The "32 BTC" Bear Trap: How Saylor Clowned the Sellers1. The Trigger: A Microscopic Sale
On June 1, 2026, MicroStrategy (MSTR) disclosed a sale of 32 BTC (worth $2.5M) to cover routine, mandatory cash dividends on its preferred stock. This represented a mere 0.0038% of their total balance sheet.
Mainstream media and short-sellers aggressively weaponized this headline, screaming that Saylor’s long-term conviction was broken. Localized retail panic ensued, flushing the spot price of Bitcoin down nearly 18% toward the $60k level.
2. The Mockery: Saylor's "32?" Post on X
On June 7, right at the absolute peak of the weekend panic—with bears over-leveraging short positions and retail panic-selling—Michael Saylor dropped a single-word post on X: "32?"
Sellers immediately read this through a lens of fear, assuming it was a warning that Bitcoin was crashing to $32,000 or that massive dumping was coming. In reality, it was a deliberate move to expose the crowd. By putting the raw number "32" under a spotlight, Saylor was openly mocking the sellers for panicking over a transaction size common to a mid-tier retail account.
3. The Counter-Strike: The Buyback Strategy
The trap snapped shut right after. While panic-sellers scrambled over the weekend, MSTR was already using its equity programs to raise fresh capital to absorb the forced selling.
The Preferred Dividend Sale: Sold 32 BTC at an average price of $77,135 for mandatory liability clearing.
The Re-Accumulation Sweep: Historically, Saylor uses these exact windows of retail fear to buy back multiples of what was sold, expanding total holdings beyond 843,000 BTC.
Saylor let the bears scare themselves into tanking the market, openly clowned them on X while they did it, and used the downside to accumulate more coins at a steep discount.
TradingView Verdict
MSTR uses routine treasury management to create massive retail inefficiencies. Saylor's post proves that public commentary is actively deployed to shake out weak hands and generate cheap liquidity for corporate accumulation. Don't let headline noise mask aggressive balance sheet expansion.
Disclosure: Not financial advice. Monitor the MSTR/BTC premium closely.
PS this could easily be dead cat bounce. Or a new bull run?
In-depth trading ideas
$MSTR short squeeze to $197-200+?Now that the short on MSTR played out , I think it's time for a squeeze higher here.
If we can break above $130 again, I think the next move higher can break the range to the upside from the last 3 months and make a run at the upper resistance of 197 and potentially all the way up to $240ish.
I've marked off resistances above there, but I think a move higher than that is unlikely for now.
Let's see how it plays out.
MicroStrategy (MSTR) Stock ReviewMicroStrategy (MicroStrategy Inc.) is an American company that provides business intelligence (BI) software, mobile services, and cloud-based solutions. In recent years, the company has gained fame primarily for its Bitcoin investment strategy, becoming the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin among public companies. (Wikipedia)
The company continues to attract significant investor interest, mainly due to its substantial exposure to Bitcoin. As of May 2026, the company holds approximately 818,334 Bitcoins, representing a 22% increase since the beginning of 2026. This strategy has turned MSTR into a sort of Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), with the stock's performance closely tied to fluctuations in the price of Bitcoin.
MSTR stock has exhibited high volatility in recent years, reflecting the volatility of the crypto market. As of June 2026, the stock has recorded a year-to-date (YTD) return of approximately -20.74%.
Technically, the stock is trading around significant support and resistance levels. As of June 2026, the nearest support level is around the $120 range, while the immediate resistance level is around $200.
Will MicroStrategy continue to profit from its Bitcoin strategy, or will crypto market volatility challenge the stock's performance?
Only time will tell...
Important Notice: Colmex Pro Ltd is licensed and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under license number 123/10. Trading in financial instruments (including stocks) and/or using leverage carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not an indication of future results.
Is this pile of SHITcoin still trading? Delisting anyone??? GOING TO ZEROOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
This Pile of SHITCOIN MSTR ponzi scheme will be delisted soon enough...
Margin calls are a coming
I have been posting for YEARS MSTR is a ponzi scheme. Shitcoin is worth ZERO. Michael Saylor needs to be indicted, and, the shareholder lawsuits will start but first, it'll take down so many with it
I'm expecting a big market crash soon. The perfect storm has been a brewin for some time.... Iran is not going to capitulate to the lifelong conman's requests. Oil will be going UP not down due to the global shortage. Inflation will be going UP not down due to oil shock. Interest rates will be going UP not down due to the inflationary environment we are in which will get WORSE not better. Kevin Worsh or whatever the hell his name is, if he gives in the the brow beating from the compulsive lying grifter bullshit artist in the white house and lowers rates the bond market will respond and equities will collapse.
