GOLD/XAUUSD UPDATED TRADING IDEA This was the chart shared pre-CPI previously and the same levels are we relaying on today.
Stance: Trade Range, Buy on Support & Sell on Resistance with Rejection on M15 candle
LongFutures market
Long
XAUUSD: Price Pullback to Buy ZoneXAUUSD is trading around $4,379, down approximately 0.42% on the H4 chart after facing rejection at the $4,440 level. Reuters also reported a roughly 0.5% decline in spot gold, driven primarily by profit-taking following a rally to a more than two-month high.
The macroeconomic backdrop remains slightly supportive of gold, as cooling US CPI data has lowered expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in September.
On the H4 timeframe, the price remains within an uptrend channel and above the EMA34 and EMA89. I am keeping a close watch on the $4,260–$4,340 zone; if the price pulls back to this area but buying pressure returns, the bullish structure remains intact, potentially opening the way for a move toward the $4,550–$4,600 range.
Do you think gold will retest the Buy Zone before heading toward $4,600?
Long
Bullish Structure Targets 67.00+XAGUSD H1 | Bullish Structure — Buyers Eye 66.50–66.90
Analysis
XAGUSD is holding above the rising trendline and key support, keeping the short-term structure bullish.
A successful hold above 64.30–64.50 could support another move higher toward 66.00, followed by 66.50 and the 66.70–66.90 resistance zone.
A confirmed breakout and close above 66.90 could signal further bullish continuation.
Key Levels:
🟢 Support: 64.30–64.50
🎯 TP1: 66.00
🎯 TP2: 66.50
🔴 Resistance: 66.70–66.90
Invalidation: Sustained break below the rising trendline/support.
Educational analysis only. Not financial advice. Manage risk appropriately.
Long
XAUUSD: Bulls Defend 4,400, 4,450 Is the Next BattleXAUUSD: Bulls Defend 4,400, 4,450 Is the Next Battle
Market Context
Gold is trading around 4,396 after returning to test the 4,400 area while the market waits for the next US inflation catalyst: PPI.
The latest CPI data came in softer and matched expectations, helping reduce September Fed rate-hike bets. This triggered pressure on the US Dollar and Treasury yields, giving gold more support toward the upside.
However, price is now sitting near a short-term decision zone. The bullish trend is still active, but buyers need to defend 4,385 - 4,400 before the next push toward 4,440 - 4,450 can continue.
Key point: gold remains bullish, but 4,400 is the line buyers must protect.
Technical Structure
Gold is still trading inside a bullish structure after multiple BOS signals and strong upside continuation from the lower demand zones.
The current price is reacting inside the Buyer Hold Zone around 4,385 - 4,400. This is the nearest support area. If buyers hold this zone, gold can attempt another push toward the Upper Supply Zone at 4,418 - 4,440.
Above that, 4,440 - 4,450 is the liquidity peak. A clean breakout above this area would confirm stronger bullish continuation and may open the path toward higher targets.
If 4,385 - 4,400 fails, gold may correct deeper toward the Main Demand Zone around 4,360 - 4,370. Losing 4,360 would weaken the short-term trend and increase the chance of a retest toward 4,315 - 4,335.
Key Levels
Current Price: 4,396
Buyer Hold Zone: 4,385 - 4,400
Upper Supply Zone: 4,418 - 4,440
Liquidity Peak: 4,440 - 4,450
Main Demand Zone: 4,360 - 4,370
Deep Demand Zone: 4,315 - 4,335
Bullish Continuation Trigger: Above 4,450
Bearish Correction Trigger: Below 4,360
Trading Plan
Buy Scenario
Entry: 4,385 - 4,400
SL: Below 4,360
TP: 4,418 / 4,440 / 4,450
Condition: Price must hold the Buyer Hold Zone and show clear bullish confirmation. Buyers need to defend 4,400 with strength before continuation becomes valid.
Buy Breakout
Entry: Above 4,450 after breakout + retest
SL: Below 4,418
TP: 4,470 / 4,500 / 4,520
Condition: Price must break the liquidity peak with strong momentum, retest successfully, and continue forming higher lows. No chasing the first breakout candle without confirmation.
