AUDUSDThe AUDUSD chart shows an upward-sloping trendline indicating that the market has been in an uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows since around the 20th of November. This trendline suggests that price action is generally bullish, and this upward movement has been sustained for a period of time.
The price is currently near the level of 101.800, just below 102.000, which has been a key resistance zone the shaded region in light gray, located above the current price, represents a potential resistance zone. This is a level where price may struggle to break above, creating an opportunity for short trades if price fails to push higher The green shaded area below the current price level (around 101.600) indicates a potential area of support. If price begins to fall, this region could act as a point where price may bounce or stall before moving lower.
The chart suggests that there may be a bearish scenario developing. From the current price of around 101.800, the analysis shows a possible move down to 101.600 (and possibly lower) in the near future. This move is marked by the downward arrow and target area shown on the right side of the chart The target for this downward move is set around 100.516, which would represent a significant drop from the current price level. If the market follows through with the anticipated bearish movement, traders might expect the price to reach this area before finding another level of support.
As the trade anticipates price movement to the downside, the trader may place a stop loss slightly above the resistance level (above 102.000), allowing the trade to be protected if the market doesn't follow through on the bearish bias The chart is set on a 1-hour time frame, meaning the trader expects this move to unfold within a relatively short period, potentially within the next few days. This type of chart analysis is useful for short-term traders, such as scalpers or day traders.
The chart also includes specific symbols at the bottom, which could represent certain events or alerts for the trader. The purple circle indicates a potential news event, while the red circle likely represents a trade setup or entry signal. The use of these symbols shows that the trader is closely monitoring events that could impact the market.
Overall, the trader's analysis suggests that the market has reached a point of resistance at around the 102.000 level. If the market fails to break above this resistance, a downward move to the support zone near 101.600 is expected. From there, the trader anticipates further downside movement toward the 100.516 region, providing a potentially profitable trade setup.
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AUDJPY: Why is AUDJPY a higher-than-normal risk setup?AUDJPY: Why is AUDJPY a higher-than-normal risk setup?
AUDJPY has completed a clear bearish pattern; however, it remains a very high-risk trading setup.
The pattern suggests that the price could soon start falling to 101.60; 101.10 and 100.50.
The risk in this setup remains that the BOJ is unclear about what it is doing. The Japanese Prime Minister is supporting further weakening of the JPY and on the other hand the BOJ sent out some Forex Intervention messages and last week they said they should raise interest rates.
At the market opening on Monday, BoJ Governor Ueda is expected to speak. He could easily push the price up or down. However, this setup indicates potential weakness.
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AUDJPYTrading Analysis
BUY
Price is riding an upward-sloping channel and has recently pulled back toward the prior consolidation zone, offering a continuation entry with clearly defined downside while upside aligns with the next Fibonacci and swing resistance areas.
Chart Sentiment Analysis
Market Structure & Price Action
The chart is displaying a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong bullish market structure. This price action suggests that buyers are in control, with each pullback finding support at progressively higher levels. The ascending pattern of peaks and troughs demonstrates sustained buying pressure and institutional accumulation.
📈 Future Price Movement Implications:
The bullish market structure supports continuation of the upward momentum. Key levels to watch include the recent higher low for support and any resistance levels above for potential breakout targets. Maintaining the pattern of higher highs and higher lows will be crucial for sustaining the bullish outlook.
Technical Sentiment Overview
The analysis shows moderate-to-strong technical conviction with 82% confidence. The chart displays recognizable pattern characteristics with Neutral momentum tendencies. While the setup has merit, traders should remain alert to potential false signals and manage risk accordingly. The technical picture suggests directional bias but may require confirmation from additional price action.
Chart Status
Trend Uptrend
Momentum Neutral
Volume Average
Key Observations
Price structure has been carving out higher highs and higher lows within a rising channel, showing steady directional bias rather than explosive moves.
Recent candles near the current zone show hesitation rather than aggressive selling, hinting at consolidation before the next directional leg.
Entry Zone Analysis
✅ OPTIMAL ENTRY ZONE
Current price is hovering near the prior breakout base and mid-Fibonacci area with AO histogram relatively flat, giving a defined support area just below and room to the next overhead liquidity pockets for a scalping-style continuation long.
