BTCDOM : Near to breakout from trendline resistanceBitcoin dominance is nearing a breakout from trend line resistance. Keep a close watch as a breakout from here could lead to a short-term market correction, negatively affecting altcoins. Stay cautious with your long positions and use proper stop loss strategies.
KEEP A CLOSE WATCH ON IT
BTC.D trade ideas
$BTC Dominance seems to be replaying its historical pattern —CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance seems to be replaying its historical pattern — after peaking around 66%, it’s now pulling back toward the critical 60% support zone. If the breaks below this level have triggered sharp drops toward 54%, often marking the start of strong altcoin seasons. Unless BTC.D closes back above 65%–66%, history suggests we could see another wave of altcoin outperformance in the weeks ahead. And looking at the chart structure, a breakout in BTC’s price action could align with this cycle, potentially driving Bitcoin toward a new all-time high soon.
Is Bitcoin dominance finally starting to crack?Is #Bitcoin dominance finally starting to crack?
I think we’re getting the first real signal.
📉 After a strong run, BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance has rejected from major resistance and started to pull back. Even when adjusted for stablecoins, we’re seeing the same early signs of weakness.
📝 Historically, this kind of shift has been a precursor to capital rotation into altcoins. We might still be far from full-blown altcoin euphoria, but this could be the beginning of a transition from a BTC-led market to a broader risk-on phase, especially when the market starts pricing in a rate cut.
💡 Keep in mind: the biggest alt runs tend to come when BTC consolidates near highs while dominance fades. If this move confirms, it might be time to prepare.
BTC Dominance and Altcoins SituationBitcoin dominance has reached a key support on the daily time frame. The NEW RSI indicator still sees the market as bearish but is pulling back. We will probably not see the growth of major altcoins like Ethereum for a few days. This analysis is not a financial recommendation in any way.
Is Alt Season Underway?CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D | 6h
We're approaching the monthly close, and many are eyeing a potential breakdown in Bitcoin dominance — a key trigger for altcoin season.
On the mid-term chart, BTC dominance held support at 60.43% and recently retested the 60.65% base.
A sustained drop below 61.20% would favor altcoins. But if dominance accepts above 62%, it opens the door to a move toward 63.3%–63.8% level, likely putting pressure on alts.
BTC.D FIB Lvl RejectionI'm liking the recent pullback in Bitcoin dominance - we're finally getting a taste of those altcoin gains we last saw around December. Each time dominance hits a key level on the Fibonacci retracement, we tend to see a pullback, and this recent rejection near the 0.786 level is no exception. It's a recurring pattern worth keeping an eye on.
That said, I still believe there’s a chance for one final rally in Bitcoin dominance - a potential shakeout before the real altseason begins. Historically, when Bitcoin breaks out of consolidation and pushes to new all-time highs with strong displacement, dominance tends to dip shortly after. So if BTCUSD continues to range at these current levels, I wouldn’t be surprised to see dominance spike again before we get the real altcoin momentum everyone’s waiting for.
This can also relate to what I've been reviewing in my previous charts published on my page
BTC.D Big Corection----is nice session for ALTs ? :PBTC Dominnace is in 1w time frame , i think the shape of chart is good for big correction .
if 1w FVG work correctly its could complete head and shoulder patter for down trend the chart.
if liquidity goes to total 2 market it can make ALTs greeeeen for some weeks.
ir is my personal idea and do not make decition on my mind.
please manage your risk and be care of some risk .:)
sincerely your
Mehdi Khamisi Zadeh
Final Breakdown from Rising Wedge – Alts About to Run?BTC dominance has been rising steadily inside a rising wedge, but now it looks like the structure is giving up.
Price just broke below the wedge, a move many traders watch as a potential shift in momentum.
If this breakdown holds, it could be the final breakdown before altcoins start gaining serious strength.
Eyes on alts, the rotation might be starting.
FED, White House, and… Altseason? Let’s Decode the Charts.Hello Traders 🐺
Today will be one of the most important events for the crypto market in the last two months.
We have two major events happening today, and I want to dive into both of them in detail.
Also, I’ll share my personal prediction about BTC.D because it looks juicy for ETH and other alts.
So stick with me until the very end!