Sell Reaction
Entry: 4,418 - 4,440
SL: Above 4,460
TP: 4,400 / 4,385 / 4,370
Condition: Price reaches the Upper Supply Zone and shows bearish rejection. This is only a short-term reaction sell, not the main bias unless gold later breaks below 4,360.
Deep Pullback Buy
Entry: 4,360 - 4,370
SL: Below 4,315
TP: 4,400 / 4,418 / 4,440
Condition: If gold loses the first support and pulls back deeper, this zone becomes the cleaner re-entry area. Wait for strong rejection before considering a buy.
Breakdown Sell
Entry: Below 4,360 after breakdown + retest
SL: Above 4,400
TP: 4,335 / 4,315 / 4,300
Condition: Price loses Main Demand and fails to reclaim it. This would confirm that the bullish structure is weakening and a deeper correction may begin.
Overall Bias
Gold remains bullish while price holds above 4,385 - 4,400. The softer CPI data supports the recovery, but PPI is the next catalyst that can decide whether buyers continue toward 4,450 or the market pulls back first.
If 4,400 holds, the next target is 4,418 - 4,440, followed by 4,450 liquidity. A clean breakout above 4,450 can open the way toward 4,500.
If 4,400 fails, the market may need a deeper reset toward 4,360 - 4,370 before the next decision.
Best approach: follow the bullish structure, but wait for confirmation. Do not chase price directly into supply.
Will buyers defend 4,400 and break 4,450, or will PPI trigger one deeper pullback first?
Long
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS HIGH VALUE, BUT THE NEXT PULLBACK BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS HIGH VALUE, BUT THE NEXT PULLBACK MATTERS
Gold reacted strongly after the July inflation report came in line with expectations. Price pushed nearly 1% higher and continued to hold near the 4,400 area, trading around its highest level since early June.
At first glance, this looks clearly bullish. But the deeper market story is more interesting.
The CPI data did not remove the Fed risk completely. It only gave the market a reason to delay expectations for a September rate hike. The probability of a September move dropped quickly, but the risk for October and December is still not gone.
That means gold has already priced in a softer Fed path, while the market has not fully removed the tightening risk.
So now the chart becomes very important.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold is still holding a bullish structure after reclaiming higher value.
Price is currently pulling back from the VAH Resistance Zone around 4,405 - 4,415. This zone is acting as short-term resistance after the CPI reaction.
The first key support is the POC Acceptance Zone around 4,355 - 4,365. If buyers defend this area, gold can build another push back towards the weekly high near 4,435.
Below that, the Lower Value Buy Zone around 4,310 - 4,320 is the deeper support where buyers may reload if the market needs a stronger correction.
Important zones
VAH Resistance Zone: 4,405 - 4,415
Short-term resistance where price is currently reacting.
POC Acceptance Zone: 4,355 - 4,365
Main value support and first buy-reaction area.
Lower Value Buy Zone: 4,310 - 4,320
Deeper support if gold corrects harder.
Weekly high: 4,435
Main breakout level buyers need to reclaim.
Target zone: 4,460 - 4,470
Next upside liquidity target if buyers break the weekly high.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from POC Acceptance Zone 4,355 - 4,365
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price pulls back into 4,355 - 4,365 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the POC Acceptance Zone or below the local sweep low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,405 - 4,415
TP2: 4,435
TP3: 4,460 - 4,470 if buyers break the weekly high with strength
This setup follows the current bullish value structure, but avoids chasing gold directly into resistance.
Final view
Gold is still strong, but the market is not completely risk-free.
The CPI reaction helped buyers, but Fed rate-hike risk has only been delayed, not fully removed. That is why I want to see whether price can hold value on the pullback.
If 4,355 - 4,365 holds, gold can retest 4,435 and possibly extend towards 4,460 - 4,470.
If this zone fails, the market may rotate deeper towards 4,310 - 4,320 before buyers return.
Gold is bullish above value.
But the next clean entry depends on the retest.
Will buyers defend the POC zone, or will CPI optimism fade into a deeper correction?
Short
XAUUSD: Bearish Structure Confirmed Post-Wedge BreakdownXAUUSD has officially validated a bearish structural transition following a decisive break below the Rising Wedge support. This movement signals a clear depletion of buying momentum, aligning the market for a broader corrective phase.
