XVS/USDT – Major Demand Zone Test: Accumulation or Breakdown?On the Weekly timeframe, XVS remains in a macro bearish trend after a massive decline from its ATH around 147 USDT. The price structure continues to print lower highs and lower lows, confirming long-term bearish pressure.
Currently, price is reacting again at a very strong historical demand zone, which has acted as a key support multiple times since 2022.
The 3.8 – 2.8 USDT zone (yellow block) represents a multi-year major support area. Price behavior around this zone will be crucial in determining whether XVS forms a medium-term reversal base or continues its bearish continuation / capitulation phase.
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Key Levels on the Chart
Major Demand / Strong Support:
3.8 – 2.8 USDT (yellow zone)
→ Historical institutional demand & accumulation area
Step-by-Step Resistance Levels (Supply Zones):
5.7 – 7.0 USDT (minor supply / range resistance)
12.0 USDT
17.3 USDT
38.5 USDT (major resistance / large distribution zone)
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Pattern & Price Structure Explanation
Falling Structure (Macro Downtrend):
Price has been moving in a lower high – lower low structure since 2021.
Base Building / Potential Accumulation:
Inside the 3.8 – 2.8 USDT zone, volatility is contracting and selling pressure appears to be weakening — indicating a possible accumulation phase.
Range Compression:
Sideways price action after a prolonged downtrend often signals a transition phase before a major expansion.
At this stage, no strong bullish confirmation yet, but the current price location is highly strategic.
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Bullish Scenario (Reversal / Relief Rally)
The bullish scenario becomes valid if:
Price holds above 3.8 USDT
Strong weekly rejection candles or bullish weekly closes appear
Price breaks and closes above 5.7 – 7.0 USDT
Bullish Targets:
1. 5.7 – 7.0 USDT (initial resistance / reversal confirmation)
2. 12.0 USDT
3. 17.3 USDT
4. 38.5 USDT (medium-term target / major supply zone)
➡️ As long as price remains above the yellow zone, risk-to-reward for medium-term longs remains attractive, but entries should be scaled and confirmation-based.
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Bearish Scenario (Breakdown / Continuation)
The bearish scenario is confirmed if:
Price closes weekly below 2.8 USDT
The major demand zone fails to hold
Bearish Implications:
Continuation of the macro downtrend
Potential capitulation move
Very limited historical support below this zone
➡️ A breakdown below the yellow zone would signal invalidated multi-year demand and significantly increase downside risk.
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Conclusion
XVS is currently trading at a critical structural decision zone.
The 3.8 – 2.8 USDT area is the last stronghold for buyers. Price reaction here will determine whether XVS can form a medium-term base for reversal or enter a deeper bear market phase.
Confirmation is key — not FOMO.
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Long
