Long
Gold (GC) — Major Level Test | August 2026Gold is sitting right on a critical support zone at 4,448 — and the volume profile below tells the full story.
There is massive volume node below 4,448 — this level has been tested and respected multiple times. How price reacts here decides the next big move.
Two scenarios:
🔴 Bearish — rejection at 4,448, fails to hold → heavy selling pressure toward 4,000 psychological level. That volume pocket below offers little support until 4,000.
🟢 Bullish — holds above 4,448 with strength and volume confirmation → next target 4,879 resistance zone. A clean reclaim here opens the door for new highs.
Key levels:
Major support: 4,448
Downside target: 4,000
Upside target: 4,879
RSI at 57 — neutral, no extreme. Market is at a crossroads.
Watch the close on the 4H. A strong close above 4,448 is bullish. A weak rejection is your warning. US inflation cooled in July, weakening expectations of interest The core dynamic currently driving gold is the tug-of-war between easing pressure from monetary policy and rising risks of energy-driven inflation. The cooling of US CPI data for July has dampened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in September, significantly alleviating interest-rate-related pressure on gold; however, persistent constraints in the Strait of Hormuz have raised the risk of surging oil prices and a resurgence in inflation, thereby limiting the scope for further short-term gains in gold prices.
In the short term, $4,351 serves as a critical technical support level for gold bulls to defend, while $4,427 acts as the key resistance level that must be breached to unlock further upside potential. Should subsequent inflation and employment data continue to cool, gold could once again challenge the $4,450 or even $4,500 levels; conversely, if energy prices continue to climb and reignite US inflation expectations, the price of gold may first undergo a deeper technical correction.
From a medium-term perspective, gold retains strong structural support, though the pace of its ascent may shift from rapid gains to high-level oscillation. The decisive factors for the next trend will be whether expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy continue to moderate and whether safe-haven demand—driven by geopolitical risks—can offset the potential upward pressure that energy-driven inflation exerts on real interest rates. Until there is greater clarity on these two variables, gold is likely to remain volatile while maintaining strength at elevated levels. Short 
MNQ — Discretionary Analysis — August 13, 2026Multi-timeframe structure (1D → 15M): MNQ is in a sharp V-shaped recovery off the July 30 low (27,200), up nearly 10% since. Every timeframe from 2H down to 15M confirms the same ceiling — 30,000-30,076 — already tested and rejected twice. Support is building in stages: 29,533 → 29,114 → the major 27,200-27,400 base.
Macro context: Nasdaq 100 hit a one-month high on a megacap chipmaker rally, though futures slipped after Cisco's earnings disappointed. Tame CPI data supported stocks on August 11, but the tape stays choppy on Iran/Red Sea tensions. Fed funds futures price a 73% chance of a December hike — a hawkish backdrop against the AI-driven equity tailwind.
Primary hypothesis — LONG:
Entry: 29,830-29,880
SL: below 29,533
TP1: 30,076 / TP2: 31,101 (ATH)
R:R to TP2: ~3.6:1
Invalidation: 1H/4H close below 29,533
Alternative hypothesis — SHORT (counter-trend):
Entry: 29,950-30,050
SL: above 30,090
TP1: 29,533 / TP2: 29,114
R:R to TP2: ~5.6:1
Note: fades a confirmed resistance, but goes against the dominant trend — lower-probability setup
What we're watching: a clean break above 30,076 confirms continuation toward the ATH; another rejection there re-opens the pullback scenario.
This is an educational/analytical scenario, not investment advice. Excellent Price-action for BuyersTechnical analysis: Gold remains heavily Bullish on almost all major charts, well Supported (on Xau-Usd Spot prices) at #4,352.80 and Resisted at #4,417.80 - #4,427.80. Notice how, even though the Hourly 4 chart’s strong Resistance got invalidated already throughout early E.U. session, Price-action didn't close an Hourly 4 candle below, so no Selling signals there. On the contrary, the Hourly 1 chart clearly shows how the Hourly 1 chart’s Ascending Channel has rejected any downside attempts #4 times already since #2 Trading sessions. Keep an eye on the DX market, which I believe is the driver these days (along with Bond Yields); a break for Gold above #4,427.80 could push and expose the Daily chart’s Higher High's extension which is currently near #4,452.80 psychological barrier. My estimations are showcasing that base-case scenario is even extending the Price-action above #4,452.80 benchmark (towards #4,492.80 configuration), engaging aggressive uptrend extension (total Buying domination I already mentioned on my recent remarks).
