BTC.D trade ideas
Altcoin Season Has Started. And A Quick Look At The Stock MarketHey Traders,
Time for me to catch you up on the latest price action in both the stock market and crypto as well as touch upon a few changes on my platform and subscription services and what I plan for the future.
Timestamps:
00:00 | Housekeeping - site changes, etc
04:35 | BTC Dominance
06:45 | DXY Dollar Chart
10:00 | SPY
14:25 | BTC Bitcoin Chart
15:45 | Bitcoin Liquidity Heatmap
17:30 | Solana
19:05 | Ethereum
20:20 | Crypto & Stock Trackers
24:25 | My Indicator
26:10 | Where I Went Wrong & How I Plan To Course Correct
✌️ Stew
BTC.D
Total 3 seems to be forming a neutral triangle (marked with a red circle) and will soon move towards the red box to complete wave-(d) of the higher degree triangle.
The price path is marked for you on the chart.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
6 days ago
Trade active
Neutral Triangle was confirmed by the post-pattern movement.✅
according to the analysis it is moving towards the red box. 🚀
NEoWave-Chart
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Has the Alt Season Started?
by NEoWave-Chart
May 19
Disclaimer
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2 comments
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XRP-Jonny
Jul 18
Breakout the trend line, and backtest.
1
Reply
NEoWave-Chart
Jul 18
XRP-Jonny, Yes
Backtest can definitely be a scenario but generally, the target is the red box.
Best regards
NEoWave Chart
Altcoin Season May Be Real This TimeBitcoin Dominance Finally Breaks – Altcoin Season May Be Real This Time
Since late 2022, Bitcoin Dominance has been on a steady rise — and during this time, the vast majority of altcoins have bled heavily, losing value both in USD and BTC terms.
The long-awaited “altcoin season” became a meme more than a market event.
Every rally was short-lived, and rotation never truly materialized.
Until now...
________________________________________
📉 A Technical Break That Matters
Looking at the BTC.D chart, we finally see something meaningful:
➡️ A clear technical breakdown under confluence support given by the horizontal one and the rising trend line, which held for months and provided the structure for BTC outperformance.
At the same time, Bitcoin is stable around the 120k zone, and the price action suggests strength — not mania, not collapse — just solid consolidation at high levels, and most probably preparing for new ATHs.
This environment historically tends to be favorable for alts.
________________________________________
USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Also Pointing Lower
The USDT.D chart adds even more confluence to the idea:
• It's now pointing towards support
• The structure suggests there’s room for a further drop, which historically means more money flowing into risk assets — particularly altcoins
When stablecoins dominance drops, it usually reflects increased market participation and risk-on behavior — exactly what altcoins need to finally shine.
________________________________________
🔍 What Am I Doing?
I’ve already started buying selected altcoins and I'm looking to add more on dips.
This technical shift is meaningful. It’s not about catching hype, it’s about recognizing a real potential rotation.
In conclusion, I’ll be looking for strong altcoin setups to buy on pullbacks,
as I believe the next weeks and months could offer the kind of upside that can at least double my investment (yeah, yeah, I'm not "to the mooner, hoping for 100x ).
BTC.D Bitcoin Dominance on a bigger timeframe support?
This is my first time posting an idea, therefore not an expert, I hope the graphs show right.
Seeing a weekly chart, I see another support across the levels of March 6th, Dec 2nd and the current level. Could this have been only a warm up for the altseason? Do we have to wait for the week of August 25th?
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
If you check the Weekly chart for TOTAL3ESBTC, the week of August 25th could provide another support at 0.255.
The exact point we are hitting now is the POC for the beginning of 2019 up to today.
BTC Dominance — Bounces, Chop, and Next Wave Setup
BTC.D reached strong support, confirming euphoria top for now.
Currently, BTC.D is at the first key support (green zone 59.8–61.1%). This is a logical bounce zone where dominance could chop or rebound short-term.
If BTC.D holds and bounces here, expect more range-bound action, potentially retesting 64–65% (red zone).
If this support breaks, the next area of interest is the 54–55% green box. This would open the door for more sustained altcoin strength (altseason continuation).
Ultimately, a decisive break below both green boxes signals the start of a major altcoin expansion phase, with BTC.D trending lower toward 48–50% support.
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is at a critical inflection point after rejecting at strong resistance and reaching daily support. Bounces from this area are typical as traders rotate profits, but sustained breakdown below support would mark a shift in market regime, favoring alts. Watching for confirmation — the next parabolic move in alts begins if BTC.D loses these green boxes.
Bitcoin Dominance Weekly · Highest Bearish Volume in YearsThis week Bitcoin Dominance Index is producing the highest bearish volume session since February 2021. More than 4.5 years.
This week we have the strongest bearish action since June 2022. We can say that the altcoins market bull market is not only fully confirmed but already underway. We are already experiencing the best altcoin season since 2021 but it is still early, this is only the start.
Bitcoin Dominance is set to produce the strongest drop in many years and this only happens when the altcoins go ultra-bullish.