Let’s start with the fundamentals:
📍FOMC decision drops today
✅ How today's Fed decision could impact the crypto market (if rates stay unchanged):
1. 🔸 Signal of no further tightening
When the Fed keeps rates steady, it’s a sign they’re not looking to tighten policy further — at least for now.
That boosts risk appetite across markets, which tends to benefit risk-on assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins, and growth stocks.
📈 The result?
We could see a short-term pump in crypto prices — especially if Powell strikes a dovish tone in the press conference.
2. 🔸 Indirect effect via the dollar and bond yields
If markets interpret the Fed’s pause as a step toward future rate cuts, the dollar may weaken —
And since BTC/USD tends to move inversely to the dollar, that’s another tailwind for crypto.
3. 🔸 Muted effect if tone is neutral or hawkish
If the Fed simply pauses rates without signaling cuts ahead, crypto may react flat or even negatively —
Because it pushes back expectations for easing.
📍White House crypto report drops today too
On top of the Fed, the White House is also set to release a major crypto policy report.
If it includes positive signals — like support for stablecoins, clearer regulation, or talk of a U.S. Bitcoin reserve —
combined with a neutral or dovish Fed, it could be a powerful bullish trigger for the crypto space.
By considering these facts, we can now go to the chart and see what it's telling us.
Let’s start with the BTC.D chart — then I’ll also take a look at the ETH/BTC chart, since it’s another well-known indicator for the altcoin market alongside BTC.D.
As you can see on the chart, price is currently below one of the key weekly resistance levels from recent months.
In my opinion, if we get positive news from the Fed and the White House, we’ll likely see another leg down in BTC.D — toward the first take-profit area around 56.3%, which I’ve highlighted on the chart.
This could mark the beginning of an altcoin season, and we can expect further downside movement on BTC dominance.
Now let’s look at the ETH/BTC chart:
The interesting thing about ETH/BTC is that it's moving almost identically to BTC.D — but in the opposite direction.
That means we might be about to see two major rallies, pushing price toward the key resistance zone at the monthly level.
Hope you enjoyed the idea — and make sure to always remember our rules 😎
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Bitcoin Dominance Still Bearish · Bullish Altcoins ContinuesThe Bitcoin Dominance Index will continue bearish as long as the action happens below resistance as shown on the chart.
An uptrend has been broken with the highest volume in a single session since February 2021. When this same signaled showed up back in Feb. 2021, what follows was a major drop (a marketwide bull-run.).
Seeing Bitcoin Dominance in the same situation as in early 2021 predicts the start of the 2025 bull market phase. This is all to say that the Altcoins market will continue to grow; Bitcoin will continue to consolidate to end up moving higher; the altcoins will resume growing within days.
The chart supports only little time for a break before the next bearish continuation, it should happen within days. At this point, the altcoins will rally up. We are very close and indeed we are already in-the-action. These short retraces should be used as opportunity to rebuy and reload.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis: Data-Driven Perspective Through 2025Current State of Bitcoin Dominance
As of the latest data point (July 2025), Bitcoin dominance stands at approximately 61.45%, showing a significant recovery from earlier periods. This represents Bitcoin's continued strong position as the dominant cryptocurrency in the market.
Key Trend Analysis
Long-Term Trend (2023-2025)
The data reveals a clear cyclical pattern in Bitcoin's market dominance:
Recovery Phase (Late 2023 - Early 2024): BTC.D increased from around 52% to approximately 64%, demonstrating a strong recovery in Bitcoin's market position.
Consolidation Period (Q1-Q2 2024): Dominance stabilized in the 63-65% range, indicating a period of relative stability in market composition.
Volatility Phase (Q2-Q3 2024): A notable decline occurred, with dominance dropping to approximately 60%, suggesting a period where altcoins gained market share.
Recent Strengthening (Q4 2024 - Q2 2025): BTC.D recovered and established a range between 64-66%, showing Bitcoin's resilience and continued market leadership.
Current Correction (Q2-Q3 2025): The most recent data shows a decline from the 65% peak to around 61%, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics.
