Futures market
XAGUSD: Bullish channel remains intact; 68.09 is the next targetXAGUSD maintains a clear bullish structure on the H2 timeframe, with price consistently forming higher lows and finding support along the lower boundary of the rising channel. Holding above the 65.49 level indicates that buyers remain in control of the primary trend.
Should a pullback occur without breaking below 65.49 and the underlying FVG support zone, I anticipate a swift return of buying pressure. In that scenario, XAGUSD could resume its upward trajectory toward the 67.00 level, subsequently extending to 68.09.
The fundamental backdrop remains relatively favorable for silver, driven by expectations of a less hawkish Fed and ongoing safe-haven demand supporting the precious metals sector.
Main view: Bullish bias as long as the 65.49 level holds; near-term target is 68.09.
SILVER (XAGUSD): High-Probability Short From Resistance AreaSILVER (XAGUSD): High-Probability Short From Resistance Area 📉
Silver is facing strong rejection at the major Resistance Area (66.00 - 67.00) on the 2H chart, signaling a potential bearish breakdown towards lower support targets.
Trade Plan:
• Entry: Market Price / Below 66.12
• Stop Loss: 67.30
• Take Profit 1: 61.03
• Take Profit 2: 56.55
Invalidation: 2H close above 67.00.
Note: Educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management.
Gold & Silver continue to be bullish!The price is more likely to go past 85.09226 on Silver today as price to continue with the upward momentum. It's moving within the channel and continuing to create higher highs & higher lows. Once the market go past 85.09226, it would be on the way to create a new higher high. Doing shorts won't be a good idea. Only look for longs.
XAGUSD: Bullish Momentum BuildsXAGUSD maintains a clear bullish structure on the H1 timeframe, with the price consistently forming higher lows and the rising trendline continuing to provide solid support. The preceding series of Break of Structure (BOS) events indicates that buyers remain in control of the market's primary momentum.
The 65.08 level currently serves as key support. Should the price pull back to this area while holding above the trendline, I anticipate a resurgence of buying pressure, driving XAGUSD upward toward the 66.70–67.07 supply zone.
From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a less hawkish Fed, weak US labor data, and safe-haven demand continue to underpin silver prices. Consequently, I favor a "buy on pullback" strategy over counter-trend selling.
Primary Trend: Bullish | Support: 65.08 | Target: 67.07
WTI Crude Oil ($XTIUSD) Daily: Momentum Accelerates Above WTI Crude Oil ( ICMARKETS:XTIUSD ) Daily: Momentum Accelerates Above Reclaimed 200-EMA Toward Key Wedge Resistance
### 🛢️ WTI Light Crude Oil ( ICMARKETS:XTIUSD / TVC:USOIL ) Daily Technical Matrix (Ref: XTIUSD_2026-08-12_08-41-35.png)
We are releasing an updated Daily (1D) structural framework on WTI Light Crude Oil ( ICMARKETS:XTIUSD / TVC:USOIL ). Following a successful defense of the lower trendline support and the reclamation of its key moving average cluster, price action is expanding higher inside the macro multi-month consolidation wedge.
Crude Oil is currently trading with active buy-side control at **83.94 (+0.73%)**, positioning for a retest of overhead static resistance.
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### 🔍 Technical Architecture & Structural Dynamics:
Our quantitative setup isolates key dynamic support levels and primary resistance targets:
1. **Dual EMA Reclaim & Dynamic Support:** Price action has established a firm base above both the **200-period EMA (purple line at 79.64)** and the **17-period EMA (red line at 81.18)**, confirming a shift back toward short-term bullish momentum.
2. **Macro Wedge Squeeze Structure (Diagonal Red Lines):** Crude Oil remains contained within a broad multi-month wedge, bounded by the ascending support line originating from the **67.30** macro floor and the primary descending resistance line originating from multi-month highs.
3. **Key Horizontal Resistance Barriers:**
* **Immediate Overhead Ceiling:** **86.61** — Primary dynamic test point aligned with upper wedge supply.
