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XAUUSD H1: A Pullback Toward Support Is Taking ShapeXAUUSD is struggling to break through the 4,355–4,365 resistance zone. Although the previous bullish trend is still present, repeated attempts to push higher near this area have been rejected, suggesting that buying momentum is currently not strong enough to produce another clear breakout.
In the short term, I lean toward a corrective move back toward the 4,285–4,295 support zone. This area previously acted as resistance and may now become an important support zone. If XAUUSD continues to remain capped below 4,360, profit-taking pressure could gradually drag price back toward this area before the market develops its next move.
The corrective scenario would weaken if price breaks decisively above 4,365 and holds firmly above the current resistance zone.
This scenario reflects my personal market assessment only. Please make your trading decisions based on your own analysis.
Wishing you successful trading! Short 
Long 
Short 
DAX — week of August 10 – 14, 2026: LongLong — Wednesday printed 26,524 and handed back 295 points by the close. Friday printed 26,527 — three points higher — and closed 26,455, near its high. Same ceiling, a 226-point better close, and nothing about the level changed except who was still left defending it.
This morning gapped 20 lower to 26,435, dipped 26,371, and has already taken Friday's settle back at 26,463. So I buy the retest, not the record: the bid is 26,455–26,423, Friday's close folded onto the week's own VWAP, with 26,527 the gate and 26,690 then 26,924 the targets. Europe prints nothing above third tier all week; the verdict gets written at 14:30 CET Wednesday by an American inflation number. A daily close under 26,292 hands the week back to the pivot and leaves nothing of this idea worth defending — I take the loss at the print and let 26,208 look after itself.
THE BIG PICTURE (weekly)
Four weeks ago this index could not hold 26,064. The week that made it also made 24,958 — 1,106 points in five sessions — and it took a month to repair. That repair is finished: last week opened 25,900, never traded below 25,895, and settled 26,455, a full 391 points above the shelf that defined July. What is left is a clean skeleton — pivot 26,292, R1 26,690, R2 26,924, and 866 points of weekly ATR. From this morning's 26,371 low that budget funds 27,237, which puts both R1 and R2 inside one ordinary week with only 97 points spent. The upside is not a stretch here; it is what happens if the pivot holds.
THE SWING (daily)
Five sessions, one statement. Monday gapped to 25,900 and closed 26,153; Tuesday closed on its high at 26,454; Wednesday reached 26,524 and gave back 295 to settle 26,229; Thursday held 26,168; Friday opened 26,231, printed a record 26,527 and closed 26,455. Now look underneath the noise: Wednesday and Friday both bottomed at 26,208, to the point. That shelf, not the high, is what this week stands on. This morning opened 26,435, found 26,371, and is back through Friday's settle.
THE WEEK'S MAP (4H)
Upside: 26,463 (spot) → 26,527 (the record high — the gate, not the target) → 26,690 (weekly R1, first target) → 26,924 (weekly R2) → 27,237 (the outer edge of an 866-point ATR week).
Downside: 26,455 (Friday's settle) → 26,423 (week VWAP — together, the bid band) → 26,371 (this morning's low) → 26,292 (weekly pivot — a daily close under it kills the trade) → 26,208 (the shelf Wednesday and Friday both defended to the point) → 26,058 (weekly S1).
One number all week: 26,292 — the weekly pivot, and the only number that can end this. Here is what the tape is actually saying: for four weeks 26,064 governed this index because everyone who bought it needed flat before letting go, and trapped inventory defends a price the way nothing else does. That inventory is now free. What sits above a record high is not supply with a grievance but supply with a profit — and profit-takers trim, they do not fight. That is the entire difference between Wednesday's rejection and Friday's close at the same number. So the bid is 26,455–26,423 for 26,690 then 26,924. Below 26,292 on a daily close the argument is void and the pivot owns the week.
THE CATALYSTS (CET)
Mon 10 — Euro-area Sentix confidence 10:30 CET, third tier. A survey cannot defend a record high.
Tue 11 — Nothing of consequence in Europe. Either 26,455–26,423 holds as the floor or the reclaim goes back on no news at all.
Wed 12 — German final CPI 08:00 CET is a rerun of a published number; US inflation at 14:30 CET is the verdict. It sets the long end, and the long end prices an index built on banks, insurers, industrials and autos.
Thu 13 — Euro-area industrial production 11:00 CET, then US producer prices and jobless claims 14:30 CET: either Wednesday confirmed or unwound.
Fri 14 — Euro-area flash GDP, employment and trade 11:00 CET, then US retail sales 14:30 CET. Europe's only real data lands after the week has been decided.
