Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 4H Bias OverviewCurrent price: around 104,657
Trend context: recent recovery after a downward move
Sell Zones
Sell Zone HTF (107,500–110,000): This area acts as near-term resistance. Price could face selling pressure here and may offer short entry opportunities if rejection candles appear.
A+ Level (122,500–125,000): This is a major resistance or higher-timeframe supply zone. It is a likely target for extended rallies but also a strong area for swing short setups if upward momentum weakens.
Support and Reaction Levels
Short-term support is around 98,700–100,000, which aligns with the recent low. The price is currently bouncing upward, potentially moving to retest the first sell zone.
Bias Summary
Short-term bias: bullish retracement as price moves up toward the sell zone.
Medium-term bias: bearish to neutral, watching for rejection near 107,500–110,000.
Confirmation: a clear rejection or bearish structure near the first sell zone could indicate continuation of the broader downtrend.
Trade ideas
BTCUSD | Bearish Range | Daily — Market on Hold Ahead of CPIBTCUSD’s still in a bearish structure, bouncing between the two volume fractal pivots — 106463 and 100996. It’s hanging near the bottom of the daily range (116410 to 98892) with no clean push either way. Volume flow’s midrange around 108333, showing balance — no real momentum. With dollar strength and CPI data on deck this week, the market’s just soaking liquidity and waiting for the next macro trigger to hit.
Volume tells the truth before price does!
-core5dan
Prepare Cash to Accumulate Bitcoin in Q3-Q4 2026Bitcoin price movement pattern:
1. D-70 weeks halving (bullish)
2. The halving date
3. D+70 weeks halving (bullish)
4. 60 weeks (bearish)
5. Repeat
- Red vertical lines are halving dates.
- Q4 2025 is the end of bull market.
- The next bottom (accumulation area) will be around Nov/Dec 2026 (D-70 weeks halving).
- The next halving will be around April 2028.
- Q3/Q4 2029 will be the next all time high.
Bullish bounce off?Bitcoin has bounced off the pivot, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, and could rise toward the 1st resistance, a pullback resistance level.
Pivot: 102,390.83
1st Support: 100,660.86
1st Resistance: 104,944.61
Disclaimer:
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$BTCUSD: Wyckoff distribution or Wyckoff accumulation?On the daily chart, Jesse Olson posted a 1D Wyckoff Distribution chart of $BTC. However, his chart does not have an AR or ST.
On the 4-hr chart, an opposing Wyckoff Accumulation chart can form even prices can break above the support in the $103K-$105K zone.
How prices resolve in this zone will determine if Wyckoff Distribution or Wyckoff Accumulation is in progress.
Bitcoin Rebounds — channel breakout signals!Have a good day, Traders! It's Leo. Let's look at the current BTCUSDT chart
Valid Support Zone: 98,000 – 102,000 — Price has formed a clear double-bottom structure here.
Breakout confirmation: Price has broken above the descending channel and both EMA20/50.
Next resistance / target: 115,000 — previous supply area aligning with major liquidity.
→ Short-term structure favors a bullish continuation as long as support holds.
Despite short-term volatility, Bitcoin remains supported by improving risk sentiment as U.S. yields retreat and Fed officials hint at a potential policy pause.
Scenario: A successful retest of the breakout zone could trigger momentum toward the 115K resistance. Holding above 102K keeps the bullish structure intact.
Bulls seem to be regaining control — will this momentum extend toward 115K? What’s your outlook for BTC this week?
BTC/GOLD ratioI believe it will break to the upside.
This is the top, where gold will outperform bitcoin, but time frames matter. Price action could exist above it, i.e. the 3 month candle wicks above then closes below, confirming the double time, meanwhile allowing enough time for a bull run where bitcoin outperforms heavily - Let's see
Not financial advice.
Bitcoin Reverses off Previous Support Turned ResistanceBitcoin’s recent decline has brought price action back toward the crucial $100,000 psychological and horizontal support zone, an area that has held firm multiple times since May. The daily chart shows that price briefly dipped below this level but quickly recovered, forming a potential short-term base.
The 50-day SMA (blue) has turned lower and now sits above current price, suggesting weakening medium-term momentum, while the 200-day SMA (red) continues to act as dynamic support near $103,900. A sustained close below the latter could shift the broader structure toward a more prolonged consolidation phase.
From a momentum standpoint, the MACD remains below the signal line and in negative territory, reflecting persistent bearish pressure, although histogram bars are showing early signs of contraction. The RSI is currently near 38, hovering just above oversold conditions, indicating that sellers may be losing strength in the short term.
Overall, Bitcoin remains in a neutral-to-bearish phase, trading between $100,000 support and $107,300 resistance. A decisive breakout beyond either boundary could define the next directional move.
-MW
$BTCUSD: targets for pullbackBITSTAMP:BTCUSD : looks like the up wave completed and reached the target of $107K mentioned in an earlier post, although it didn't touch the trendline.
It appears to me that this pullback is Wave 5 -- the very last leg of this correction. Wave 3 usually exceed Wave 3 (i.e., making a new local low), however, Wave 5 can truncate (i.e., not making a new local low).
