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Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

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Bitcoin Reverses off Previous Support Turned ResistanceBitcoin’s recent decline has brought price action back toward the crucial $100,000 psychological and horizontal support zone, an area that has held firm multiple times since May. The daily chart shows that price briefly dipped below this level but quickly recovered, forming a potential short-term base. The 50-day SMA (blue) has turned lower and now sits above current price, suggesting weakening medium-term momentum, while the 200-day SMA (red) continues to act as dynamic support near $103,900. A sustained close below the latter could shift the broader structure toward a more prolonged consolidation phase. From a momentum standpoint, the MACD remains below the signal line and in negative territory, reflecting persistent bearish pressure, although histogram bars are showing early signs of contraction. The RSI is currently near 38, hovering just above oversold conditions, indicating that sellers may be losing strength in the short term. Overall, Bitcoin remains in a neutral-to-bearish phase, trading between $100,000 support and $107,300 resistance. A decisive breakout beyond either boundary could define the next directional move. -MW
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREX.com
$BTCUSD: targets for pullbackBITSTAMP:BTCUSD : looks like the up wave completed and reached the target of $107K mentioned in an earlier post, although it didn't touch the trendline. It appears to me that this pullback is Wave 5 -- the very last leg of this correction. Wave 3 usually exceed Wave 3 (i.e., making a new local low), however, Wave 5 can truncate (i.e., not making a new local low). If the correction completed at the prior low of $98.9K, then the pullback is Wave 2 of a new uptrend. Then it is likely to end between 50% retracement and 61.8% retracement. If this is Wave 5 to complete the entire correction, then it should go to at least 78.6% retracement (if truncated) and possibly touch the green trendline (if not truncated). My trading plan: I sold some IBIT shares during the overnight market. However, most of my IBIT are held in accounts that don't have overnight access so I'm still holding the majority of my shares. My plan is to hold through this pullback because if this is Wave 2, it should resume the uptrend pretty soon.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HeadsUp2021
#Bitcoin in Buy mode in this support level 12NOV25 _#buy@low #sell@high Simple trading strategy support & resistance The past few days, I have been posting that #BTC is at a good support level to enter the market. If you go back to my past posts and videos, you can see the support level I am more interested in entering the market at. #BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sellll #EURUSD #goldd #niftyy #s&p #etf #qqq #iwm #future #options #longterm #btc #forex #etf #option #money #earning #dollars #bitcoin,#btc,#spy,#forex,#bitcoin,#supportlevel,#RESISTANCELEVEL,#TESLA,#S&P500,#NVDIA,#APPLE,#AMAZON,#NIFTY,#META,#RSI,#STOCKMARKET,#SHAREMARKET,#GOLD,#OIL,#SILVER,#INTRADAY,#SWINGTRADE,#LONGTERM,#INVESTMENT,#SELL,#BUY,#BID,#ASK,#MARKET,#INVESTORS,#IWM,#OPTION,#FUTURES,#US,#ALIBABA,#CASH,#CASHFLOW
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by niftydaylevel
Sell Setup – BTC/USD (1D)Sell Setup – BTC/USD (1D) Price is currently retracing upward after forming a lower high. The plan anticipates a potential sweep of short-term liquidity resting above the recent high (marked X) before a continuation lower. Premium Zone (Red Area): Expected area where price could deliver into before bearish continuation. Monthly FVG (Blue Zone): Acts as an intermediate draw on liquidity and potential first target area. 2025 Open Price: Serves as a key magnet level, aligning with the draw on liquidity below. Liquidity Pool (Orange Zone): Final downside objective, where price may rebalance and collect long-term liquidity. Narrative: After the short-term retracement into the premium zone, watch for signs of rejection (e.g., bearish FVG formation or a break of structure). Once confirmed, anticipate a continuation toward the monthly imbalance and below the yearly open price.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by Asif_Brain_Waves
BTC = hourly chartPrice has left the Daily box in red and is now in weekly box territory in grey. Trend reversed and price is accumulation on lower timeframes. I added some hourly levels and a 15min level. I also extended some old but, irrelevant levels so if and when they become relevant, the level is there to see in the replay better. T.A explained - BackSide (BS) FrontSide (FS) Inverse BS (Inv.BS) Inverse FS (Inv.FS) BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines. The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines. Monthly timeframe is color pink weekly grey daily is red 4hr is orange 1hr is yellow 15min is blue 5min is green if they are shown. strength favors the higher timeframe. 2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move. yesterday Trade closed manually price followed the candle science and timeframes from the 5min green levels to the weekly grey level. Price has left behind some inverse frontside and inverse backside candles which look to be forming the bridge to flip the script if price manages to gain those levels and start accumulation. That liquidity will "unlock" and fuel price action.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by StudyGuideTA
