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Description

Macroeconomic analysis focuses on national economies (or in the case of the Eurozone on the euro area) and examines their health. This is done by interpreting the economic indicators for the following areas: growth (business climate, GDP), inflation (consumer price index, producer price index), employment (unemployment claims, jobless claims) and production (factory orders, building permits).

It also takes into account any geopolitical developments that could cause risk in the market (elections, natural disasters) as well as the monetary policies and actions of Central Banks, like changing interest rates (which can encourage or discourage investors), quantitative easing (which can spur the economy and inflation) and the specific language used in press conferences and announcements. Understanding how these elements influence markets gives traders an edge. TradingView has an economic calendar that ties news events to the time scale in an intuitive way.

Macroeconomics

GDP
Gross Domestic Product, 1 Decimal
 
   
UNRATE
Civilian Unemployment Rate
 
   
RATEINF/INFLATION_USA
RATEINF/INFLATION_USA
 
   
FRED/IOER
FRED/IOER
 
   
POP
Total Population: All Ages including Armed Forces Overseas
 
   
GWaves GWaves PRO ALTSALES, M, Short ,
ALTSALES: The Big Short | Putting Economic Data to the Test
65 1 13
ALTSALES, M Short
The Big Short | Putting Economic Data to the Test

Hello Traders, I have been fiddling with the idea of applying the same model used to predict Financial Markets to Economic Data.This is my first attempt at applying the model to such data publicly. Consider this post an experiment. Taking into consideration some fundamentals (and a little bit of rationalizing); Since the auto industry bail outs of 2008-2009 ...

hehe hehe FEDFUNDS, M, Long ,
FEDFUNDS: $DXY - Black clouds on the horizon
111 1 13
FEDFUNDS, M Long
$DXY - Black clouds on the horizon

I expect a rapid growth inflation in 2018. GL!

vincentfog vincentfog DGS10, W,
DGS10: 10Y
12 0 3
DGS10, W
10Y

GTGG

vincentfog vincentfog DGS10, W, Long ,
DGS10: Interest rate fundamental
32 0 3
DGS10, W Long
Interest rate fundamental

GTGG

kyriediculous kyriediculous PRO GDPDEF, D,
GDPDEF: US economics
36 0 5
GDPDEF, D
US economics

GDP : Purple S&P : White M2 & M2V : Orange & Dark Orange

stockspy stockspy PRO UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: $SPX $SPY Unemployment and continued claims bottoming out.
12 0 4
UNRATE, D
$SPX $SPY Unemployment and continued claims bottoming out.

So we going to keep that bottomed out for next 4 straight years?

Malcolm-Luter Malcolm-Luter DGS10, W, Long ,
DGS10: 10 Year & 2 Year Treasury GOING UP
35 0 2
DGS10, W Long
10 Year & 2 Year Treasury GOING UP

The signal on 2Yr is clear = Bottom Reverse (H&S in confirmation) 10Year approaching resistance for building 2 bottom UP

tmp_cox tmp_cox UEMPMEAN, D,
UEMPMEAN: Predicted financial 'crisis(?)'
94 0 8
UEMPMEAN, D
Predicted financial 'crisis(?)'

I based my opinion for 2017-2018 on macroeconomic statistics/ indicators deserved from the FED In this chart you can find the following indicators: - Average (mean) duration of unemployment - Velocity of M2 stock (included trendline) - S&P500 (included trendline) I have searched for opposite movements in the statistics/ indicators

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO DTWEXM, M, Long ,
DTWEXM: Trade weighted dollar index: Update
73 0 12
DTWEXM, M Long
Trade weighted dollar index: Update

The long term uptrend signal I was looking at has triggered here, so I think we can get higher prices in the long term, although I see a very possible retrace in the dollar coming here, but only briefly. If anything it's an opportunity to reenter long term dollar longs. Invalidation of this thesis would come if there is a big fundamental change that causes price ...

Gorbie Gorbie DTWEXM, W,
DTWEXM: Trade-weighted dollar index
128 0 13
DTWEXM, W
Trade-weighted dollar index

The trade-weighted dollar index was introduced in 1998 for two primary reasons. The first was the introduction of the euro, which eliminated several of the currencies in the standard dollar index; the second was to keep pace with new developments in US trade. In the standard US dollar index, a significant weight is given to the euro. To more accurately reflect ...

Roll-The-Bones Roll-The-Bones PRO UNRATE, M, Short ,
UNRATE: Expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.
134 0 2
UNRATE, M Short
Expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.

When unemployment rate crosses 12 month ma signals long term trend change in SP500. Rate just crossed to upside, expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.

gurple gurple PRO UNRATE, M,
UNRATE: WARNING: Beware of Recession
115 0 1
UNRATE, M
WARNING: Beware of Recession

Whenever the unemployment rate has crossed above the 12 month moving average, almost always a recession has soon followed. Here we are now.

PeiLi PeiLi INDEX_KS11, D,
INDEX_KS11: South Korean stock market
66 0 0
INDEX_KS11, D
South Korean stock market

A New Beginning

Streetsurfer Streetsurfer UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: Recession Looming.
40 0 1
UNRATE, D
Recession Looming.

Private Update of a chart copied earlier from someone here on TV a while back Can't remember who

Streetsurfer Streetsurfer UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: 12 month 3 month Unemployment Cross
38 0 0
UNRATE, D
12 month 3 month Unemployment Cross

12 month 3 month unemployment cross

timwest timwest PRO ALTSALES, D, Long ,
ALTSALES: USA Population is up 50% since 1976 but not Auto Sales
521 9 11
ALTSALES, D Long
USA Population is up 50% since 1976 but not Auto Sales

When we look at auto sales, do we adjust for the number of people in America? If you see the lower chart, you can see we are just over the trend in Light Vehicle sales. The trend is 16 million and we hit 18 million and backed off to 17 million recently. It sure looks like the number of cars sold "per person" in the USA is down dramatically over the last 40 ...

PeiLi PeiLi INDEX_KS11, D,
INDEX_KS11: SouthKorea
38 0 0
INDEX_KS11, D
SouthKorea

Bubbles in the stock market

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