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THE CASTLE WALLS OF BTC, SPX500, NAS100 & GOLD DEFENDEDThis weekend I have analyzed Bitcoin, SPX500, NAS100 and GOLD trading charts and found that the castle walls have been defended by bulls. Yes, intelligence was gathered with bearish signals from last week, however all the selling on these assets was strongly absorbed and I think market sentiment has changed to Bullish on these assets. With this change in sentiment, these markets will likely go higher or at worst battle a tag of war in sideways price action. I have updated notes on my previous video if you need further reason why I have a change in market direction this coming week. Thank you for spending time listening to my analysis and I wish everyone a profitable trading week. Cheers!!!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by RICHINVESTOR
Altseason Countdown BeginsThe biggest concern in my head is when to take profits this cycle. Historically, the Dec–Jan timeframe has been best to get out of your bags before the bear erases profits… but I feel more leaned toward using past data relative to the halving instead of exact dates from the halving. I am looking at BTC dominance currently, comparing it to the 2020 cycle and how it played out. I feel like BTC on its USD pair is almost identical to how it looked back in 2020. In this timeframe, we found a bottom in March and rallied into May, and then consolidated into mid-July. We then rallied and consolidated end of July into August before the historical September dump, followed by the MCT rally. So to block out all the noise, what does this mean? I feel we will play out the same pattern that BTC had in 2020 on its USD pair, and by looking at BTC dominance during the 2020 March–Sept timeframe, I feel altseason will play out just as it had then, NOW! By looking at BTC.D during this timeframe, September marked the pivot where instead of dominance dropping, it reversed until topping out in December, before giving us that crazy altseason. I feel since September historically has marked a pivot in BTC.D and a negative month for BTCUSD, we will see a rally in BTC.D just like in 2020, with a top late Q4 of 2025, followed by that altseason rally. So when do we sell? In this case, I’m looking at the first week of September and marking out the bottom on BTC.D from the first week in Sept to then. This gives us 252 days, which is my main and first target. That would put us from the first week in Sept now into April of 2026, when I believe altcoins will peak. There is another scenario where we can measure out from the first week of Sept to the all-time low of 2020, but I feel it would be irrelevant because the cycle would then have to go on for months longer, which I doubt happening. So ultimately, I am looking to sell my bags this Dec–January timeframe if I see alts going parabolic and my targets being hit like 5x–10x with BTC.D dropping. But if I don’t see this happening, this will be my exit strategy—targeting the April 2026 altcoin top.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by SleeperPete
#BTC.D Update After PPI NewsDominance dropped perfectly into our yellow zone, and after today’s PPI report we saw a small bounce. Now the big question is: 👉 Is this a reversal or just a retracement? 📊 According to my analysis, this is still just a retracement as long as price remains below the two bold blue lines and doesn’t break above the yellow zone. ✅ Shallow retracement is already done. If the market dips further, price could test Arrow #2 and continue down. 🔥 But if the drop comes from under the blue line at Arrow #3, then we’re looking at a strong, heavy move. Also, keep in mind: * A wave structure has formed and price just confirmed it. * If this confirmation fails, we could see a big reversal. * Otherwise, we continue the downtrend wave with targets at Arrow #4 and Arrow #5. ⚠️ Today’s move doesn’t mean much — the real momentum starts tomorrow. Patience is key. Let the market show its hand by tomorrow evening before entering the next setups. 💡 Remember: Discipline + Patience = Profits Stay focused, don’t rush. The big opportunities are coming! 🚀
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MoonTradingForecast
1
Bitcoin Dominance and DXY pattern correlation!Is the bitcoin dominance correlated to the DXY? So far... I think so. Chart pattern wise anyway. So, according to the DXY, if the Dominance follows this pattern we should be in the biggest altseason to date. But it could be the last one for a while as there could be a 90% to 95% flush out of alts coming. This would crush all altcoin belief and get rid of all the shit coins. Lets be honest at this point it's needed to flush out all this garbage, it's too much. Then knew cycle would start over and follow with a massive altseason bigger than anything ever. Don't get excited just yet, it not happen until 2033 or later. Also according to this chart, dominace can go a bit higher to 72% before it starts to fall. lets see That's all I have here, I just wanted to put it out here. If you want more analysis on this I have put out a comprehensive video on my tictik and youtube page. Remember, this is not financial advice. Kind regards, Demetrios