BTCUSD Rally capped at 107,150 resistanceThe BTCUSD remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of an oversold rally within the broader range trading. Support Zone: 100,780 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 100,780 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 107,152 – initial resistance 108,847 – psychological and structural level 110,900 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 100,780 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 99,140 – minor support 97,800 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 107,152 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by Trade Nation
Long Strategy GuideReconstruction of the macro monetary environment provides support The US dollar index has dropped below the 100 mark. The US debt/GDP ratio exceeding 130% has weakened the creditworthiness of the US dollar, providing valuation support for risky assets. Although expectations for the Fed's rate cut in December have fluctuated, the trend of implicit liquidity easing has not changed, reducing the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin. At the same time, the global central bank gold-buying trend highlights the need for hedging, and the high correlation of Bitcoin with the Nasdaq index of 0.8 will benefit from the return of funds from the technology sector simultaneously. Bitcoin trading strategy buy：105000-105500 tp:106500-107500 sl：104000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
1
BTC and Macro Environment · Optimism Creeps Back InThe macro environment is warming up again. Traders are slowly adding risk as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD holds above $100K and Ethereum COINBASE:ETHUSD shows rising retail activity. Altcoins are regaining liquidity, and sentiment feels like cautious optimism. What’s driving this shift? Money. Talk of new stimulus checks and potential rate cuts are fueling bullish expectations. The idea is simple: more liquidity means stronger risk appetite. But this comes with a catch. Fiscal math doesn’t add up cleanly. With tariffs bringing in $224.7B and proposed stimulus near $400B, inflation fears could return fast if spending isn’t balanced. The U.S. government’s reopening adds another layer. Once the Treasury starts releasing the $1 trillion parked in its account, liquidity will flow again into agencies and contractors. This real injection supports a bullish tone across markets, including crypto. On the chart above, Bitcoin’s 50-week simple moving average (50W SMA) is the key signal. BTC closing above it suggests the long-term uptrend remains intact. Historically, this level marks early bullish phases, not tops. If it holds, traders may stay long but cautious, watching for shifts in Fed tone or inflation data. Overall, the crypto market is showing signs of recovery. Liquidity is improving, technicals look stable, and optimism is back, but not overheated. It’s not 2021 euphoria, just steady confidence built on real macro shifts. Stay focused, manage risk, and don’t rush. The setup looks bullish for now, but caution still pays. TheCryptoFire
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptoFire
BTC 1H – Falling Wedge, Key Levels AheadFalling wedge pattern playing out, with bullish momentum potentially retesting resistance around 107-109k levels. Technical Overview After a prolonged downtrend, BTC is showing signs of reversal inside a classic falling wedge pattern. Price action indicates a possible attempt to break above immediate resistance. A golden cross appeared recently (50/200 MA bullish cross on the hourly), which often acts as a short-term momentum trigger. Reclaiming and holding the 105k level signals a possible weekly swing low, especially after the sweep below the significant 100k range. Horizontal resistance lies around 107k–109k, aligning with the upper wedge boundary and serving as a critical decision zone. Positives Golden Cross: The 50 and 200 moving averages just crossed bullish on 1H, often providing initial optimism for follow-through momentum. 105 Level: Holding/reclaiming 105k can confirm that the latest sweep below 100k was the liquidity grab to establish a new swing low. Bullish Confirmation: Sustained strength above the 110k resistance flips structure to bullish and could open up further upside. Negatives Weak Breakout: The current move higher from the lows appears tentative rather than strong, risking a failed breakout. Pattern Risk: Despite the breakout attempt, BTC remains technically inside the falling wedge—with potential for further compression or downside. CME Gap: There’s an open CME gap still lurking at 92k, which remains a risk magnet if price loses structure. Double Resistance: The 109k level is strong resistance, previously tested and rejected, which could stall bulls and trigger another rejection. Trade Scenarios & Framework Bullish Above 111k: Clean break and hold above 111k invalidates the wedge and signals strong continuation potential. Bearish Below 103.5k: Failure to sustain above 103.5k increases the risk of a lower retest toward 100k and possibly the CME gap at 92k. Neutral 104k–111k: Price action within this range is likely to chop and backtest key support/resistance, favoring mean reversion or short-term tactical plays. If we see rejections above 105k, expect a move to retest the recent swing lows; a strong reclaim above 110k would confirm renewed bullish momentum. At present, BTC is transitioning from bearish into neutral territory—waiting for structure and follow-through to confirm direction. Profit targets and stop loss areas should be adjusted according to personal risk tolerance, but using 103.5k as a bear line and 111k as a clear bullish confirmation threshold is suggested for defining bias.