My position: I was successfully Buying each my re-Buy zone lately, especially #4,392.80 re-Buy zone many times towards #4,405.80 extension. Also, #4,362.80 worked many times as re-Buy zone so if you used it you would be in excellent Profit. Re-Buys for today's session remain the same also with #4,372.80 as decent one also. Keep in mind that Gold will not soar straight up so that's why Buying from each re-Buy zone is crucial not to get caught in Stop-hunt. Keep Buying Gold and if #4,417.80 - #4,427.80 hard Resistance zone gives away, Gold is Targeting #4,452.80 benchmark.
My position: As discussed above, Gold delivered excellent re-Buy opportunities throughout yesterday's session also, as well all my re-Buy zones worked nicely, especially #4,402.80 and #4,414.80 towards #4,432.80 extension and those who Bought Gold aggressively with me (listened to my advice on past few ideas) are in excellent Profit by now. Gold of course remains Buy option however slowly Price-action is dangerously approaching Daily chart's Descending Channel which represents crossroads for both Short and Medium-term. If #4,427.80 is established as an Support zone, Gold will head Higher towards #4,452.80 and #4,502.80 benchmark zones. If Upper band of Descending Channel delivers rejection which brings Sellers, I won't be surprised if Gold tests #4,302.80 benchmark once again. My returns are already great on current re-Buys as I will remain comfortably on sidelines, waiting for area to be engulfed and ride the future wave upside or downside. Excellent Price-action for BuyersTechnical analysis: Gold remains heavily Bullish on almost all major charts, well Supported (on Xau-Usd Spot prices) at #4,352.80 and Resisted at #4,417.80 - #4,427.80. Notice how, even though the Hourly 4 chart’s strong Resistance got invalidated already throughout early E.U. session, Price-action didn't close an Hourly 4 candle below, so no Selling signals there. On the contrary, the Hourly 1 chart clearly shows how the Hourly 1 chart’s Ascending Channel has rejected any downside attempts #4 times already since #2 Trading sessions. Keep an eye on the DX market, which I believe is the driver these days (along with Bond Yields); a break for Gold above #4,427.80 could push and expose the Daily chart’s Higher High's extension which is currently near #4,452.80 psychological barrier. My estimations are showcasing that base-case scenario is even extending the Price-action above #4,452.80 benchmark (towards #4,492.80 configuration), engaging aggressive uptrend extension (total Buying domination I already mentioned on my recent remarks).
My position: I was successfully Buying each my re-Buy zone lately, especially #4,392.80 re-Buy zone many times towards #4,405.80 extension. Also, #4,362.80 worked many times as re-Buy zone so if you used it you would be in excellent Profit. Re-Buys for today's session remain the same also with #4,372.80 as decent one also. Keep in mind that Gold will not soar straight up so that's why Buying from each re-Buy zone is crucial not to get caught in Stop-hunt. Keep Buying Gold and if #4,417.80 - #4,427.80 hard Resistance zone gives away, Gold is Targeting #4,452.80 benchmark.
My position: As discussed above, Gold delivered excellent re-Buy opportunities throughout yesterday's session also, as well all my re-Buy zones worked nicely, especially #4,402.80 and #4,414.80 towards #4,432.80 extension and those who Bought Gold aggressively with me (listened to my advice on past few ideas) are in excellent Profit by now. Gold of course remains Buy option however slowly Price-action is dangerously approaching Daily chart's Descending Channel which represents crossroads for both Short and Medium-term. If #4,427.80 is established as an Support zone, Gold will head Higher towards #4,452.80 and #4,502.80 benchmark zones. If Upper band of Descending Channel delivers rejection which brings Sellers, I won't be surprised if Gold tests #4,302.80 benchmark once again. My returns are already great on current re-Buys as I will remain comfortably on sidelines, waiting for area to be engulfed and ride the future wave upside or downside. Silver(XAGUSD) Retracement began for the silver? Price has faced multiple rejections form R3 ~66.314, after facing rejection from strong resistance, it had consolidated within R-2 and R-1 and there after broke below the R-1, breakout below the bullish trendline was a significant structural shift, now it's expected to continue in the lower direction. S-1 is currently showing strength and supporting the price move, if that is breached it could directly retest S-2 (62.991) levels.
After a week long one sided up move, trend was clearly showing signs of exhaustion, inability to achieve newer highs had made the price structure fragile.
Bearish sentiment is clearly visible expected to continue in the bearish direction, should be looking for short trades only, after each pull backs we can initiate fresh shorts, and on breakout of consolidation would be nice opportunity to take fresh shorts.
For Educational Purposes only, Not an Investment Advice, Always use strict Risk management measures.
Regards CrazyTrades247. 
Short
GOLD Hold support Buyers Prepare for the next upside move Gold continues to show strong upward repeatedly defending the 4,356 support zone and recovering after each pullback. The chart is forming a series of higher lows, while buyers continue to step in around the lower boundary of the current trading range.
