AUD/JPY Ready To Go Down , Best 2 Places For Sell Cleared ! Here is my AUD/JPY 4H Charts And here is my opinion , we have a very strong res area @ 114.700 , this is the best area we can sell this pair from it cuz if we check we will see that this area forced the price to go down when it touch it last time for more than 300 pips so that prove it`s a very strong res area and also when the price touch it yesterday moved more than 40 pips so it`s a confirmed area for me and it`s the best area to sell this pair using a small stop loss , we have also a second area for selling this area that i mentioned in the chart ( direct entry ) we have a good res and at this area @ 114.300 and if we check we will see that in 1 hour time frame we have a reversal pattern ( double top pattern ) and the price already closed below neckline for this pattern so it`s confirmed and we can enter now a sell trade and if the price go higher to our best area for sell we can another entry , and we can targeting from 70 to 150 pips in this trade , if we have a daily closure above highest res @ 114.700 this idea will not be valid anymore.
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For Res Area .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4 - Perfect 4H Closure .
5- Double Top Reversal Pattern Confirmed .
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In-depth trading ideas
Type 1 Setup - Trading's Silver BulletMost traders lose because they overcomplicate trading. Too many indicators. Too many strategies. Too much noise.
The reality is that higher timeframe price action already tells you almost everything you need to know.
This AUDJPY 4H setup is a perfect example:
• Price reclaimed and held above the EMA
• The pullback formed smooth lower highs
• Candles showed controlled retracement with little overlap
• Buyers stepped back in and momentum returned with trend continuation
That’s it. No magic indicator. No guessing. Just reading market structure and understanding how trends breathe.
The higher the timeframe, the cleaner the information becomes.
The 4H chart filters out emotional intraday noise and allows traders to focus on what actually matters:
Trend direction
Market structure
Pullback quality
Risk-to-reward opportunities
Most profitable traders are not predicting the market every second. They are waiting patiently for clean higher timeframe setups like this and executing them consistently with proper risk management.
A simple strategy applied consistently is far more powerful than 20 indicators used inconsistently.
Trading becomes easier when you stop trying to outsmart the market and start learning how to read price itself.
AUDJPY: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
AUDJPY
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short AUDJPY
Entry Point - 113.58
Stop Loss - 113.69
Take Profit - 113.37
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDJPY swing high resistance retestThe AUDJPY continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a volatile trend reversal, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 114.76
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 114.76 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
113.40 – Initial support
113.00 – Intermediate support
112.40 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 114.76):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 114.76 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
115.10 – First resistance
115.50 – Further upside target
Conclusion
AUDJPY remains under bearish pressure, with the 113.76 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUDJPY Is Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 114.400.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 113.515 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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audjpy sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDJPY – Rejection at 20 Year Highs?AUDJPY has rallied into the previous swing high at 20-year levels and is now beginning to show possible exhaustion signals.
🔍 Current Read
Strong bullish move into major resistance
Price just printed a bearish engulfing candle
4H momentum is divergent and strongly bearish
Daily momentum is now:
Hooking bearish
Divergent
📊 Volume
4H bearish volume just printed at 92
→ Strong participation entering at the level
🧠 What We’re Watching
This is NOT an entry yet.
We are now watching closely for:
Continued rejection at the highs
Structure confirmation
Lower timeframe alignment
If those conditions complete, this could become a high-quality reversal setup.
🔥 Key Reminder
Major levels + divergence + volume
deserve attention—but not anticipation.
Observation, not a signal.
Do your own research.
AUDJPY Potential Resistance Breakout Building Above 114.50AUDJPY is building a potential resistance breakout above the 114.50 area, with price trading near 114.493 and holding close to the breakout zone. The pair has been gaining over the last 5 days, and the short-term structure still favors buyers.
This idea is based mainly on price action and resistance behavior, not positioning. The market is pressing into the 114.50 resistance area, and a clean break with acceptance above that level could open room for continuation.
The broader model supports the bullish setup. The 5-day outlook is bullish at +0.377, while the 20-day swing view is also bullish at +0.544. Technical context also shows a bullish 5-day trend, with AUDJPY up +0.913% over that period.
Macro conditions are mixed but still allow the upside case. AUD has support from rising growth, while JPY remains weaker in the currency strength matrix. JPY policy is hawkish, so confirmation above resistance matters before treating the move as clean continuation.
Trade view:
AUDJPY is a potential breakout idea above 114.50. A sustained hold above that zone supports bullish continuation, while a rejection back below 114.50 would weaken the setup.
Bias:
Bullish continuation above 114.50.
AUD-JPY Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUDJPY rallied directly into a strong SMC supply area after an aggressive bullish displacement. Price is now trading in premium territory where sell-side liquidity could be engineered toward the marked downside objective. Time Frame 6H.
Sell!