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by rizz_razzah
ETHUSD H1 | Bearish Drop OffMomentum: Bearish Price has rejected the sell entry level, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Sell Entry: 106,514.04 Strong pullback resistance 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Stop Loss: 108,576.28 Pullback resistance 78.6% Fibonacci retracement Take Profit: 102,418.60 Pullback support 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:BTCUSDShort
by Tradu
BTCUSD UPDATE Yesterday, BTCUSD hovered near 106,463, staying quiet most of the day. This morning, the Euro session broke that balance — ran yesterday’s high, triggered stops, and dropped fast. ETF inflows that pushed price earlier in the week slowed down. Funding turned negative, showing traders are less confident short term. Now price trades lower, and yesterday’s low is the next level everyone’s watching. Macro Outlook Markets are leaning defensive. Yields up. Dollar steady. Stocks soft. Bitcoin’s moving with that tone as flows cool off and liquidity thins out. Until that changes, BTCUSD stays under pressure with weak momentum and cautious buyers. Market Structure Mapping (MSM — The Framework) Structure still leans bearish, but there’s no confirmed break yet. Price is trading away from the last discount pullback, holding below the Euro session high. Downside focus sits near 104,240, then 101,500, where equal lows and liquidity line up. If yesterday’s low breaks clean, the bearish leg extends. For now, price is drifting lower — not broken, just soft. CORE5 Rule — “Trade what’s confirmed, not what you think.” — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN
Petrodollars and Their Global Impact1. The Origin of Petrodollars The concept of petrodollars emerged in the early 1970s following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system and the oil shocks that reshaped global energy markets. After the U.S. decoupled the dollar from gold in 1971, the dollar’s value began to fluctuate freely. In 1973, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) significantly increased oil prices in response to geopolitical tensions and rising global demand. At the same time, an agreement between the United States and Saudi Arabia ensured that oil would continue to be priced and traded exclusively in U.S. dollars. This deal effectively globalized the dollar as the primary currency for energy trade. As oil prices surged, exporting countries, particularly in the Middle East, earned enormous dollar revenues. These dollars became known as petrodollars, representing the surplus funds that oil producers accumulated from selling oil abroad. 2. Petrodollar Recycling Petrodollar recycling refers to how oil-exporting countries reinvest or redistribute their dollar earnings. This recycling process has two main channels: Financial Recycling: Oil-exporting nations deposit their dollar earnings in international banks or invest them in global financial markets, especially U.S. Treasury securities, stocks, and bonds. This recycling helps sustain global liquidity and supports the U.S. economy by financing its trade and fiscal deficits. Real Recycling: Petrodollars are used for development projects, infrastructure building, or the import of goods and services. Oil-rich nations often spend their surpluses on foreign products, technology, and defense equipment, which stimulates demand in manufacturing economies such as the U.S., Europe, and increasingly, China. During the 1970s and 1980s, the recycling of petrodollars was crucial for stabilizing global financial systems. Banks used the inflow of funds from oil exporters to lend to developing nations, leading to an expansion of global credit. However, this also contributed to the debt crises of the 1980s when many borrowing countries were unable to repay their loans. 3. Economic Impacts of Petrodollars The accumulation and recycling of petrodollars have wide-ranging economic consequences that shape both national and global economies. a) U.S. Dollar Dominance: Petrodollars reinforce the U.S. dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency. Since oil must be purchased in dollars, all countries need to hold large dollar reserves. This creates consistent demand for the dollar, giving the U.S. a unique financial advantage known as “exorbitant privilege.” It allows the U.S. to run persistent trade deficits without facing immediate pressure to devalue its currency. b) Balance of Payments Effects: Oil-importing nations often face balance-of-payments deficits when oil prices rise because they need to spend more dollars on energy imports. Conversely, oil-exporting nations accumulate surpluses, strengthening their fiscal positions. These imbalances influence global capital flows, interest rates, and investment patterns. c) Inflation and Exchange Rates: Fluctuations in oil prices directly affect inflation rates worldwide. Higher oil prices increase transportation and production costs, driving inflation. Countries with weaker currencies or heavy energy dependence experience greater inflationary pressure. At the same time, oil exporters’ currencies may appreciate due to rising export revenues, affecting their non-oil sectors’ competitiveness. 4. Political and Geopolitical Implications Petrodollars are not just an economic concept—they carry enormous geopolitical weight. The control and flow of petrodollars often determine international alliances, diplomatic relations, and power structures. a) U.S.