The structural failure of this Rising Wedge serves as an essential technical reference for tracking medium-term direction. As long as price remains capped beneath the broken trendline—now functioning as dynamic resistance—the probability favors a continued decline toward the primary liquidity pool at 4,280. A sustained reclaim back inside the wedge, however, would immediately invalidate this bearish outlook.
Professional traders should focus on the retest zone, requiring clean confirmation signals such as lower-timeframe rejection candles or expanding sell volume to execute risk-managed setups.
Short
BULLS STILL HAVE THE EDGE — 4445 IS THE KEYGold remains within a broad sideways range after the previous strong bullish move. Price is currently testing the lower boundary around 4360, where horizontal support aligns with the ascending trendline. At the same time, the upside remains capped by the 4435–4445 resistance zone.
The market does not yet have enough momentum to establish the next directional move. Therefore, the preferred approach is to wait for a confirmed breakout rather than trade aggressively in the middle of the range.
The bullish scenario remains preferred as long as 4360 holds. A confirmed breakout above 4445 would open the way toward the next resistance and trendline area around 4475–4480, followed by 4515–4520.
If 4360 is decisively broken, Gold could extend the correction toward the next major support around 4315–4320.
🔑 KEY LEVELS:
🔹 4355–4365
Primary support zone + ascending trendline. Key area to monitor for a bullish reaction.
🔹 4315–4320
Major support if the current range breaks to the downside.
🔹 4435–4445
Immediate resistance and key breakout confirmation area.
🔹 4475–4480
Resistance + trendline area. First upside target after a confirmed breakout.
🔹 4515–4520
Major higher-timeframe resistance and extended bullish target.
✅ PREFERRED SCENARIO:
Gold continues consolidating inside the broad 4360–4445 range.
Support around 4355–4365 holds → bullish structure remains intact.
Breakout above 4445 → target 4475–4480.
Strong momentum after the breakout → potential extension toward 4515–4520.
If 4360 breaks decisively, wait for price to approach 4315–4320 before reassessing BUY opportunities.
Avoid chasing trades while Gold remains trapped inside the range.
BIAS: 🟢 BUY — The broader structure remains bullish. Prefer BUY setups after a confirmed breakout or bullish reaction from support rather than trading in the middle of the range.
Long
Gold Bullish Continuation & Upside Expansion Gold Technical Analysis – Bullish Continuation
Gold remains in a bullish structure , with price respecting the ascending trendline and holding above the highlighted demand zone. The recent pullback appears corrective, while buyers continue to defend higher lows. A sustained move above the nearby resistance levels could confirm further bullish continuation.
From a technical perspective, 4435 is the immediate resistance, followed by 4484 as the next major resistance. A confirmed breakout above these levels could open the path toward the 4642 bullish target.
On the downside, **4352** and **4332** are key support levels. Holding this area would preserve the current bullish structure and support another attempt toward higher liquidity.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance
4435 – Immediate resistance
4484 – Major resistance
4642 – Bullish target
Support
4352 – First support
4332 – Key structural support
Ascending trendline – Dynamic support
Bullish Scenario
* Price continues to respect the ascending trendline.
* The current pullback is holding above key support, suggesting buyers remain active.
* A breakout above **4435–4484** could trigger bullish momentum toward **4642**.
* Continued higher lows would reinforce the bullish market structure.
Professional Insights
* **Market Structure:** Higher highs and higher lows continue to support the bullish structure.
* **Liquidity:** Buy-side liquidity above **4435–4484** may act as the next upside magnet.
* **Order Flow:** Buyers are defending the rising trendline and nearby demand area.
* **Momentum:** A decisive breakout above **4484** would strengthen the continuation setup.
* **Risk Management:** The **4332** area is important for maintaining the current bullish structure.
Bullish Invalidation
The bullish outlook will be **invalidated by a decisive break and sustained close below 4310**, indicating a loss of structural support and increasing the probability of a deeper correction.
