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robtalia robtalia DGS2, W, Long ,
10 0 1
DGS2, W Long
YIELDS

YIELDS

84 0 6
UNRATE, M
MACD and StochRSI accurately predict unemployment rates

Next month's unemployment rate will determine if the MACD crosses and if we could potentially enter into a recession

archiki archiki GFDEBTN, W, Long ,
78 0 4
GFDEBTN, W Long
Born into Slavery.. I mean Debt... I mean Growth?

Long FED Debt . Debt= Growth.. The NWO

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie DTWEXM, M, Long ,
258 0 29
DTWEXM, M Long
Trade weighted Dollar Index: At yearly support

The dollar has found support at a long term level in the yearly chart. It's clear we'll see a dollar rally, specially against EM currencies for an extended period of time. We can expect a move to 91.22, but if we manage to move above it, we could see uptrend continuation into the highs, and potentially new highs in the long term. My reccomendation: Found viable ...

513 0 26
UNRATE, 3M
Chart Identifying When A Recession Starts

When the 3 Month Unemployment Average Goes Above The 3 Year Moving Average A Recession Is In Progress. The chart above shows every recession from 1953 to 2008 and shows when the moving average occurrence takes place it's a recession.

Gorbie Gorbie DTWEXM, W, Long ,
206 0 7
DTWEXM, W Long
DTWEXM

Long from 86.32—88.56 area

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie DTWEXM, M, Long ,
912 14 27
DTWEXM, M Long
Trade weighted dollar: Deflationary crisis?

In this chart I'd like to point out the current trend in the Dollar index the Fed uses, which is the trade weighted dollar index. The DXY or USDOLLAR tickers everyone's using don't reflect the situation of emerging markets, since they have heavy Euro and Yen weights in their calculation. The setup is a monthly uptrend lasting at least until June, and with ...

37 0 2
TDSP, M
TDSP for better trading.

See the Bull vs Bear Cycles via Household Debt Service Payments as a % of Disposable Personal Income.

25 0 3
STRESS_INDEX, M
Stress Index

Wave analysis for Kansas City Financial Stress Index

30 0 1
FEDFUNDS, M Long
The beginning of new high interest rate era

Very long term US interest rate view.

71 0 8
PAYEMS, D
Dollar vs NFPs

Here we have US jobs figures versus the change in US nonfarm payrolls. At the extremes, the correlation is negative - dramatic job loss is usually indicative of economic and financial instability that revives the currency's safe haven status. For now, the robust figures look to be a bullish support.

71 0 7
DGS2, D
The More Threatening, Under-priced Risks to Global Mkts

The Fed's rate hike has been pegged as one of the greatest risks to the future of the financial system - not that it is immediately a threat, but the uncertainty is brings is troubling. However, we have seen the market move to price the possibility of a December hike into the markets (here 2-year yields). In the meantime, the China economic-financial strain has ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FYFSD, W, Long ,
18 0 3
FYFSD, W Long
DATA VIEW: US BUDGET BALANCE UPDATE

US Budget Balance has restored to its normal levels, last seen back in 2004 and right before the financial crisis fallout - in 2008. ... The balance suffered a significant blow during the fallout of 2008/9 us mortgage crisis. Government stimulus measures needed at the time to stop the downward spiral in US markets created a huge budged deficit. In addition, ...

239 2 9
UNRATE, M
Unemployment Prediction Model with Scary Accuracy!

This RSI-MA Model Predicts Unemployment Rate With Scary Accuracy! Although high unemployment usually occurs during economic recessions, it doesn't always mean that equity valuations would drop, nor does rising unemployment always mean recession. On the monthly chart of the official national unemployment rate: Unemployment Momentum Rising = MA6(RSI3) cross>50 ...

73 0 4
GDP, D
A Short-Term Agenda from Monetary Policy?

The Fed turning on the spigot of monetary policy may have started out an objective to jump start growth, but is the objective for accommodation still so virtuous? Here we have the effective funds rate (proxy for Fed support) versus US growth and the S&P 500 (speculative returns).

82 0 6
GDP, D
More Stimulus Is Unlikely to Provide More Economic Fuel

A delay of a Fed rate hike seems to be the market's immediate concern when it comes to risk trends. Yet, as global growth cools, the expectation readily escalates to expectations of more stimulus. Yet, more quantitative easing, is unlikely to provide the backing the system needs. Yields are already exceptionally low and the positive influence on growth following ...

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel TCU, D, Short ,
23 0 2
TCU, D Short
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): US CAPACITY UTILIZATION RISK

Total Capacity Utilization index, which measures the share of industrial capacities of US companies employed in actual production, has also nearly restored its crisis losses. However, the index has bounced down from the 80% mark in the recent readings, falling out of its ascending range. It is too early to conclude if it is the end of recovery in the index. ...

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