If the correction completed at the prior low of $98.9K, then the pullback is Wave 2 of a new uptrend. Then it is likely to end between 50% retracement and 61.8% retracement. If this is Wave 5 to complete the entire correction, then it should go to at least 78.6% retracement (if truncated) and possibly touch the green trendline (if not truncated).
My trading plan: I sold some IBIT shares during the overnight market. However, most of my IBIT are held in accounts that don't have overnight access so I'm still holding the majority of my shares. My plan is to hold through this pullback because if this is Wave 2, it should resume the uptrend pretty soon.
#Bitcoin in Buy mode in this support level 12NOV25 _#buy@low #sell@high Simple trading strategy support & resistance
The past few days, I have been posting that #BTC is at a good support level to enter the market. If you go back to my past posts and videos, you can see the support level I am more interested in entering the market at.
#BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sellll #EURUSD #goldd #niftyy #s&p #etf #qqq #iwm #future #options #longterm
#btc #forex #etf #option #money #earning #dollars #bitcoin,#btc,#spy,#forex,#bitcoin,#supportlevel,#RESISTANCELEVEL,#TESLA,#S&P500,#NVDIA,#APPLE,#AMAZON,#NIFTY,#META,#RSI,#STOCKMARKET,#SHAREMARKET,#GOLD,#OIL,#SILVER,#INTRADAY,#SWINGTRADE,#LONGTERM,#INVESTMENT,#SELL,#BUY,#BID,#ASK,#MARKET,#INVESTORS,#IWM,#OPTION,#FUTURES,#US,#ALIBABA,#CASH,#CASHFLOW
Sell Setup – BTC/USD (1D)Sell Setup – BTC/USD (1D)
Price is currently retracing upward after forming a lower high. The plan anticipates a potential sweep of short-term liquidity resting above the recent high (marked X) before a continuation lower.
Premium Zone (Red Area): Expected area where price could deliver into before bearish continuation.
Monthly FVG (Blue Zone): Acts as an intermediate draw on liquidity and potential first target area.
2025 Open Price: Serves as a key magnet level, aligning with the draw on liquidity below.
Liquidity Pool (Orange Zone): Final downside objective, where price may rebalance and collect long-term liquidity.
Narrative:
After the short-term retracement into the premium zone, watch for signs of rejection (e.g., bearish FVG formation or a break of structure). Once confirmed, anticipate a continuation toward the monthly imbalance and below the yearly open price.
BTC = hourly chartPrice has left the Daily box in red and is now in weekly box territory in grey.
Trend reversed and price is accumulation on lower timeframes. I added some hourly levels and a 15min level. I also extended some old but, irrelevant levels so if and when they become relevant, the level is there to see in the replay better.
T.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
yesterday
Trade closed manually
price followed the candle science and timeframes from the 5min green levels to the weekly grey level. Price has left behind some inverse frontside and inverse backside candles which look to be forming the bridge to flip the script if price manages to gain those levels and start accumulation. That liquidity will "unlock" and fuel price action.
BITCOIN WYCKOFF accumulationscenariocast!
IF that is what is occuring ... the #BTC price over the next few months could follow something similar to what I have drawn in a #Wyckoff re-accumulation range and breakout.
With the recent price action being a false breakdown before recapturing the range and proceeding to reach previous levels of resistance.
Let's see if this occurs, sentiment reached rock bottom last week.
SO I would not be surprised!
Bitcoin #BTC The key level to launch the Bull market...is $34500
The 50% drawdown level from the previous cycle laugh
let see if it can repeat the 3rd time
We assume this is going to happen leading up and post #halvening
But open to a quickening of this timeline because #ETF news driving the hype even quicker
BTCUSD Rally capped at 107,150 resistanceThe BTCUSD remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of an oversold rally within the broader range trading.
Support Zone: 100,780 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 100,780 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
107,152 – initial resistance
108,847 – psychological and structural level
110,900 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 100,780 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
99,140 – minor support
97,800 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 107,152 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Long Strategy GuideReconstruction of the macro monetary environment provides support
The US dollar index has dropped below the 100 mark. The US debt/GDP ratio exceeding 130% has weakened the creditworthiness of the US dollar, providing valuation support for risky assets. Although expectations for the Fed's rate cut in December have fluctuated, the trend of implicit liquidity easing has not changed, reducing the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin. At the same time, the global central bank gold-buying trend highlights the need for hedging, and the high correlation of Bitcoin with the Nasdaq index of 0.8 will benefit from the return of funds from the technology sector simultaneously.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy:105000-105500
tp:106500-107500
sl:104000
BTC and Macro Environment · Optimism Creeps Back InThe macro environment is warming up again. Traders are slowly adding risk as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD holds above $100K and Ethereum COINBASE:ETHUSD shows rising retail activity. Altcoins are regaining liquidity, and sentiment feels like cautious optimism.
What’s driving this shift? Money.
