BTC Dominance Rebound???🧭 Market Outlook
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) remains in an uptrend channel → investors still favoring CRYPTOCAP:BTC over alts.
📉 From Jun 28 to Jul 18, BTC.D dropped -7%, fueling a solid rally in ETH & alts.
⚠️ BTC.D may bounce back if it fails to break the key support (breakdown line/golden circle). Next resistance zone: 70.48%–73.82%. If this plays out → alts may lag during BTC pumps & dump harder on corrections.
🌊 Altseason only if BTC.D breaks down decisively.
But not all alts will fly. Be selective — don’t go all-in on a single coin. 🧠
BTC.D trade ideas
Bitcoin Dominance is divingBitcoin Dominance has fallen off of a cliff, largely on the back of Ethereum’s pump. If this continues, we should see alt strength across the board, finally getting a hint of an “alt season.” As you know, I have my doubts that we can see an “everything pump” on altcoins again, because there’s so much supply and so many coins. That said, coins with the right narrative and positioning can still do exceptionally well.
is AltSeason Started ????"The altcoin season has likely begun! We're currently witnessing Bitcoin's dominance chart breaking down at a critical juncture, and this cycle may surpass even our most optimistic expectations. The technical signals are remarkably clear and verifiable for most seasoned traders. In these market conditions, the wisest strategy is to hold strong with conviction – maintain your positions and trust in the assets you've carefully accumulated. This could very well be the start of an extended altcoin rally that rewards patience and strategic positioning. #AltSeason #CryptoMarket #BTCDominance #HODLStrategy"
Dominance going to 61% , mini altseason soonAfter a failed trendline retest and weeks of exhausted uptrend, dominance is likely heading to 61%—a measured move down to the 0.382 fib level, right where the EMA/SMA are stacked. BTC will chill between 102–110 ( needs a lot of consolidation after 8 weeks of uptrend). Alt season is knocking—grab your bags .
When will Altseason start?So with ETH.D sweeping its all time low I feel very confident that eth has made the low for this cycle as well as BTC.D retracing providing further confluence that this is the case and we will see eth start to outperform bitcoin but I begun to question where altcoins stand currently stand and when we will start to see them outperform both BTC and ETH as they currently bleed to them as Both ETH and BTC make higher lows while altcoin pairs are making lower lows. I feel like until we see a run above this trend line above the .82 lvl we will see altcoins bleed against ETH and BTC.
$btc.dupdate from earlier chart since we have reached the 200 ema on the daily
its time for
A - full send on alts
B-retrace on alts and bitty takes over
rsi bottomed out careful on the leverage .flush is due my guess spike up soon is to sell into or hedge
let us see option c we close daily below and nuke it
This is altcoin season"The altcoin season has likely begun! We're currently witnessing Bitcoin's dominance chart breaking down at a critical juncture, and this cycle may surpass even our most optimistic expectations. The technical signals are remarkably clear and verifiable for most seasoned traders. In these market conditions, the wisest strategy is to hold strong with conviction – maintain your positions and trust in the assets you've carefully accumulated. This could very well be the start of an extended altcoin rally that rewards patience and strategic positioning. #AltSeason #CryptoMarket #BTCDominance #HODLStrategy"
Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D analysisCurrently, the maximum of BTC.D was 65.38% and the absolute maximum is very close, and then the capital will start flowing into altcoins.
We will have to keep a close eye on where the capital will go: only to highly liquid altcoins, or to a certain industry, or to a narrative, as it was before: “defi”, “memecoin”, and so on...
Do you have any ideas where the capital can go? Write in the comments!
❗️ Also, it is worth noting that such a popular term as "alt-season" lasts less and less, and you have to wait longer and longer for it!
It seems that this time the "alt-season" has every chance to last until the end of 2025, and then... it will be seen. Perhaps the market will gain capital and new powerful players who will set a new vector and new rules by 2028....
But first... we have to live to see it!)
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Will altcoins start to recover from here?BTC dominance is currently testing a key trendline resistance—mirrored by weakness in the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) index as well.
Could this signal the start of an altcoin recovery?
If Bitcoin breaks above the weekly resistance zone at $114,000–$115,000, it would likely pave the way for a full-fledged altcoin season in the months ahead
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
BTC Dominance & the Monthly Stoch RSI: Altseason’s Hidden TimerMost traders look at BTC dominance and try to guess when the flip to altcoins will happen.
But if you zoom out, way out to the monthly timeframe , you’ll see something far more powerful:
Altseason is not triggered by a spike in BTC dominance, but by the collapse and suppression of it.
And the key to timing that collapse?
The monthly Stochastic RSI.
📉 What the chart shows
If we study BTC.D from 2016 to today, a time-based pattern emerges :
🔻 2016–2018
• BTC.D topped around ~69%
• Stoch RSI dropped into oversold mid-2017 and stayed low for 12+ months
• Result: the 2017 altcoin supercycle
🔻 2020–2022
• BTC.D peaked again (~73%)
• Stoch RSI crashed early 2021, stayed flatlined until mid-2022
• Result: explosive altseason with massive ETH, SOL, AVAX, meme coin runs
🔻 Today, 2023–2025
• BTC.D just printed a lower high (~63.6%)
• Monthly Stoch RSI is curling down hard , signaling the start of suppression
• History suggests we’re about to enter another 12+ month phase of altcoin dominance
🔁 The Rhythm of Rotation
It’s not price. It’s not hype.
