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archiki archiki GFDEBTN, W, Long ,
GFDEBTN: Born into Slavery.. I mean Debt... I mean Growth?
73 0 4
GFDEBTN, W Long
Born into Slavery.. I mean Debt... I mean Growth?

Long FED Debt . Debt= Growth.. The NWO

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO DTWEXM, M, Long ,
DTWEXM: Trade weighted Dollar Index: At yearly support
253 0 29
DTWEXM, M Long
Trade weighted Dollar Index: At yearly support

The dollar has found support at a long term level in the yearly chart. It's clear we'll see a dollar rally, specially against EM currencies for an extended period of time. We can expect a move to 91.22, but if we manage to move above it, we could see uptrend continuation into the highs, and potentially new highs in the long term. My reccomendation: Found viable ...

BTCMarket BTCMarket UNRATE, 3M,
UNRATE: Chart Identifying When A Recession Starts
349 0 21
UNRATE, 3M
Chart Identifying When A Recession Starts

When the 3 Month Unemployment Average Goes Above The 3 Year Moving Average A Recession Is In Progress. The chart above shows every recession from 1953 to 2008 and shows when the moving average occurrence takes place it's a recession.

Gorbie Gorbie DTWEXM, W, Long ,
DTWEXM: DTWEXM
195 0 7
DTWEXM, W Long
DTWEXM

Long from 86.32—88.56 area

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO DTWEXM, M, Long ,
DTWEXM: Trade weighted dollar: Deflationary crisis?
907 14 27
DTWEXM, M Long
Trade weighted dollar: Deflationary crisis?

In this chart I'd like to point out the current trend in the Dollar index the Fed uses, which is the trade weighted dollar index. The DXY or USDOLLAR tickers everyone's using don't reflect the situation of emerging markets, since they have heavy Euro and Yen weights in their calculation. The setup is a monthly uptrend lasting at least until June, and with ...

Gorbie Gorbie DTWEXM, W,
DTWEXM: Trade Weighted US Dollar index
261 1 7
DTWEXM, W
Trade Weighted US Dollar index

Ending diagonal?

OlegMDev OlegMDev TDSP, M,
TDSP: TDSP for better trading.
31 0 2
TDSP, M
TDSP for better trading.

See the Bull vs Bear Cycles via Household Debt Service Payments as a % of Disposable Personal Income.

imilkon imilkon STRESS_INDEX, M,
STRESS_INDEX: Stress Index
20 0 3
STRESS_INDEX, M
Stress Index

Wave analysis for Kansas City Financial Stress Index

soulmaster.myfc soulmaster.myfc FEDFUNDS, M, Long ,
FEDFUNDS: The beginning of new high interest rate era
15 0 1
FEDFUNDS, M Long
The beginning of new high interest rate era

Very long term US interest rate view.

JohnKicklighter JohnKicklighter PRO PAYEMS, D,
PAYEMS: Dollar vs NFPs
68 0 8
PAYEMS, D
Dollar vs NFPs

Here we have US jobs figures versus the change in US nonfarm payrolls. At the extremes, the correlation is negative - dramatic job loss is usually indicative of economic and financial instability that revives the currency's safe haven status. For now, the robust figures look to be a bullish support.

DGS2: The More Threatening, Under-priced Risks to Global Mkts
63 0 7
DGS2, D
The More Threatening, Under-priced Risks to Global Mkts

The Fed's rate hike has been pegged as one of the greatest risks to the future of the financial system - not that it is immediately a threat, but the uncertainty is brings is troubling. However, we have seen the market move to price the possibility of a December hike into the markets (here 2-year yields). In the meantime, the China economic-financial strain has ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FYFSD, W, Long ,
FYFSD: DATA VIEW: US BUDGET BALANCE UPDATE
18 0 3
FYFSD, W Long
DATA VIEW: US BUDGET BALANCE UPDATE

US Budget Balance has restored to its normal levels, last seen back in 2004 and right before the financial crisis fallout - in 2008. ... The balance suffered a significant blow during the fallout of 2008/9 us mortgage crisis. Government stimulus measures needed at the time to stop the downward spiral in US markets created a huge budged deficit. In addition, ...

Koi_Capital Koi_Capital PRO UNRATE, M,
UNRATE: Unemployment Prediction Model with Scary Accuracy!
207 1 8
UNRATE, M
Unemployment Prediction Model with Scary Accuracy!

This RSI-MA Model Predicts Unemployment Rate With Scary Accuracy! Although high unemployment usually occurs during economic recessions, it doesn't always mean that equity valuations would drop, nor does rising unemployment always mean recession. On the monthly chart of the official national unemployment rate: Unemployment Momentum Rising = MA6(RSI3) cross>50 ...

GDP: A Short-Term Agenda from Monetary Policy?
64 0 4
GDP, D
A Short-Term Agenda from Monetary Policy?

The Fed turning on the spigot of monetary policy may have started out an objective to jump start growth, but is the objective for accommodation still so virtuous? Here we have the effective funds rate (proxy for Fed support) versus US growth and the S&P 500 (speculative returns).

GDP: More Stimulus Is Unlikely to Provide More Economic Fuel
82 0 6
GDP, D
More Stimulus Is Unlikely to Provide More Economic Fuel

A delay of a Fed rate hike seems to be the market's immediate concern when it comes to risk trends. Yet, as global growth cools, the expectation readily escalates to expectations of more stimulus. Yet, more quantitative easing, is unlikely to provide the backing the system needs. Yields are already exceptionally low and the positive influence on growth following ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel TCU, D, Short ,
TCU: DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): US CAPACITY UTILIZATION RISK
19 0 2
TCU, D Short
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): US CAPACITY UTILIZATION RISK

Total Capacity Utilization index, which measures the share of industrial capacities of US companies employed in actual production, has also nearly restored its crisis losses. However, the index has bounced down from the 80% mark in the recent readings, falling out of its ascending range. It is too early to conclude if it is the end of recovery in the index. ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel INDPRO, D,
INDPRO: DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): US INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION GROWTH FINE
21 0 3
INDPRO, D
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): US INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION GROWTH FINE

Industrial Production Index has been trending within its relevant ascending range since 2011 and has restored all the losses of the 2008-2009 financial crisis back in mid-summer 2013. Thus overall the Industrial production in the US is developing at a good pace, in line with the lateral uptrend in S&P 500.

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel BOPGSTB, M,
BOPGSTB: DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): US TRADE BALANCE PARADIGM SHIFT
17 0 2
BOPGSTB, M
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): US TRADE BALANCE PARADIGM SHIFT

Back before the 2008-2009 financial meltdown, the US trade deficit was continually ascending, as the country was consuming more and more imported goods. It was a natural course of events, since the States was widely known as world’s leading consumer. After the crisis, however, the situation changed dramatically. Following a sharp correction, US trade deficit ...

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