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by WeAreSat0shi
2
Altseason Signal: BTC.D Breaks 875-Day Trendline !Hello Traders 🐺 As you might guess right now, the moment we’ve all been waiting for is finally here, my dear friends! Ask me why? Let me break it down for you: On the chart, we can clearly see weakness in the BTC.D chart — and as you know, when BTC.D starts to break below a long-term trend line (and in this case, we already broke below an 875-day uptrend — about 3 years!), it’s a clear sign of altcoin season, my friend. As you can see on the chart, price is also breaking below the red support box, and if it closes below it, that’s a real bearish sign for BTC.D.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Kiu_Coin
2
Altseason on the Horizon? Stablecoin Liquidity + BTC.D RejectionOn-chain data is flashing potential early signs of an incoming altseason. The total supply of ERC20 stablecoins has surged to an all-time high of $128.7B, suggesting unprecedented liquidity parked in “dry powder” form, ready to enter risk assets. Alongside this, active addresses for stablecoins have broken past 250K for the first time in history, underscoring rising network activity and circulation levels typical before major market rotations. The most notable signal comes from the All Stablecoins (ERC20) Exchange Netflow – Binance chart, which shows sustained positive inflows over recent weeks, often exceeding $67M+ per spike. Positive netflows into exchanges usually indicate increased purchasing power on standby — and Binance, as the largest spot & derivatives venue, is a critical funnel for altcoin liquidity during rotations. At the same time, the BTC Dominance chart reveals a clear rejection from its Previous Cycle Bull Run Resistance zone. Historically, such rejections have coincided with capital flowing from BTC into mid and large-cap altcoins, marking the early to mid phases of altseason. Supporting this, Ethereum active addresses have risen sharply to 450K+, near cycle highs, positioning ETH as the likely lead driver of altcoin market momentum. Conclusion: The confluence of record-high stablecoin liquidity, Binance-dominated net inflows, surging on-chain activity in ETH, and BTC.D’s technical rejection collectively strengthen the case for a potential altseason breakout. Key confirmation would come if ETH breaks above its This Cycle Bull Run Resistance with strong volume while BTC.D continues its downward trajectory. Until then, these signals warrant close observation as capital positioning appears to be shifting under the surface.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by cryptoonchain
ALTSEASON has already started!The BTC Market Cap Dominance (BTC.D) has made an emphatic rejection at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 8-year Triangle and if it closes the 1M candle of August below the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), it will largely confirm the new Bearish Leg. With the 1M LMACD about to complete its first Bearish Cross in more than 4 years, it is more probable to see this strong and lengthy downtrend target the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Triangle near the 0.1 Fibonacci level, similar to the previous one. The Target is 43.00%. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by TradingShot
13
BTC Dominance % ? HI FOR THIS PRESUMEABLY BULLISH RUN TILL 1/Feb 2026 or/ and 1/July 2026 I had selected 11 jewels.. as so they say for my trading purposes . Like all assets: They have ups and downs. In a bullish environment (so they say..) Focus on BUYS only. The assets are: APT DOT NEAR AVAX ATOM OP ADA LDO ONDO SUI XRP For others they are worthless.. hahaha -- kidding Will try to study on behavioral, % move If you are not into crypto and such. Welcome to unfollow & nothing stopping yeah. All the best & only wishing the best for you. Not a guru. I trade what I see. Sometimes I loose n sometimes I make. RAW. From sunshine Malaysia
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by reazosman
BTC DOMINANCE UPDATE- So, all elements are annotated throughout the graphic, like always. - Timeline. - Older Top Dom (2021) (red doted line). - New Top Dom (2025) (red line). - Some supports ( Orange Line ). - Some Bottoms ( Green Lines ). - Most important in chart : Fibonnacci Retracements. - After this chart, I’ll drop links to my older BTC dominance posts. - Not much to say, just look at the chart : - In 2021, BTC.D formed a double top because Bitcoin spiked twice and hit two all-time highs. - That doesn’t mean BTC.D will behave the same way in 2025. I don't expect another double top, but who knows. - We could see a retracement down to the 45–47% range. That would likely signal the start of a new bear market. - For now, i don’t see the end of the bull run yet. I’m mostly waiting for a strong BTC push in price, a fast dip in BTC Dominance, and the kickoff of Altseason. — it’s going to be wild and fast! Just my personal opinion. Stay Safe ! Happy Tr4Ding !