* **Secondary Structural Target:** **93.91** — Major horizontal liquidity pocket.
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### 🛡️ Strategic Operational Scenarios:
* **Scenario A — Bullish Wedge Retest & Breakout Extension:** Sustained buy-side momentum above the **81.18** EMA floor targets an immediate retest of **86.61**. A decisive daily break above **86.61** and the upper descending trendline will trigger a volatility expansion toward **93.91**.
* **Scenario B — Pullback Rejection to Dynamic EMA Support:** Any temporary profit-taking off overhead supply will find immediate absorption at the **17-EMA (81.18)** and the **200-EMA (79.64)** floor, preserving the active higher-low structure.
### 📊 Tactical Parameters Summary:
* **Current Bias:** Neutral-Bullish / Rebound Expansion Above 200-EMA
* **Immediate Static Resistance:** 86.61
* **Secondary Upside Ceiling:** 93.91
* **Immediate Dynamic Support (17-EMA):** 81.18
* **Institutional Base Support (200-EMA):** 79.64
* **Macro Structural Floor:** 67.30
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📊 **ChartPro Data**
*Energy Market Architecture, Dynamic EMA Confluences & Systematic Risk Management.*
⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This active market study represents a personal trading framework and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
XAUUSD XAUUSD – Currently Bullish
Gold is trading just below a key Daily resistance level after multiple failed breakout attempts. Despite three consecutive pushes higher, price has consistently closed below the level, leaving the resistance intact.
I continue to favor a pullback toward the nearest support. Yesterday’s session left liquidity resting at the lows, and further liquidity has been built beneath current price — a classic setup designed to induce additional buyers before the next directional move.
While Gold can be complex in isolation, broader USD pairs are predominantly selling yet retain underlying bullish momentum. This cross-market confluence adds meaningful weight to the bullish bias on XAUUSD.
Watching closely for the anticipated retracement into support.
Gold Price Strategy & Key NotesGold surged all the way to a high of $4435, followed by heavy profit‑taking among long‑position traders, which triggered a pullback. The price is now oscillating around the 4390‑4400 range. The market is waiting for the US CPI inflation data to set the next directional move. Overall, this is a wait‑and‑see phase following a sharp rally.
Short positions may be reasonably placed if gold faces resistance while rising within the 4390‑4405 zone. Prior to the CPI release, strict position management is required; trade with light positions or stay on the sidelines. Follow the market trend once the data comes out.
Trading Strategy
Rebound: Go short on stabilization at 4390‑4405
Targets: 4370‑4360
Silver : Another 6% leg up inevitable?Silver has been holding strong , and its next most likely move might be towards 70$.
Silver has broke and held above 63$, a previous resistance point. Ever since it has been moving in an ascending line on the hourly channel , forming a series of higher lows and higher highs suggesting that bulls are in control ….for now.
Now if this trendline holds then we can expect Silver to pull a move towards 70$, which is our next major resistance point and reaching our highest level since June. However, a break of a trendline might see Silver go as low as 60$.
Either beware of today’s volatility, especially during CPI data.
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Expecting a Pullback in Gold Prices.XAUUSD Technical Analysis – H1
Price is currently under corrective pressure after being strongly rejected from the 4,400–4,410 resistance zone. The ascending trendline is still holding, but the short-term market structure is showing signs of weakening.
Key Resistance & Support Levels
🔵 Major Resistance: 4,400–4,410 → Strong supply zone. A confirmed breakout with an H1 candle close above this area is required for the bullish trend to continue.
🔵 Intermediate Resistance: 4,375–4,380.
🟡 Key Pivot: 4,344–4,345 → A break below this zone could trigger a rapid increase in selling pressure.
🟢 Major Support: 4,310–4,320 → Demand zone + ascending trendline, making this a key area to monitor for a potential price reaction.
