DOW will test 53K and then fall hard into SpaceX and OPENAI IPOsMarket continues to shrug off valuation worries, war headlines, pretty much everything.
I am bullish on tech ER this quarter now that we're done with NFLX and TSLA (which I very intentionally avoided).
So we will continue to push in this most hated rally.
But it will end when CTA forced selling of the most broadly held equities happens to make room for new, very overvalued IPOs in SpaceX and OpenAI.
The equities with the highest % of shares being held by institutions should get hit the hardest
PLD
MS
EA
UNH
MA
ADBE
BROS
NFLX
MU
AVGO
CSCO
ABBV
MSFT
In-depth trading ideas
DIA | Trade Plan | 04/17/2026 The trade plan is written on the chart with the levels that I believe are important and their entries and profit targets.
I think we will end up seeing a rejection of this S/R flip and the theoretical long within a 2 week period but my initial bias is bearish; there being a 2nd rejection at the current chop zone that I wrote out and an eventual drop down to the cyan levels.
I understand the markets don't appear this way now and the historical probabilities of similar deltas of price over time suggest more bullish price action in theory. I also understand that many talented analysts and traders have a much different analysis than me but I don't think we have seen the entire fallout of the energy markets yet. There is also some data that suggests markets drop after rate cuts, and finally, I think the change in PDT rules is a top signal. I have some correlations of theoretical bearish setups on the other indexes that I will post.
I will not be foolish though, and will trade the levels we get, so I always write out both directions.
All levels must have a candle close below / above them, I do not trade “live” breakouts, due to liquidity sweeps (wick rejects over support / resistance). In order to do this correctly that is something that will need to be respected or you’ll find yourself in the wrath of volatility.
— TWC 🥷
DIA — Bullish Coverage Initiated | 04/06/2026Summary
DIA is the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF, a fund that tracks 30 major blue-chip U.S. companies and is widely used as a proxy for the Dow. Buyers are in control right now, and 477.87 is the key level that matters most. As long as DIA holds above that line, the bullish structure remains intact.
Current Read
DIA gives exposure to large, established U.S. industrial and blue-chip names, with strengths in stability and broad corporate leadership, while remaining vulnerable to economic slowdowns, cyclical weakness, and less growth exposure than tech-heavy indexes.
On the chart, this is a fresh bullish shift with the trend change now confirmed. The current trend change began on 04/06/26, and the bullish condition has now been active for 1 week. With price at 479.25, DIA is trading 0.29% above the structural reversal level, which shows buyers have regained control, but only by a narrow margin. That keeps the chart bullish, though it remains close to the line that decides whether the trend holds.
Bull Trend Ends / Bear Trend Begins Below
477.87
What Changes the Picture
Sellers would need to push DIA back below 477.87 to break the current bullish structure. Until that happens, buyers remain in control, but this is still a tight bullish hold rather than a wide-margin breakout.
This is a reactive market-structure update for educational purposes, not a prediction or trade instruction.
DJI nearing The end of WAVE 1 or A Crash The chart posted is that of The DJI it is very similar to the NYA As to the form and cycle and SPIRALS calling for the event 2/9 2/11 top . I have 5 spirals from today to tuesday .We are also nearing the .382 retracement of the move from April 7 Low . I am starting to BUY CALLS Now and will move to 100 % long by tuesday I am Now 40 % as of this post in late 2027 in the money calls . Oil will top this weekend and Gold should see its low by Tuesday in wave C . Best of trades WAVETIMER !
Market Bottom Is In!!! (Or very close)I will be posting 3 charts. AMEX:DIA , AMEX:IWM , and NASDAQ:PDD for wide overview. I could post for SPY, QQQ, and others but it’s overkill.
On Dow Jones, Last 4 times stochastics got oversold, it was market bottom… and don’t ask me how it’s more oversold now versus the 2025 sell off haha
DIA Top Forming With Upcoming Correction Down to 410 Next SpringAMEX:DIA channel forming top with head and shoulders much like last year. Will there be coal in the stocking this December, or will they stave off the correction until after calendar rolls over? We shall see.
I anticipate another correction into the Spring season bottoming around $410 in April.
Goodluck!
DIA 1H Swing Short Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ short impulse
- resisting bar level below BUI
+ resistance zone
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Ut-
Bought a put
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1D CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ biggest volume expanding CREEK
+ volumed 2Ut+
+ weak test"
1M CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- neutral zone
+ exhaustion volume?"
1Y CounterTrend
"- long impulse
+ beyond rotation point
- neutral zone"
DIA 5M Short Aggressive CounterTrend DayTradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
- one bar reversal
+ irregular volumed 2Ut-
+ weak test?
