Trade ideas
MARKETS AT CROSSROADS... THE STORIES OF TOMMORROWA picture is worth a thousand words.
We are comparing the 7-months cycle currently unravelling with its fractal counterparts that have repeated with striking periodicity in the past.
We will compare the trends that follow the completion of the cycle in each of the fractals.
Fractal 1 - (28/06/1965 - 07/02/1966) compared to (07/04/2025 to present)
Fractal 2 (19/10/1987 - 16/07/1990) compared to present
Fractal 3 (07/10/2002 - 16/10/2007) compared to present
In the last two shots, we have represented the entire 5-year cycle so we could see the entire picture for a clearer view. It is interesting to note that the last 7-months cycle is itself a fractal of the entire 5-year cycle.
There are several of them but we would represent only three to make the illustrations simpler.
FOR THE TRENDS THAT FOLLOW THE COMPLETION OF THESE FRACTALS...
April 1930 - July 1932
Feb 1966 - October 1966
July 1990 - October 1990
October 2007 - March 2009
5 out of 5 the market corrected at completion of this cycle. Also by observation the declines are sharp and the recoveries are massive, starting a second wave of hyper-bullish trends
TWO OCCASSIONS WHERE THE CORRECTION WAS PROLONGED
WHATS AHEAD...?
Markets are running into a correction, between October 2025 to February 2026, we expect wide asset classes and global indices to stage a correction. The correction should be quick and sudden which likely would complete in April 2026. A second wave of sharp bullish trend would follow into 2027. We expect a second correction that could start from Feb/March 2027 making a bottom in October 2027. This bottom will be the base for the next 5-year hyper-bullish trend completing the entire 13-year Cycle from 2020.
Follow and check back for the price levels breakdown
Trade safe and good luck.
US30 – Key Pivot Test at 46,400 Before Directional BreakoutUS30 – Overview | Key Levels in Focus Before Next Move
The Dow Jones remains in a consolidation phase, awaiting a clear breakout signal as traders weigh broader U.S. market uncertainty.
The price is holding around a key technical zone, with 46,400 acting as the short-term pivot between bullish and bearish momentum.
Technical Outlook
A 1H close below 46,400 would confirm a bearish continuation, targeting 46,120 → 46,000, and a sustained break below this zone could extend toward 45,680.
On the other hand, if the price closes above 46,510, it would reinforce bullish momentum toward 46,630 → 46,810, with potential to test 47,090 if buying pressure strengthens.
Pivot Line: 46,400
Resistance: 46,630 · 46,810 · 47,090
Support: 46,120 · 46,000 · 45,680
US30 – 45,000.00 Level Under Pressure: Wait or Act?After the sharp selloff that followed the tariff announcement shock, US30 broke below 46,400.00 and 45,700.00, plunging toward the key 45,000.00 psychological zone.
This level coincides with prior demand from mid-August and could act as the first real test of buyers’ strength after the October breakdown.
Support at : 45,000.00 🔽 44,000.00 🔽 43,323.50 🔽
Resistance at : 45,700.00 🔼 46,400.00 🔼 47,000.00 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Only if 45,000.00 holds and price reclaims 45,700.00 — showing that buyers are defending the zone despite tariff fears.
🔽 Bearish: If price closes below 45,000.00 daily, momentum could accelerate toward 44,000.00 and 43,323.50 before November’s policy deadline.
📊 Fundamental Note:
Markets are hypersensitive to trade news. The tariff agreement between Trump and China (deadline Nov 1) is likely to dictate direction. Until clarity comes, volatility and uncertainty will dominate — meaning patience could be wiser than premature entries.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Buy at the weekly low to target the weekly opening price.The market has been forming two accumulations — a monthly one of buyers and a weekly one of sellers. This week, we can see the market holding at a price level that is generating seller accumulation. In my view, the price has the potential to break the bullish trend to sweep out the buyers involved in it and then create an institutional buy in this weekly liquidity zone, aiming again for the price level where the market opened this Monday.
Price action tends to seek equilibrium between Monday’s opening and Friday’s closing, often closing and opening within the same zone. Therefore, if the price drops, we could look for a buying opportunity. Let’s wait for the setup to form in the coming hours or tomorrow.
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 46,388.60
1st Support: 45,835.17
1st Resistance: 47,231.62
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Dow Jones (US30) Analysis:The Dow Jones index continues to move in a short-term bearish trend, currently testing a key support level around 46,300.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 46,300 and holds, it may head toward the liquidity zone near 46,100.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the index rebounds from the current support and breaks above 46,490, it could push higher toward 46,650.
📌 Best Buy Zones: On a rebound from 46,300 or 46,100
📍 Best Sell Zone: Below 46,300
$DJI – Buy the Dip Opportunity | Target: 51,000TVC:DJI – Buy the Dip Opportunity | Target: 51,000 🚀
The Dow Jones is offering a high-probability dip-buying setup within a strong macro bullish structure. Wave alignment and smart money positioning suggest continuation toward the 51,000 zone. Price is respecting key Fibonacci levels and institutional support zones. Momentum is building — this could be the launchpad.
📍 Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes.
📈 Trend remains intact — stay with structure.