Medium-Term Pattern (4-Hour and Daily Charts)
The 4-hour chart data reveals more granular movements:
Multiple instances of rapid 1-2% shifts in dominance over short periods
A pattern of higher lows from January to May 2025
A notable peak in dominance in mid-May 2025 (around 65.9%)
A subsequent correction through June-July 2025
Technical Indicators
Support and Resistance Levels
Major Resistance: 65.9-66.0% (tested in May 2025)
Current Support: 60.5-61.0% (tested multiple times in 2025)
Critical Level: 63.5% (acted as both support and resistance throughout 2024-2025)
Trend Structure
The data shows a series of higher lows from late 2023 through early 2025, followed by what appears to be a potential trend change in Q2 2025. The weekly chart demonstrates that despite short-term fluctuations, Bitcoin has maintained dominance above 60% for most of 2024-2025, significantly higher than the 40-50% range seen in earlier periods.
Market Cycle Analysis
The dominance data suggests we may be witnessing a shift in the typical Bitcoin-altcoin cycle:
Bitcoin's dominance typically rises during uncertain market conditions and early bull markets
Dominance tends to fall during the later stages of bull markets as capital rotates into altcoins
The current pattern (rising dominance followed by recent decline) may indicate we're in a transition phase where capital is beginning to explore higher-risk assets
Comparative Market Analysis
When examining Bitcoin dominance alongside the broader market:
Periods of declining dominance often coincide with increased altcoin market capitalization
The recent decline from 65% to 61% suggests approximately 4% of the total crypto market cap has shifted from Bitcoin to other cryptocurrencies
This rotation typically indicates increased market risk appetite
Forecast and Implications
Based purely on the data patterns observed:
Short-term (1-2 months): The current downtrend in dominance suggests continued pressure, potentially testing the 60% support level.
Medium-term (3-6 months): Historical patterns suggest a potential stabilization and bounce from major support levels, possibly returning to the 63-64% range.
Long-term considerations: The overall strength in Bitcoin dominance (maintaining levels above 60%) indicates Bitcoin remains the market's primary store of value and investment vehicle.
Conclusion
The Bitcoin dominance data presents a nuanced picture of the cryptocurrency market structure. While Bitcoin clearly maintains its position as the dominant cryptocurrency, the recent decline in dominance suggests a potential shift in market dynamics that bears watching.
The data does not support extreme narratives in either direction - neither an imminent "flipping" scenario where Bitcoin loses its dominant position, nor a scenario where Bitcoin completely reclaims its historical dominance highs above 70%.
Instead, the most data-supported conclusion is that we're witnessing normal cyclical behaviour within a market where Bitcoin maintains leadership but allows for periodic capital rotation into and out of alternative cryptocurrencies based on market conditions and investor risk appetite.
Bitcoin Dominance: 2021 vs. 2025History repeats itself... 🔄
🧘♂️ The most important thing is to stay calm and approach this with a clear head. Don’t assume that just because #altcoins did a 2x in a month, they’ll immediately do another 10x without any pause or correction.
🪜 Markets move in stages — two steps up, one step down. That’s exactly how it played out in 2021: after the first major BTC.D drop, we spent two months in a range, which turned out to be the final pause before the altseason. 🔥
I’m confident we’ll see something similar now — and don’t forget, August is traditionally the slowest month of the year. On top of that, the Dollar Index (see this morning’s update) looks ready for a rally, which could temporarily stall crypto momentum.
I’m not trying to scare anyone — just encouraging you to assess the situation rationally and avoid falling into FOMO. 🐋 Patience pays off !
#BTC.D Update 29.07.2025BTC Dominance is trying to break above the black resistance lines, but honestly, I don't see enough strength yet to confirm a full reversal. On the daily timeframe, it’s still holding a strong downtrend structure. 🟥
🔍 If price manages to break above Arrow #4, we still have a key resistance at Arrow #3, which won’t be easy to pass.
On the lower timeframes, there are already a few bearish signs forming — but nothing solid enough yet for confirmation.
⚠️ That’s why I prefer to wait for today's daily candle to close before making any new decisions. There's also a chance BTC.D may retest Arrow #3 before reversing again.
💡 What does this mean for us?
It’s not time to jump in just yet — but the moment is getting closer, Insha Allah. If this dominance starts to turn down again, we could soon see ALTCOINS shine once more! 🌟
📈 Be ready. Stay focused. Patience pays in this game. 🚀
Altseason might just be warming up!