Talk of new stimulus checks and potential rate cuts are fueling bullish expectations. The idea is simple: more liquidity means stronger risk appetite. But this comes with a catch. Fiscal math doesn’t add up cleanly. With tariffs bringing in $224.7B and proposed stimulus near $400B, inflation fears could return fast if spending isn’t balanced.
The U.S. government’s reopening adds another layer. Once the Treasury starts releasing the $1 trillion parked in its account, liquidity will flow again into agencies and contractors. This real injection supports a bullish tone across markets, including crypto.
On the chart above, Bitcoin’s 50-week simple moving average (50W SMA) is the key signal. BTC closing above it suggests the long-term uptrend remains intact. Historically, this level marks early bullish phases, not tops. If it holds, traders may stay long but cautious, watching for shifts in Fed tone or inflation data.
Overall, the crypto market is showing signs of recovery. Liquidity is improving, technicals look stable, and optimism is back, but not overheated. It’s not 2021 euphoria, just steady confidence built on real macro shifts.
Stay focused, manage risk, and don’t rush. The setup looks bullish for now, but caution still pays.
TheCryptoFire
BTC 1H – Falling Wedge, Key Levels AheadFalling wedge pattern playing out, with bullish momentum potentially retesting resistance around 107-109k levels.
Technical Overview
After a prolonged downtrend, BTC is showing signs of reversal inside a classic falling wedge pattern. Price action indicates a possible attempt to break above immediate resistance.
A golden cross appeared recently (50/200 MA bullish cross on the hourly), which often acts as a short-term momentum trigger.
Reclaiming and holding the 105k level signals a possible weekly swing low, especially after the sweep below the significant 100k range.
Horizontal resistance lies around 107k–109k, aligning with the upper wedge boundary and serving as a critical decision zone.
Positives
Golden Cross: The 50 and 200 moving averages just crossed bullish on 1H, often providing initial optimism for follow-through momentum.
105 Level: Holding/reclaiming 105k can confirm that the latest sweep below 100k was the liquidity grab to establish a new swing low.
Bullish Confirmation: Sustained strength above the 110k resistance flips structure to bullish and could open up further upside.
Negatives
Weak Breakout: The current move higher from the lows appears tentative rather than strong, risking a failed breakout.
Pattern Risk: Despite the breakout attempt, BTC remains technically inside the falling wedge—with potential for further compression or downside.
CME Gap: There’s an open CME gap still lurking at 92k, which remains a risk magnet if price loses structure.
Double Resistance: The 109k level is strong resistance, previously tested and rejected, which could stall bulls and trigger another rejection.
Trade Scenarios & Framework
Bullish Above 111k: Clean break and hold above 111k invalidates the wedge and signals strong continuation potential.
Bearish Below 103.5k: Failure to sustain above 103.5k increases the risk of a lower retest toward 100k and possibly the CME gap at 92k.
Neutral 104k–111k: Price action within this range is likely to chop and backtest key support/resistance, favoring mean reversion or short-term tactical plays.
If we see rejections above 105k, expect a move to retest the recent swing lows; a strong reclaim above 110k would confirm renewed bullish momentum.
At present, BTC is transitioning from bearish into neutral territory—waiting for structure and follow-through to confirm direction.
Profit targets and stop loss areas should be adjusted according to personal risk tolerance, but using 103.5k as a bear line and 111k as a clear bullish confirmation threshold is suggested for defining bias.
ANFIBO | BTCUSD - Still in a boring range [11.11.2025]Hey guys, Anfibo's here!
BTCUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
The prior sell at $107,000 executed according to plan and produced a clean, profitable outcome — well done to those who took it and locked in gains. Currently BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is trading in a sideways, slightly upward-drifting range as liquidity is being gathered beneath the upper trend boundary. Momentum is constructive but not yet impulsive; therefore the highest-probability edge today is to wait for price to touch the established trendline and read the reaction there before committing to fresh short exposure.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> BUY ZONE:(x1000)
ENTRY: 104 - 105
SL: 103
TP: 110
>>> SELL ZONE: (x1000)
ENTRY: 109 - 110
SL: 111.5
TP: 104 - 95
Risk Management:
- Risk a controlled percentage of equity per trade (e.g., 1–2% max capital risk per position) and size positions so SL distance equals the planned risk.
- Scale sizing: take a smaller initial position at Entry (1) and add selectively at Entry (2) only after clear bearish rejection or failed retest.
- Use tight, logical SLs (as listed) and consider moving SL to breakeven once TP1 is achieved to protect gains.
- Monitor intraday volatility and major news — reduce size or sit out if market structure becomes erratic or if a scheduled macro event is imminent.
Conclusion:
The market rewarded our prior sell at $107k — a good example of discipline and structure-based trading. Today’s plan remains conservative: let BTC approach the trendline / upper channel, observe price reaction, and initiate short exposure only on a clear rejection or failed retest. Maintain strict risk controls, scale thoughtfully, and avoid averaging into a losing trade. This patient, reaction-based approach keeps the odds in our favor while respecting the prevailing range dynamics.
HAVE A NICE DAY, GUYS!






















