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GWaves GWaves ALTSALES, M, Short ,
117 1 15
The Big Short | Putting Economic Data to the Test

Hello Traders, I have been fiddling with the idea of applying the same model used to predict Financial Markets to Economic Data.This is my first attempt at applying the model to such data publicly. Consider this post an experiment. Taking into consideration some fundamentals (and a little bit of rationalizing); Since the auto industry bail outs of 2008-2009 ...

188 0 12
Trade-weighted dollar index

The trade-weighted dollar index was introduced in 1998 for two primary reasons. The first was the introduction of the euro, which eliminated several of the currencies in the standard dollar index; the second was to keep pace with new developments in US trade. In the standard US dollar index, a significant weight is given to the euro. To more accurately reflect ...

201 0 2
Expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.

When unemployment rate crosses 12 month ma signals long term trend change in SP500. Rate just crossed to upside, expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.

228 0 1
WARNING: Beware of Recession

Whenever the unemployment rate has crossed above the 12 month moving average, almost always a recession has soon followed. Here we are now.

94 0 1
Recession Looming.

Private Update of a chart copied earlier from someone here on TV a while back Can't remember who

64 0 0
12 month 3 month Unemployment Cross

12 month 3 month unemployment cross

timwest timwest ALTSALES, D, Long ,
742 12 18
USA Population is up 50% since 1976 but not Auto Sales

When we look at auto sales, do we adjust for the number of people in America? If you see the lower chart, you can see we are just over the trend in Light Vehicle sales. The trend is 16 million and we hit 18 million and backed off to 17 million recently. It sure looks like the number of cars sold "per person" in the USA is down dramatically over the last 40 ...

41 0 0

Bubbles in the stock market

dime dime DTB3, D, Short ,
111 0 4
DTB3, D Short
Rate hike indicator: the 3 month treasury

The reason for Friday's massive market selling is said to be because of the Fed's message that the rate hike is coming. Seems that it may just be broad market selling after a period of complacent low VIX and broader overvaluation. For confirmation that the rate hike is coming I'll be watching the 3 month treasury rate closely for signs. A move from .30 to .55 ...

DavidBelleFX DavidBelleFX DTWEXM, W, Short ,
253 0 4
USD On Trade Weighted Basis.

Head and shoulders forming. Chart is extremely similar to USDJPY back in December when it dropped off a cliff.

76 0 0
VIX S&P 500 Fibonacci Speed Resistance Fan.

VIX S&P 500.Fibonacci Speed Resistance Fan. "Any tool to apply the Fibonacci sequence helps us find sections "roads" where the asset will move."

11 0 0
Could be wrong but *what if I'm correct*?!

Sure seems like a cup about to spilllllllllll

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie DTWEXM, 3M, Long ,
163 0 17
Trade weighted dollar index: Strong fundamentals and technicals

The trade weighted dollar index shows a very healthy quarterly rally here. We've now retested the yearly resistance from the previous downtrend, after breaking above it, and it acted as support so it's clear to me bulls are in control. Once we break the previous quarter high, odds of the uptrend resuming will increase, and will be fully confirmed after a 3.70% ...

Silver-Silver Silver-Silver FEDFUNDS, M, Education
2158 12 73
FEDFUNDS, M Education
Global Risk Map

I thought this might come in handy for the next couple of weeks Note; There are many things I did not include. Feel free to share your thoughts.

robtalia robtalia DGS10, W, Long ,
8 0 1
DGS10, W Long


robtalia robtalia DGS2, W, Long ,
10 0 1
DGS2, W Long


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