BOTTOM LINE
Last week's bid was 26,033–25,974 for 26,355; the low came in at 25,895 and the week settled 26,455 after a record 26,527. The map paid. It now points at a market with nothing charted overhead and a month of trapped supply finally cleared out of the way — which is why I am buying the retest and not the print: 26,455–26,423, for 26,690 then 26,924, inside an 866-point ATR week that has spent 97 of it. Nothing European this week is big enough to defend or break this level; Wednesday afternoon in America decides it. A daily close under 26,292 and the pivot has taken the week back — that print retires the idea, and I do not argue with it.
Not advice — trade your own plan. 
Long
Sideways After the Rally, 4,315–4,365 Range Is Holding PriceAfter the strong rally, XAUUSD has shifted into a short-term sideways phase, with price repeatedly trading within the 4,315–4,365 range. The upper boundary has triggered selling reactions twice, while the lower area continues to hold relatively well, showing that neither buyers nor sellers currently have enough control to break the structure.
In the current context, I expect XAUUSD to remain range-bound for a while longer, with price likely rotating between resistance around 4,360–4,365 and support around 4,315–4,320. As long as neither boundary is broken decisively, the sideways structure remains the main scenario.
The ranging phase would end if price closes clearly outside the 4,315–4,365 zone and manages to hold beyond the range. Only then would the market have a stronger basis for developing a clearer directional move.
This scenario reflects my personal market assessment only. Please make your trading decisions based on your own analysis.
Wishing you successful trading! 
Long
XAUUSD: Bullish Structure Holds, 4,444 in FocusXAUUSD has maintained its bullish structure following a series of clear market structure breaks (BOS) and a strong breakout from the previous consolidation zone. Although the price is currently stalling at elevated levels, there are no signs that sellers have truly regained control.
The critical level to monitor is 4,230. Should the price pull back to this area while holding the support zone, I anticipate buying pressure will return, driving XAUUSD toward the 4,400–4,444 supply zone.
The macroeconomic backdrop remains relatively favorable for gold, as the USD and US yields face pressure following weak labor market data. Consequently, I favor buying the pullback over counter-trend selling. Long 
Short 
Gold After a Weekly 10% Surge: Is the Rally Over?Last week was incredible for Gold, with the price surging almost 10% from Monday’s low to Friday’s high.
More importantly, as discussed in my previous analysis, this was not just a large move in terms of percentage. Gold managed to break above three important resistance levels on its way higher, completely changing the short-term technical picture.
Now comes the obvious question:
Is Gold done rising?
And, at this point, I don't think we have a clear answer.
After such an aggressive move, a correction would be perfectly normal. Markets rarely move almost 10% in a straight line without eventually giving back at least part of the move.
The problem is that expecting a correction and having a valid short setup are two completely different things.
I do expect Gold to correct. What I don't know yet is whether that correction has already started or whether buyers still have enough strength for one more push and a new high above 4400 before the pullback begins.
That distinction matters.
Trying to sell simply because Gold has "gone up too much" is not a trading strategy. Strong markets can remain overextended much longer than expected, and after last week's momentum, blindly stepping in front of the move makes little sense to me.
So, for now, I'm out of the market.
My bias is that a correction should come, but bias alone is not enough for me to open a position.
From a risk/reward perspective, I would become interested in a short only if Gold first pushes above 4400. Such a move could offer enough room to build a position with a reasonable stop and a meaningful downside target if rejection follows.
Until then, I prefer to wait.
Sometimes the market gives you a clear idea but a poor trade.
And right now, that is exactly how I see Gold: I expect a correction, but I don't yet see a correction worth trading. Short 
XAUUSD H1: Resistance Holds, Corrective Pressure Is ReturningXAUUSD is currently stalling just below the 4,355–4,365 resistance zone after the previous strong rally. Price has tested this area several times but has yet to produce a clear breakout, indicating that selling pressure remains active at higher levels.
The key point is that bullish momentum is gradually weakening while price continues to be capped below resistance. If the 4,355–4,365 zone continues to hold, I expect XAUUSD to enter a clearer corrective move and retest the 4,285–4,295 support area, where price previously showed a notable reaction.
The short-term bearish scenario would weaken if price breaks decisively above the resistance zone and holds firmly above 4,365. In that case, the current structure would need to be reassessed.
This scenario reflects my personal market assessment only. Please make your trading decisions based on your own analysis.
Wishing you successful trading! Short 
Gold Maintains Its Uptrend | Focus on $4,350📊 Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around $4,330/oz, after a slight correction from a 7-week high. Profit-taking pressure has emerged as investors remain cautious ahead of the upcoming U.S. CPI data.