Trading Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario: If price holds the 4,310–4,320 support zone and reclaims 4,345, a recovery toward 4,375, followed by 4,400–4,410, becomes possible. A decisive breakout above 4,410 would open the way for further upside.
📉 Bearish Scenario: If an H1 candle closes below 4,310, the short-term bullish structure would be invalidated, increasing the probability of a deeper correction.
⸻
TRADING PLAN
🟢 BUY GOLD
* Entry: 4,318–4,320
* Stop Loss: 4,310
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
🔴 SELL GOLD
* Entry: 4,408–4,410
* Stop Loss: 4,420
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
Risk Management
* Risk no more than 1–2% of your account equity per trade.
* Wait for confirmation before entering a position.
* Consider moving the Stop Loss to breakeven once the trade reaches a reasonable profit level.
Did Gold just signal its CPI move?Gold has recently reclaimed above 4400$ , a level not seen since the beginning of June. This may have just ignited the next move … potentially to the downside. Let’s go over our possibilities:
Gold tapped in above 4380$, a major liquidity area where two equal highs are situated. This was the last high made before the move below 4000$. So if price manages to hold above that level then further upside is expected. Preliminary targets are near 4500$.
However if price breaks below 4380$ aggressively, this suggests that the move above 4400$ was a trap before the CPI. A pullback would be expected towards 4240$, a near 3.5% pullback from current levels.
Watchout Traders as today’s CPI will bring in major voliality. Trade with caution and remember the most important thing in trading is protecting your capital.
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XAUUSD Price Outlook – Trade Setup🌐Macro Background
Gold advanced after pulling back from a two-month high. , as traders weighed prospects for a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz while awaiting US inflation data later today that could provide fresh clues on the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate path.
On Tuesday, Pakistan’s defence minister said the US and Iran are “close to some sort of arrangement” to reopen Hormuz, even after both sides appeared to toughen their stances on the waterway that’s crucial to global energy flows.
📊Technical Structure
From the 4H chart, gold has rebounded within an ascending channel pattern, currently testing the channel's dynamic median line.
Support Zone: Positioned between 4,279 and 4,325, representing a crucial confluence of the rising channel's lower boundary and a short-term horizontal support area.
Resistance Zone: Ranging from 4,429 to 4,477, marking the upper boundary of the current ascending channel and previous reaction highs.
🎯Trade Setup(Long / Buy-on-dip)
Look for buying opportunities on a minor pullback toward the 4,300 – 4,325 Support Zone, or on a confirmed breakout above the immediate intraday.
Take Profit Targets: Target 1: 4,429 & Target 2: 4,477
Stop Loss: $4,250
❌Invalidation
Closing below the 4,279 support level would invalidate the current ascending channel structure.
📝Trade Summary
Look to buy gold on dips near the support zone, targeting $4,429 – $4,477 resistance while maintaining a stop loss below $4,250.
⚠️Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
XAUUSD 30M — Structure & Key LevelsXAUUSD 30M — Structure & Key Levels
Gold is currently trading around the 4,390 area after showing a rejection from the recent 4,400–4,420 region.
The chart highlights an important reaction zone around **4,300–4,315 (STS Level)**, while the larger **SP Level is near 4,232**.
Price has already made a strong move upward from the lower support area and is now showing hesitation near the recent highs. From a technical perspective, the key point is how price behaves around the current 4,390–4,400 region.
**Key levels to watch:**
• 4,420–4,431 — upper resistance area
• 4,390 — current reaction area
• 4,300–4,315 — STS Level
• 4,232 — SP Level
If weakness continues, the marked zones below could become areas of interest. If price regains the recent high region and holds above it, the downside scenario would need to be reconsidered.