Long
long term view for gold IF!if gold retraces back to 50% of this pump and monday opens up with gap then flies all the way to +4470 i think we will see a zigzag pattern or smth before a break of higher prices which i believe a break of that zigzag would also be another monday gap the following week , 2 buy gaps would be my sign to sell near 4700 and hold for $3200 level , targets are quite big tbh , so need to observe how gold evolve the next couple weeks , but all the ways gonna lead to bigger sells
Gold (XAUUSD) Retracement started, declines to continue!Price has faced multiple rejections form R1 ~4435, after facing rejection from strong resistance, it had consolidated within R-1 and S-1 and there after broke below the S-1 and a bullish trendline, expected to continue it's decline S-3 might act as strong support but, if that is breached it could directly retest 4300 levels.
After a week long one sided up move, trend was clearly showing signs of exhaustion, inability to achieve newer highs had made the price structure fragile.
Bearish sentiment is clearly visible expected to continue in the bearish direction, should be looking for short trades only, after each pull backs we can initiate fresh shorts, and on breakout of consolidation would be nice opportunity to take fresh shorts.
For Educational Purposes only, Not an Investment Advice, Always use strict Risk management measures.
Regards CrazyTrades247.
Short
XAUUSD Can Push HigherPrice has continued to push higher after breaking above the long-term descending trendline, with very little resistance standing in the way. The breakout was strong and impulsive, showing clear commitment from buyers rather than a temporary spike.
Price then pulled back into the breakout area for a retest. More importantly, sellers failed to push price back below the broken structure, confirming that the breakout remains intact and buyers are still in control.
With price holding firmly above this reclaimed area, I continue to lean bullish toward the next upside target around 4,678.
Long
CPI, PPI AS THE NEXT CATALYST - SMART MONEY IS CHOOSING Gold is slowing after the recent aggressive rally. Despite yesterday’s CPI coming broadly in line with expectations — headline CPI at 3.4% YoY, core CPI at 2.5% YoY — price has not produced a clean continuation breakout.
Macro Perspective
The CPI reaction has provided some support for Gold, but the market is still waiting for a stronger catalyst. Today, attention shifts toward U.S. PPI and Initial Jobless Claims, which could influence USD and Treasury yields and determine whether Gold can expand beyond its current range.
For now, capital appears cautious rather than aggressively committed to either direction.
Technical Structure
Gold is currently trapped inside a large H4 range after the recent rally.
Upper resistance: 4460–4480
Major resistance: 4525–4540
Key support: 4350–4360
Lower support: 4310–4330
The 4460–4480 Demand + Trendline zone remains the major barrier for buyers. Meanwhile, the 4350–4360 area is the first important support that must hold to maintain the current bullish recovery structure.
Bullish Scenario
If Gold holds above 4350–4360 and successfully breaks 4460–4480, the current consolidation could become an accumulation phase before another expansion toward 4525–4540.
Bearish Scenario — Preferred Bias
If price continues to be rejected below 4460–4480 and breaks back under 4350, the recent rally could begin to unwind.
The first downside targets are 4310–4330, followed by 4260–4270.
At this stage, the market is not yet giving a clean directional signal. The better approach is to wait for price to escape one of these two boundaries rather than chase the middle of the range.
Today's Key Events — USD
🔴 Core PPI m/m
🔴 PPI m/m
🟠 Initial Jobless Claims
These releases could provide the next catalyst for Gold’s breakout or rejection.
Gold is now at a decision point: continue accumulating inside the range, or prepare for the next directional expansion.
LucasGray Trading will continue monitoring institutional order flow, USD reaction and macro developments throughout the session, updating the market as new confirmation emerges.
LucasGrayTrading
Short
GOLD 4H CHART - 4373 FILLED - 4484 ON THE RADARHey Everyone,
Our 4373 bullish gap, which remained open from the start of the week, has now been filled as anticipated.
We are now seeing an EMA5 lock above 4373, which opens the route towards the 4484 Goldturn as the next key target on the radar for this 4H chart.
4373 now becomes our key support. As long as this level continues to hold with EMA5, the technical structure favours a continuation higher towards 4484.
Any rejection and move back down will simply bring the lower Goldturns back into play, where we will look to buy the dips and get back into the move, in line with our overall plans.
For now, 4373 support and 4484 remains the route on the radar.
