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Newzage - Fed Net Liquidity

The Fed Net Liquidity indicator is a concept discovered by Max Anderson to calculate the fair value of SPX (S&P 500 Index).

The formula he shared on Twitter uses the Fed Balance Sheet, TGA (Treasury General Account), and Reverse Repo.
Net Liquidity = Fed Balance Sheet - (TGA + Reverse Repo)

The data for each component above is accessible on the FRED website.

Fed Balance Sheet fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL
Treasury General Account (TGA) fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WTREGEN
Reverse Repo fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RRPONTSYD

This script uses net liquidity (NL) fair value calculation for SPX, then estimates entry and next target exit target for both long and short trades on SPY.
The script added RSI oversold/overbought signal to the original NL signal from Max... improving the "precision" of the buy/sell signals.

The script also uses RSI to estimate targets based on how overbought or oversold the index/SPY is.
Open-source script

In true TradingView spirit, the author of this script has published it open-source, so traders can understand and verify it. Cheers to the author! You may use it for free, but reuse of this code in a publication is governed by House Rules. You can favorite it to use it on a chart.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.

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