Shitcoin which I have written many times is the mother of all scams Shitcoin is, always has been and always will be worth ZERO. But, MSTR's Michael Saylor, who needs to be indicted for fraud/ GAMBLING with shareholder funds speculating on a ponzi scheme will have to sell more. Last week was a TEST RUN sell to see how the market responds and it failed. Many SHITCOIN speculators are leveraged on this garbage and they too will be liquidated I believe this will all cause a nasty spiral, and it's coming to a theatre near you
Week 24 of 52 MSTR Bulls Failed $180… Now $120 Decides the StoryLast time we covered NASDAQ:MSTR , the idea was not that the stock had already turned bullish.
The idea was much simpler:
Everyone could see the bounce.
But not everyone was paying attention to the weakness underneath.
That was the real point.
MSTR had recovered from the lows, but the structure was still bearish. The stock needed to prove itself at the next major test, and that test was always going to be the $180–190 zone.
Now we have the answer.
Bulls got tested there — and failed.
Price pushed into that area, but instead of breaking through and holding above it, MSTR rejected hard. That matters because $180–190 was not just a random resistance. It was the zone where the market had to decide whether this bounce was becoming something real… or whether it was just another relief rally inside a larger downtrend.
So far, the market chose the second option.
The rejection from $180–190 confirms that sellers are still active, momentum is still fragile, and the broader structure remains bearish. The stock is still making lower highs, and every recovery attempt continues to face heavy supply.
But now comes the interesting part.
MSTR is heading back into the level that can decide the next chapter:
$120.
This is where the story gets dangerous — but also where it gets interesting.
If buyers defend $120, this area could become a very important base. It may even start looking like a possible double-bottom attempt, especially if volume appears and price begins to reclaim levels above the recent breakdown.
But if $120 fails, the entire bounce narrative breaks.
That would confirm that the move into $180–190 was a failed rally, and it could open the door for another leg lower.
So for me, MSTR is not fully bullish yet.
The trend is still damaged.
The structure is still bearish.
But the setup is now sitting at one of the most important decision points on the chart.
Bulls already failed the first test at $180–190.
Now they have one last job:
Defend $120.
If they do, this could become one of the most interesting risk/reward areas on the chart.
If they don’t, the bears take full control again.
Disclaimer:
Not financial advice. This is only my personal chart analysis and the levels I’m watching. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
MSTR Bull Trap!In my BKC charting, I’ve identified a pattern I call "tight! tight! tight!" typically paired with a bull trap. Prices surge as traders FOMO in, then collapse. It’s a straightforward trade: enter on the breakdown, set a stop above the prior high. Offers solid risk/reward.
Click like, follow, subscribe! Let me help you navigate these crazy markets. Lets get to 5,000 followers,
MSTR Short — MSTR breakdown setup triggers below 114.25 with dowMSTR is in a clear HTF downtrend, trading well below its key moving averages after a failed bounce and fresh selloff. The actionable level is the 114.31 swing low; a break through that low would confirm continuation rather than trying to short into support. Stop goes above the post-gap intraday failure area near 120.40, and target is the next major downside pocket around the prior capitulation zone near 105.
📍 Entry: 114.25
🛑 Stop: 120.55
🎯 Target: 105.00
⚖️ R:R: 1.47
MSTR Approaches A Zone That Could Decide Its Next Big MoveMSTR has returned to a major multi-year support zone after a steep decline. Price is testing the same region that held during previous cycles, making this a critical technical inflection point.
This chart is about more than just the recent drop; it’s about whether long-term support will hold or give way to a deeper correction.
Trend Structure
Long-term trend: ascending channel from 2022 low to 2025 high.
Short-term trend: lower highs and declining price pressure.
Support zone (~115–120) repeatedly tested.
The short-term downtrend has triggered momentum warnings, but the long-term base remains intact.
Support / Resistance
Support Zone: 115–120 (critical multi-year floor)
Support B: ~60 (next major target if support breaks)
Resistance: Upper channel trendline from historical highs.
Support zone integrity is key to trend continuation.
Moving Averages
1W MA50 (231.92) — above current price, reflecting short-term bearish pressure.
1W MA100 (246.69) — above price, confirming weakened momentum.
1W MA200 (156.72) — slightly above current price, acting as equilibrium level.
MAs slope downward slightly, showing short-term selling pressure.
Indicators Visible
RSI (14) at 33.91, trending lower.
Momentum remains negative but not oversold.
No bullish divergence visible.
