Xauuusd
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking either price to push up into our red box and give us a short, or, price to attempt that 4040 level and bounce, giving us the opportunity to go long. We got in on that long, and then just carried it for most of the week, resulting in not many updates apart from the continued path and a successful week to close.
It was a bit nervy with the ranging, but our hot spots worked well, gave us added confidence and of course the algo performed exceptionally.
A fantastic week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and analyse.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Key levels here for the open are 4228 resistance and 4210 support. These are the levels that need to be monitored on the 15min red boxes for the break. A break above and we should see that high on the chart completed and potential for bears to come in and attempt the correction. While that flip is still active, above 4210 there is more upside to be had but the level sticking out to us this week is the 4260-70 region. This is the level that needs to break open and hold for us to go higher.
The issue I have at the moment is our liquidity indicators are suggesting a higher high but once that is made, there is a chance we get a sharp reversal and a clean rejection from one of these resistance levels can lead to a very aggressive decline all the way back down into the low 4000’s again. It’s a new day of a new month so caution is needed, the market may open with gaps, if that’s the case, best not to chase them, let it settle and then look for the set up.
RED BOXES:
Break above 4230 for 4237, 4247, 4250 and 4260 in extension of the move
Break below 4210 for 4199, 4195 and 4165 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Intraday Outlook - 10 Nov 2025XAUUSD Intraday Outlook - 10 Nov 2025
Gold Spot trades at 4,082 (12:00 PM UTC+4) with bullish bias into NY session.
📌 Market Context: Wyckoff phase D re-accumulation; Dow trend up; Gann 45° support at 4,050.
Daily (1D): Inside bullish pennant above Ichimoku cloud; RSI 62; harmonic bat PRZ 4,120 cap.
4H: Rising wedge testing 4,095; EMA50>EMA200; watch for bull trap if RSI diverges near 70.
1H: Cup-handle breakout at 4,086; VWAP reclaimed; Bollinger mid-band = launchpad.
30M: Sym triangle coiling; hidden bull divergence on RSI; volume contracting before move.
15M: Bull flag above 4,072; Tenkan/Kijun bull cross; anchored VWAP holding.
5M: Falling wedge breakout retest 4,078; candlestick hammer confirms demand.
Primary Long Setup: Buy 4,076-4,082 on VWAP hold; SL 4,066; TP1 4,094, TP2 4,108, TP3 4,120.
Momentum Add: Scale above 4,095 if volume >20% avg and RSI>65; trail stop 4,088.
Counter Short: Fade 4,118-4,124 only on bearish engulfing + RSI>75; SL 4,132; TP 4,098.
Breakout Confirmations: 30M close above 4,095 + volume spike + Ichimoku span green.
Key Supports: 4,072 (flag base), 4,060 (4H Kijun), 4,045 (Gann square level).
Key Resistances: 4,095, 4,108, 4,120 harmonic PRZ.
Indicators Dashboard: BB squeeze (30M), RSI rising, VWAP slope up, EMA stack bullish.
Pattern Alerts: Monitor head-and-shoulders failure if 4,060 breaks; possible bear trap.
Volatility: ATR(14) 5M = 6 pts; adjust size; expect expansion around COMEX open.
News Risk: Watch US CPI Nov 12; reduce exposure 30 minutes prior.
Risk Rules: Risk ≤1.25% per idea; lock gains after TP1; move stop to BE +2.
Trade Management: If price stalls 4,094 with declining volume, partial exit.
Sentiment: COT shows commercials short but covering; supports short-term squeeze.
Volume Profile: HVN at 4,080 acts magnet; LVN 4,092 could accelerate breakout.
Ichimoku Checklist: Price>Cloud, Tenkan>Kijun, Chikou above price = bullish alignment.
Gann Time: 90° cycle hits 16:00 UTC; expect impulse wave.
Harmonics: AB=CD targets 4,108; crab extension warns above 4,124.
Psych Levels: 4,100 round number likely liquidity sweep—wait for confirmation.
