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Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

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BTC - shortShort Term - watching for BTC to sweep 1-hr high into FVG and fail. Long term - Bear Flag break on BTC with 52K target. Currently, BTC is trading in this bear flag on the daily. With the impulse candle on the weekly chart that was never re-tested, and the bottomless wick, those are high priority targets. Targeting this area means BTC the bear flag on BTC is in play. After the weekly impulse area and wickless bottom are mitigated, we should see BTC move back up to re-test the break (watching for some sort of high and sweep into an FVG). Once the bear flag break is confirmed, only then will BTC move down to the 50K level. This means we can harvest more from MSTR short.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Warner_Bear
Bitcoin at a Critical Macro Pivot PointBitcoin has broken below a major multi-week structure, showing clear bearish momentum and increasing volatility. The recent drop reflects a shift from accumulation to distribution, with sellers firmly in control. However, BTC historically strengthens after deep pullbacks, especially when price approaches long-term moving averages and high-timeframe demand zones. The next sessions will define whether this move evolves into a full trend reversal or becomes a long-term discount opportunity.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by FernandoValdiviezo1
1H BTCUSD BearishBTCUSD on the 60-minute chart remains in a firm downtrend, with clear lower lows and lower highs and price trading well below the 20, 60 and 120 MAs. A recent bearish Market Structure Shift and rising ATR confirm strong downside momentum. The former support zone at 88,399–89,251 has flipped into resistance, while a higher resistance cap sits near 93,000. On the downside, short-term support is trying to form around 82,400, but it’s still unproven. The primary path favors selling failed bounces. If price rejects higher and we see a 1H close back below 86,000, it would confirm sellers back in control, keeping a short bias toward 81,000, with invalidation above 88,500, just beyond the resistance band. A clean break beneath 82,400 would further validate the trend and increases the probability of extending the move toward 81,000 and, in a stronger flush, the 75,000 area. Aggressive bears can also watch for a 1H close below 82,300 as a continuation trigger toward 75,000, with risk capped above 85,500. Any sustained reclaim and hold above 93,000 would invalidate this bearish view and shift the bias back to neutral, if not cautiously constructive. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations. Thought of the Day 💡: Let the trend do the heavy lifting—your job is to define risk and respect invalidation. ----------------------- Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by bbqgio
Potential Downside Short-term - Long Term EntriesCOINBASE:BTCUSD has broken below the ascending channel that has held for several months, indicating a possible shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is overbought on the RSI and broke below it's 200-day EMA as well. I'll certainly be adding to my long-term position on the way down and will likely grab a long position at some point- will post an update then. Until then, some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on, watching closely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by jacobosiason7
1
Possible BTCUSD bearish scenario BTC/USD: Bearish Elliott Wave Scenario - Deepening Wave 3 in Play after closing below 83000 The BTC/USD pair is currently exhibiting price action consistent with a potential continuation of a bearish impulse wave, specifically positioning us deep within Wave (3) of a larger degree decline. Wave 3s are typically the longest and most powerful in a five-wave impulsive sequence, and the current momentum suggests the market is attempting to fulfill this characteristic move. Elliott Wave Breakdown Completion of Wave (1) & (2): We hypothesize that the initial sharp decline (Wave 1) was followed by a corrective, counter-trend rebound (Wave 2). Crucially, Wave 2 is assumed to have respected the key Elliott Wave rule of not exceeding the start of Wave 1. The Current Wave (3): The significant downward pressure and volatility observed since the Wave 2 high strongly align with the attributes of an unfolding Wave 3. This leg is characterized by: Extreme Selling Pressure: A notable increase in selling volume, overpowering any attempts at a meaningful bullish reversal. Rapid Price Degradation: The market is showing minimal signs of consolidation, with each minor bounce being sold into quickly, pushing the price to progressively lower lows. Fibonacci Extension Targets: Traditional Elliott Wave analysis suggests Wave 3 often targets the 1.618 or 2.