[BTC] Bitcoin Bounce ?After this massive correction I am looking for reversal long on a short term to try to find a great entry point to hold for more potentially.
Great Trade !
Trade ideas
Tightening liquidity suppresses risky assets. Negative policy factors: Fed Chair Powell clearly stated that "interest rates will remain high for a longer period", causing expectations of rate cuts to plummet; the core PCE inflation rate in the US is above the 2% target, completely dashing expectations of loose liquidity.
Cross-market correlation: The 30-day correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq is 0.78. U.S. technology stocks are under pressure and falling, and high-risk assets are collectively being sold off, further spreading to the cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin trading strategy
sell：94000-93000
tp:92000-91000-90000
sl：95000
BTC 4hr chartT.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
BTCUSD 9/30/2025As you can see most recently, Price has encountered a Weekly Bearish expansion. Since then, we can see Price is producing a Bullish Retracement, that is on the cusp of creating Bullish Structure (ABCD Correction) inside of this Bearish expansion. Once Price encounters a Higher High here in this Weekly Bullish Retracement, we then will see Price breakdown to encounter the Bearish Continuation from its overall move. Do you see what I see?? Let's see what Price does...
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BTC FORECASTTrain your eyes and read the charts mind. Hoping to see a sell off and wait for more big boys accumulation before any major bounce
Inverted correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 2025There have been unusual behaviors between the NQ and BTC, which are normally highly correlated assets. However, this year the April dump on the NQ pushed the price down to the Q2 2024 low and came very close to the overall 2024 low — it missed it by only about 300 points. Bitcoin, on the other hand, wasn’t even close to its Q2 2024 low: the price dropped to $74,500, while the Q2 low sits at the $49,000 level.
On the flip side, the current 6-month candle on the NQ is still strongly bullish (as of November 20, 2025), while BTC’s 6-month candle is already strongly bearish. It opened at $107,000, and yesterday’s low (November 19) was $88,500 — meaning it would take a significant move for Bitcoin to close the half-year candle in the green, especially with less than six weeks left until the end of the year.
I’m very curious to see how the year closes out. Personally, I remain on the bearish side and have been shorting the market since $124,500 on BTC, adding to the position again at $115,500 and $107,300.
Greetings to all.
Bitcoin Marketdid you know? BItcoin`s market right now is potential to get bullish again. the chart right now can breakout the sbr then just respect the under before support chart. Thats why, we need to get focus on it. I`d say it will be good oppoturnity for y`ll guys to buy it. because if u buy it on the 90k$ price, you will beat the feb user in 2025 who alr access it.
BTC: 2021 playbook. People expect a V shape bounce, when I think the odds favor more of a 2021 type of long correction (death cross swing). Reason being, the break of a strong momentum log trend, lower lows in BTC/SPX.
If we are on the bottom --> it took 2 months , before next break out. (20 May -> 20 July).
I think most momentum stocks, like NASDAQ:PLTR , NASDAQ:HOOD should lose their momentum and form tops (people who didnt sell the top, should take profit next time it's at ATH). Stage cycle.
BTC is a risk on indicator. TVC:DXY dollar has broke out, indicating demand for cash.
//November is usually a strong month. Good news - stocks drop is a sign of top.
BEAR in controlBitcoin remains under pressure as price continues to struggle breaking above $111K. The 20-day MA crossing below the 200-day MA confirms bearish momentum in control.
A break below $98,800 could trigger a deeper correction and invite stronger selling pressure across the crypto market. Until a decisive breakout occurs, BTC is likely to consolidate within the $98,800–$110,000 range in the near term.
Hammer spotted, rebound?Spotted two consecutive hammer candles — a short-term rebound is on the table.
If price gets rejected at $100,000, the bears remain firmly in control.
If price can break and hold above
$100,000, then the bulls may stage a comeback and push toward the next resistance at $111,000.
BTC UpdateStill more of less tracking FDAX (DAX futures), the question is, how bullish are you on the European market for next week?
Daily indicators for RSI and MFI also oversold.
I'm probably not gonna go long this time though, not worth the heartburn.
BTC Technical Outlook and Key Levels to WatchBitcoin Market Update: Technical Outlook and Key Levels to Watch
Bitcoin has pulled back sharply from its 2025 all-time high of approximately $126,500, shedding more than 28% in its current bearish retracement. This decline has led many market participants to ask the critical question: What comes next for investors and traders?
In line with the previous analysis, Bitcoin has already broken its first ascending trend line and is now approaching another major trend line that has been in play since October 2023. This level is proving to be an important structural area on the chart.
Key Technical Levels
1. Immediate Support — $91,000 Zone
Bitcoin is currently sitting on the $91,000 support area. This level remains the most immediate zone holding the market from further decline.
If buyers maintain control here, a short-term bounce is possible.
A confirmed break below this zone increases the likelihood of deeper corrective movement.
2. Secondary Support — $85,000 Zone
Should the $91,000 support fail to hold, the next area of interest lies around $85,000.
This level aligns with a major ascending trend line, creating a notable confluence zone, which historically strengthens the probability of a reaction.
3. Downside Risk — $74,000 Zone (Worst-Case Scenario)
If the confluence around $85,000 breaks decisively, Bitcoin could slide towards the $74,000 region ( 1st ATH of 2024)
This represents a deeper structural correction and would signal a significant weakening of bullish momentum.
Market Outlook
The current market environment reflects elevated volatility and wide price swings, typical of corrective phases. While long-term fundamentals remain intact for many investors, the short-term technical structure suggests caution.
