World Economic Data

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World Economic Data

Macroeconomic analysis focuses on national economies (or in the case of the Eurozone on the euro area) and examines their health. This is done by interpreting the economic indicators for the following areas: growth (business climate, GDP), inflation (consumer price index, producer price index), employment (unemployment claims, jobless claims) and production (factory orders, building permits).

It also takes into account any geopolitical developments that could cause risk in the market (elections, natural disasters) as well as the monetary policies and actions of Central Banks, like changing interest rates (which can encourage or discourage investors), quantitative easing (which can spur the economy and inflation) and the specific language used in press conferences and announcements. Understanding how these elements influence markets gives traders an edge. TradingView has an economic calendar that ties news events to the time scale in an intuitive way.

Macroeconomics

GDP
Gross Domestic Product, 1 Decimal
 
   
UNRATE
Civilian Unemployment Rate
 
   
RATEINF/INFLATION_USA
RATEINF/INFLATION_USA
 
   
FRED/IOER
FRED/IOER
 
   
POP
Total Population: All Ages Including Armed Forces Overseas
 
   
GregOh GregOh PRO DTWEXM, D, Long ,
DTWEXM: Dollar Rebound
17 1 5
DTWEXM, D Long
Dollar Rebound

I believe we are headed toward a stronger dollar. In the chart is the trade weighted dollar index, which is a larger basket of foreign currencies than $DXY... $DXY is mostly pegged to the EUR/USD with around 65% of its currencies reflecting the Euro or currencies that are heavily reliant on the Euro. The trade weighted index is therefore a better representation of ...

Technician Technician TOP ICSA, 3M, Education
ICSA: According to jobless claims, recession is unlikely before 2019
1206 9 86
ICSA, 3M Education
According to jobless claims, recession is unlikely before 2019

Jobless claims indicator has been a reliable indicator of recessions. By examining a historical chart that goes back to 1960s we see a similar pattern in the behavior of claims and recessions. Every single recession the U.S. encountered in the underlying period was preceded by a rise in jobless claims. The chart above draws the quarterly jobless claims. The ...

JohnKicklighter JohnKicklighter PRO UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: Timing the First Rate Hike on the Fed's 'Dual Mandate'
1098 5 14
UNRATE, D
Timing the First Rate Hike on the Fed's 'Dual Mandate'

The Fed's rate hike timing is 'data dependent'. Few data points are as comprehensive and influential for determining monetary policy than the BLS's monthly labor statistics. The unemployment rate is good for the employment element of the mandate, but there is also an inflation gauge: wage growth. Will this data offer enough of a push to shift interest rate ...

oakman oakman EMRATIO, M, Education
EMRATIO: Civilian Employment to Population Ratio -great tool
115 0 9
EMRATIO, M Education
Civilian Employment to Population Ratio -great tool

The head and shoulders formation is a classic sell setup that traders are familiar with. A close below the neck line is a sell signal for traders. Well, as you can see this was a signal of an economic downturn and it predicted it in the summer before the market crash in the fall. This would have alerted people to prepare for the impending doom and for traders to ...

SMP99 SMP99 PRO DGS10, W,
DGS10: 10 Yr Treasury Rates vs. S&P 500
1891 0 7
DGS10, W
10 Yr Treasury Rates vs. S&P 500

The rally in long dated US treasuries over the past 35 years could easily be called the greatest bull market we've seen in modern times. 10 yr rates have been trending down in a near perfect channel for almost 30 years. Calling for the end of this rally has become a popular pastime. Due to the nature being zero bound on rates, the upper trend line will with ...

vincentfog vincentfog DGS10, W,
DGS10: 10Y
32 0 3
DGS10, W
10Y

GTGG

vincentfog vincentfog DGS10, W, Long ,
DGS10: Interest rate fundamental
76 0 3
DGS10, W Long
Interest rate fundamental

GTGG

timwest timwest PRO POP, D, Education
POP: $POP - United States Population Trends - Using TradingView Data
211 3 18
POP, D Education
$POP - United States Population Trends - Using TradingView Data

General education: Plotting fundamental data. POP gives you the population data for the United States. You can put the scale to log-scale so you view the same percentage changes in the data across the data series. What you can see here is a slightly different view. The pace of growth from 1975-1986 continued forward until today shows were are on that same ...

kyriediculous kyriediculous PRO GDPDEF, D,
GDPDEF: US economics
55 0 5
GDPDEF, D
US economics

GDP : Purple S&P : White M2 & M2V : Orange & Dark Orange

stockspy stockspy PRO UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: $SPX $SPY Unemployment and continued claims bottoming out.
24 0 4
UNRATE, D
$SPX $SPY Unemployment and continued claims bottoming out.

So we going to keep that bottomed out for next 4 straight years?

hehe hehe FEDFUNDS, M, Long ,
FEDFUNDS: $DXY - Black clouds on the horizon
145 1 14
FEDFUNDS, M Long
$DXY - Black clouds on the horizon

I expect a rapid growth inflation in 2018. GL!

Malcolm-Luter Malcolm-Luter DGS10, W, Long ,
DGS10: 10 Year & 2 Year Treasury GOING UP
42 0 2
DGS10, W Long
10 Year & 2 Year Treasury GOING UP

The signal on 2Yr is clear = Bottom Reverse (H&S in confirmation) 10Year approaching resistance for building 2 bottom UP

tmp_cox tmp_cox UEMPMEAN, D,
UEMPMEAN: Predicted financial 'crisis(?)'
115 0 9
UEMPMEAN, D
Predicted financial 'crisis(?)'

I based my opinion for 2017-2018 on macroeconomic statistics/ indicators deserved from the FED In this chart you can find the following indicators: - Average (mean) duration of unemployment - Velocity of M2 stock (included trendline) - S&P500 (included trendline) I have searched for opposite movements in the statistics/ indicators

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO DTWEXM, M, Long ,
DTWEXM: Trade weighted dollar index: Update
93 0 12
DTWEXM, M Long
Trade weighted dollar index: Update

The long term uptrend signal I was looking at has triggered here, so I think we can get higher prices in the long term, although I see a very possible retrace in the dollar coming here, but only briefly. If anything it's an opportunity to reenter long term dollar longs. Invalidation of this thesis would come if there is a big fundamental change that causes price ...

GWaves GWaves PRO ALTSALES, M, Short ,
ALTSALES: The Big Short | Putting Economic Data to the Test
99 1 14
ALTSALES, M Short
The Big Short | Putting Economic Data to the Test

Hello Traders, I have been fiddling with the idea of applying the same model used to predict Financial Markets to Economic Data.This is my first attempt at applying the model to such data publicly. Consider this post an experiment. Taking into consideration some fundamentals (and a little bit of rationalizing); Since the auto industry bail outs of 2008-2009 ...

Gorbie Gorbie DTWEXM, W,
DTWEXM: Trade-weighted dollar index
150 0 13
DTWEXM, W
Trade-weighted dollar index

The trade-weighted dollar index was introduced in 1998 for two primary reasons. The first was the introduction of the euro, which eliminated several of the currencies in the standard dollar index; the second was to keep pace with new developments in US trade. In the standard US dollar index, a significant weight is given to the euro. To more accurately reflect ...

Roll-The-Bones Roll-The-Bones PRO UNRATE, M, Short ,
UNRATE: Expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.
156 0 2
UNRATE, M Short
Expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.

When unemployment rate crosses 12 month ma signals long term trend change in SP500. Rate just crossed to upside, expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.

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