–Middle East Relations: The petrodollar system strengthened ties between the United States and major oil producers like Saudi Arabia. In exchange for pricing oil in dollars, the U.S. provided military protection and political support to these regimes. This interdependence shaped decades of Middle Eastern geopolitics, influencing regional conflicts and global energy policy. b) Geopolitical Leverage: Countries that control oil exports wield considerable influence over global markets. For example, OPEC’s decisions to increase or cut production affect not only oil prices but also inflation, currency values, and economic stability across the globe. The accumulation of petrodollar reserves gives these nations leverage in international diplomacy. c) Challenge to Dollar Hegemony: In recent years, some countries, including China, Russia, and Iran, have sought to reduce reliance on the dollar in oil trade, promoting alternatives such as the petroyuan. If major energy exporters begin accepting other currencies, it could gradually weaken the dollar’s dominance and alter global financial power dynamics. 5. Petrodollars and Global Financial Markets Petrodollar flows significantly influence global capital markets. When oil prices are high, exporters earn more dollars and invest heavily abroad. This results in large capital inflows into Western financial markets, especially the U.S., Europe, and Japan. These funds help maintain low interest rates and high liquidity in developed economies. For instance, during oil booms, sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) from countries like Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Norway invest billions of dollars in equities, bonds, and infrastructure projects worldwide. These investments provide stability to global markets but also tie the financial fortunes of oil-rich nations to the performance of global assets. However, during oil price declines, the opposite occurs—oil exporters withdraw funds to support domestic spending, which can tighten global liquidity and trigger financial volatility. 6. Petrodollars and the Developing World The flow of petrodollars also impacts developing economies in complex ways. On one hand, petrodollar-funded loans and investments have financed infrastructure and industrialization in many developing countries. On the other hand, easy access to petrodollar-driven credit during the 1970s led to unsustainable borrowing, resulting in debt crises across Latin America and Africa. Today, oil-importing developing nations face fiscal stress when oil prices rise, as more of their foreign exchange reserves are spent on energy imports. This can widen trade deficits and increase inflation. Conversely, oil-exporting developing nations experience economic booms during high oil price periods, though many struggle with the “resource curse”—an overreliance on oil revenues that undermines diversification and governance. 7. The Environmental and Energy Transition Dimension In the 21st century, the world’s transition toward renewable energy presents new challenges for the petrodollar system. As global efforts to reduce carbon emissions intensify, the demand for oil may gradually decline, reducing the flow of petrodollars. This could weaken the economic power of traditional oil exporters and reshape global financial alignments. Countries dependent on petrodollar revenues face growing pressure to diversify their economies. Initiatives like Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 aim to transform oil-dependent economies into diversified, investment-driven ones. Meanwhile, the shift to green energy could also influence currency dynamics if renewable energy trade begins to operate in non-dollar terms. 8. Conclusion The petrodollar system has been one of the most influential forces in shaping modern global economics and geopolitics. It strengthened the U.S. dollar’s dominance, facilitated global financial integration, and underpinned strategic alliances, especially between the U.S. and Middle Eastern oil producers. At the same time, it created structural imbalances—linking global liquidity and financial stability to volatile oil prices. As the world moves toward renewable energy and multipolar finance, the traditional petrodollar system faces challenges from alternative energy sources, new trading currencies, and geopolitical shifts. Nonetheless, as long as oil remains a central component of global energy consumption, petrodollars will continue to shape the global economic order, influencing everything from exchange rates and inflation to political alliances and investment flows. In essence, petrodollars represent far more than currency—they are the lifeblood of the global energy economy and a cornerstone of modern financial power.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Bitcoin Short Setup From Premium Zone The market is showing a clear 1H break of structure, with price approaching a strong resistance area. After a bullish impulse, BTC is expected to pull back from resistance for a short-term correction. Key Levels: Sell Entry: Around 106,000 Stop Loss: 106,700 Take Profit: 104,100 Reasoning: Technically: Price has completed a clear bullish leg and tapped into the 1H resistance area. The structure suggests exhaustion with the potential for rejection. A lower high formation suggests bearish correction toward the 1H support zone. Fundamentally: Market sentiment remains cautious as BTC faces resistance amid uncertainty in broader crypto risk appetite and mild dollar strength. Short-term selling pressure may dominate before any new bullish continuation. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always manage risk before trading.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by SwingTrade_Concept