Mr Gold
XAUUSD – Below H4, Eyeing 4494XAUUSD has already tested the H4 Turn around 4431 and has started to pull back slightly, but structurally this is not yet a bearish reversal. It looks more like a sideways accumulation phase within the 4317–4430 range before the market chooses its next expansion. Buy-side pressure remains dominant , so pullbacks toward 4411, 4361 , or even deeper to 4326 should be viewed as potential reaction zones rather than immediate signs of a broken trend. Under the current structure, if support holds, the next upside target remains 4494 , potentially later today or tomorrow.
From a price action / SMC perspective , the market is moving in a typical mitigation pattern after testing a premium zone: price tags the upper area, faces short-term rejection, then sweeps lower turn levels to absorb liquidity before attempting the next leg higher. The key here is not to assume price will rally in a straight line, but to watch whether buyers continue to defend structure around 4411 / 4361 / 4326 . If reactions are clean at those levels, the move toward 4494 becomes much more convincing.
On the macro side , gold is still supported by a constructive backdrop: the latest gold price is around 4400.80 USD/oz , up 0.70% on the day , 9.97% on the month , and 31.11% year-on-year . Support continues to come from investment demand, purchases by China’s central bank, and defensive sentiment linked to uncertainty around the Hormuz/Iran situation. However, there is still a counterweight from upcoming U.S. inflation data, as the Fed could maintain a hawkish tone if CPI or PPI comes in hot.
On the USD side, the DXY is around 99.88, slightly higher on the day but still down 1.34% over the month, which means the dollar is not yet strong enough to invalidate gold’s short-term bullish structure. The biggest catalysts this week remain CPI on Aug 12, PPI + Jobless Claims on Aug 13 , and Retail Sales on Aug 14 . If the data comes in softer than expected, gold will have a stronger case for continuation; if CPI/PPI surprises to the upside, price could become much more volatile inside the current consolidation zone.
The more strategic approach here is not to chase price in the middle of the range, but to use small-sized entries at the turn zones , then drop to M1/M5 for confirmation of entry, take-profit, and stop-loss placement. In a market where the primary trend remains bullish but price is consolidating just below an H4 resistance zone, the edge belongs to traders who wait for the right reaction area instead of buying emotionally in the middle of noise.
Core idea: XAUUSD is in a strategic re-accumulation phase below the H4 Turn at 4431 ; if the 4411 / 4361 / 4326 zones continue to hold structure, the market still has a high probability of extending toward 4494 in the short term.
XAUUSD — 4,360 Is the Line Buyers Must HoldGold has made a strong bullish push, but now the market is showing the real test.
After reaching the upper resistance area near 4,424, price started to cool down and is now reacting around 4,360.
This is not a random level.
4,360 is the current React Zone / OB Buy Scalping area, and it can decide whether gold continues higher or needs a deeper correction first.
The simple read
Gold is still holding a bullish structure, but momentum is slowing after the recent push.
If buyers defend 4,360, price may try to recover again toward 4,424.
That 4,424 zone is the main resistance / OB Sell area on the chart.
If gold reaches that zone again, I will watch carefully for either breakout strength or rejection.
But if 4,360 fails, the next support zone is 4,323.
Below 4,323, the deeper key area is 4,292, where the bullish trendline and OB zone can become important.
Key price zones
Current reaction zone: 4,360
Main resistance / OB Sell zone: 4,424
First support / OB Buy zone: 4,323
Deep trendline OB zone: 4,292
Bullish continuation improves above: 4,424
Short-term structure weakens below: 4,360
Trading plan
Bullish reaction scenario
If gold holds above 4,360:
Buyers may try to push price back toward 4,424.
A clean reaction from 4,360 would keep the bullish structure healthy.
I would prefer confirmation from this zone rather than chasing the middle of the move.
Pullback scenario
If 4,360 breaks clearly:
Gold may correct toward 4,323.
This would not immediately destroy the bullish structure, but it would show that buyers need more time to rebuild momentum.
Deeper retest scenario
If 4,323 fails:
The next important area is 4,292.
This is the deeper trendline / OB zone.
A strong reaction from 4,292 may create a cleaner recovery setup later.
Short
XAUUSD — 4H BULLISH BREAKOUTGold is showing strong bullish momentum on the 4H timeframe, with price breaking above the 4,350 resistance zone and continuing to push higher.