AUD/JPY Market Outlook: Bullish Structure Still Intact AUD/JPY 🦘🇦🇺 vs 🇯🇵💴 | Bullish Kijun Pullback + LAYERED ENTRY Strategy (Swing/Day Trade)
🚀 TRADE OPPORTUNITY: BULLISH CONFIRMED
AUD/JPY is showing a strong bullish structure, with the price respecting the HULL moving average as dynamic support. We are looking for a pullback to layered demand zones for high-probability entries.
📈 TRADE PLAN: "THIEF" LAYERED LIMIT ORDER STRATEGY
This plan uses a multi-limit order ("layer") approach to average into the trend.
Entry Zones (Buy Limit Orders):
Layer 1: 101.500
Layer 2: 101.800
Layer 3: 102.000
Layer 4: 102.300 (You can add more layers based on your capital & risk)
👉 Entry Logic: Any price action confirmation (bullish engulfing, pin bar) at these levels adds confluence.
⛔ RISK MANAGEMENT (KEY TO SURVIVAL)
Stop Loss (Consolidated): Below swing low @ 101.000.
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY strategic SL. YOU MUST adjust your stop loss based on your personal risk tolerance, account size, and strategy. Protect your capital first!
🎯 PROFIT TARGETS
Primary Target: 103.800 (Major resistance zone, prior structure, and potential overbought trap area).
💡 Smart Tip: Consider scaling out profits on the way up (e.g., at 102.800, 103.300) to secure risk-free trades.
⚠️ REMINDER: Take profits based on YOUR plan. Price may reverse early or extend further. Manage your trade actively.
🔍 RELATED PAIRS & MARKET CORRELATION (CRUCIAL FOR CONTEXT)
Watching these pairs helps confirm the broader trend and risk sentiment:
OANDA:AUDUSD & OANDA:NZDUSD (Risk Gauges):
Key Point: Strong AUD/USD supports a bullish AUD/JPY view. Weakness here may limit AUD/JPY upside.
FX:USDJPY & NASDAQ:JPY Index (JPY Strength):
Key Point: JPY is the funding currency. Broad JPY weakness (USDJPY ↑) is BULLISH for AUD/JPY. Watch for BoJ intervention rumors.
FOREXCOM:SPX500 or FX:US30 (Global Risk Sentiment):
Key Point: AUD/JPY is a RISK-ON pair. Rising stock markets typically fuel AUD/JPY rallies. A market sell-off could trigger safe-haven JPY buying, hurting this trade.
NASDAQ:IRON & CAPITALCOM:COPPER (AUD Commodity Driver):
Key Point: Strong commodity prices (Iron Ore/Copper) are fundamentally bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD).
📊 TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE (Why This Works):
Trend: Higher Highs & Higher Lows on Daily/4H.
Support: HULL MA + Previous Swing Lows.
Strategy: Layered entries improve average price and reduce emotional trading.
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AUD/JPY-Supply Zone Rejection Signals Potential Bearish ReversalAUD/JPY is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum as price reacts sharply from the Strong Supply Zone at the top of the chart. This area has historically acted as a major distribution zone, and the latest rejection suggests that sellers are stepping back into control.
After forming multiple double-bottom rallies, price pushed upward but failed to sustain momentum beyond the supply ceiling. The sharp rejection indicates that liquidity has been collected from trapped buyers, and the market may now be preparing for a deeper corrective move.
The structure around the neckline and mid-buyer zone is critical. A break below this area—especially below the 100.000 level—would confirm a bearish shift. The chart already highlights a possible breakout-retest scenario, where price could break the buyer zone, retest it from below, and continue downward.
If sellers maintain pressure, the next target lies near the Support Zone around 98.500, aligned with previous range lows. A deeper move could even reach the broader Demand Zone Area, completing a full bearish correction.
Overall, the chart is signaling a potential reversal from supply, with sellers gaining strength and momentum shifting toward the downside as long as price remains below the supply zone and fails to reclaim the neckline.
AUD-JPY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUDJPY tapped into a high-timeframe supply block and printed rejection wicks, signalling distribution after a premium sweep. With liquidity taken above the range, the setup aligns for a displacement down into the next draw-on-liquidity.
Sell!