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by thecryer
30
Bitcoin Dominance · Bitcoin Hits $1,000,000, ETH $200K Bitcoin Dominance is displaying the lowest reading in 8 months, since January 2025. Bitcoin Dominance is in the worst condition possible in 4 full years. The Bitcoin Dominance Index chart predicts a major bullish cycle across Crypto; Bitcoin and the altcoins market. Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day. This week we have a bearish continuation on BTC.D, which also works as bearish confirmation which reinforces the bearish continuation. The altcoins are already going up, it has been happening for months. The market has been rising for months; Bitcoin has been rising for years but this isn't all. Seeing BTC.D here we know the bigger portion of the current trend is still to unravel. The rounded top, a bearish reversal signal, is complete and the neckline, the main pattern support, has been broken. Trading volume continues to be high and the bearish bias strong. There is more. It is the first time Bitcoin Dominance breaks below EMA55 weekly since June 2022. Coming from a high point, this event happened January 2021, the start of the previous bull market. The same signal again now means the start of the current bull market. It is already happening, it is already confirmed. It was the same back in 2021. In January/February 2021 it was already happening and it was already confirmed that Crypto was having a major bull market. Bitcoin was already trading near its previous all-time high. Market conditions are the same. Bitcoin is about to grow 20%. While Bitcoin grows this much, the altcoins will grow between 300 and 600%. Then Bitcoin will take a pause and the altcoins will continue to grow. Ether is likely to go beyond 10K. Crypto is going up. This is the best possible ever. Your life can forever change. Take a minute to think. Stop for a moment. Engage your mind and visualize... What type of results can you produce? What would you do if you knew with a high level of certainty that Crypto is going up? How would you take advantage of this information? What type of actions are you taking now to maximize profits in this bullish wave? It is not about being bearish or bullish, it is about adapting to what is happening. Crypto is going up; Are you in or are you out? Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
3
BTC Dominance % : Key zone watch BTC.D is still respecting its upward channel since mid-2022, currently testing the upper boundary ~64%. 🟡 Potential pullback on the table, targeting mid-range or lower channel support (~60%). 📌 This could hint at: 🔄 A short-term ALTcoin relief rally if dominance pulls back. 🛑 Or possible Bitcoin consolidation while alts catch up. EMA 61.40% acting as dynamic mid-range support. Stay sharp — dominance shifts often lead the broader crypto rotation.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by BrytJoy
2
Bitcoin Dominance: Breakdown Confirmed, Altseason Clock Ticking?BTC Dominance just tagged a well-defined monthly supply zone and got rejected hard. Rotation into alts, led by ETH, is picking up momentum. The charts are flashing early signs that the uptrend in BTC Dominance might be done. In my view, June 27th marked the top for $BTC.D. A bearish BTC.D doesn’t mean Bitcoin itself is bearish. BTC can still push higher while dominance fades, that’s the classic setup for alt season. Bitcoin holds its ground, and capital starts pouring into ETH and high-beta alts . Right now, that rotation is clearly gaining traction. If this holds, ETH likely continues to lead the rotation, followed by high-beta alts in trending narratives (AI, Memes, etc.). The “new altseason” is more selective and you need to rotate into strength, not sit in 2021 bags and pray. The real question isn’t whether BTC.D is weakening — it’s how far it will fall, and how aggressively altcoins will respond. 📊 Market Structure Monthly supply zone (66–70%) acting as macro resistance Lower high confirmed on weekly after rejection Daily: recent breakdown from lower high confirms near-term bearish structure Dominance stalling at resistance while altcoins begin outperforming 📉 Moving Averages Daily: rejection from 200MA cloud cluster (bearish sign) No bullish crossover or momentum confirmation; trend is losing strength Watch for interaction with 50MA below for short-term bounce attempt Unless BTC.D can recover above the 200MA cluster (~62.8%), this rejection stays dominant. 