+ weak retest?
Calculated affordable stop market
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1H CounterTrend
"- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ resistance level
+ weak approach
+ biggest volumed unsuccessful manipulation bar"
1D CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ expanding CREEK
+ weak approach"
1M countertrend
"- long impulse
- neutral zone
+ exhaustion volume?"
1Y CounterTrend
"- long impulse
+ beyond rotation point
- neutral zone"
Learn what happened yesterday from the Professional sideWhat you hear and read on the retail side of the market is totally different than what actually happened on the professional side. This is an important distinction to learn about because the professional side of the market is where 80% of all the market transactions each day, some 350 -400 billion dollars exchanging hands, occurs on the professional side of the market.
The professional side of the market is transacted on the Dark Pool ATS venues, there are 50 Alternative Trading Venues. There are only 13 public exchanges.
20% of all transactions are on the public exchanges and are retail investors, retail traders and small funds managers with less than 3.5 billion in assets.
The internal structure of the stock market is entirely different than retail traders believe.
It is far more complex and far larger. The speed of execution is on the millisecond which is 60,000 transactions per second. Retail trades on the 1 minute timeframe.
The Dow 30 started out the day with a huge Gap Up on HFT volume as the HFTs filled the queues of the market seconds before the market opened. This caused the gap up, NOT retail traders orders which were filled after the gap and run up. Try not to chase stocks or ETFs.
Then just before the Federal Reserve Bank Chairman Powell was going to speak, a surge of MEMEs groups, and Guru led retail groups rushed in and drove the value of the Dow and price of the DIA upward. With a mere 25 basis points retail groups, news, reporters, websites all reacted negatively as all were expecting a higher rate cut. The Sell Side Institutions, aka big banks, and professional traders already were filling the queues on the millisecond with SELL SHORT ORDERS pending a buy to cover WAY below their sell short order.
So the stocks of the Dow that had been speculated upward and the DIA suddenly collapsed as there were NO buyers and scant buy to covers. A VOID along with smaller funds VWAP orders drove Dow components down and DIA down. then the fundamentals of some Dow components were below the stock price. Dark Pools started buying these stocks at bargain prices as the fundamentals at this time were way above the price for those Dow stocks. The Buy Side made huge profits. The Sell Side made huge profits, the professionals made huge profits.
Most retail day traders and numerous smaller funds lost money.
DIA 1H + GEX Game Plan for Tue, Sep 16DIA Tightening in a Descending Wedge — Breakout or Breakdown Next? ⚖️
Market Structure (1-Hour View)
* Price action: DIA is compressing inside a descending wedge, holding around 459–460 after rejecting multiple times near 462.
* Momentum: MACD is flat and near zero, Stoch RSI mid-range (~70), suggesting a neutral-to-slightly bullish coil if support continues to hold.
Key Levels to Watch
* Resistance: 460.9, 462.3, 463.4–464.0 (gamma and call walls).
* Support: 459.3, 458.8, and 457.0 (gamma magnet). Deeper supports: 455.0 and 452.5.
GEX Read (Sep 16)
* Highest positive NETGEX / Call Resistance: 460.9
* 2nd Call Wall: 463.4 (≈64% GEX), 3rd Call Wall: 464.0.
* Put walls: 455.0, 452.5, 445.0.
* Options sentiment: Puts dominate (~52%), IVR ~11.7, IVx ~15.5 — a slightly defensive positioning but low implied volatility.
Implication:
* Dealers may aim to pin DIA between 457 and 463 unless strong flow breaks the wedge.
* A decisive hourly close >461 could spark a gamma squeeze toward 463–464.
* Lose 457 and the door opens toward 455 → 452.5.
Trade Scenarios
1) Bullish Breakout
* Trigger: 1H close >461 with rising volume.
* Entry: 461–462 on retest.
* Targets: 463.4 → 464.
* Stop: Below 459.5.
* Options: 461/464 call debit spread for a near-term pop.
2) Range Fade
* Trigger: Multiple rejections at 461 while holding above 459.
* Entry: 460.5–461 short.
* Targets: 459 → 457.
* Stop: Above 462.
* Options: 460P or 460/457 put spread for a short scalp.
3) Breakdown
* Trigger: 1H close <457 with failed retest.
* Entry: 456.8–457 short.
* Targets: 455 → 452.5.
* Stop: Back above 458.5.
* Options: 457/452.5 put spread for a measured pullback.
Scalping & Swing Notes
* Watch the descending wedge edges (≈459 and ≈461) for early-day direction.