The key reason behind this repeated upside pressure is a combination of technical demand and changing expectations around U.S. monetary policy. Recent U.S. CPI data has reduced some expectations for another aggressive Fed move, helping ease pressure from the U.S. dollar and supporting gold. Markets are now closely watching today’s U.S. PPI release, which can create additional volatility for XAU/USD.
Resistance ; 4422 / 4460
Support ; 4470 / 4055
Technically, price is consolidating below the 4,422 resistance area. A confirmed breakout and sustained hold above this level could open the path toward the 4,460 zone, which is the next major upside target shown on the chart. Meanwhile, 4,356 remains the critical support; holding above this level keeps the short-term bullish structure intact.
Hope you found this analysis helpful. 👍
Like, Comment & Follow for more updates. Trade safe. Long 
Short
ES Futures — Key Decision Zone | August 2026ES is pushing into major resistance at 7,801 after a strong recovery from the lows.
For a healthy bullish continuation, price needs to pull back and retest 7,650 first — confirming that former resistance has flipped to support. Without that retest, any move higher lacks a solid foundation.
Two scenarios:
🟢 Bullish — price pulls back to 7,650, holds and bounces with volume → confirms structure → next target 7,801 break → extension toward 8,000+
🔴 Bearish — 7,650 fails to hold on retest → door opens back to 7,450 support zone and potentially lower
Key levels:
Resistance: 7,801
Retest zone: 7,650 (the level that matters most right now)
Support: 7,450 / 7,300
RSI at 62 — not overbought yet, but momentum needs to pause and reset before the next leg.
Watch how price behaves at 7,650. That reaction tells you everything. 
Short
XAUUSD H2Context:
Gold completed a 5-wave impulsive rally (1)–(5) from the early-Aug low (~4,180) up to a high near 4,440, with the final wave (5) marked with a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) label — a Wyckoff-style distribution signal suggesting the rally may be exhausted.
Price is currently pulling back from the HIGH retest, trading at 4,393, right at the upper OB zone (4,360–4,380).
Scenario drawn on chart (ABC correction):
Wave (A): decline already underway from the UTAD high, projected into the OB zone (4,320–4,340), near 0.5–0.618 fib.
Wave (B): corrective bounce back up toward ~4,400, a partial retracement of wave (A).
Wave (C): deeper decline breaking through the mid OB, extending to the lower OB zone (~4,225–4,260) — a much larger correction back toward the wave-(2)/breakout origin.
Key structure:
The Wyckoff UTAD label is the key signal here — a false breakout above resistance (4,440ish) followed by rejection is classically bearish, suggesting smart-money distribution rather than genuine continuation.
The upper OB (4,360–4,380) is the immediate support being tested now; a break below it would confirm wave (A) is extending toward the mid OB (4,320–4,340).
The lower OB (4,225–4,260) is the major structural zone — this aligns with the origin of the breakout (wave (2)/(3) area) and would represent a full retracement of the recent impulsive advance if reached.
Read:
This is a distribution-topping setup — the UTAD marks a potential exhaustion signal at the wave-(5) high, and the expected path is a corrective ABC decline: a break into the 4,320–4,340 OB (wave A), a bounce to ~4,400 (wave B), then a deeper flush into the 4,225–4,260 OB (wave C). Bias shifts cautious-to-bearish short-term following the UTAD signal, in contrast to the straightforward bullish continuation seen in recent charts.
Risk note: technical read only, not financial advice — a UTAD read is inherently a reversal call against the prevailing trend, so it carries more risk of being wrong than trend-continuation setups; confirm with a clear rejection/CHoCH on a lower timeframe before treating the high as confirmed, since price could also reclaim above 4,440 and invalidate the distribution read. XAUUSD — Sell the FVG RetestFundamental Analysis
Gold is pulling back from a two-month high as traders take profits after softer U.S. CPI reduced expectations for a September Fed hike. The USD remains relatively firm, while markets are now waiting for U.S. PPI data for the next inflation signal, which may keep XAUUSD volatile.
Technical Analysis
On the 30M chart, XAUUSD is trading near 4,389 after a bearish CHoCH and strong displacement from the 4,400–4,415 supply area. Price is now rebalancing the nearby FVG, while the broader intraday structure favors a corrective sell if the marked sell zone rejects. A failed reclaim of 4,400–4,415 could push price back toward 4,370 and eventually the strong low around 4,356.60.