Chart Pattern
Multi-year horizontal support zone forming a compression structure.
Downtrend trendline connecting previous highs indicates resistance.
Measured move suggests possible decline toward ~60 if support breaks.
Momentum
Momentum currently favors sellers.
Price is below MA50, with declining RSI.
However, the long-term channel remains in play.
Bullish Scenario
Support zone holds (115–120).
Price may bounce toward upper channel (~195–200).
RSI stabilizes, recovering momentum.
Bearish Scenario
Support zone breaks decisively.
Measured move target: 60.
Momentum and trendline validate stronger downtrend.
Key Conclusion
MSTR is testing a critical multi-year support zone. The market must now decide if this level holds or if the correction deepens.
Discussion Question:
Will MSTR defend the 115–120 support for a bounce, or is a move toward 60 inevitable?
$MSTR / $BMNR. We saw this coming.I just woke up and saw our NASDAQ:MSTR and NYSE:BMNR shorts exploding higher again.
We saw this coming. Check my previous posts where I explained exactly why this setup was a high-probability play.
These types of moves usually don’t end quietly. They typically end with extreme panic. That’s when I’ll likely close the shorts and probably reverse to long.
#Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:ETH #Ethereum
MSTR and BTC Wave Structures Signal Further Downside RiskMicroStrategy (MSTR) has experienced a deep retracement from its 2024 highs, declining by more than 80%, which reflects the extreme pessimism now embedded in the market. Typically, such large drawdowns can precede a reversal phase, and so far the structure does show three clear waves down from the peak. However, the subsequent rebound into the 200 area appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting it may represent a fourth wave within a broader bearish sequence rather than a trend reversal. If the current flag structure breaks to the downside on a daily close, it would open the door for a potential fifth wave decline toward the 100 level.
Bitcoin is also showing weakness due to a positive correlation with Microstrategy. It's declining impulsively along with MSTR after a three-wave corrective recovery. We could see another decline this year. If that happens, the key support remains around the 50k-48k area.
Adding to sentiment pressure, MicroStrategy recently sold 32 Bitcoin. While the amount is relatively small in the context of its holdings, it may still carry a psychological impact on market participants given the company’s historically strong association with aggressive Bitcoin accumulation.
Stop Panicking - This was expected - READ the projectionsStop panicking. The market is dropping heavily due to temporary geopolitical tensions and standard end-of-H1 rebalancing—not the death of Bitcoin or broken promises from MicroStrategy.
If MSTR selling a measly 32 BTC broke your narrative, you don't understand the model. They were always going to strategically liquidate minor amounts to cover operational costs, only to re-leverage low-cost debt and acquire vastly more Bitcoin later. In this case, MSTR seized a tax-efficient window to cover June obligations. They will likely buy thousands more BTC in the coming weeks, leaving critics baffled because they refuse to look at the underlying mechanics.
The Technical Confluence Floor
From a technical standpoint, the panic is completely ungrounded:
* BTC Macro Support: Bitcoin is currently retesting its 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA)—a generational line in the sand it has dipped below only five times in history, every single time marking a major cycle bottom or an elite buying opportunity.
* MSTR Key Confluence: At the same time, MSTR is hitting key confluence by testing its own core 100-day and 200-day moving average clusters.
When an asset holding a high mNAV premium tests major daily support while its underlying anchor hits macro weekly support, it creates an asymmetric coil—this is a textbook retest before the next leg up. Block out the FUD and look at the macro math. ETF exhaustion is already setting in, evidenced by drying up outflows, and exchange liquid supply remains near historic lows—up a mere 25,000 BTC over the last two weeks.
> Michael Saylor’s historic "never sell" comments are being weaponized by critics for cheap sentiment, but the institutional game plan has not changed: net-positive accumulation. Follow the math, not the noise. Go for a walk, stop panic selling, and recognize that when BTC recovers, MSTR is positioned to test $400+.
The Mathematical Projections ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC vs. NASDAQ:MSTR )
To calculate the potential price of MSTR at structural targets ($250k, $450k, and $1M BTC), we look at the mNAV (Market Network Value) premium. Historically, MSTR trades at a premium to its underlying Bitcoin holdings due to its intelligent use of debt leverage and equity issuance to accretively stack BTC per share.
Assuming a baseline current price of roughly $28,000 for BTC and $130 for MSTR (representing an estimated ~2.2x mNAV premium), here is how the math scales if that premium holds, alongside a conservative 1:1 parity scenario.