#ElliottWave #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #DowJones #DJI #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BuyTheDip
US30 – Short-Term Correction Expected After Record HighUS30 – Overview
The Dow Jones reached a new record high, but now shows signs of a short-term correction before the next move.
A minor pullback toward 46,680–46,610 is possible before the next directional breakout.
Technical Outlook
A break below 46,400 would confirm a shift to a bearish trend, with potential downside continuation.
On the other hand, a confirmed break above 46,925 would reinforce the bullish momentum, targeting 47,090 → 47,200 in extension.
Pivot: 46,925
Support: 46,680 – 46,600 – 46,400
Resistance: 47,090 – 47,200 – 47,350
US30: Consecutive breakouts signal an emerging downtrend
SPREADEX:DJI – When price rejects the high, the market begins to shift
On the 30-minute chart, price action is clearly signaling a loss of bullish momentum and a transition toward a bearish structure.
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🧠 Price Action Analysis
1. First Failed Breakout
Price initially broke above the ascending trendline that had held since early October — but failed to hold the breakout.
➤ A classic early warning of buyer exhaustion, often seen during distribution phases.
2. Multi-Layered Resistance Zone
The 46,725 – 46,779 region has become a clustered resistance zone, rejecting price repeatedly.
➤ Multiple rejections here suggest dominant selling pressure, with strong supply overhead.
3. Second False Breakout
A more subtle second breakout attempt followed — but again, price was swiftly rejected.
➤ Consecutive failed breakouts typically indicate a lack of conviction and precede sharp reversals.
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📉 Trend Structure Has Shifted Bearish
• Lower highs and lower lows now visible
• Price broke below the previous trendline
• Pullback attempts failed to reclaim broken support
• Market is respecting resistance instead of support
➡ These are clear signs of a short-term downtrend emerging.
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🔻 Trading Strategy: Favoring Sell Setups in the New Bearish Context
✴️ Scenario 1: Sell at Retest of Proven Resistance Zone
• Optimal Sell Zone: 46,700 – 46,750
• This area has already triggered two failed breakouts — a third touch could be the ideal trap for late buyers
• Watch for bearish rejection candles (pin bars, bearish engulfing, etc.)
Suggested Sell Limit Order:
→ Entry: 46,730
→ Stop Loss: 46,830 (above prior swing high)
→ TP1: 46,500
→ TP2: 46,300
→ Risk-Reward: At least 1:2
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✴️ Scenario 2: Momentum Sell on Breakdown of Local Support
• Trigger Level: 46,580 — if price breaks below with strong momentum (long red candle, increased volume)
• Confirms trend continuation after consolidation
Suggested Sell Breakout Order:
→ Entry: 46,580
→ Stop Loss: 46,680
→ Target: 46,350 – 46,200
→ Tip: Use smaller position size if breakout appears weak to avoid getting trapped in a fakeout
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🎯 Trade Management
• Only enter trades with clear price rejection or momentum confirmation
• Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is hit to lock in safety
• Exit the trade if price closes above 46,830 — that would invalidate the bearish thesis
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False breakouts leave a trail — for those who know how to read it. It's not a failure. It’s the market whispering that direction has changed.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
US30 - Potential BuyHi traders,
We are looking to BUY CMCMARKETS:US30
Stay tuned :)
Price Action:
Short-term sell bias toward 41,700 zone based on lower high and projected weakness.
Watch reaction at 41,700—if buyers return strong with a new higher low, it resumes uptrend.
Invalidation: If price breaks above 42,800 with strength and closes above, sellers are overwhelmed—trend continues.
Good Luck :)
Study, Study, Study! Lorenzo Tarati
US30 Possible False Breakout and Short-Term The US30 has recently shown strong consolidation near its top resistance zone, forming a new record high around 47,100. However, the breakout above this level appears to be losing momentum, raising the possibility of a false breakout.
If price fails to hold above 47,100 and shows signs of rejection, this could trigger a short-term corrective move each key support and resistance zone highlighted on the chart remains critical to watch. The market’s reaction — whether a clean breakout or a rejection — will likely determine the next directional move should the index respect the current resistance and reverse, the next significant short-term support to monitor is located near 45,500.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
DowJones Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46817
Resistance Level 2: 46915
Resistance Level 3: 47050
Support Level 1: 46490
Support Level 2: 46370
Support Level 3: 46270
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Technical Breakdown – 10/21/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 10/21/2025
US30 showing strong bullish momentum after reclaiming the 46,600 zone 🚀. Buyers have stepped in aggressively, pushing price back toward key resistance — the market’s testing whether this is just a retracement or the start of a bigger breakout.
📊 Market Behavior:
🔹 Price broke above 46,500 structure zone
🔹 Now consolidating just under 46,800 resistance
🔹 EMAs fanning upward — short-term trend favoring bulls
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
46,813 → intraday rejection zone
46,893 → major breakout target
46,900+ → bullish continuation potential
🔹 Support Zones:
46,700 → EMA short-term support
46,505 → key retest level
46,100 → lower structure support
45,550 → macro floor for bulls
🧠 Bias:
Bullish ⚡
➡️ Above 46,900 → continuation to 47,200 possible
⬅️ Below 46,500 → momentum weakens, 46,100 retest likely