📈 Market Structure
The chart shows a strong recovery from the 4,020–4,060 area, followed by an aggressive bullish expansion.
Price has now:
✅ Broken above 4,281
✅ Reclaimed 4,350
✅ Established bullish momentum above the previous resistance
✅ Continued forming higher highs and higher lows
🎯 Upside Target
The major resistance/target I'm watching is:
TP: 4,589
This is the previous major high and represents the next significant area where sellers could appear.
🔑 Key Levels
4,350 → Breakout/support zone
4,281 → Secondary support
4,589 → Major resistance / upside target
As long as price holds above the 4,350 area, the bullish structure remains attractive.
⚠️ What Could Change the Bias?
If price falls back below 4,350 and fails to reclaim it, the breakout could become a false breakout. A deeper pullback toward 4,281 could then become possible.
Current Bias: 🟢 BULLISH
The 4H structure is favoring continuation, but I would prefer buying pullbacks/retests rather than chasing an extended candle.
Gold remains strong. The breakout is the key. 🚀
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #ForexTrading #GoldAnalysis #SwingTrading
Long
XAUUSD Gold Market Outlook
XAUUSD (Gold) is pushing higher as traders position ahead of today’s US CPI release, while renewed ETF inflows continue to support institutional demand. The recent breakout above $4,200 keeps the bullish structure intact, with $4,500 now standing out as the next major technical resistance.
Today’s CPI data could trigger significant volatility by reshaping expectations around the Federal Reserve, US dollar, and Treasury yields. For Gold to sustain its upside momentum and make a serious run toward $4,500, a confirmed breakout above key resistance will be crucial.
Can CPI provide the catalyst Gold needs to challenge $4,500?
No confirmation, no trade. Trade the setup not the anticipation.
XAUUSD – Consolidating Before Extending Toward 4478?XAUUSD is moving through a sideways accumulation phase within the 4361–4448 range after testing the H4 Turn at 4431 and facing a short-term rejection. However, from a broader structural perspective, this is not yet a bearish reversal signal; buying pressure still holds the upper hand, and the market appears to be in more of a rebalancing/mitigation phase before choosing its next expansion leg. If the structure remains intact, the upside targets continue to be 4446–4455 and potentially 4478.
From an SMC/price action perspective, the 4385–4391 zone is the first reaction cluster to monitor. If price holds this area, the more logical scenario is for gold to bounce and continue higher. If the market sweeps deeper, the 4361 zone may act as a discount area to absorb liquidity before the next bullish push appears. In other words, this is the type of structure where the market may first shake out weaker positions at lower turn zones, then continue expanding toward higher targets.
On the macro side, gold still has a relatively supportive backdrop today. The latest gold price is around 4,399 USD/oz, down slightly 0.22% on the day, but still up 8.50% on the month and 31.88% year-on-year. The key point is that U.S. CPI for July slowed to 3.4% YoY and only 0.1% MoM, which has eased pressure on the Fed to raise rates soon; the market is now pricing only around a 40% probability of a September rate hike. This is helping gold maintain its elevated price base, even without a decisive breakout yet.
On the other side, the U.S. Dollar Index is around 99.9, meaning the dollar is not yet strong enough to create major short-term pressure on gold. Still, volatility could remain elevated today because the market is waiting for Fed Hammack’s speech at 12:15 PM, followed by PPI, Core PPI, Initial Jobless Claims, and Continuing Claims at 12:30 PM. Tomorrow, Retail Sales and Michigan Consumer Sentiment will remain important catalysts. If PPI and claims come in softer than expected, gold could gain further support; if the data comes in hotter, price may become much more volatile inside the current range.
From a strategy perspective, this is not an ideal area to chase price in the middle of the range. A more effective approach is to use small-sized entries at the turn zones, then drop to M1/M5 for clear confirmation before entering. Under the current scenario, a reasonable trading plan is Entry 4385–4390, TP 4396 – 4407 – 4424, and Stop Loss 4377. If the first entry zone fails to produce a clean reaction, traders should remain patient and wait for a deeper reaction around 4361 rather than forcing a trade.