Scenario A: Current Leverage/Premium Sustained (~2.2x)
If MSTR continues to execute its model and maintains its premium through aggressive corporate actions:
* BTC at $250,000 (~9x from here) -> MSTR targets ~$1,170
* BTC at $450,000 (~16x from here) -> MSTR targets ~$2,080
* BTC at $1,000,000 (~35.7x from here) -> MSTR targets ~$4,640
Scenario B: Conservative Baseline (1:1 Parity / Premium Compression)
If the market matures and the premium compresses entirely to pure asset parity (unlikely given the constant accretive corporate buying loop, but serving as an absolute valuation floor):
* BTC at $250,000 -> MSTR targets ~$530
* BTC at $450,000 -> MSTR targets ~$950
* BTC at $1,000,000 -> MSTR targets ~$2,120
Note: These calculations do not account for the additional Bitcoin MSTR will inevitably stack via corporate actions and debt issuance between now and those targets, meaning the actual upper targets are likely significantly higher due to ongoing BTC-per-share growth.
Long term overview STRATEGY Inc. appears to be developing a constructive long-term technical structure supported by improving momentum and sustained market interest.
From a technical perspective, the stock is currently holding above key support zones while maintaining a bullish higher-high / higher-low formation on the medium-term timeframe. Volume behavior also suggests continued institutional participation during recent accumulation phases.
On the fundamental and sentiment side, the company remains highly sensitive to broader digital asset market dynamics, particularly Bitcoin-related volatility, which may continue to amplify both upside potential and downside risk.
Key factors supporting the current thesis:
• Strong relative momentum versus broader market benchmarks
• Expanding investor attention toward digital asset exposure vehicles
• Potential continuation breakout if resistance levels are decisively cleared
Main risks to monitor:
• Elevated volatility associated with crypto-correlated equities
• Macro tightening or risk-off market conditions
• Failure to maintain current support structure
This analysis reflects a personal market view based on publicly available information, price action, and technical interpretation. It is not financial advice, investment solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Risk management and independent research remain essential.
Strategy Inc. — Bullish Gartley Retest at a Multi-Layer Point D Strategy Inc. is currently trading near a technically important reaction zone on the daily chart.
The central element of this setup is a large bullish Gartley pattern that developed after the major long-term advance from the 2023 low. Following the previous corrective decline, price reached the projected Point D area and reacted from the lower section of the harmonic reversal zone.
The current pullback is now testing the upper part of this structure again. This creates a relevant retest scenario rather than a completely new setup.
Multi-Layer Harmonic PRZ
The projected Potential Reversal Zone is based on several overlapping Gartley measurements.
The most important central reference is the 78.6% XA retracement near 140.18 USD. This level represents the classic Point D projection of the bullish Gartley pattern.
The broader PRZ is reinforced by additional harmonic measurements:
* XA Gartley retracement at 0.786 near 140.18 USD
* AB=CD Gartley projection in the upper part of the reaction zone
* BC Gartley extension at 1.618 near the lower part of the PRZ
* Previous reaction from the deeper harmonic support area
The setup should therefore not be interpreted as one exact reversal level. It is a layered support structure with several technically relevant price areas.
Current Retest Structure
Price previously reacted strongly from the lower section of the PRZ and recovered toward the 190 USD region.
The market has since pulled back and is now approaching the upper harmonic cluster again. The area between approximately 140 and 155 USD is therefore the most relevant short-term support zone.
A bullish reaction from this region would be constructive because it could establish a higher low above the deeper Point D extreme. This would strengthen the interpretation that the initial reversal from the PRZ was not merely a temporary bounce.
The preferred scenario requires stabilization above the 140.18 USD Gartley level. A clear reclaim of the recent short-term structure would provide stronger confirmation for the next recovery phase.
Expected Scenario
As long as the upper PRZ continues to hold, the preferred scenario is a gradual recovery toward the Fibonacci retracement levels above.
The first major objective is the 38.2% retracement near 239.06 USD.
If price reaches this area and forms a constructive consolidation or higher-low structure, the recovery could extend toward the 61.8% retracement near 321.92 USD.
The higher Fibonacci targets remain relevant only if the bullish structure develops with sufficient momentum:
* TP1: 239.06 USD
* TP2: 321.92 USD
* TP3: 380.90 USD
* TP4: 456.04 USD
Alternative Support and Invalidation
A breakdown below the upper Gartley cluster would weaken the immediate recovery scenario but would not automatically invalidate the broader harmonic pattern.
In this case, the lower part of the PRZ becomes relevant again. The alternative stop-loss area is located below approximately 92.20 USD.