Meanwhile, weaker-than-expected U.S. employment data and downward revisions to previous employment figures are reducing expectations that the Fed will maintain a tight monetary policy for longer, providing further support for gold demand.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 4,350–4,360 and 4,380–4,400
• Nearest Support: 4,310–4,315 and 4,280–4,290
• EMA 09: Price remains above the EMA 09 on H1, indicating that the short-term trend remains bullish.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: After a strong rally above 4,300, price is currently forming a consolidation/slight correction around 4,320–4,340. As long as price remains above 4,300, buyers have not lost control of the bullish structure. However, momentum is showing signs of slowing due to profit-taking, so further volatility may occur before gold retests the 4,350–4,360 zone.
📌 Outlook:
Gold could continue rising in the short term if it holds the 4,310–4,315 zone and successfully breaks above 4,350–4,360. In that case, XAU/USD could target 4,380 → 4,400 USD/oz.
Conversely, if price breaks below 4,310, gold could enter a deeper correction toward 4,280–4,290.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4,357–4,360
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 4,365
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4,315–4,312
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips
❌ SL: 4,307
⚠️ Note: It is recommended to wait for price action confirmation at the entry zones, especially ahead of the U.S. CPI release, as XAU/USD volatility may increase significantly. Gold Builds Momentum on 4H Timeframe Toward ResistanceGold Breaks Structure And Eyes The 4H Reversal Area
Gold has produced a decisive bullish expansion after spending several weeks developing a broad consolidation structure around the 3,975–4,200 region. Price repeatedly tested both sides of this range before eventually breaking above the descending structural resistance with strong bullish candles.
The breakout is important because the market did not simply move above resistance—it accelerated after the break, suggesting a meaningful shift in momentum. Gold is now trading around 4,345, while the highlighted 4H reversal area near 4,440–4,480 remains positioned above current price.
The larger curved structure shown on the chart connects the previous bearish move with this upper reversal region, making that zone an important area to watch if the current bullish expansion continues.
Speculative Outlook
If Gold continues holding above the recently broken structure and buyers maintain the current momentum, price could gradually extend toward the 4,440–4,480 4H reversal area. That region could become the next major decision point, where bullish momentum may face stronger selling pressure.
A rejection from the upper reversal area could trigger profit-taking or a deeper corrective phase. However, sustained acceptance above the zone would indicate that buyers remain dominant and could open the way for further upside.
Before reaching that area, short-term pullbacks are still possible after such an aggressive expansion, so maintaining the newly established bullish structure will be important. Short 
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Bullish Pullback Scenario | 15MGold remains in a strong short-term bullish structure, but after the recent push higher, I expect a possible pullback before the next continuation.
My forecast:
🔸 Current area: ~4,346
🔸 Key Support: 4,332.30
🔸 Key Resistance / Target: 4,367.47
The main scenario I am watching is a retracement toward the 4,332 support zone. If buyers defend this level and we see bullish confirmation, I expect price to attempt another move toward 4,367 resistance.
Bullish Scenario:
4,332 support holds → bullish reaction → 4,367 target
A clean breakout and acceptance above 4,367 could open the door for further upside.
If 4,332 breaks decisively, this bullish scenario becomes weaker and a deeper correction should be considered.
Bias: Bullish above 4,332
Target: 4,367
Timeframe: 15M
This is my personal market analysis and forecast, not financial advice. XAUUSD 2H — GOLD'S NEXT BREAKOUT?
📊 Market Structure
Gold is in a strong bullish structure, with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Price recently pushed into the 4,360–4,373 resistance/liquidity zone and is now showing signs of a potential pullback before another expansion.
🔑 Key Levels
🔴 Major resistance / weak high: 4,363–4,373
🟦 Primary demand zone: 4,230–4,250
🟡 Fib 0.5: 4,209
🟡 Fib 0.618: 4,171
🟦 Deeper support: ~4,040–4,080
🎯 Bullish Entry Zone
Watch 4,230–4,250 for a bullish reaction/retest.
Alternative deeper pullback zone: 4,170–4,210.
💰 Potential Targets
TP1 → 4,363
TP2 → 4,373
TP3 → 4,400+ if the weak high breaks with confirmation
🛑 Invalidation: A sustained 2H close below 4,170 would significantly weaken this bullish setup.
🔥 What I'm Watching
A strong impulsive move followed by consolidation near the highs. The 4,363–4,373 area contains obvious buy-side liquidity/weak-high resistance.
A possible scenario is:
Pullback → demand zone → bullish reaction → break of 4,373 → continuation higher.