This is a chart-structure study based on the levels shown in the image. Always manage risk carefully and wait for price confirmation before making any decision.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/12/2026 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2026
- PR High: 29666.00
- PR Low: 29626.75
- NZ Spread: 87.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | CPI (Core|MoM|YoY)
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 603.63
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 283K
- Trend Grade: Short
- From BA ATH: -4.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 31904
- Mid: 29517
- Short: 27131
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
XAGUSD — Liquidity Sweep + Trendline Rejection Bearish ScenarioSilver has maintained a strong bullish structure overall, but the latest price action is showing signs of a potential short-term bearish reversal. Price has pushed into the 1H Order Block and is currently reacting from that area.
🔍 Key observations:
📈 Previous BOS confirms the broader bullish structure.
💧 Price formed a liquidity area around the recent highs.
📉 The latest reaction from the 1H OB suggests possible supply entering the market.
📐 The rising trendline is an important short-term structure level.
🎯 If bearish momentum develops, the 30M OB around 63.7–64.2 becomes the primary downside area of interest.
🧩 Below that, the 30M FVG + OB zones around 62.3–62.6 and 61.3–61.7 could become deeper reaction areas.
⚠️ Invalidation: A sustained move above the 1H OB / 4H OB area would weaken the bearish scenario and suggest continuation of the broader bullish structure.
This is a technical market-structure study, not a guaranteed trade outcome or financial advice. Price can invalidate the scenario at any time, so risk management remains essential.
TradingView requires ideas to contain meaningful reasoning and prohibits promotional/solicitation content, so this format keeps the focus on the chart and analysis.
🔥 Suggested Title
XAGUSD: Liquidity Sweep at 1H OB — Will Silver Retrace? 🥈📉
🏷️ Tags
#XAGUSD #SILVER #SmartMoneyConcepts #Liquidity #MarketStructure #OrderBlock #FVG #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold: Resistance Area – Short First, Longs on PullbacksAfter two weeks, I’m back. How has everyone been doing with their trading?
During my absence, gold rallied strongly and broke through the 4400 level. This move was late but it came — congratulations to those who followed the strategy and captured solid profits!
Now, back to business. Today’s market presents both risk and opportunity — CPI data will once again shake the market. If the data is bullish for gold, price could test the 4500 area. If bearish, we may see a pullback toward 4300 or even 4250.
From a technical perspective, the rally has been relatively healthy. However, sharp moves are always accompanied by accumulating selling pressure. If today’s data leans bearish, the combination of data-driven selling and existing overhead supply could push price below 4300 with relative ease.
The daily chart structure still looks decent for now. But as price moves above 4400, it is entering areas with notable selling pressure:
4440–4480: the first resistance zone after holding 4400
4540–4600: a heavier supply zone on the daily chart
On the 2-hour chart, persistent bearish divergence serves as a warning signal to stay cautious.
From a short-to-medium-term perspective, after the rally above 4400, the trading bias needs to shift — prioritizing selling opportunities, with buying as a secondary approach.
Trading Reference Levels:
Buy @ 4360 / 4280
Sell @ 4430 / 4480
XAUUSD: Bullish channel holds; buyers remain in controlXAUUSD maintains a clear bullish structure on the H1 timeframe, with price consistently forming higher lows and trading steadily within an ascending channel. Following a correction from the 4,430 level, buying pressure has re-emerged near the dynamic support zone, indicating that the primary trend remains intact.
Technically, the 4,370–4,380 range is a key area of interest, as it represents a confluence of the ascending channel's lower boundary, Ichimoku levels, and the nearest Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). If price holds this zone, I anticipate XAUUSD could reclaim the 4,430–4,440 level before extending gains toward the 4,500–4,502 area.
Recent news developments also support the bullish case for gold. However, the 4,430–4,440 zone remains a resistance level that must be overcome; therefore, a pullback prior to further upward movement would represent a healthier price action.
The bullish scenario would be invalidated if XAUUSD closes decisively below 4,370, as this would signal that the short-term support structure and the lower boundary of the ascending channel are no longer holding.
XAUUSD: Buyers Hold the AdvantageXAUUSD maintains a clear bullish structure on the H4 timeframe following a strong breakout from the previous consolidation zone. Prices remain well above the EMA34 and EMA89, indicating no signs of weakness in the primary trend.