📝 Support and Resistance Resistance: 66–70% (monthly supply), 62.5–63% (daily & weekly confluence), 60% (psych level & recent breakdown) Support: 56% (yearly open), 54% (minor level), 48.9% and 39.6% as key structural targets Flip zones: 59–60% range is current battleground (retest zone) ⚡️ Technical Confluences Weekly supply + breaker + FVG stacked = strong rejection zone Current drop aligns with rejection off confluence Daily demand around 59–60% may offer short-term support Trendline support + prior accumulation zone near 49% is a key magnet if structure breaks 60% breakdown is key: flipping this zone confirms sustained altcoin strength 📈 Narrative Since April, alt market cap added $830B BTC.D fell from 66% to sub-59%, a 7-point drop ETH moved from $1,300 to $4,700, showing clear leadership TradFi inflows into ETH ETFs hit $1B in one day Yet sentiment still lags, with disbelief about altseason widespread — classic early-stage behavior 🧠 TLDR BTC dominance is rolling over from a heavy supply zone, and the technicals are stacked against the bulls. A break below 56% could open the floodgates toward 48–49%, giving altcoins their window to run. The bias here is bearish unless we reclaim 62.5% cleanly. ✅ What’s your read on this move? Is this the real rotation to alts, or just a pause before BTC takes back control? Drop your take or send this to someone watching dominance this week. 📢 ⚠️ Disclaimer This content is provided solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor should it be relied upon as such. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any investment or trading decisions you make are entirely at your own risk, and you should always conduct your own research and due diligence. Where appropriate, seek guidance from a qualified financial professional before acting on any information contained herein. (And if all else fails, you can still run it by your cat. 🐱)
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by johntradingwick
3
BTC Dominance( Complete Analysis) 1️⃣ Pattern & Structure We had a rising wedge formation earlier (yellow trend lines) — a bearish pattern. The breakout happened to the downside, confirming bearish bias. The chart is now printing Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) — a clear downtrend. 2️⃣ Current Situation BTC dominance has just broken the 59% support level, which was a key horizontal support. RSI is still low (around 38), meaning momentum is bearish but not yet extremely oversold — more downside possible. Volume spikes during down moves show strong selling pressure. 3️⃣ Projection Based on the technicals, BTC dominance could head towards the 56%–54% range (next major support). This usually means altcoins may outperform Bitcoin in the coming sessions (alt season signs). 4️⃣ Trading Implication If BTC dominance keeps dropping, money may rotate into ETH, SOL, other altcoins. Watch for BTC dominance bounce near 56% — that could slow altcoin rally.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by limitissky77
BTC-DOM- BTC dominance can't keep rising indefinitely. -If we see a BTC dip, BTC dominance could climb to around 66% (71.8% Fibonacci), but in my opinion, that’s likely the maximum. - If BTC surges too quickly and too high, altcoins will be suppressed, causing BTC dominance to potentially rise also to around 66%. However, once again, I believe that's would be the max. - After any of both cases, altcoins will start to moon fly. - 36-bar, 1096-day uptrend on the BTC dominance chart. That’s a significant duration from 2018 to 2021. The timespan from 2022 to 2025 could mirror the previous one. - Take note also on the Bearish Divergence between the trend and the RSI. ( i will post weekly graphic also to show a more clear view ). - An uptrend of this length indicates strong, sustained interest in BTC compared to altcoins. However, long-term trends like this are prone to exhaustion. For now, just hold your alts and practice golden patience. Happy Tr4Ding !
