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AUDUSD Federal budget delivered Tuesday evening revealed $18B additional government spending, making RBA's job of getting inflation under control harder rather than easier. Markets will be expecting rates to be higher for longer as a result. OTOH, Fed response to higher inflation in the US is likely to be hamstrung by Trump's desire to cut interests rates at all costs, and Kevin Warsh attempts to appease him. Overall, yet more of a rates-driven tailwind for AUDUSD.
AUDUSD Yen & Aus pairs:
JPY and AUD:
The CPI Fallout, The Yen (JPY):
It’s a bloodbath for the Yen. With U.S. rates staying high, the "carry trade" is back in full swing. Everyone is dumping JPY to buy USD to catch that higher interest. However, be careful—Japan’s Finance Minister, Satsuki Katayama, just hinted at "close cooperation" with the U.S. to steady the currency. Watch for a sudden intervention spike.
The Aussie (AUD):
AUD/USD is taking a hit. Despite strong commodity prices (like Copper and Silver), the rampant USD is just too heavy. AUD is sensitive to "risk-off" sentiment, and since this CPI news makes people worried about a global slowdown, the Aussie is being sold off.
AUDUSD
📈Q2 | W20 | D12 | Y26 |
📊AUDUSD| 4H BOS
💡 | LTF ALIGNMENT | SHORT - LONGTERM BIAS
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