The 4,367 level is the area I am watching most closely should a pullback occur; it serves as immediate support and lies just below the current consolidation zone. If buyers successfully defend this level, there is a strong possibility that XAUUSD will regain momentum and target the 4,430–4,470 range.
The recent macroeconomic backdrop also supports gold, driven by safe-haven demand and expectations of a less hawkish Federal Reserve, though volatility could spike around the release of US inflation data.
XAGUSD 30M — Market Structure & Liquidity AnalysisMarket Structure 🔎
Silver is showing a bullish intraday structure, with multiple BOS confirmations followed by strong upward displacement. After reaching the 4H OB around 66.00–66.50, price has started a corrective move lower.
The current retracement brings price toward the marked 30M FVG + OB area around 63.60–64.40, which is an important zone to observe for a potential reaction.
Key Zones
🔹 30M FVG: ~64.15–64.45
This is the first area to monitor during the current pullback.
🔹 30M OB: ~63.60–64.15
A deeper reaction zone if the FVG is not sufficient to support price.
🔹 Swing Low / Liquidity: ~63.00
A key structural reference. A sweep of this area followed by bullish confirmation could be significant from a market-structure perspective.
🔹 Lower 30M FVG + OB: ~62.30–62.70
Deeper demand/imbalance area if the correction extends further.
🔹 4H OB: ~66.00–66.50
Major higher-timeframe reaction/supply area where the previous bullish expansion encountered resistance.
Possible Scenarios 📈
Bullish scenario:
Price could continue retracing into the 30M FVG/OB, potentially sweep nearby liquidity, and then form a bullish structure shift. A sustained recovery could bring price back toward the 4H OB.
Deeper correction scenario:
If the first 30M zone fails, attention can shift toward the 63.00 swing-low liquidity and subsequently the 62.30–62.70 FVG + OB.
Invalidation / bearish clue:
A decisive breakdown below the important swing structure, followed by bearish continuation, would weaken the current bullish interpretation and suggest that the correction may be developing into a larger reversal.
Educational Takeaway 🧠
The key idea here is not to chase the previous impulse, but to study how price behaves around the marked FVGs, order blocks, and liquidity levels. The reaction and subsequent market-structure shift provide more information than simply assuming that a zone will hold.
⚠️ Educational and technical-analysis study only. This is not financial advice, a trade signal, or a guarantee of future price movement. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk independently.
SOYBEAN 1H: Descending Wedge Breakout & Seller Trap (Long Setup)
1. Market Context
On the 1H chart, Soybean is compressing inside a descending red wedge structure right above the major bottom support floor at 1,151.6. Price recently bounced off 1,156.0 and is now pressing directly against the upper red trendline resistance around 1,170.0.
2. Trader Behavior & House Trap Analysis
Where Traders Place Orders: Seeing the downward trendline and overall bearish momentum, retail traders are opening SELL orders near 1,170.0, expecting price to drop back down to 1,151.6 or lower.
Trader Stop-Loss & Target: These short-sellers have placed their Stop-Loss orders immediately above the trendline around 1,172.0 – 1,175.0, targeting lower lows.
How the House Plays It: The House previously flushed early buyers down at 1,151.6. Now, as retail crowds into sell orders at the trendline, the House will push price up to slice through 1,170.0 ("Break Signal"). This sweeps all the sellers' stop-losses (forcing buy-stop market orders), fueling a rapid squeeze toward 1,185.7 (TP1) and 1,197.3 (TP2).
3. Trade Setup
Entry: 1,170.0 (Confirmed 1H close above the red trendline / Break Signal)
Stop Loss (SL): 1,156.0 (Placed safely below the recent bottom bounce)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1,185.7
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1,197.3
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx 2:1 (Calculated toward TP2)






