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AUD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
AUD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 113.840
Target Level: 113.536
Stop Loss: 114.042
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDJPY Oversold bounce back resistance at 113.87The AUDJPY continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a volatile trend reversal, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 113.87
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 113.87 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
112.50 – Initial support
112.00 – Intermediate support
111.80 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 113.87):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 113.87 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
114.10 – First resistance
114.34 – Further upside target
Conclusion
AUDJPY remains under bearish pressure, with the 113.87 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bullish breakout?AUD/JPY could fall to the support level, which is an overlap support, and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 113
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 111.95
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 114.30
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Bullish breakout setup?AUD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise towards the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 113.12
1st Support: 111.97
1st Resistance: 114.71
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
AUDJPY : Supply Rejection → Short SetupHello Trading Fam! 👋
AUDJPY (1H) shows a strong bearish reaction from a higher-timeframe supply zone, followed by a corrective move forming a rising channel.
Price is now pulling back toward the upper channel trendline, aligning with the same supply area, creating confluence for potential shorts. If price rejects this zone again, it suggests continuation to the downside, targeting the lower boundary of the channel.
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audjpy sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDJPY: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
Balance of buyers and sellers on the AUDJPY pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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AUDJPY Rally Weakens As Sellers Reclaim Short-Term ControlThis is one of those charts where the story has clearly shifted, but not everyone has caught up yet. The rally into the highs was clean and aggressive, but what matters now is what happened after. That sharp rejection and the structure that followed tell me momentum is no longer one-sided. We’re transitioning from trend continuation into a more fragile phase, and that’s where opportunities usually start to form.
Current Bias:
Neutral to Bearish (4H timeframe focus)
Short-term structure is weakening after a strong bullish run. I’m not calling a full reversal yet, but the upside is no longer clean, and downside risk is building.
Technical Posture & Price Action:
Strong impulsive bullish leg → clear trend phase
Followed by rejection near highs (~114.30 area)
Sharp sell-off created a lower high structure intraday
Price now hovering near a key reaction zone (~113.00)
What stands out:
That rejection candle wasn’t subtle
Buyers failed to hold the highs
Momentum stalled immediately after
Now we’re seeing:
👉 Early signs of distribution or at least exhaustion
The structure is no longer clean bullish continuation. It’s becoming reactive.
Indicator & Volume Analysis:
Momentum likely peaked during the rally
Current price action suggests momentum divergence or slowdown
No strong follow-through buying after the rejection
Volume behavior (by structure):
Expansion during rally
Compression + rejection at highs
👉 That typically signals fading bullish pressure
Key Fundamental Drivers:
Right now, this pair is being pulled in two directions:
AUD side:
Sensitive to China growth concerns
Commodity demand uncertainty
JPY side:
Structurally weak due to BOJ policy
Still used as funding currency
So:
👉 Weak vs weak dynamic = unstable direction
Macro Context:
Carry trade still exists, but conviction is softening
China slowdown narrative is weighing on AUD
BOJ remains accommodative, limiting strong JPY rallies
This creates:
👉 A market that trends until it suddenly doesn’t
And right now, we’re at that transition point.
Primary Risk to the Trend:
The bearish shift strengthens if:
Price breaks and holds below 113.00
Risk sentiment weakens globally
China-related data disappoints further
Bullish continuation invalidates bearish bias if:
Price reclaims and holds above 114.30 highs
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event:
China economic data (PMIs, growth indicators)
RBA tone and forward guidance
BOJ communication
Global risk sentiment shifts
Leader/Lagger Dynamics:
AUDJPY is a sentiment-sensitive leader among risk pairs.
It often moves alongside:
NZDJPY
CADJPY
But compared to GBPJPY:
👉 It’s more sensitive to China and commodities
Right now:
It’s showing earlier weakness than some other JPY crosses
That can be an early warning signal
Key Levels:
Support Levels:
113.00
111.30
Resistance Levels:
114.30
115.00 (psychological extension)
Stop Loss (SL) & Invalidation Point:
Above 114.40
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1: 113.00
TP2: 111.30
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints:
I’m treating AUDJPY as neutral to bearish here, and that’s a shift from the prior clean bullish structure. The rejection at the highs wasn’t random, it marked a clear loss of momentum. Now price is sitting in a decision zone, and the next move matters more than the last one.
If 113.00 breaks cleanly, I expect continuation lower toward 111.30. On the flip side, if buyers manage to reclaim 114.30, then this entire bearish read gets invalidated quickly.
The bigger issue here is the conflicting fundamental backdrop. AUD is under pressure from China concerns, while JPY remains structurally weak. That combination doesn’t give you a strong directional edge, it gives you volatility and fakeouts.
So the real edge isn’t prediction, it’s reaction. Watch how price behaves around 113.00. That level will decide whether this becomes a proper pullback… or something deeper.






