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AUDJPY Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 102.249.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 102.716 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUDJPY: Bearish Drop to 88?FX:AUDJPY is eyeing a bearish reversal on the daily chart , with price approaching a key resistance zone near cumulative sell liquidation, converging with a potential entry area that could trigger downside momentum if sellers defend against further upside. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity amid the recent rally, targeting lower support levels with favorable risk-reward.🔥
Entry between 104.5–106.5 for a short position. Targets at 95 (first), 88 (second). Set a stop loss at a close above 109.5 , yielding a risk-reward ratio more than 1:3 overall. Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's volatility near highs.🌟
Fundamentally , AUDJPY is strengthening around 101-102 in November 2025, supported by RBA's rate pause and probing yearly highs amid bullish trends, though recovery attempts from 99.00 face headwinds from resilient labor markets and inflation concerns. Forecasts indicate continued upside potential to 102.00+ if momentum builds, but risks of correction persist due to diverging central bank policies and global risk sentiment. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
104.5 – 106.5
🎯 Targets:
• 95.00 (first)
• 88.00 (second)
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily close above 109.5
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• More than 1:3 overall
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Bullish bounce off?AUD/JPY has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 101.44
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38/2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 100.34
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 103.47
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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AUDJPY| Bullish Outlook | Tracking Smart MoneyHigh Timeframe (HTF):
AUDJPY remains bullish, showing strong upward structure and continuation potential.
Price has been carefully tracked to follow the dominant trend and liquidity flow.
⸻
Mid-Term View (MTF):
Price swept sell-side liquidity and fell into the mid-term order block, creating a clean inducement.
We monitored for continuation setups within the mid-term perspective, confirming that bullish momentum is intact.
⸻
Lower Timeframe (LTF):
Dropping down to lower frames:
• We spotted a CHoCH / trend change, flipping bearish into bullish
• Bullish formations aligned perfectly
• Two continuation setups were caught toward the mid-term highs
Once those highs are taken out and objectives completed, the map will be ready for the next leg.
⸻
Mindset / Strategy:
• Tracking price is key
• Let Smart Money lead
• Patience ensures clean execution
• Alignment across HTF → MTF → LTF confirms validity before committing
Lingrid | AUDJPY Potential Rebound from Key ResistanceFX:AUDJPY perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price is moving toward the 102.300 resistance. It is attempting to extend higher but market may drop if it fails to secure a breakout above the previous weekly high (PWH), signaling exhaustion from buyers right at a major confluence area. The pair is now showing early signs of fading momentum.
If this rejection holds, price is likely to rotate downward toward 101.510, which aligns with the local support shelf and the mid-line of the ascending structure. A deeper extension toward remains possible if risk sentiment weakens or if JPY strength accelerates — especially with markets shifting cautiously ahead of key Asia-Pacific data.
➡️ Primary scenario: rejection from 102.300 → decline toward 101.510.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a clean break above 102.300 would invalidate the bearish view and reopen the path toward 103.000 inside the upper resistance channel.
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AUDJPY: +400 Pips Possible Buying Opportunity! Dear Traders,
AUDJPY is likely to continue the bullish price momentum up until 104, currently price has reversed from a critical point. You may consider buying at this moment with a proper risk management. Please use strict management while trading and use this analysis for educational purposes only.
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AUD/JPY – H4 - Rising Wedge Breakdown | Key Zones Targeted📝 Description:
The AUD/JPY pair is showing a clear Rising Wedge formation on the 4H timeframe, with three clean touches on the trendline—indicating weakening bullish momentum. Price has now broken below the lower trendline, suggesting increased probability of bearish continuation toward the next key zones. FX:AUDJPY
This setup highlights:
Rising Wedge pattern
Trendline break
Retest opportunity
Key support zones at 99.00 and 97.80
AUD fundamentals: driven by commodity demand, RBA policy, and risk sentiment
JPY fundamentals: influenced by BOJ stance, yields, and safe-haven flows
This analysis is ideal for traders monitoring price action, forex patterns, and high-probability setups on AUD/JPY.
Keep an eye on upcoming economic releases from RBA, BOJ, and US data, as they can influence risk sentiment and impact this pair heavily.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
AUDJPY FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅AUDJPY price swept the upper supply wick and tapped into a premium zone, triggering a clean bearish displacement. A corrective pullback into the breaker block is expected before continuation lower.
———————————
Entry: 102.29
Stop Loss: 102.49
Take Profit: 102.01
Time Frame: 2H
———————————
SHORT🔥
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AUDJPY: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDJPY pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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