Bottom line: the short-term bias for XAUUSD still leans bullish, but the market may need another confirmation move inside the 4361–4448 range before extending higher. For now, the priority is to buy on reaction, manage risk tightly, and let today’s U.S. data confirm whether the next leg toward 4446–4455 and then 4478 has enough strength to continue.
Gold short setup to $4,100.OANDA:XAUUSD has shown a strong bounce over the past few weeks, but this is just a bounce, not the start of a new trend.
Since August 5, a divergence has been forming in buying volume: price is going up while buying volume is going down. Usually, this means the trend is weak and unstable.
Right now, gold is trying to hold above the $4,400 level, but on the latest support test, buyers already showed weakness, and the next red candle came with significantly higher volume.
I trade diagonal levels, so if price breaks the lower boundary of the pattern, I’ll open a short:
❌ stop-loss around $4,419, which is the expected retest zone of the diagonal level after the breakout,
✅ and a take profit at $4,100, the lower boundary of the gap.
This is a good 3R setup with a high stop and low risk.
Long
Gold - The correction is not over yet!🎉Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is still heading for a final drop:
🔎Analysis summary:
The underlying trend of Gold still remains clearly bullish. But despite the recent correction of about -30%, Gold is still not testing a support level yet. It seems to be quite likely that Gold is first heading for a final -20% correction before creating a major bullish bottom.
📝Levels to watch:
$3,500
Keep your #LONGTERMVISION🙏
— Phil (@TheTraderPhil)
Long
XAU/USD | Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2H timeframe, we can see that price continued its bullish move after our previous analysis and managed to reach the $4440 region. Currently, Gold is trading around $4414.
The $4435 – $4450 area is a strong supply zone, so I would not be surprised to see another short-term correction from this area before the broader bullish move continues. The key question now is whether buyers can push Gold back above $4440 and stabilize above this level. If that happens, the bullish structure becomes stronger again.
The nearest supply zones are around $4435 – $4450, followed by $4470 – $4490. On the downside, the nearest demand zones are around $4390 – $4405, followed by $4360 – $4380 and deeper support around $4335 – $4355. If buyers regain momentum, the next short-term upside targets are $4440, followed by $4450, then $4470, $4485, and potentially $4500.
For now, I expect some correction around the current supply area, but my broader outlook still remains bullish.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
Accumulation and price appreciation – around the 4,400 level.GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) trims a part of its intraday gains and trades below the $4,400 mark heading into the European session on Wednesday, still up 0.50% for the day. Nevertheless, the commodity remains within striking distance of the highest level since June 5, which was touched on Tuesday, as traders keenly await the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. The crucial data would offer more cues about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) future policy path amid inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, which, in turn, will drive the US Dollar (USD) and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices are maintaining an upward trend, with buying interest accumulating around the 4400 level; investors are becoming optimistic about a potential recovery in gold prices.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4498 - 4500 SL 4508
TP1: $4480
TP2: $4462
TP3: $4444
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4317- 4315 SL 4307
TP1: $4330
TP2: $4344
TP3: $4360
⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Long
XAUUSD: Trade Zones, Not Exact Prices & How to Spread Your OrderFOR SWING TRADERS
One of the first things you need to understand when trading XAUUSD is that support and resistance are zones, not exact prices.
This may sound like a small distinction, but it has a major impact on the way you should actually execute your trades.
Why Are Support and Resistance Zones?
When traders draw a support level at, for example, 4,300, it is tempting to think that 4,300.00 is some kind of magical price where buyers will suddenly appear.
It isn't.
Markets don't work like that.
A support area exists because, around that price region, we previously saw enough buying pressure to stop or reverse the decline. But there is no reason to expect that the next reaction will happen at exactly the same price.
Maybe buyers step in at 4,305.
Maybe at 4,295.
Maybe price goes slightly below the previous low, triggers stops, and then reverses from 4,285.
All of these prices can still belong to the same support zone.
The same applies to resistance.
If I identify a resistance zone between 4,450 and 4,460, I am not saying:
"The market will reverse at 4,455.47"
I am saying:
"This entire area is where I expect sellers to potentially become active."
And that difference is extremely important.
You Cannot Know the Exact Reversal Price
This is one of the biggest problems with trying to trade support and resistance as fixed levels.
