XLE
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 7/2Technology (XLK) led the sector list this week, propelled higher by strong economic data and significant gains by big tech. Communications (XLC) led briefly on Monday after a judge threw out two cases brought against Facebook. The decision was a blow to regulators and a boon to several tech mega-caps facing similar challenges.
Utilities (XLU) also led at the beginning of the week but quickly retreated and ended the week at a loss.
Energy (XLE) had a volatile start to the week due to increased pandemic fears. The continued demand for Oil, driving prices higher, eventually brought investors back to the sector. However, it wasn't enough to lift the sector out of the bottom position in the sector list.
The three secular growth sectors outperformed the broader S&P 500 index this week, while cyclical sectors underperformed.
longterm bullRIG will test 7-8$, imho, when these two lines colide, in like september or october. (It's current trend).
Expect some head wind in short term from slower global recovery (variant). It would be hard for XLE to return to where it came from; so that's extremely bullish .
No crap head lines can't change fact that there was underinvestment into oil exploration; thus oil companies focusing on profits first. Opec wants least 70$ WTI (supported by demand) not 50$/ br .
Also think that in short term whole energy sector has tail winds from value (DJI, VTV , industrials , etc) slowing down, and fake out rally in yields. But not in a long run.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 6/25Energy (XLE) and Financials (XLF) topped the sector list this week. Energy continues to rise while crude oil prices hit record highs. Financials (XLF) is recovering along with yields on Treasury Bonds, which both were hit by the hawkish stance from the Fed last week.
At the bottom of the sector list were the defensive sectors. Utilities (XLU) was the only sector to decline this week.
The growth sectors mixed with the cyclical sectors in the middle of the list.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 6/18It was a volatile week in the indexes and the sector list as investors rotated on the Fed's new hawkish stance toward inflation. Energy (XLE) led early in the week, but Technology (XLK) topped the list by the end of the week, ending the week as the only sector to hold onto gains.
In second place was Consumer Discretionary (XLY). Growth stocks remained strong compared to Value stocks even in the sell-off that occurred on quadruple witching Friday.
The cyclical sectors were at the bottom of the weekly sector list, with Materials (XLB) having the worse performance among a drop in commodity prices.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 6/4Energy (XLE) and Real Estate (XLRE) led the sector list for the week, establishing their lead early in the week. Energy got a boost from the rise in oil prices on high demand. Real Estate is gathering momentum from rising housing and rental prices while also being a great hedge against inflation.
The focus on employment data released on Friday morning is clear in two pivots. There was a sharp sell-off of most sectors except Consumer Staples (XLP) and Utilities (XLU) on Thursday ahead of the report. The two sectors are good defensive plays when investors get nervous about how the market may react to news or events.
After the report was released, Technology (XLK), Consumer Discretionary (XLY), and Communications (XLC) rallied on Friday. It seems the employment data was good enough to keep a positive outlook, while not so good to drive more fears of tapering by the Fed.
Health Care (XLV) was the worst-performing sector for the week.
Black Gold is not doneBlack Gold finally broke out from the 3 month cup handle pattern as mentioned last week! Although weekly chart was showing bearish, it was a bullish flag because the lows never broke. This week the momentum continues upward possibly in a big way. Extremely Bullish! Once it breaks 56.75, 59 will be the next target. XOM, SLB, NOV are yummy plays.
SWN on the move.SWN has been slowly returning from the 'left for dead' pile, significantly outperforming the broader XLE index since the covid bottom in early 2020. While I could see some consolidation at the current 5.75 level for a few weeks, this could be poised to run as high as 15 over the course of the next year.
The most attractive thing about this stock is the multiyear view here, where you can see this has been left for dead for many years. When companies wake this wake up, they are often heavily underindexed and set up for nice rallies. This in conjunction with the overall positivity of energy lately, I think we could continue to see significant returns over the course of a year.