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by thecryer
11
BTC.DChart Overview (1D TF – BTC Dominance): 1. Pattern in Play: Rising Wedge (Bearish Bias) The chart shows a rising wedge pattern forming with: Support line (PA (D)s) in blue, sloping upwards. Resistance line (PA (D)r) in red, also sloping up, but less steep. This pattern typically has a bearish outcome, especially when formed during a downtrend as we see post-June. Price is nearing the apex of the wedge, meaning a breakout (likely down) could be imminent. 2. Key Horizontal Support and Resistance Levels Support at 60.27%: Price previously bounced from this level—very significant zone. Resistance at 61.89%: Acting as a key ceiling; price got rejected here recently. 66.03% (Top Black Line): Major macro resistance and the 2025 peak trendline intersects near that level around October. 3. Trendlines and Long-Term Context Macro Uptrend Support in red intersects around the 61.89%–62% zone in early October. If dominance holds this zone and bounces upward from the rising wedge, this trendline becomes crucial support. Previous Uptrend Line (purple) was broken significantly in June, which triggered the sharp drop. BTC dominance lost momentum and is now in recovery/decision zone. Interpretation: Short-Term Bias: Neutral to Bearish As price is within a rising wedge post-downtrend, the probability of breakdown is higher. Failure to break above 61.89% again and maintain momentum suggests downside towards 60.27% or even 58.60%. Medium-Term Possibility: If price breaks down from the wedge, support zones are: 60.27% Then 58.60% If price breaks up, it will need to reclaim 61.89% cleanly, then test toward 64%–66%. Macro Trendline Intersection (~Oct 13): Could be a major decision point aligning with fundamental crypto market catalysts. Dominance could break sharply above or below that time depending on broader crypto cycles.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by cryptochi1986
Altcoin season: 60% BTC dominance is DECISIVEThe bitcoin price continues to develop its upward trend this summer and the end of the cycle is approaching, the cycle linked to the halving of the year 2024 and which began in November 2022. It's usually in the latter part of the cycle that we can observe a rotation of capital in favor of altcoins, creating a period when altcoins do better than BTC in terms of price evolution. In this new analysis, I present you with two major barometers that must be followed if we are to envisage the next start of a favorable sequence for altcoins. Before doing so, I invite you to reread my last proposed analysis of the bitcoin price (by clicking on the first chart below) with the likely technical target for BTC at the beginning of September. 1) Bitcoin's 60% dominance threshold plays a decisive role in indicating whether or not there will be a revival of the altcoin season Bitcoin dominance represents BTC's weight in total crypto market capitalization. When BTC dominance follows an upward trend, BTC outperforms altcoins. On the contrary, when BTC dominance gives a bearish signal, we can speak of an altcoin season. Technical analysis of BTC dominance highlights a recent bearish divergence in weekly data, and also points to the 60% dominance threshold as the borderline between altcoin season and no altcoin season. Clearly, a bearish break of this 60% threshold (as in the previous cycle in 2021) would be the starting point for a possible altcoin season at the end of the current cycle. As long as the 60% threshold remains a support, there will be NO ALTCOIN SEASON. 2) The technical configuration of the Altcoin Season Index indicator suggests that a favourable sequence for altcoins is about to be relaunched The bearish divergence validated on the dominance of BTC gives grounds for optimism for the end of the cycle. The same is true of the technical analysis applied to the Altcoin Season Index indicator, which has broken out of its low zone at the top and is showing a Chartist bullish continuation formation. This indicator therefore suggests that the 60% threshold on BTC dominance could soon be broken on the downside. There should therefore be another favourable period for altcoins before the end of the cycle. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Swissquote
1
Bitcoin Dominance Hits Channel Floor – Altcoin Storm Incoming?Bitcoin dominance has been sliding within a well-structured descending channel since early August. Now, it’s touching the channel’s lower boundary — a level that has previously sparked strong reversals. A bounce from here could ignite a short-term uptrend in BTC dominance, targeting the channel’s midline and possibly its upper boundary. If this happens, capital is likely to rotate back into Bitcoin, applying pressure on altcoins and triggering a corrective phase in the broader altcoin market. Key Takeaway: Watch for bullish price action at the channel’s floor. A confirmed breakout in dominance could mark the start of an “altcoin cooldown” phase.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by CryptoPilot
3