You can identify an area with a high probability of producing a reaction, but you cannot know exactly where inside that area the reaction will begin.
And sometimes the market will even move slightly beyond the zone before reversing.
That doesn't necessarily mean your analysis was wrong.
It simply means that the market is an auction, not a mathematical formula.
This is also why I prefer talking about zones rather than saying:
"Gold will reverse at 4,323.14."
No.
Gold may react around the 4,320 area.
That is a completely different statement.
So What Do We Do With Our Entry?
This becomes particularly important when you are trading a larger position.
Let's say you identify a support zone between 4,300 and 4,320 and you want to buy XAUUSD.
If you are trading 0.01 lots, there's nothing you can do with a normal broker... (but you can switch to cent account)
But if you want to trade 0.10, 0.50 or 1.00 lot, putting the entire position at one single price creates a problem.
You are suddenly trying to predict something that you have already admitted you cannot know:
the exact point inside the zone where the market will react.
Instead, you can spread the order through the zone.
For example, suppose your support zone is 4,300–4,320 and your intended position is 0.50 lot.
Instead of placing the entire 0.50 at one price, you could divide the position into several smaller orders:
0.10 at 4,320
0.10 at 4,315
0.10 at 4,310
0.10 at 4,305
0.10 at 4,300
Now you are no longer trying to pick the perfect entry.
You are allowing the market to tell you where inside your predefined zone it wants to fill you.
Why Does This Make Sense?
Because your analysis was never:
"4,313.72 is the exact reversal price."
Your analysis was:
"4,300–4,320 is an important support zone."
Therefore, your execution should reflect your analysis.
If the market reverses immediately from 4,320, you get part of your position.
If it goes deeper into the zone, more of your position gets filled.
If it reaches the bottom of the zone before reversing, you have your full intended position.
You have effectively transformed the uncertainty about the exact entry price into part of your execution plan.
But There Is an Important Detail
Spreading an order does not mean blindly buying every price inside a zone.
The zone still needs to be part of a complete trading idea.
You need to know:
- why the zone is important;
- where your idea becomes invalid;
- where your stop belongs;
- what your target is;
- and what your overall risk is.
The size of every individual order should be calculated from your total acceptable risk, not simply divided randomly.
For example, if your maximum risk on the trade is $500, the fact that you are using five entries does not mean you suddenly have five times the risk.
The entire position must still respect your predefined risk.
The Same Logic Works on Resistance
Exactly the same principle applies when selling from a resistance zone.
Imagine resistance is between 4,440 and 4,460 and you want to sell 0.50 lot.
Instead of trying to guess whether the exact top will be 4,405, 4,415 or 4,425, you can distribute the position through the zone.
For example:
0.10 at 4,440
0.10 at 4,445
0.10 at 4,450
0.10 at 4,455
0.10 at 4,460
Again, you are not predicting the exact turning point.
You are trading the area where your analysis says sellers are likely to appear.
This Is Especially Useful on Gold
XAUUSD can move extremely quickly and can overshoot technical areas before reversing.
That is precisely why I don't like the idea of treating every support or resistance level as a single magical number.
Gold can penetrate a level, sweep liquidity, trigger stops and then reverse.
If your entire position was placed at one exact price, you may simply miss the trade.
If your order is distributed through the zone, you give yourself room to operate within the uncertainty that is inherent in the market.
And this is the important part:
You are not trying to eliminate uncertainty.
You are managing it.
Stop Trying to Be Perfect
This is one of the biggest differences between looking at a chart and actually trading it.
On a chart, everything looks precise.
You can draw a Fibo (or whatever) at 4,320.14 and later explain why price reversed there.
But when the market is moving in real time, you don't know whether it will reverse at 4,320.14, trade to 4,310.17 first, sweep 4,302.81, or break the entire area.
You only know that you have identified an area where the probability of a reaction is interesting enough to take a trade.
That is why I don't need the market to give me the perfect entry.
I need a good zone, a defined invalidation point, controlled risk and a sensible execution plan.
And when the position is larger than the minimum size, spreading the order through that zone can be a much more logical way of executing the trade than trying to guess one exact price.
Because if your analysis is based on a zone, your execution should also be based on a zone.
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