Educational outlook only; follow your plan and manage risk.
XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Faces Rejection at 3975XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Faces Rejection at 3975, Potential for Further Downside
Gold continues to trade under selling pressure after failing to break above the 3975 resistance zone, which has acted as a strong ceiling for price several times in recent sessions. On the H1 timeframe, the market structure remains bearish, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
After a brief consolidation around 3965–3985, price appears to be creating a distribution range, suggesting potential continuation to the downside once liquidity above this minor range is collected.
Key Technical Zones:
Resistance: 3975 – 3985
Support: 3910 – 3880, with extended targets near 3820
Trading Strategy:
Traders may consider short opportunities near 3975–3980 if the price confirms rejection with bearish engulfing or RSI divergence.
First profit target around 3910, and extended target near 3880.
If gold breaks and holds above 3985, it could invalidate the short bias and trigger a short-term correction toward 4020–4030.
Technical Confluence:
EMA trend slope still points downward
RSI below 50 confirms bearish momentum
Fibonacci retracement 0.618 aligns with resistance zone
Today’s price action may remain range-bound ahead of key U.S. economic data later in the week, but as long as price holds below 3985, the bearish outlook remains intact.
Follow for more daily gold trading insights and strategic updates.
Your Gold is about to melt !Hey Traders!
Gold is showing similar pattern to its last bull market which lasted 10 years and followed by a bear market which lasted 3 years, well guess what ! We've just finished the 10 years for the current bull market and I think its the time to roach out xD
It might pump a little more but its definitely going down soon, after all any bull market doesn't last forever and 10 years is a lot of full market especially when we see a similar pattern in the chart History.
Stay safe and let me know what do you guys think about this ?
Gold Market Update (Easy to Understand!)Gold’s still shining bright; it’s in a bull market, meaning prices are mostly going up 🟢.
But even in a bull market, prices can dip before the next big move. Here’s what could happen next:
📉 If gold falls below 4205, we could see it slide down to 4184 or even 4181.
📈 After that, it might climb again toward 4252, maybe even 4279.
💪 But if gold breaks above 4239, it could keep running up right away!
👉 The big picture: gold still looks strong long-term; just expect a few short dips along the way.
Want to know where I see gold going next and how to trade around these levels?
💬 DM me “GOLD” and I’ll share my next target before it hits the charts. 🚀
Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See, Not What You Think
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Technical Analysis – H1Price Action & Trend
Gold has recently broken out of a sideways consolidation range (boxed area around 3,620–3,680 USD), showing strong bullish momentum.
The upward move peaked near the resistance zone around 3,780–3,790 USD, where selling pressure emerged.
Price is currently forming a potential ABC correction pattern:
(A) – initial retracement from the peak.
(B) – minor rebound, lower than previous highs.
(C) – projected continuation downward, suggesting further correction.
Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 3,780–3,790 USD (recent swing high).
Immediate Support: 3,700 USD (minor psychological level and previous consolidation top).
Key Support: 3,660–3,670 USD (near lower bound of previous consolidation box, potential ABC (C) target).
Indicators & Technical Tools
Fibonacci Retracement:
0.382 retracement aligns around 3,710–3,715 USD.
0.618 retracement aligns around 3,670 USD, matching the expected (C) target.
Volume:
Slight increase during the upward impulse, but volume has tapered during the current correction, indicating a healthy pullback rather than a trend reversal.
RSI/EMA:
Price has pulled back from overbought conditions. EMA on H1 likely supports near 3,700 USD.
Trading Strategy
Short-term Traders (Intraday):
Consider short positions near 3,750–3,760 USD if ABC (C) continues.
Targets: 3,700 USD first, then 3,670 USD.
Stop-loss: Above recent swing high at 3,780 USD.
Medium-term Traders:
Wait for completion of ABC correction before entering long positions.
Strong buying opportunity near 3,660–3,670 USD with confirmation candle patterns.
Trend-followers:
Look for break above 3,780 USD with strong volume to resume the bullish trend.