Bitcoin is moving sideways right now near resistance. As Bitcoin does this, the altcoins continue to move forward. This is classic bull market dynamics. When Bitcoin consolidates at a high price, the altcoins tend to explode. You can expect this pattern to continue to repeat for months to come. There is more good news though.
The fact that the altcoins are growing, perfect examples right now are Ethereum and Litecoin, is a bullish signal for Bitcoin.
It is not like the altcoins will grow and then Bitcoin will drop, no. Bitcoin consolidates and the altcoins grow, when Bitcoin stops consolidating it will move forward and hit a new major high, that is a price just around $134,000 and $136,000. When Bitcoin hits this price the altcoins continue to grow, back and forth. This is the most bullish the market has been since 2021. We will have to wait and see where this will all lead but new all-time highs are expected across all major projects and then some. Bitcoin is already in new all-time high territory but we need a new all-time high on Solana, Litecoin, Ethereum, Cardano, and so on. XRP is already at a new all-time high but it has much more to give.
If you visit @MasterAnanda, you will find up-to-date analyses for all these altcoins with new updated not conservative but realistic and good optimistic targets.
I will continue to share updates throughout the entire bull market. This is only the start. Get ready because the best is yet to come.
Namaste.
BTC Dominance at Critical Zone – Altcoin Window?BTC dominance is slipping after breaking down from the rising wedge pattern on the 4H timeframe 📉. The current level is hovering near 60.50%, a zone that could decide the next chapter for alts.
If dominance dips below the key 60% mark while BTC stays sideways, altcoins may finally catch fire and rally hard 🚀.
This is a pivotal moment—watch closely. The next moves in dominance could shape the altcoin landscape in the days ahead 👀.
Altcoin Season:It All Comes Down to One Thing—Liquidity RotationHello Traders 🐺
Let’s be real—everything about “altcoin season” comes back to one key concept: liquidity rotation. You’ve probably heard that term thrown around, but what does it actually mean ? And more importantly, how do we use it?
No matter what market cycle we’re in—bullish or bearish—each cycle is made up of several internal phases. And during those phases, tracking where smart money is flowing becomes crucial. But let’s break it down even further.
Take a look at the chart. Before the last altcoin season kicked off, something interesting happened: the Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D) had a significant rally. As the name suggests, this index tracks Bitcoin’s share of the overall crypto market cap. So when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is rising, that means Bitcoin is sucking up a larger share of the liquidity—smart money is flowing into BTC first.
This is critical to understand, because Bitcoin Dominance is one of the clearest indicators to tell you which phase of the cycle we're in and where the money is heading next.
Now here’s the key question:
Why do we associate a drop in BTC Dominance with the start of altcoin season?
It all goes back to the literal meaning of Bitcoin Dominance. If BTC.D is approaching 100%, nearly all the money is concentrated in Bitcoin alone. But when this dominance starts dropping, it signals that capital is beginning to rotate out of BTC and into altcoins.
And here's where it gets spicy:
When BTC.D approaches a key resistance level—like it's doing right now—and at the same time we see bearish divergences across multiple timeframes... that’s our cue. Combine that with technical analysis, and suddenly you've got yourself a roadmap most beginners are completely blind to.
That’s why 80% of traders end up feeding the profits of the other 20%. The harsh truth? Markets are wealth transfer mechanisms—from the impatient to the patient. Every bad entry, every panic sell, ends up padding the wallet of someone who planned the rotation in advance.
Let’s not complicate things too much though. Just look at what’s happening right now:
BTC Dominance hit a major resistance level, showed strong bearish divergences (as I mentioned in earlier posts), and what happened next? Boom—altcoins started pumping hard this past week.
To everyone who stayed with me through this phase and positioned themselves early—congrats. You earned this.
But here’s the bigger picture:
We're still at the beginning of the altcoin cycle. Like I explained before, it all happens in phases:
Bitcoin Season – Smart money enters Bitcoin first.
Ethereum Season – Then liquidity flows into ETH.
Large-Cap Altcoins – After that, big-name altcoins start moving.
Altcoin Season (Full Risk-On) – Finally, capital floods into low-cap alts—the wild phase.
And that last phase? That’s when things get crazy. That’s where irrational exuberance lives. That’s where dreams are made—or broken—depending on your timing and plan.
So yeah, buckle up. We're not done yet.
And as always remember :
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
BTC dominance break below 62%?Bitcoin dominance has slipped below 62% and dropped under its 200‑day moving average, indicating that the altcoin market cap is now rising as investors rotate into altcoins.
The next support level is 55% (the December 2024 low)
ultimate support -> 40%, which held during the 2021 altcoin rally.
$BTC Will Go Up Alongside Alt SeasonSomeone posted on one of my tweets the following:
" Jonnie my bro, the only problem for me right now is that btc didnt top yet. You also talked how btc shoud top around 200k range. Alt season can only come when btc reach top"
MYTH DEBUNKED ✅
CRYPTOCAP:BTC does NOT need to top in order for Alt Season to commence.
