Bitcoin Dominance Hits Channel Floor – Altcoin Storm Incoming?Bitcoin dominance has been sliding within a well-structured descending channel since early August. Now, it’s touching the channel’s lower boundary — a level that has previously sparked strong reversals.
A bounce from here could ignite a short-term uptrend in BTC dominance, targeting the channel’s midline and possibly its upper boundary.
If this happens, capital is likely to rotate back into Bitcoin, applying pressure on altcoins and triggering a corrective phase in the broader altcoin market.
Key Takeaway: Watch for bullish price action at the channel’s floor. A confirmed breakout in dominance could mark the start of an “altcoin cooldown” phase.
Trade ideas
What season is it? It's ALT SEASONThe long-awaited, highly elusive period in cryptocurrency trading is finally here with the Bitcoin Dominance value crossing below the multi-year trendline.
This tells us that money is flowing into altcoins or stablecoins at a faster rate than it is flowing into bitcoin. It does not necessarily mean that bitcoin's price is going down as BTC.D can be going down while the bitcoin price goes up. As the provided cheat sheet shows, that is when altcoins will increase very fast.
We need to see the BTC.D value hold its position under the trend line for confirmation. Then we should see BTC.D move very similar to the '20-'21 altseason that I marked with the two blue vertical lines.
Historically, August is a month for the price of Bitcoin to have a pullback, and the timing of that seems to points towards late August or early September, but you never really know with trading markets.
This is cause for celebration! Congrats!
Note: I posted an BTC.D idea a few hours ago but decided to do a new one to add more context.
What season is it? It's ALTSEASONThe long-awaited, highly elusive time in cryptocurrency is finally here with the value crossing below the multi-year trendline in Bitcoin Dominance. Historically, August is a month for the price of Bitcoin to have a pullback, and the timing of that seems to points towards late August or early September. This is cause for celebration! Congrats to the bulls and HODLers!
Bitcoin Dominance · Downtrend Continues (Bullish Bitcoin)The uptrend ended 27-July 2025 with the highest reading on BTC.D since January 2021. Back in January 2021 BTC.D was also bearish, dropping, and this bearish period in this index matched the strongest bullish action ever, the 2021 bull market.
Now, the bearish phase on BTC.D is intensifying. I am bullish on Bitcoin and the altcoins market.
Bitcoin Dominance being bearish does not mean Bitcoin is bearish, it means the altcoins are rising. When the altcoins are rising, Bitcoin is already high and will continue rising.
Two days closed green on BTC.D and today back red. A few days green, many days red. A new low each time, lower low. A lower high shows up each time... This is only the start.
A reading of 60% is nothing to be proud of if you are a bear. The truth is that Bitcoin Dominance being at 60% simply means that the altcoins market has still plenty of room for growth. For example, Ethereum can hit $11,111 and Bitcoin $200,000+. Targets need to be updated because we will have an extraordinary bull market.
» Many pairs have been growing for months, since April.
» Other pairs have been sideways for months, since April.
» While still others continued lower.
Soon, the entire market will move in one rhythm, one flow. And this flow is an up-wave. Rising prices for the long haul. The best scenario possible if you love Crypto. The strongest bullish cycle since 2021. Possibly the strongest ever.
Prepare for higher prices.
» Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is going down.
» Bitcoin and the altcoins are going up.
Namaste.
Dominance - Deep dive into Dominance chart!Did you know that dominance is on the verge of collapsing in the coming days? Let me tell you why.
🔸On the 3-day dominance chart:
- We have the beginning of a break of the ascending channel, a close below it, and a retest.
- There’s also a break of an important support level at 0.618 Fibonacci, followed by a retest, and it’s currently trading below it.
- Plus, we have a death cross where the EMA25 crossed below the EMA50.
That’s three confirmations on one chart — can you imagine?
The coming days will likely see a strong pump in altcoins. Remember my words.
Best Regards:
Ceciliones🎯
BTC Dominance Breakdown – Altseason 2025 Loading? The BTC Dominance chart is flashing a familiar pattern we last saw before the explosive 2021 Altseason — and history might be about to rhyme. Let’s break it down:
BTC Dominance has once again tapped the same multi-year resistance trendline (red line).
Price has been riding a rising wedge since early 2022 — a pattern that typically resolves to the downside.
Last week, dominance rejected from the resistance zone and broke below wedge support.
Key Technicals:
Resistance Trendline: Serving as a multi-year ceiling since 2019.