This period can be described as a high-risk phase for crypto participants. Managing exposure carefully, respecting stop losses, and avoiding emotional decision-making are essential until clearer market strength appears.
BTC hitting the Monthly 20EMA supportBTC has touched the Monthly 20EMA (overlayed on this 4H chart) on a huge sell off, should make a strong bounce here or it's off to the pits of hell going into December.
200 week on 3 day. Expect a big bounce from here. Last time it hit this moving average in the last bull we got a big bounce before continuing down weeks later. This also coincides with the last bullish trend line we have left on the chart.
The 2025 structure currently matches ~85% of the 2022 pre-bear Mhistorically BTC often touches EMA89 then retests EMA55 before a bear market and right now the chart structure looks similar to past cycle tops
Scenario A – Reclaim EMA55 (Bullish Recovery)
Chance: ~35%
Must close multiple weekly candles above EMA55
Would signal the bull trend is still intact
Correction becomes similar to 2013/2017 mid-cycle crash
Bullish targets:
$110k
$125k
$135k final blow-off
=============================
Scenario B – Rejection at EMA55 → Full Bear Market
Chance: ~65%
This is the historically normal outcome.
If BTC:
fails to reclaim the EMA55,
AND closes weekly candles below EMA89 →
Then this confirms a macro trend reversal.
Bearish targets (based on past cycles):
First major support: $72k–76k
Cycle bottom zone: $55k–63k
Extreme wick target (like 2020 crash): $48k (low probability)
78K or 55K?Alright, big downward movement. Looks like it will test around 78k price. If it looses 75-80k then most likely it will drop to 54k. All the best !!
Bitcoin on a roller coaster: is 2026 ready for a new high?On November 18, BTCUSD fell by about 29% — from a peak of around $126,000 to ~ $89,000 . The fall in Bitcoin was due to a combination of factors: after the record high, many investors took profits, money flowed out of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (spot ETFs), and caution set in on global markets, with tech stocks and AI companies falling. The sharp price fluctuations triggered forced closures of leveraged trades, which exacerbated the decline, while altcoins fell even faster and drained liquidity from the market — as a result, there were more sellers than buyers, and the price fell even further.
Five reasons to expect a new BTCUSD impulse in 2026:
Inflows into spot ETFs. If funds start actively buying BTC on the spot market again, this will generate stable demand from large players.
The halving effect. Fewer new coins are being mined, but demand remains high, which will eventually push the price up.
A more dovish Fed. Lower rates → more liquidity → investors are more willing to take on risk assets, including BTC.
Clear rules and business acceptance. Clear regulation and integration with banks/companies simplify entry for mass investors.
Infrastructure development. L2/Lightning, convenient custody, and new on-chain use cases make BTC more useful — demand is growing.
FreshForex analysts note that in 2026, Bitcoin's dynamics will largely depend on three factors: capital inflows into spot ETFs, the general “risk-on/risk-off” regime against the backdrop of Fed decisions, and key statements from regulators about the crypto market. Investors are advised to maintain a strict risk management system and focus on the macroeconomic calendar.
btcusdThis pattern is also very similar to the 5 waves at the end of an uptrend, which makes it a little difficult to identify for further guidance.
Our previous analysis was based on the assumption that a running correction was taking place. However, this does not seem to be the case and Bitcoin is increasing its price with low volume in the indicators, which will probably stop a decline towards lower levels in the 90, 80 and 70 ranges in the next few months and gain enough momentum to continue.
BTC breaks long term trend lineLong time member, but haven't published much. Most miss the fact that BTC trades like clock work, on a reliable 4 year halving cycle. Tops have been Nov, Dec, Nov and now possibly Oct. Now it has broken a very long term (since early 2013) trendline. I will post more of my recent charts soon.
Weak Recovery for BTCUSDBTC showed a trend of weak oscillatory recovery after hitting a low today. The price found support after breaking below the critical level of 90,000; however, the market remained in an extreme state of panic, which restricted the overall strength of the rebound.
From a technical perspective, the 85,000 - 90,000 range serves as a strong support zone, corresponding to the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level. The price has demonstrated support near 89,000 today. On the flip side, the key resistance is concentrated in the 93,500 - 94,200 range. A breakout above this range may lead the price to test 95,000 subsequently, and if it can breach 95,000, it is expected to further move towards and challenge the 96,000 - 96,700 range.
Sell 93,500 - 94,000
SL 94,500
TP 92,000 - 91,500 - 91,000
Buy 89,500 - 90,000
SL 88,500
TP 92,500 - 93,000 - 93,500
BTC — Original Distribution Still UnfinishedBTC continues to move inside unfinished structure. Risk tone is neutral and overnight flows were thin, leaving the market waiting for direction from today’s U.S. releases. The only event with enough weight to shift risk appetite is the FOMC Minutes later today.
On the chart, BTC has rejected the original bullish distribution gap at 88,804.64 for several sessions. That gap remains unclosed, which signals unfinished architecture rather than trend continuation. Price is still confined within Monday’s range between 91,158 and 95,950, forming a clean mid-range compression. Nothing in this structure confirms resolution yet.
Market Structure Mapping views this compression as a neutral regime: the market is balancing, not trending. The failure to close the distribution zone shows the prior move left imbalance behind, and markets generally rebalance before committing to a new leg. Retail sees “sideways.” Professionals see preparation.
The non-obvious point: this isn’t hesitation; it’s the market restoring balance before revealing intent.
For operators, the approach is straightforward. Let New York volatility clear the noise. Structural clarity only appears once price resolves above 95,950 or below 91,158. Anything before that is positioning, not direction.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