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 1, projected from the Wave 2 peak. Failure to hold key support levels in the coming sessions would validate these extended downside targets. Key Technical Levels and Confirmation Support/Target Zone: Our initial targets for the lower boundary of Wave 3 are clustered around the $83,724 Fibonacci retracement (0.382) level, as this zone previously acted as pivotal support. A confirmed break below this area would open the door for a much deeper collapse, targeting the psychological $80,000 area and potentially lower extensions. Invalidation Point: The bearish scenario remains valid as long as the price stays below the high of the assumed Wave 2. A move back above this crucial resistance would necessitate a complete reassessment of the wave count, likely pointing to a larger corrective pattern instead of an impulse. Momentum Indicators: Indicators like the RSI on higher timeframes (Daily/Weekly) are likely approaching or already deep into oversold territory. In a powerful Wave 3, however, oversold signals can be misleading as price often remains suppressed for an extended period, reflecting the capitulation phase. 🚨 Market Call to Action 🚨 This is the last call for liquidation! The market structure points toward a decisive, final move lower in the current cycle before any significant relief can be expected. The bears are in full control, and the path of least resistance is down. Ready to navigate the next phase of this market with precision? I am ready for technical analysis consulting to help you identify high-probability setups, manage risk, and optimize your trading strategy through the current volatility. Follow my account for more analysis and real-time updates
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by VantageVestor
Bitcoin elliot wave scenario: wave IV or bearmarket?In my earlier post I showed the fibonacci levels for support of the wave IV. We have reached the common wave IV fib target of 0.382 at 88.1K and we are heading towards the 0.5 fib target at 76.4K. We should see a B wave bounce at any moment before we finish a last C wave to the downside. IF we reach the 0.618 fib target at 64.6K (which is an invalidation for a wave IV), this bullish structure becomes invalid which opens the way to a bear market or to alternative bullish scenarios that will become more clear once we are there. For now, we are NOT in a bear market. I will keep you updated! Share your opinion! Peace!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by abdulahalkasid
The 74,420.69 Decision Zone: Bitcoin’s Next Regime Depends on ItBitcoin is approaching 74,420.69, a long-term structural decision level where macro conditions, liquidity behavior, and monthly market structure converge. Macro conditions are tightening: the Dollar is firm, yields are stable, and liquidity across major crypto venues is thinner into month-end. This is the first time BTC has tested a structural ceiling under genuine macro pressure. Key upcoming catalysts influencing liquidity and Dollar direction include U.S. CPI, Core CPI, PPI, FOMC Minutes, weekly labor data, consumer confidence, month-end rebalancing flows, and Q4 options positioning. BTC is meeting structural resistance at the exact moment these events cluster. From a Market Structure Mapping perspective, the monthly bullish regime remains intact only if November closes above the prior range low. A close beneath that threshold would trigger a rare long-horizon regime inversion, shifting models from accumulation toward distribution. Monthly structural breaks are uncommon and typically define multi-year liquidity cycles. Participation metrics confirm the tension. Volume Flow Analytics shows significant absorption at the high, with buy-side flows consistently consumed across major venues. Order Flow Dynamics aligns, indicating buyers being absorbed rather than defended — a common pattern at structural ceilings. 74,420.69 is not a target. It is the structural axis around which Bitcoin’s next multi-year regime will form. Confirmation requires the monthly close. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CORE5DAN
Bitcoin Falls Below $82,000!Bitcoin’s drop below the $82,000 level reflects one of the sharpest negative sentiment reversals in the market since early 2023. After a period of strong momentum and institutional inflows, the market has suddenly found itself facing a storm of fundamental factors driving prices sharply lower. The main pressures came from two key factors: A technical glitch in the pricing of a stable coin on a major exchange on October 10, which triggered a broad wave of automatic liquidations. Growing accusations that influential entities are using derivatives to deliberately push the price downward. At the same time, global risk appetite has weakened: tech stocks are falling, expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts are declining, and more than $1.2 trillion has been wiped from the total crypto market cap within just a few weeks. Technical Outlook If Bitcoin sees a corrective bounce, it may decline again from the level of $91,179.45 to continue its downward trend. However, if the price rises above $93,757 and records a daily close above this level, this would signal a serious indication of a potential positive reversal and the possible end of the bearish trend.
