BITCOIN WYCKOFF accumulationscenariocast!
IF that is what is occuring ... the #BTC price over the next few months could follow something similar to what I have drawn in a #Wyckoff re-accumulation range and breakout.
With the recent price action being a false breakdown before recapturing the range and proceeding to reach previous levels of resistance.
Let's see if this occurs, sentiment reached rock bottom last week.
SO I would not be surprised!
Trade ideas
Bitcoin #BTC The key level to launch the Bull market...is $34500
The 50% drawdown level from the previous cycle laugh
let see if it can repeat the 3rd time
We assume this is going to happen leading up and post #halvening
But open to a quickening of this timeline because #ETF news driving the hype even quicker
Long Strategy GuideReconstruction of the macro monetary environment provides support
The US dollar index has dropped below the 100 mark. The US debt/GDP ratio exceeding 130% has weakened the creditworthiness of the US dollar, providing valuation support for risky assets. Although expectations for the Fed's rate cut in December have fluctuated, the trend of implicit liquidity easing has not changed, reducing the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin. At the same time, the global central bank gold-buying trend highlights the need for hedging, and the high correlation of Bitcoin with the Nasdaq index of 0.8 will benefit from the return of funds from the technology sector simultaneously.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy:105000-105500
tp:106500-107500
sl:104000
BTC and Macro Environment · Optimism Creeps Back InThe macro environment is warming up again. Traders are slowly adding risk as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD holds above $100K and Ethereum COINBASE:ETHUSD shows rising retail activity. Altcoins are regaining liquidity, and sentiment feels like cautious optimism.
What’s driving this shift? Money.
Talk of new stimulus checks and potential rate cuts are fueling bullish expectations. The idea is simple: more liquidity means stronger risk appetite. But this comes with a catch. Fiscal math doesn’t add up cleanly. With tariffs bringing in $224.7B and proposed stimulus near $400B, inflation fears could return fast if spending isn’t balanced.
The U.S. government’s reopening adds another layer. Once the Treasury starts releasing the $1 trillion parked in its account, liquidity will flow again into agencies and contractors. This real injection supports a bullish tone across markets, including crypto.
On the chart above, Bitcoin’s 50-week simple moving average (50W SMA) is the key signal. BTC closing above it suggests the long-term uptrend remains intact. Historically, this level marks early bullish phases, not tops. If it holds, traders may stay long but cautious, watching for shifts in Fed tone or inflation data.
Overall, the crypto market is showing signs of recovery. Liquidity is improving, technicals look stable, and optimism is back, but not overheated. It’s not 2021 euphoria, just steady confidence built on real macro shifts.
Stay focused, manage risk, and don’t rush. The setup looks bullish for now, but caution still pays.
TheCryptoFire
ETHUSD H1 | Bearish Drop OffMomentum: Bearish
Price has rejected the sell entry level, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Sell Entry: 106,514.04
Strong pullback resistance
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 108,576.28
Pullback resistance
78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 102,418.60
Pullback support
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
BTCUSD UPDATE Yesterday, BTCUSD hovered near 106,463, staying quiet most of the day.
This morning, the Euro session broke that balance — ran yesterday’s high, triggered stops, and dropped fast. ETF inflows that pushed price earlier in the week slowed down.
Funding turned negative, showing traders are less confident short term.
Now price trades lower, and yesterday’s low is the next level everyone’s watching.
Macro Outlook
Markets are leaning defensive.
Yields up. Dollar steady. Stocks soft.
Bitcoin’s moving with that tone as flows cool off and liquidity thins out.
Until that changes, BTCUSD stays under pressure with weak momentum and cautious buyers.
Market Structure Mapping (MSM — The Framework)
Structure still leans bearish, but there’s no confirmed break yet.
Price is trading away from the last discount pullback, holding below the Euro session high.
Downside focus sits near 104,240, then 101,500, where equal lows and liquidity line up.
If yesterday’s low breaks clean, the bearish leg extends.
For now, price is drifting lower — not broken, just soft.
CORE5 Rule — “Trade what’s confirmed, not what you think.”
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
Bitcoin Short Setup From Premium Zone
The market is showing a clear 1H break of structure, with price approaching a strong resistance area. After a bullish impulse, BTC is expected to pull back from resistance for a short-term correction.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: Around 106,000
Stop Loss: 106,700
Take Profit: 104,100
Reasoning:
Technically:
Price has completed a clear bullish leg and tapped into the 1H resistance area. The structure suggests exhaustion with the potential for rejection. A lower high formation suggests bearish correction toward the 1H support zone.
Fundamentally:
Market sentiment remains cautious as BTC faces resistance amid uncertainty in broader crypto risk appetite and mild dollar strength. Short-term selling pressure may dominate before any new bullish continuation.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always manage risk before trading.