Support Trendline: Rising wedge support now broken, opening the door for a deeper decline.
Current Level: 60.81% — sitting right below the breakdown zone.
What This Means for the Market:
If dominance continues to fall, altcoins could see significant capital inflows.
A sustained drop could trigger an Altseason 2.0, with high-beta alts outperforming BTC.
Watch for BTC to consolidate or move sideways — this typically accelerates altcoin gains.
Confirmation & Invalidations:
✅ Bullish for alts if:
Dominance closes weekly candles below 60%.
Momentum builds to retest lower dominance support levels (50%-55%).
❌ Invalidation:
A reclaim of wedge support + breakout above 67% would kill the altseason narrative in the short term.
📌 Conclusion:
BTC Dominance is at a critical turning point. History suggests we could be on the verge of a powerful altcoin cycle if the breakdown sustains.
Patience and positioning are key — the biggest alt rallies start when most traders are still skeptical.
💬 What do you think — are we about to witness Altseason 2025? Drop your thoughts below.
BTC.D , Bitcoin Dominance Ready to RiseAfter a descending wedge pattern, Bitcoin Dominance has shown the first signs of an upward move. A CHoCH (Change of Character) has formed on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential trend reversal.
We are now awaiting a retest of the broken resistance level before continuation of the bullish trend. However, the price might skip the retest and proceed directly higher.
Stay tuned for confirmation and manage your positions accordingly.
Alts Crypto Game PlanAs you can see the triangle at BTC dominance has met the minimum norms.
I think:
1) The setback will reach 0.382 - 0.5% level of the micro degree, after which we may see another decline to finish the micro degree 5.
2) A Zizgzag, correcting the Minor degree 5.
3) And another intermediate 5-wave downward wave, because the first 5 downward waves are usually never the end. It is usually a complex double combined zigzag.
BTC Dominance Mirroring 2021In 2021, Bitcoin dominance respected this key trendline twice before breaking, which triggered a 35% dominance drop in just 3 months and one of the largest altcoin rallies in recent history.
Today, we see a similar technical setup unfolding:
Cycle 1 (2021): Bounce → Break → Alt-season
Cycle 2 (2025): Bounce → ???
If the trendline breaks, we could see capital flow from BTC into altcoins at scale, potentially marking the next major market rotation.
I’ll be watching closely for a confirmed break and weekly close below.
📊 Do you think this time will be different?
Timing the Crypto MarketBitcoin dominance measures the percentage of the total crypto market cap held in Bitcoin. As crypto investors, it’s one of the most valuable indices we can use to time market cycles. My personal strategy, proven over years of investing, is straightforward:
When Bitcoin dominance is high, I start accumulating altcoins.
When Bitcoin dominance is low, especially around the 42% zone, I take profits on altcoins.
This simple principle has helped me consistently enter and exit the market at the right moments.
Looking at the current Bitcoin dominance chart, we’re still sitting around 59%. This means a large portion of market capital is still concentrated in Bitcoin, and the significant money flow into small-cap altcoins hasn’t begun yet. In other words, altseason is just getting started.
For now, patience is key. The bigger moves in altcoins are likely ahead as capital rotates out of Bitcoin and into the broader market.
BTC.D Has Started a Monthly Downtrend — Altseason, With CautionBTC.D Has Started a Monthly Downtrend — Altseason, But With Caution
Market data shows that BTC Dominance (BTC.D) has likely formed a peak on the monthly timeframe and is now entering a downward slope that could last for the next few months.
However, TOTAL, TOTAL2, and TOTAL3 still indicate sustained capital inflows into the crypto market. This suggests that profits taken from BTC are being rotated into the rest of the market rather than exiting entirely.
That said, investors should stay alert: Crypto TOTAL is in the process of forming a macro top. When this top completes, we may see significant capital flowing out of the crypto market.
The current altcoin wave is still relatively short and hasn’t reached the explosive phase of a full-scale bull run. Exercise caution before TOTAL, TOTAL2, and TOTAL3 complete their monthly tops and shift into a corrective phase.
Hoho BTCBitcoin’s recent consolidation above key support levels suggests strong buyer interest, with market sentiment shifting toward accumulation.
Technical indicators like rising moving averages and bullish RSI momentum reinforce the potential for an upward breakout.
Macro factors, including institutional adoption and decreasing exchange reserves, point to a supply squeeze scenario.
A break above resistance could trigger a sustained rally, making the current setup favorable for a long BTC position.






