* EMA/VWAP retests above 459.5 that hold lean bullish; failures lean bearish.
Risk & Management
* With IV low, debit spreads are cost-effective.
* Take partials at first target; tighten stops quickly if DIA chops near wedge support.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade with a plan and manage your risk.
DIA Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* DIA is trading near 455.6, modestly down from Friday’s levels after rejecting 458.5.
* Price is consolidating between 452.5–458.5, forming a triangle structure.
* Intraday momentum is softening, but bulls are still holding the 455 HVL support zone.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 456.9–458.5 → Immediate resistance zone.
* 461–463 → Gamma resistance cluster.
* 466 → Strong Call Wall (upside cap).
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 455.0 → HVL + intraday anchor support.
* 452.5 → Minor support.
* 450.0–448.0 → Strong Put Support.
* 443.0 → Secondary Put Wall support.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Skewed toward Puts (80.9%), suggesting downside hedging flows.
* IVR: Low at 6.3, meaning options market isn’t pricing large volatility.
* Gamma Walls:
* 466 = Heavy Call resistance.
* 450 = Strong Put support.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Bearish crossover, momentum fading after early push.
* Stoch RSI: Near oversold, possible relief bounce if 455 holds.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 455 holds):
* Hold above 455 HVL, push through 457–458.5.
* Targets: 461 → 463, possible extension to 466 Gamma Wall.
Bearish Case (if 455 breaks):
* Lose 455, quick drop to 452.5.
* Further weakness → 450–448 Put Wall zone.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor bounce entries near 455–452.5, targeting 458–461.
* Shorts: Fade rejection at 458–461, stops above 463.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 452.0.
* Shorts → above 463.0.
Summary
DIA is at a decision zone around 455 HVL. Holding this support favors upside toward 458.5–461, but failure opens downside to 452.5 → 450. Options sentiment leans defensive (Put heavy), suggesting capped upside unless buyers reclaim momentum.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk carefully.
$DIA Analysis, Key Levels & Targets
Alright, what a day. DIA, after a down day to start the week, gapped up above the 35EMA and then pushed above the 30min & 1hr 200MA’s which you can see were trading together and traded sideways from there near previous resistance. Still well within the trading range for the week.
(HIT GRAB THIS CHART - UNDER THE CHART NEXT TO THE 🚀)
$DIA Closed in the Expected Move // Last Friday review
I absolutely love when price respects technicals and options. The Thursday gap up and rejection was so beautiful and we see, just like in IWM, the 30min and 1hr 200MA’s acting as resistance, and even more perfect it lined up with the top of the implied move at 445.
$DIA Analysis, Key Levels & Targets 8.4.25
Today’s Trading Range - sitting right on top of the 50 Day Moving Average - we have a great range expansion here from last Friday’s drop. Some interesting targets here. Let me know what you see.
Look at this Battle zone today!! Grab this chart - and let’s go
DIA "Dow Jones Ind Ave. ETF"DIA 15-Minute Technical Outlook
The DIA chart reflects a short-term corrective structure within a broader bullish sequence. Recent price action has established new break-of-structure (BOS) highs, followed by a pullback toward a key internal liquidity zone. Your zones (supply and demand borders) are strategically placed and suggest an imminent inflection point.
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
A Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) occurred at 446.91, confirming bullish control in the short term.
Price has since retraced from this high, forming a local lower high near the 0.5 fib level of the last impulse, indicating a healthy pullback phase.
The recent Change of Character (ChoCH) at 442.12 aligns with a potential short-term retracement target and serves as a key validation level.
🟩 Demand Zone Analysis
Level: ~440.60–442.00
This green zone is supported by multiple confluences:
A prior liquidity sweep and bullish impulse, signaling strong buyer interest.
Proximity to the ChoCH, adding structural significance.
A demand imbalance that remains unmitigated, making it a likely reaction zone.
📌 Expectations: A retracement into this zone may provide a low-risk long opportunity targeting a retest of the 446.00–447.50 supply cluster.
🟥 Supply Zone Analysis
Level 1: ~446.00–446.91 (short-term supply near BOS)
Level 2: ~447.60–449.00 (higher-timeframe unmitigated supply)
These zones represent areas of historical selling pressure and potential liquidity traps where price may encounter resistance. The stacking of zones increases the potential for a reaction or short-term rejection.
📌 Expectations: Should price approach these levels post-demand bounce, tight management or scaling out is advised.
📈 Technical Confluence Points:
Fib Retracement (0.5): Price is hovering near the 0.5 level of the recent bullish leg (~444.05), acting as interim support.






