BITCOIN Potential Bear Market Structure: Nov 10th 2025After breaking down below the W21ema, Btc has found a temporary support at the projected area of $100-97k (see W#42 Update)
Now the immediate resistance from this bounce is $108-111k (if it gets there), which was the previous support coupled with the W21ema sitting right at ~$110k as well.
The next major support is at the W100ema/M21ema at $84-88k.
W21ema, would continue to be a targeted resistance if/once the W100ema is hit.
Note:
For the bearish downtrend to be invalidated, price must regain the W21ema and the Wmacd must get back positive.
Example of how I personally chart on BTC, SOL, & SUIVery Brief overview of how I chart in tradingview.
All scripts displayed in this video are publicly available in tradingview.
1. What I use to set up points of interest on the chart (MAP)
2. How I try to identify price direction (Compass)
3. What I use as a trigger to enter trades (Trigger)
(MAP)
I use psychological support and resistances using the monthly, weekly, and daily time frames.
I then pull FIB levels using the 0.65, 0.618, and the 0.786 levels
Lastly I use the fixed range volume profile tool to identify value area highs, value area lows, and the Point of Control from the 1 month, 6 month, and yearly time frame.
(Compass)
I use basic price action to determine possible price direction.
Uptrends, downtrends, and ranges.
(Triggers)
Public scripts that include RSI or the Lazy Bear Indicator to identify price divergence.
Like all strategies, this is not perfect. It just helps me make decisions and come up with my bias towards the market. It helps me with planning and execution. Maybe something in this video may give you ideas or help others identify tools that they have not studied yet.
$BTCCRYPTOCAP:BTC holding 106K while the government is still trying to re-open is a liquidity test.
They want to see who steps in at these levels who wants to participate in the economic shift that’s forming.
Capital isn’t gone. It’s being repositioned.
Smart money positions before the narrative is obvious.
Testing 9SMA and 23.6 Fib . Key Week close over 50 Weekly SMA Testing 9SMA and 23.6 Fib ( from ATH till the last low 98K)
Key Week close over 50 Weekly SMA
If Week close Up 50 Weekly SMA is Bulish on BTC, because it will also closing Up 38.2 Fib from Apri Low till ATH.
(Tomorrow Premarket and Daily DXY staying down 100 is at least not Bearish.)
Bitcoin - Mid halving Cycle Correction in 2026Bitcoin - Mid halving Cycle Correction possibility like 2021.
Bitcoin performed a mid cycle correction in 2021, of about 50% in only a few weeks just to print a new ATH weeks later. This scenario is very likely to play out when the range around $94k/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks without a Bidding and is invalid when the prive returns above $104k after $94k
BTC AnalysisAfter breaking out its uptrend line, Bitcoin is completing the pullback to its trend line, while with the formation of an increasing angle pattern in the same direction with the main trend, we are witnessing fatigue in the trend. There is a possibility that the price will drop to the range of 41 to 43 thousand dollars.
BTC/USD — Weak Recovery Within Downtrend Channel (Weekly OutlookBTC/USD continues to move within a descending channel.
• A breakout above 109,375.00 (Murray ), aligned with the midline of the Bollinger Bands, could trigger an upward move toward 115,625.00 (Murray ), 121,875.00 (Murray ), and 125,000.00 (Murray ).
• Conversely, a sustained break below 100,000.00 (Murray ) would likely extend the decline toward 93,750.00 (Murray , Fibonacci 61.8% correction).
Resistance levels: 109,375.00 — 115,625.00 — 121,875.00 — 125,000.00
Support levels: 100,000.00 — 93,750.00
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Technical Outlook
• Bollinger Bands: Sloping downward — consistent with continued bearish pressure.
• MACD: Stable in the negative zone — momentum favors sellers.
• Stochastic: Rising toward overbought territory, hinting at a possible near-term reversal.
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Trading Scenarios
Primary Scenario (Sell Stop)
• Entry: 99,960.00
• Take Profit: 93,750.00
• Stop Loss: 104,400.00
• Bias: Bearish continuation below 100,000.00
• Timeframe: 5–7 days
Alternative Scenario (Buy Stop)
• Entry: 109,400.00
• Take Profit: 115,625.00 / 121,875.00 / 125,000.00
• Stop Loss: 105,300.00
• Bias: Bullish reversal above 109,375.00
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💬 Bitcoin remains under selling pressure within its descending channel. A break below 100,000.00 could accelerate the move toward 93,750.00, while a close above 109,375.00 would mark the first sign of a potential bullish reversal.






