It’s time + suppressed momentum that marks altseason.
⏳ So... Wen Altseason?
Unless this time is truly different, we're stepping into the altcoin window now and it might be open well into 2026.
💬 Agree? Disagree? Let me know below.
If this helped you time the macro, drop a like & follow for more 🫡
Altcoin Season Has Officially Begun!We're now seeing top altcoins like ETH, BONK, and ONDO outpacing Bitcoin with impressive gains.
Ethereum (ETH) has just broken above $3,100
BONK is surging back toward its winter highs
Portfolios are growing daily — even without active trading
The momentum is building fast, and the next few weeks could be highly rewarding for altcoin holders. Buckle up — Altcoin Season is here.
Market Structure & Dominance Analysis – July 15
💸 Where’s the Money Flowing?
Market Structure & Dominance Analysis – July 15
Hey everyone!
Today, we’re analyzing key market indexes to understand where the money is moving.
We also had inflation news recently — but it didn’t make any major impact on the market.
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📌 BTC/USDT
🔹 In the short term, BTC needs to break above 118,200 to continue the uptrend.
🔹 A correction toward 110,000 is possible.
❗️If price falls below 110,000, we should start considering a trend change and short setups.
🟢 115,000 remains a key support for now.
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💧 USDT Dominance (USDT.D)
📊 These levels are crucial to watch: 4.44, 4.36, and 4.22
⬆️ Break above 4.44 ➤ Bearish for the market. Sign of more selling pressure.
⬇️ Break below 4.36 ➤ First sign that Bitcoin and altcoins may be finishing their correction or sideways range.
⬇️ Break below 4.22 ➤ Strong confirmation of bullish continuation across the market.
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🟠 BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
🔻 Levels 63.31 and 63.91 were broken to the downside.
This suggests capital is rotating out of BTC — and possibly into altcoins or stablecoins (like USDT).
⚠️ Next levels to watch: 63.7 and 63.5
✅ If BTC.D continues to drop and at the same time:
TOTAL2,
TOTAL3,
and OTHERS.D are rising...
Then we can start looking for entry triggers in:
ETH
Top 10 alts
or even coins ranked 10–100, especially those bullish vs BTC pair.
These can become great entry points during market rotation.
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📈 TOTAL Market Cap
Still bullish. Currently testing 3.58T and 3.78T levels.
🔹 Break above 3.78T = Entry trigger.
✅ As long as we hold above 3.58T, it's a sign to keep long positions open.
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📈 TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap w/o BTC)
Also bullish, facing resistance at 1.26T and 1.34T
🔹 Break above 1.34T = Strong entry signal.
✅ Holding above 1.26T confirms bullish structure and supports long positions.
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🟢 OTHERS Dominance (OTHERS.D)
Yesterday, we saw a break above 7.60%, which explains the stronger performance in some coins ranked 10–100.
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✅ Conclusion
If BTC.D continues to drop, look for BTC-paired coins that are showing strength.
💡 If those coins also break key USDT levels, they could be solid long setups.
📌 Bitcoin’s HWC (Daily) and MWC (4H) structures remain bullish as long as we stay above 110,000.
However, LWC (1H) is still ranging with a slight bearish bias.
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Bitcoin Dominance Long-Term · 1,000 Days Long Uptrend BreaksBitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D) has been on an uptrend since September 2022, an uptrend more than 1,000 days long.
This uptrend produced a rising wedge pattern and this pattern is as bearish as it gets. During the entire time, from September 2022 until June 2025, BTC.D never ever produced more than 3 consecutive weeks red. Now, in July 2025, we are witnessing the fourth consecutive red week, a major bearish signal. The start of a new downtrend.
The last time BTC.D went bearish was December 2020. The index, as Bitcoin grew to new all-time highs, produced a drop from a high of 74% to a low of 39%. Reflecting strong demand for the altcoins and a very strong rising altcoins market. We are about to witness something similar, better or the same.
As Bitcoin Dominance moves down, the entire altcoins market will move up. Bitcoin will grow together with the altcoins. Everything—Crypto—will grow.
Namaste.
Bullish Altcoins · BTC.D Highest Bearish Volume Since Feb 2021The altcoins market is about to have its strongest and biggest bullish cycle since 2021, or possible ever. We are entering the strongest altcoins season in the history of the Cryptocurrency market.
Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
Bitcoin will continue growing, that's old news but let's start by getting this out of the way.
The altcoins are already waking up from major lows and all-time lows and what follows is something hard to comprehend. The hottest bull market ever for the altcoins. Bitcoin is already far ahead.
On the 14th of July BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance Index) produced the highest volume bar in more than three years, since February 2021. This happened after a double-top and only after a drop was already confirmed. In this way this signal carries extra-strength. The 14th of July session ended up closing red.
We all know that Bitcoin Dominance Index goes down only when the altcoins move up. The fact that we have the highest volume in years on a daily basis signals the start of the altcoins market major bull-run. Sustained growth for months and months and months.
Get ready and be prepared. The confirmation is already in place.
The altcoins market is heating up. Crypto is going up.
The wait is over.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Dominance Found The Top; ALTcoin Dominance Stepping InHello Crypto traders! BTC.Dominance is falling in an impulsive fashion after we spotted the top within the wedge pattern. Now that is trading in wave (v) of a five-wave impulse from the highs, it just confirms a bearish reversal, which indicates that ALTcoin dominance is stepping in. And with still bullish Crypto market, we might be in the ALTseason.