Both can and will occur in tandem 🤝
When This Support Breaks, Altcoin Season Becomes Official!Trading Fam,
We have many signs that altcoin season is almost upon us. Solana is breaking important resistance. Eth is nearing its target (both of these posts can be found below). But the most important indicator imo can be found on our BTC.D chart. Dominance has now reached an important support. I was kind of expecting a bounce here. And it still could bounce. But if it doesn't, then I feel like I can officially state that we will be in altcoin season for the rest of the year. Here's what you should be watching. If the body of that daily candle closes below our support today and then a new one opens and also closes below the support, its a wrap.
Let's go!
✌️Stew
Crypto indexes analysis / Btc.d / usdt.d / Eth / totals🚀 Crypto Market Macro Outlook – 21 July 2025
Right now, many traders have several open positions. So, managing your trades is more important than just analyzing the market. Some key questions to ask:
✅ What should we do with each position if the market goes up, stays sideways, or drops?
✅ When is it time to take profit, and which trades should we keep?
✅ Should we move our stop-loss or leave it?
Let’s look at the main market indicators and possible scenarios:
💎 BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
🔻 BTC.D is in a clear downtrend.
📉 It keeps breaking support levels and is now below the 61.8 level – showing that money is moving from Bitcoin into altcoins.
🔍 RSI is around 19 and CCI is at -130 → very oversold ✅
❗ If BTC.D drops below 60.0, it could fall to 58.5 or even 54, which would support a strong altcoin season.
📌 There’s no sign of a reversal yet.
📊 A high ADX shows the bearish trend is strong.
💰 Tether Dominance (USDT.D)
📉 USDT.D is also in a downtrend. It broke below the 4.14 support, which means money is entering the crypto market.
🔻 If it drops below 4.14, altcoins could grow even more.
⚠️ Weak momentum, a negative MACD, and sell signals from the moving averages show that traders are taking more risks now.
💥 ETH and Its Impact on Altcoins
🔹 ETH/BTC is going up, which usually means more money is going into altcoins.
📌 ETH is moving sideways between 3650 and 3800. A break above 4000 or out of this range could be the next trigger.
📈 When ETH is in a range, layer 2 coins like ARB, OP, APT, and ZK often perform well. Keep an eye on them.
📊 Other Major Indicators
• TOTAL3 and TOTAL2: Long signals are confirmed. The uptrend is still strong.
• TOTAL: The 3.9 level is an important breakout point.
• OTHERS.D: In an uptrend. If it breaks 8.86, we might see strong interest in spot buying.
📌 Summary
✅ BTC.D – bearish
✅ USDT.D – falling
✅ ETH/BTC – bullish
✅ TOTAL3 and OTHERS.D – rising
📈 All signs point to a market that favors altcoins.
📣 If this continues, we could enter a real altseason.
📌 But be careful: if BTC or ETH can’t break key resistance levels or if dominance reverses, a short-term pullback is still possible.
🔔 What Traders Should Do:
Focus on altcoins that are near important resistance levels and have strong structure.
For your current positions, have a clear and active plan. Don’t just wait and hope.
📍 If this was helpful, follow me and hit the 🚀 so you don’t miss the next update!
WARNING Bitcoin Dominance is about to reach support -ALTS
All the Cries of "ALT SEASON AT LAST" could be about to stumble if BTC.D finds support on the line of support shown in the chart , that has provided support previously.
There is no way of knowing if it will bounce or not but CAUTION IS A VERY GOOD IDEA
We will know soon enough
BTC DOMINANCE CRASHING WHATS NEXT? Now that Bitcoin dominance has officially broken its uptrend and started a confirmed downtrend — as the previous higher low has been taken out — the key thing to watch next is the 55–56% range.
Once BTC dominance enters that zone, you may consider taking partial profits from altcoins if you'd like, as this area could trigger a bounce where dominance attempts a short-term recovery toward the upper resistance zone (around 61–62%).
After hitting that upper red zone, Bitcoin dominance is expected to start its real crash — a sharp decline likely lasting 1–2 months — bottoming somewhere between 40–45%. My conservative target is 40–42% , which is where I expect the actual altseason to begin.
So be patient, don’t rush, and approach the market carefully and strategically.
Altseason Loading?BTC Dominance chart has once again respected the long-term descending trendline resistance, showing a sharp monthly rejection. Historically, similar rejections have marked the beginning of ALT seasons, where capital flows out of Bitcoin into altcoins, boosting their performance significantly.
Chart Highlights:
-Major triangle pattern since 2017
-Clear rejections from the upper trendline coincide with previous ALT seasons (2018, 2021)
-Current rejection resembles those past cycles
-A move down in dominance could fuel strong altcoin rallies
If BTC dominance continues to decline, we could be entering another powerful altcoin season in the coming months.
Cheers
Hexa🧘♀️
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:BTCUSDT