LongBelieve, from here, it could either retest bottom of channel of 3.20-> bounce to rally. Or it consolidates before breaking above (a longterm downtrend); Or big volume, fire power shows up; bullish once breaking above 4.10-4.20 levels. TP at 5-5.20$ range, re-tests 4.20-4.50, before moving higher. Catalyst will be WTI and XLE/XOP markets.
Fundamentally I believe the narrative of "bad oil" will change once technicals align bullish, and whole XLE shows strength; narrative will change to "we still need oil" hence these media analysts hate to look bad/wrong. Once XLE shows strength, people have a very short sighted memory, but we may see soon.
XLF and others might lead the wayAs noted in my previous ideas about $SPY (bearish), $XLF, $XLI, $IWM, $XLE might be the catalyst that leads the markets higher. $XLF tapped the 8day EMA twice before going back to positive which to me shows resilience with a market that has no sense of direction. A nice hammer doji before breaking off into Memorial Weekend. XLF might try and tap the upper band (38.50 - 39) before fading back to middle channel.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 5/7It was the cyclical sectors that ruled the week. Energy (XLE), Materials (XLB), Financials (XLF) and Industrials (XLI) were the top four sectors of the week.
The cyclical sectors are benefiting from a pick-up in economic activity driving demand for products from building materials, infrastructure and the manufacturing of consumables. Supply has not been able to keep up with the increased demand, driving commodity prices higher. Timber, Copper, Aluminum are all skyrocketing. And demand for oil is increasing as transportation picks back up.
While the Dow Jones Industrial average (DJI) and S&P 500 (SPX) hit new all-time records, there were four sectors that lost for the week. Technology (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) fell on Monday thru Wednesday along with the Nasdaq, as investors rotated to re-opening and infrastructure stocks.
Real Estate (XLRE) and Utilities (XLU) were the bottom two sectors. Investors did not have interest in the defensive equity plays this week. Investors remain confident in the equities market, but are playing toward value, re-opening and infrastructure.
XLE - people are bullish.... but...A lot of people are bullish in Oil just like a lot of people were bearish when Oil was over $140 and Bearish when Oil was down a year ago.
You have to look at your chart and trade when you are confident.
I was confident in Late march and in November.
Right now, I prefer to stay aside and wait for the fog to clear. IF it is bullish, there will be plenty of chance to trade.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 4/30Energy (XLE) led the weekly sector list for the first time since the first week of March. The sector was helped by oil prices that rose on Tuesday and Wednesday, and positive earnings reports from Exxon Mobile and Chevron.
Financials (XLF) and Communications (XLC) stocks solidified second and third place with strong opens on Thursday. Financials was boosted by positive earnings reports from Capital One and S&P Global. Communications got a big lift from Alphabet and Facebook, as advertising revenues soar amidst consumers getting back to spending.
Despite several positive earnings reports in the sector, Technology (XLK) ended the week in last place. Investor outlook appears to be that these big tech companies will not continue the same amount of growth in the next few quarters, especially compared to the previous year's numbers.
XLE Upside Idea XLE is seeing a bullish crossover on the macd on the daily timeframe and holding pivot support. I believe we can see a bounce off these levels and test the previous high. With reopening in focus and strong performance in energy in the recent week (also earnings of big energy names such as XOM on friday) we can see a potential quick rise in energy stocks.
EMR EMERSON (sleepy giant)Absolutely long on this one too,
price is moving across MA 20 smoothly
in red MA50 and yellow the MA 100
That ´s another that i have detected, in very good shape. as MOS (related ideas based on best sector for the weak and upward trends)
as always invest at your own risk take care
and look for more information
Good Lick to all
Charlie
XLE Long September 50 CallsJumping into XLE here.
Oil will need to rebound if the market intends to press on, and we see this as a highly likely scenario.
We also had a very nice bounce off the 50% Fibonacci line, as well as a confirmation of support on the 50 EMA.
With a bullish market and multiple entry factors, this looks like a perfect setup for a 10/20% option return.
Feel free to follow this thread as we will be posting updates as this thing moves like all of our trades.
Good luck, All!






