The blue demand area around 4,230–4,250 is particularly important because it aligns with the recent breakout structure.
🐻 Bearish Scenario
If Gold fails to hold the 4,230–4,250 demand zone, price could retrace toward:
4,209 → 4,171
A break below 4,171 would put the larger bullish structure under pressure.
🧠 Trader Psychology
After a strong rally, late buyers may chase price near the highs while larger players wait for liquidity and a better entry. A controlled pullback into demand followed by strong buying would provide a cleaner confirmation than chasing the current price.
📌 Summary
XAUUSD remains bullish while the 4,170–4,230 structure holds.
I'm watching 4,230–4,250 for a potential reaction, with 4,363–4,373 as the key liquidity zone.
🔥 Break above 4,373 = potential continuation toward 4,400+.
⚠️ Loss of 4,171 = bullish thesis weakened.
Technical scenario only — wait for confirmation and manage risk appropriately.
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #Liquidity #MarketStructure #Trading #Breakout #TradingView Short 
XAUUSD: Bullish Trend Continues After BreakoutGold is showing a strong bullish continuation after breaking away from the previous downtrend structure. From Kelly’s view, the chart suggests that XAUUSD has already formed a clean 5-wave recovery pattern on the H4 timeframe, and the market may continue higher if the next correction stays controlled.
The key idea is simple: gold is bullish, but after a strong rally, a short-term ABC pullback may create a cleaner continuation setup.
⟡ Market structure
The chart shows gold broke above the downtrend line and pushed strongly into the 4,346 area. This breakout is important because it confirms that sellers are no longer controlling the short-term structure.
Price is now trading near the end point of the bullish wave structure around 4,358. This area may create short-term hesitation, so a correction from here would be normal.
The main support to watch is 4,235. This is marked as the short-term ABC correction zone. If gold pulls back into this area and buyers defend it, the next bullish wave may continue towards the weekly liquidity resistance around 4,455.
➤ Key levels
◌ 4,346: current price reaction area
◌ 4,358: end point of current bullish wave structure
◌ 4,235: short-term ABC correction / main buy reaction zone
◌ 4,162: contested price acceptance zone
◌ 4,455: weekly resistance and liquidity target
◌ Below 4,162: area where the bullish setup starts to weaken
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to have completed a strong bullish 5-wave move after breaking the old downtrend.
Wave 1 started the first recovery from the lower base.
Wave 2 created a controlled correction.
Wave 3 pushed strongly higher and confirmed bullish momentum.
Wave 4 held structure before the next expansion.
Wave 5 is now reaching the 4,346–4,358 area.
After wave 5, an ABC correction is normal. If wave C finishes around 4,235 and buyers protect this area, gold may prepare for another bullish continuation towards 4,455.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for gold to correct into support and show bullish confirmation.
Entry zone: 4,235–4,250 if bullish confirmation appears
Stop loss: below the confirmed ABC low or below 4,162
Take profit 1: 4,346–4,358
Take profit 2: 4,400
Take profit 3: 4,455
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks above 4,358 without a deep pullback and holds strongly, price may continue directly towards 4,455. In that case, waiting for a retest of 4,358 as support would be the cleaner continuation setup.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, the main trend is still bullish after the downtrend breakout. Gold has already shown strong buying pressure, but the market is now near an important reaction zone.
The best plan is patience. If gold corrects into 4,235 and buyers defend the zone, the next bullish move may continue towards the weekly liquidity target.
Gold remains in a bullish continuation structure.
If the ABC correction holds, the next upside target is 4,455. Long 
Intraday Breakout & Bullish Target ExpansionGold (XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe) is showing strong bullish momentum after holding a local structural base. Price action is consolidating above the moving average ribbon, setting up for an impulsive push toward higher target liquidity levels.
Key Technical Highlights
Support Defense: Price successfully held above the structural pivot and demand zone around 4,333 - 4,340, confirming sustained buyer interest on the intraday timeframe
Structural Objectives
Target 1: Intermediate resistance level at 4,365.288
Target 2 (Extended): Upper liquidity objective / resistance zone near 4,383.113
Trading Plan / Setup:
Bias: Bullish (Buy / Long)
Entry Zone: Current continuation and retest area (~4,347 - 4,350)
Stop Loss (SL / Invalidation): Placed strictly below the local swing low support (~4,333.588)
Take Profit (TP): Scaled across objectives at 4,365.288 and 4,383.113
Educational Disclaimer: This analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial or investment advice. Trading CFDs and commodities involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Always perform your own due diligence and manage your risk accordingly before executing any trades Long 
Long