CFI:BTCUSD
by CFI
Bitcoin Rangebound: Wyckoff Sets the Stage for Major Breakout!- Market Context: Bitcoin recently surged to fresh all-time highs near $126,500, but the momentum has stalled as price consolidates. Institutional flows remain strong, but volatility dropped and sentiment is cautious while traders watch for a decisive move.​ - Technical Analysis: The daily chart displays a series of adjacent Wyckoff consolidation ranges, with clear pattern repetition: each consolidation leads to a measured breakout, typically matching the height of the rectangle in the breakout’s direction. Price is currently trapped in a substantial rectangle between ~$100,000 and ~$126,000. Key support sits near $106,000–$107,000, with resistance at the upper boundary $126,000. RSI and MACD are neutral, reflecting indecision and contracted volatility, while volume decreases as price approaches key levels, typical of pre-breakout standoffs.​ - Bias: Neutral – The market is directionless until a clear breakout. Logic: With each Wyckoff consolidation, Bitcoin followed through in the breakout direction, but until the current large consolidation resolves, directional bets are speculative. A close above $126,000 signals bullish continuation; a breakdown below $100,000-106,000 suggests risk of a deeper pullback.​ - Trade Plan / Setup: - Strategy: Range trading inside the rectangle until a decisive breakout. - Entry Zones: Buy near $106,000–$107,000 support; sell at/near $126,000 resistance (intraday/swing, not investment advice). - Invalidation: Exit if price closes outside rectangle boundaries ($126,000 up, or sustained break below $100,000 down). - Targets: If bullish breakout, measured move ~+$25,000 above box; if breakdown, potential retest of $90,000 or previous range lows.​ - Summary / Conclusion: A classic Wyckoff “box” governs the BTC chart — until the current rectangular range breaks, the best edge is to trade the boundaries. Breakout traders should wait for clear confirmation and strong volume to avoid traps. Which direction comes first? The chart will tell — patience is a position.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by HEISENBERG_SayMyName
BTC Key Range Levels With Potential Price PathsDescription (TradingView-Friendly) Bitcoin is currently trading between two important zones. Price is reacting near the lower support area around 88,406, while the upper boundary near 93,782 remains the major resistance. If the price moves above the upper zone with strong momentum, it could indicate a continuation toward higher levels. If the market fails to reclaim support and moves downward, it may extend the decline toward the lower region highlighted on the chart. This idea is for technical observation only and reflects possible scenarios based on structure and levels visible on the chart.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Wolfpips123
BTC Breakdown Alert: Is $73K the Last Line of Defense?Overall Structure BTC has been trading inside a multi-month ascending channel, but the recent breakdown has pushed price below the lower boundary — a significant technical event. Price is now hovering around 82,000, sitting between two major levels. Bearish Signals 1. Breakdown from Ascending Channel • BTC has clearly broken below the rising channel that guided price throughout 2024–2025. • This typically signals a shift from bullish structure to mid-term bearish momentum. 2. 50-Day SMA Turning Downward • The 50 SMA is rolling over, confirming weakening trend strength. 3. Next Major Support • $73,645 (purple line) is the first strong horizontal demand zone. • If this breaks, BTC will likely target: • $52,800 (major structural support) • This also aligns with the lower dotted horizontal structure. Bullish Possibilities A bullish reversal becomes viable ONLY if: 1. BTC reclaims the channel • Price must break back above $107,600 to return inside the ascending trend. • This would invalidate the breakdown and could trigger a new leg up. 2. Strong Reaction at $73,645 • The purple zone is the main place bulls are likely to defend. Bullish Scenario (Green Arrow) If BTC holds above $73,645 and pushes upward: Targets: 1. $107,600 — reclaiming the channel 2. $120,000 – $130,000 — upper channel resistance (if fully recovered) Bearish Scenario (Red Arrow) If BTC loses the $73,645 support: Targets: 1. $52,800 — major structural support 2. If deeper panic emerges, even $40,000–45,000 becomes possible (not shown but structurally valid) Summary • Trend: Turning bearish after channel breakdown • Critical Support: $73,645 • Bullish Trigger: Break above $107,600 • Bearish Trigger: Break below $73,645 → $52,800
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by isahebdadi