The final harmonic invalidation is significantly lower, near the original XA starting point around 30.53 USD. A sustained move below this level would invalidate the complete long-term Gartley structure.
Due to the volatility of Strategy Inc., the distance between the upper entry zone and the deeper invalidation levels should be considered carefully when defining position size and risk exposure.
Conclusion
Strategy Inc. has completed a large bullish Gartley pattern and already reacted from the deeper section of the projected Point D zone.
The current pullback is retesting the upper harmonic cluster around 140–155 USD. This area is technically relevant because the classic 78.6% XA Gartley projection near 140.18 USD aligns with additional AB=CD and BC measurements.
As long as price stabilizes above this support structure, a renewed recovery toward the first major target near 239 USD remains the preferred scenario.
MSTR Retest Is Here, 150 MattersMSTR finally came back into a level we have had marked for months and bounced out of the AOI.
The main question from here is whether this retest turns into continuation, or whether price needs to come back toward the lower 150 area first.
Current read:
Price is reacting from the higher level, but I do not want to ignore 150. That level matters because it lines up with an important Elliott Wave pivot. If MSTR breaks below 150 impulsively, this starts to look more like a failed retest with resistance flip risk.
If price pulls back correctively into that area instead, I’ll be watching for a possible 1,2 1,2 setup.
Key levels:
• 150 = important lower retest level and Elliott Wave pivot
• Current AOI = bounce area price reacted from
Bullish path:
Bulls want to hold this reaction cleanly and avoid an impulsive break back through 150. A corrective pullback keeps the 1,2 1,2 idea alive and could support another continuation attempt.
Bearish path:
An impulsive break below 150 would damage the bullish read and raise the odds that this retest failed. That would make me watch for the level to flip back into resistance and open the door for lower prices.
For now, I’m watching the reaction first, not forcing the trade.
Trade safe. Trade clarity.
Strategy (MicroStrategy) — A Hidden Risk For The Bitcoin Market?Strategy has effectively become a leveraged Bitcoin proxy.
The company holds an enormous amount of BTC on its balance sheet, which means its stock price is now heavily tied to Bitcoin itself and overall market liquidity conditions.
What makes the current structure interesting is that the chart may be forming a major distribution zone after a parabolic expansion phase.
A strong collapse in MSTR could:
— damage market sentiment,
— trigger panic,
— weaken confidence in leveraged BTC exposure,
— and potentially force liquidity events across the crypto market.
Especially if Bitcoin itself enters a larger corrective phase at the same time.
The chart currently resembles a possible large topping structure:
— explosive expansion,
— lower momentum after ATH,
— unstable consolidation near the highs,
— and potential downside back toward previous high-liquidity zones.
Most people today still believe Bitcoin-related equities can only go higher because BTC adoption continues growing.
But markets usually become the most dangerous exactly when participants stop considering downside scenarios.
If Bitcoin faces a true macro liquidity event, companies highly exposed to BTC could become one of the main transmission mechanisms of volatility into the broader market.
$MSTR the final move downMSTR is looking really ugly here. We've broken down out of a head and shoulders with the top of the head rejecting the resistance at $197.
How low will we go?
My base case is $88, but there's potential that we could see a much larger move than that. You can see Ichimoku is foreshadowing the bearish move with the red cloud at the June 10th pivot.
I've marked off all of the key levels to the downside.
The only bullish scenario from here is breaking the $197 resistance.
MSTR | 2026 | Week Chart** T.A explained **
Basics:
Ranges = two or more consecutive color candles.
There are two types of ranges - accumulation and distribution.
A single candle is a range on a lower timeframe. We only look at the first and last candle in each range.
DISTRIBUTION RANGES DEFINED: BackSide (BS) Candle - First distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level.
FrontSide (FS) Candle - Last distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Distribution candles are used as support.
ACCUMULATION RANGES DEFINED:
Inverse BS (Inv.BS) - First Accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation. = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level.
Inverse FS (Inv.FS) - Last accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Accumulation candles are used as resistance.
Horizontal Ray tool on BS & FS levels are default support levels when dashed lines, tested when dotted lines and resistance when solid lines.
Horizontal Ray tool on Inverse BS & Inverse FS levels default as resistance and shown with a dashed line, tested when 1x dotted line, and support when solid line.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
STRATEGY: The rejection that will shape the bottom.Strategy just turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.638, MACD = 2.920, ADX = 22.211) as it completed 2 straight red weeks. This rejection come directly after a 1W Bearish Cross, just over the 1W MA200, which is what took place during August 8th 2022. A -63.18% decline followed. Minimum target on this, TP = 75.00.
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