Standard Chartered sees Bitcoin surge to $125K if Republicans take US Congress

Bitcoin could be worth $125,000 by the end of the year if the Republican Party dominates the United States Congress after the Nov. 5 elections, Standard Chartered Bank analyst Geoff Kendrick predicted.

As speculation about the US elections and Bitcoin BTCUSD prices approaches a frenzy, Kendrick was bullish on the Republicans.

The Trump bump is looking powerful

Kendrick predicted BTC will reach about $73,000 by Nov. 5, the day of the elections. If Republican former President Donald Trump is elected to a second term, Kendrick said BTC will rise about 4% when the result is announced, based on options information, and will increase by another 10% within a few days. Kendrick wrote in a note:

“Our base case is that Bitcoin rises to around USD 73,000 by Election Day, catching up to betting-market probabilities of a Trump win; this is slightly below the c.USD 73,800 all-time high recorded in March.”

If current Vice President Kamala Harris is elected president, Kendrick says BTC will trade lower for a while, but end the year at around $75,000. He notes that RealClearPolitics currently places the odds of a Trump win at 59% and Polymarket gives Trump a 75% chance of victory.

Crypto skews right

Polymarket’s odds were manipulated by a recently identified, but not named, whale that bet more than $20 million on a Trump win.

The crypto community perceives Trump to be more favorable toward it than Harris, although Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen is a notable exception, having donated XRP (XRP) worth $11 million to the Harris campaign.

Kendrick is not the only commenter who has shown confidence in Trump. An executive at crypto asset manager Bitwise predicted BTC would hit $92,000 in the event of a Trump victory. Crypto exchange Deribit predicted BTC to reach $80,000 by the end of November with a Trump win.

Less excitable observers, such as BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, have said BTC will rise regardless of the election results.