Summary:
Gold is in a corrective phase after hitting a strong resistance zone. The ABC correction suggests that price may retest support around 3,670 USD before resuming the uptrend. Fibonacci and previous consolidation levels provide clear zones for entries, stops, and profit-taking.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 18 Sep | Watching 3644–3637 Demand Zone for Long🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 18 September
Market Context
• Yesterday’s FOMC event caused extreme volatility, with price spiking to a new all-time high at 3707.5 , followed by sharp selling.
• M15 structure remains bearish, but our key demand zone from yesterday’s analysis is still valid.
• Market may look to grab sell-side liquidity below this zone before any potential move up, so caution is key.
Key Zone to Watch
• Demand Zone : 3644 – 3637 (strong area of interest for potential buy setups).
• Monitor price reaction here before committing capital.
Execution Plan
• Wait for price to respect 3644 – 3637 demand zone
• Look for LTF confirmation before planning a long setup
• If zone is invalidated, step aside and wait for deeper levels
Let price come to your zone — patience turns setups into opportunities.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Conservative Role Reversal Setup - Resistance Becomes Support
Sharing my straightforward approach to Gold's next potential move. 📊
**🎯 The Setup:**
I'm waiting for a role reversal play at the yellow line - this represents the zone where recent resistance should now act as support. Classic technical analysis at work. 🔄
**📍 Target and Risk:**
My minimum target is the second white line from the top - the August 8th high. For risk management, I'll use the August 22nd low as my stop loss, giving me a **2:1 risk-to-reward ratio**. This is a very conservative entry approach. 🛡️
**⚡ Higher R/R Alternative:**
If I wanted to improve the risk-reward ratio, I'd need to watch for real-time price action after any break below this morning's low. The key would be catching the actual reversal behavior as it happens, rather than using these wider structural levels. 📈
**🧠 Why Conservative Works:**
Sometimes the best trades aren't the flashiest ones. A 2:1 setup with clear levels and high probability might not be exciting, but it builds consistent profits over time. Risk management trumps home runs. ✅
**⚠️ Risk Management:**
Clean structural levels for both entry and exit. If the August 22nd low breaks, the role reversal thesis is invalidated and it's time to exit. 🚨
📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 33.33%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠
💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅
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**Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates.
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*Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
XAUUSD Rejection Signals Potential DownsideOANDA:XAUUSD is showing rejection from a clear resistance zone within the upper range of its volatility bands, with price action hinting at a potential move lower. This short setup is supported by visible bearish confluences.
✅ Bearish Confluences:
Fibonacci Resistance: Price turned lower after testing the 38.2% retracement level near $3,372.
Lower High Formation: Recent swing high is below the previous peak, maintaining a short-term bearish structure.
Volatility Band Rejection: Strong rejection from the mid-to-upper band area, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $3,332 (38.2%): First reaction area and initial support.
TP2 – $3,274 (61.8%): Key downside target within the retracement zone.
TP3 – $3,214 (100%): Full measured move to the lower band.
SL: Placed just above $3,390 to protect against a break of the bearish setup.
Gold 22 July 2025 updateGood afternoon, update to last week's post of 21 July on gold, which worked yesterday, new zone to buy, the chart shows everything in detail, so today with the message "brevity is the sister of talent"
#GOLD
BUY LIMIT ZONE 3365-3370
🎯 TP1: 3385
🎯 TP2: 3400
🎯 TP3: 3412
🎯 TP3: 3428
⛔️ Stop loss: 3355
Regards, Totoshka™
SILVER ( XAGUSD ): Still Bullish! Take The Buy Setups!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the XAGUSD (SILVER) for the week of July 21-25th.
Silver remains a Strong Buy rating. There is no technical reason to look for shorts. Only buys right now, until we see a bearish break of structure. Then sells can be considered.
That having been said, like Gold, there is a 4H +FVG that we are watching. If it holds, higher prices will ensue. If it fails, the lows become the draw on liquidity.
