (more than 3 points of contact).
Pattern repeats in VIXY chart as seen.
Bullish reversal is short 7-10 days.
We are currently in the bottom of the bannana, ready to breakout.
RSI shows wedge pattern as well, indicating breakout in RSI. We are...
I'm not hugely fond of going long volatility, particularly in an instrument that gets routinely battered by contango and/or beta erosion.
With VIX closing in on its 2019 low, however, it may be time to consider one.
Pictured here is a VXX "Super Bull" made up of a 16/18 short put vertical and a 18/20 long call vertical. As of Friday close, it pays a small .11...
LA MANIPULACION DEL MERCADO HA SIDO FENOMENAL ULTIMO AÑO, AL RITMO DEL "FAKE NEW" SOBRE POSIBLES ACUERDOS ENTRE CHINA Y EEUU SOBRE LA DISPUTA DE ARANCELES.
LA REALIDAD ES QUE GRANDES FONDOS NO PUEDEN SALIR DE SUS POSICIONES POR LA FALTA DE PROFUNDIDAD DEL MERCADO, EN COMPLICIDAD CON AUTORIDADES Y MEDIOS HAN CREADO UNA FALSA REALIDAD A MEDIDA QUE AVANZA...
So looks like it might bounce up to $28 which is about where the EMA50 on the weekly time frame. Do you use the EMAs? I have set mine to 20 and 50 as there is a lot of price action interaction with these settings. (EMA - exponential moving average)
Also I have no fucking idea how this instrument works, im just noticing a pattern with that EMA which would be my...
Good day folks,
VXX is trading in a range from 10 to 55. The RSI is falling and the VI is bearish. 30 was tested a few time and couldn't hold, so I believe VXX will continue to fall until it reaches 10. Ofcourse, if it reaches this price I will load a few shares.
Volatility falling, I think the US market will continue to rise for the next few months.
$vxx $uvxy $tvix $vixy $vixm $vxz I believe market volatility is coiling up. The vix has been making a wedge while the market has been making an expanding topping pattern. Energy appears to be building. I'm loving the vix in this range.
EL MEJOR INSTRUMENTO PARA SABER DONDE SE DIRIJE EL MERCADO ES EL ETF ULTRASHORT DEL VIX (INDICE VOLATILIDAD).
EL MISMO ESTA SIGUIENDO EL MISMO PATRON TECNICO DE DOS ANTERIORES CRASH HISTORICOS DEL MERCADO COMO LO FUERON EL DERRUMBE DE 2008 Y 1987.
LUEGO DE LA PRIMERA BAJISTA DESARROLLADA POR LA APLICACION DE LOS ARANCELES DE EEUU Y CHINA EN MEDIO DE LA...
Using the FOMC tool, we see a:
25 basis points rate-cut --> 58.8%
NO rate-cut --> 41.2%
To get these rates:
Tomorrow's volatility will surely grow, even if the FOMC cuts rates; with these percentages, we can expect J. Powell to suggest no more cuts in the future.
You can also expect Trump...