Important Key Levels
Current price: 4,389.24
Main sell zone: 4,400–4,415
Short-term support: 4,370–4,380
Short-term resistance: 4,400–4,418
Liquidity area: 4,445–4,450
Main target: 4,356.60
Invalidation: above 4,422
Trading Scenario
Main Sell Setup
Entry: 4,400–4,415
Stop Loss: 4,422
Take Profit 1: 4,380
Take Profit 2: 4,370
Take Profit 3: 4,356.60
Sell Condition
Wait for price to retrace into the sell zone and show bearish confirmation. A long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed FVG reclaim, or 30M close back below 4,400 may confirm renewed seller pressure. If price breaks and holds above 4,422, the local bearish setup is no longer valid.
Overall View
The 30M structure has shifted bearish after the recent CHoCH, while price remains below the marked supply and upper FVG. The preferred plan is to avoid chasing the decline near current price and wait for a retest of 4,400–4,415 before targeting the strong low around 4,356.60.
Do you expect gold to retest the sell zone before sweeping the 4,356 strong low? Short 
Long 
NQ Futures — Key Level Decision Point | August 2026NQ is currently sitting on a major resistance zone around 29,861–29,878.
This is a critical area. Two scenarios from here:
🔴 Bearish — price fails to break and hold above this resistance → expect rejection back toward 29,296 support. Watch for weak volume on the push and a bearish close on the 4H.
🟢 Bullish — price breaks above resistance with conviction, retests the level and holds → next target 30,832. Need to see volume confirmation on the breakout candle.
Bias is neutral until the level is decided. No trade until I see how price reacts here.
EMAs on daily still bearish — price trading below the 10, 20, and 50. Bulls need to reclaim and hold above this zone to shift structure.
Levels to watch:
Resistance: 29,861 / 29,878
Support: 29,296 / 28,700
Upside target: 30,832
#NQ #NQ100 #futures #daytrading #technicalanalysis #levels #CME Short 
Who Is Selling Gold While Central Banks Keep Buying?Gold has been correcting over the past quarter. But here’s something interesting.
While the gold price was falling, central banks around the world continued to show a strong appetite for gold.
According to the latest World Gold Council research, central banks continued to accumulate gold. From April to June this year, their purchases increased to nearly 289 tonnes—higher than in the second quarter of 2025, 2024, and 2023.
So, this raises a very interesting question: If central banks are buying gold, who is selling it?
And perhaps an even more important question:
What are central banks seeing that other investors may not be seeing?
Mirco Gold Futures and Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Long
Long 
Short
Short 
Long 
XAUUSD: Trendline Holds Firm; Buyers Eye 4,486 AgainXAUUSD maintains a clear bullish structure on the H4 timeframe, characterized by a series of higher lows. Following a pullback from the 4,440 level, the price is retesting the rising trendline around 4,380–4,400—a zone that will likely determine the next move.
On the positive side, the primary trend remains intact, and the price is holding above the Ichimoku dynamic support zone. If the 4,400 level is reclaimed and held, buying pressure could push gold back to the recent high of 4,440, followed by a push toward the key resistance zone at 4,460–4,486.
The bullish scenario would weaken if the price decisively breaks below the trendline and fails to hold the 4,380 area. However, as long as this structure remains intact, I favor a "buy the dip" approach over counter-trend selling.
Bias: Bullish | Key Level: 4,400 | Target: 4,486 Long 
XAUUSD – Bearish Setup Following the Rising Channel Breakdown📊 XAUUSD – Bearish Setup Following the Rising Channel Breakdown
🔍 Market Overview
XAUUSD has broken below its rising channel on the 30-minute timeframe, indicating that short-term momentum is shifting toward sellers. Price is currently trading near 4,385 and remains below the 4,400–4,410 resistance zone.
📉 Market Structure
Previous trend: Bullish
Short-term bias: Bearish
Current phase: Breakdown/Retest
The 4,408–4,450 area is a key supply zone. If price retests this region but fails to reclaim it, selling pressure could increase.
🚨 Bearish Scenario
Confirmation conditions:
Price remains below 4,400–4,410.
The recovery is rejected from the supply zone.
A lower high is formed.
Support at 4,365 is decisively broken.
Trade plan: Look for selling opportunities if price retraces toward 4,395–4,410 and shows bearish rejection. Alternatively, wait for a confirmed break below 4,365 followed by a retest.
🎯 Target 1: 4,340
🎯 Target 2: 4,300
🎯 Main target: 4,273
❌ Invalidation
The bearish scenario would weaken if price re-enters the rising channel and closes firmly above the 4,450–4,460 zone.
📍 Key Levels
🔴 Resistance: 4,400–4,410
🔴 Main supply zone: 4,408–4,450
🟢 Immediate support: 4,365
🟢 Main target: 4,273
⚠️ Trading View
Wait for a retracement and bearish confirmation rather than chasing an extended downward move. Risk only 1–2% per trade, define the stop-loss before entering, and avoid excessive leverage.
This analysis is based on a chart snapshot and is provided for educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice. Short 