We'll soon see how it plays out.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold's Bullish Momentum: Trading Strategy for TodayTechnically, gold prices continued their strong bullish rally to break new highs last Friday 😎. During the Asian and European sessions, prices broke through the 3320 mark and extended their upward momentum with sustained strength 💹. In the afternoon European session, gold prices kept surging, breaking through and standing above the 3340 mark, accelerating the upward trend 🔥. In the evening US session, the price further accelerated its rally, piercing the 3369 level before pulling back and closing strongly 📈. The daily K-line closed as a fluctuating and high-breaking bullish candle 🌞. On the daily chart, there has been a strong bullish rally breaking new highs for three consecutive trading days, and the overall price has returned to the 3360 mark, re-entering a strong bullish one-sided pattern.
This morning, gold prices opened with a further gap higher, piercing the 3370 mark and continuing to fluctuate strongly 😜. Today's trend should focus on buying on dips 🙌. Although gold gapped up and surged for a while, the momentum is not strong. There must be a pullback for adjustment; otherwise, it will be difficult to maintain the upward momentum 🚶♂️.
From the 4-hour chart analysis, the short-term support below today should focus on the hourly neckline around 3340-45 📍, with key attention to the 3325-30 support level. During the day, we should continue to take the opportunity of pullbacks to go long as the main strategy 😏. The key dividing line for the short-term bullish strength is the 3325 mark. As long as the daily chart stabilizes above this level, we will continue to maintain the strategy of buying on dips to follow the bullish trend. Before breaking below this level, we will keep the strategy of buying on dips to follow the trend 💪
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Price Analysis June 27Daily Trend Analysis:
The price has reacted strongly at the 3348 level, forming a clear and sustainable bearish structure. The 3296 zone is now a critical level — a confirmed breakout below this area could lead to a deeper decline, especially with limited potential for recovery on Friday.
Today, the bearish trend is likely to face less resistance compared to the bullish side. As such, a move toward the support zones at 3278 and 3255 is highly probable.
Any bullish retracement during the European session should be viewed as a good opportunity to look for SELL setups, targeting 3278 and 3255.
As previously analyzed, SELL zones are clustered around key resistance levels. Traders should closely watch price reactions in these areas for potential entry signals.
🔹 Breakout key level: 3296
🔹 Support zones: 3278 – 3255
🔹 Resistance zones: 3300 – 3312 – 3325 – 3336 – 3348 – 3363
USDJPY Trading RangeUSDJPY saw some corrections late on Friday. Overall, the pair remains sideways in a wide range of 143,000-145,100 and has yet to establish a clear continuation trend.
The wider band in the sideways trend is extended at 146,000 and 142,000.
The trading strategy will be based on the band that is touched.
Pay attention to the breakout as it may continue the strong trend and avoid trading against the trend when breaking.
Support: 143,000, 142,000
Resistance: 145,000, 146,000
US-China Talk Drops Gold Short; Short StrategyToday, Trump announced that China and the U.S. participated in a telephone exchange 🔊! After the market learned this, optimistic sentiment surged rapidly, causing U.S. stock futures to rise sharply in the short term 📈. As a result, spot gold turned lower in the short term ↓. The current situation favors short positions:
Short at current price 📉: Initiate a small short position near 3350 👌, set a unified stop loss above 3360 ⚠️, and target key support levels at 3325-3320 🎯.
Add to shorts on rebound ↕️: If the price rebounds to the 3350-3360 range, increase the short position 📊, maintaining the same target 🎯.
Chase shorts on breakdown 💥: If the price breaks below 3320 support, chase the short trend with a stop loss at 3330 ⚠️, targeting the psychological level of 3300 🧠.
Risk reminder ⚠️: Monitor U.S. stock futures and follow-up developments in U.S.-China relations closely 👀, and be wary of volatility caused by a reversal in market sentiment 🚦. Keep position sizes within 10% ⚖️ and strictly adhere to stop losses ⛔.
Gold Trading Strategies
sell@3350-3355
tp:3325-3320
sell@3315-3320
tp:3305-3300
Professional trading strategies are pushed daily 📊
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