Micro-caps = are like real babies they are just starting to walk and talk all of them full of potential
Pros for a large upward move
1)FED peak rates
2)10y% lower = risk on
3)Soft landing
4)Inflation is behind (for now...)
5)Heading into elections historically market goes up and babies should too as well
Here's my take on the AMEX:IWC Microcap ETF. The micro cap ETF is bouncing off the bottom end of a regression channel, however a warning signal is that it's still below an area of resistance. You can see that on that area it used to be a prior support but it has since been broken. As you know prior support becomes resistance once the level is broken so although...
$90 is the support level for micro caps. Based on the other areas of the market, we could see a bounce around the $90 level but will probably see IWC break below $90
Ratio between IWC ( Microcap ETF ) and DIA ( Mega Cap) - picked this up from a presentation by Gundlach of Doubleline Funds. A good gauge of risk appetite. You can clearly see the blow off in Nov 20, Last Hurrah in Nov 21 and where we are now.
After breaking the near-term Accumulation/Distribution Range Ice to the downside, Path of least resistance is a retest of the Previous Accumulation Range Creek (Origin of Breakout) before continuing the Uptrend.
Distribution Range Breakdown 261.8% Measured Move Target @ 94.20
Two Legs Sideways to Down objective met.
05 Mar 2021 to 18 Jan 2022 Big Picture Distribution Range breakdown Black Swan Measured Move 1:1 Target @ 108.75
Short term Double Bottom for a Simple Corrective WXY or Complex WXYXZ before Downtrend Continuation.
Here in this position, it is clear that intensive work has gone into supporting the entire global recovery.
Moreover, we could already count the resilience in credit as ideal results from the covid siege. But now I want to focus on the US and small caps in particular are getting to work and the advance is leading to a more palpable exhaustion leg and opening...
Despite more than a 40% move off their lows, Micro-Caps still have lots of work to do... it will be important to see how price reacts to this area of potential overhead supply in the low 80's. This level is crucial as it represents the 2014-15 highs and 2018 lows. We saw the first try fail today. $IWC has achieved a higher momentum reading than any of the...