BTC.D Stuck in the MiddleThis is BTC.D on the daily
After losing the 50MA in the final days of the first half of the month, BTC dominance found support at the 0.382 Fib level, only to bounce back up and get rejected at 62.25%.
From here, it all depends on which level breaks first: the 0.382 support or the 62.25% resistance.
Whichever way it goes, we’ll be here to watch it unfold.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
$BTC.D: Cycle tops are in. $ETH.D: Bounce form the all-time lowsIn my opinion the most important chart in all Crypto is the $BTC.D. We have been writing and observing CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D for almost 6 months. I predicted here that we will see CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance @ 66% before the end of this cycle. And we saw CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D touch 65.9% on June 23 as visible from the weekly chart, which is close to our cycle target of 66%. See my blog from April 14.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 66%, CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 / BTC down to 0.43 for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
But since then, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is going through reversal. Currently @ 61% the dominance has tumbled in July. Even if CRYPTOCAP:BTC is holding on to its ATH with price near to 118K $ the dominance is clearly in a downtrend.
But then we see something which CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D has not done since 2019. In the chart below we have super imposed the CRYPTOCAP:ETH dominance on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance. CRYPTOCAP:ETH Dominance as the name suggests is the % of Crypto Market Cap that can be attributed to $ETH. The CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D double bottomed in 2019 @ 8% and then went on for a reversal with CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D peaking @ 22% on Nov 21. Both the Dominance charts have an inverse correlation but have one thing in common. The trend in the Dominance charts is lower. In each cycle the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D makes a lower low peaking at 95% in 2017 cycle, 73.5% in last cycle and 66% in this cycle. The same is true for CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D , starting @ 26% in 2017, 21.5% in the last cycle. So, the obvious question in your mind is where will the CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D peak this cycle. If we draw the downward slopping wedge in the CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D and assume the cycle end by Dec 2025, then we can see the CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D will peak around 17% in this cycle. Currently at 12%, I am predicting another 40% upside form here. Pricewise BITSTAMP:ETHUSD may give a higher return than the $ETH.D.
Verdict: CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D top for this cycle is 66%. CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D can top @ 17% this cycle. BITSTAMP:ETHUSD can double from here for CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D to top @ 17%.
XRP Structure with Bitcoin Dominance - (Hedge is Edge)📉📊 Mastering XRP Structure with Bitcoin Dominance - (Hedge is Edge) 🧠⚖️
Hey guys, I just posted the video — so you can hear the full breakdown there. 🔊🎥
This time, I'm also sharing the charts here to support the lesson and give you a clear visual on the educational idea. Let’s break it down:
🔍 XRP/BTC – Short Bias
We’re at a clean rejection point around 0.00002780, with a wedge formation breaking lower. First support target sits around 0.00002690, with 0.00002470 and even 0.00002365 possible if the move deepens. Invalidation sits just above that yellow resistance — always define your risk.
📈 Bitcoin Dominance – Long Bias
BTC dominance is resting on solid support around 60.61% . A bounce here typically signals Bitcoin outperformance — either BTC rising faster than alts or BTC holding while alts bleed. Either way, it adds pressure to the XRP side of this setup.
💸 XRP/USD – Short Bias
Rejection off the top of a long-term channel, with price pushing down. The next key level is $2.87, the midline of the channel. Until price breaks and holds above $3.34, the structure leans bearish.
♟️ Hedge is Edge
What does this setup teach us?
🔹 Long BTC (structure + dominance support)
🔹 Short XRP (multiple confirmations of weakness)
This hedge reduces directional exposure and allows for a calculated trade, based on structure — not hope.
🧠 The big takeaway: trading isn't about predictions. It's about aligning logic, risk, and market structure into something that makes sense.
Check out the video above to hear the full breakdown. (Audio won’t play inside TradingView — sorry about that — but it’s all explained there.)
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
ALT SeasonWhat are these red boxes indicating guys?
Lets hope for the best. Next few months approx. through range analysis are good for the alts.
You guys can check through back-testing whenever the BTC.D falls the ALTS rise.
We are at the top and we might free fall from here.
Keep Following me for more. Show your support i will post the best ALTS analysis. Message me to know more.
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