Trade ideas
BTC - 11/12 hourly chartI adapted the accumulation trend from a daily trend to a 4hr trend since it broke yesterday down to a 1hr FS support level created 7th Nov 23:00
I added a new 1hr FS support level created the 12 Now at 00:00 hours which sits at $103,623
T.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
yesterday
Trade closed manually
price followed the candle science and timeframes from the 5min green levels to the weekly grey level. Price has left behind some inverse frontside and inverse backside candles which look to be forming the bridge to flip the script if price manages to gain those levels and start accumulation. That liquidity will "unlock" and fuel price action.
Short BTC BTC 4H chart – bearish setup with MA confirmation.
Price is retesting the $102K support (now resistance) while staying below the 50 & 200 MAs, showing strong downside pressure.
The MA ribbon remains aligned bearishly, confirming momentum weakness.
Below $102K, target sits around $96K.
Bias stays bearish unless price reclaims $104K+ above moving averages.
Do you want to be a Millionaire ?Hi Guys,
This bull run has been very unusual with Bitcoin reaching record highs while the altcoins are watching from the sidelines, considering Gold,Stocks, and pretty much every other assets are
At ATH and the current AI bubble (ticking time bomb) I think all markets are due to crash very soon!
So I've been comparing current BTC chart with all types of other assets and I came to the conclusion that Nvidia 2000-2010 chart looks very similar to what we have in Bitcoin right now!
Is Bitcoin following Nvidia's (Dot Com) bubble crash ? Both charts looks extreamly similar
And Bitcoin has already broke below the weekly 50MA and the current chart pattern looks like a huge Head & shoulders are forming on the monthly period.
Even Michel Burry is shorting the AI bubble right now and the crypto community detected a suspiciouse activity on Microstrategy's Bitcoin wallets!
So I think this is it boys ..its the opportunity of the century to achieve financial freedom and
I refuse to live in denial and "HODL" like what most of us did in the previouse bear markets.
Feel free to leave a comment and let me know what you think about this idea !
BTC 83k for support then bounce to 100k then to bear new lowWe should make to about 83k area then bounce to about 100l and get rejected. Every time in the bull run if BTC closes below 55 WMA the run is over. The close today should give us that info. This will be the second confirmation the cycle at the end of Oct of 2025 and the bear low should come in Nov of 2026 between 50k to 30k. The sine wave (red wave) for top predicted when the bull cycle would end and then the sine wave (green wave) predicts when the bear would end. Not trading advise.
Bitcoin Market Analysis: Correction or Downtrend?Bitcoin: Correction Wave or Beginning of a Downtrend?
Overview of Recent Bitcoin Trends
At the end of the second week of March 2023, a clear confirmation of an uptrend emerged in the Bitcoin chart. Since then, Bitcoin has experienced a series of corrections, each time reaching historical price levels. This consistent pattern has led to ongoing speculation about when a genuine downtrend might begin.
Current Market Outlook
Presently, from a long-term perspective, Bitcoin appears to be undergoing another correction wave. This wave closely resembles the previous correction that concluded in the second week of April 2025, though the current correction is notably more aggressive.
Short-Term vs. Long-Term Strategies
For short-term traders, there are indications that the recent uptrend may be reversing. A clear signal for a potential short-term downtrend has emerged after Bitcoin broke below the price point of $106,710.00. Traders are closely monitoring whether prices will continue to decline, which could result in significant losses for many who are already experiencing substantial daily losses. Alternatively, there remains the possibility that this correction is temporary, and a new uptrend could push prices to new highs in the coming months.
Critical Price Levels to Watch
•Long-Term Traders: A decisive break below $75,000 is a critical level in the current correction wave.
•Short-Term Traders: The ongoing downtrend is expected to end if prices climb to $106,500 or higher.
However, it is important to consider the risk-to-return ratio before taking any position. Assessing the potential risk and potential reward is crucial in making informed trading decisions.
It's worth noting that the analysis provided is based on the information given and assumes the accuracy of the mentioned technical indicators. However, market conditions can change rapidly, and it's always important to conduct comprehensive and up-to-date analysis before making any investment decisions.
10/10/2026 10/10/10This does not chart the breakout retest or the high between now and the start of 2026 simply where the low will next year
I have no desire to make this chart more ledgable because I understand it simply to document where it will be by what time.
Bitcoin will be around or under 28k my 10/10/26
BTCUSD Elliott WaveHello friends
We are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern on the BTC USD chart.
These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear and you can even count their sub-waves. Now wave 5 is complete and a downward wave has formed in the form of a zigzag.
At the moment our theory is a zigzag, because a 5-wave may also form in the form of a correction.
Waves 1 or A and 2 or B are fully formed and we are currently in wave 3 or C.
So the price of Bitcoin should fall to the $100,000 range, which is also a psychological support.
Good luck and be profitable.
Very Simple BITCOIN Daily - Hope for the weekend existsThis is a chart I posted some weeks ago, showing the possiblr results of the classic W pattern printed by Bitcoin
We seem to be playing this out and so a Low, ultimate low of around 88K exists and I will not do anything till we pass that point, IF we pass that point.
And the MACD gives us hope that we may not do so
MACD has reached the lower trendline of its descending channel and at the same time, has reached the LOW in Oversold, that Bitcoin bounced off previously
This is not a Guarantee but it does certainly offer hope for some recovery....and we would have to wait and see if that is sustained or not.
But this IS playing out Exactly to plan and has confluence with what I said may happen at the beginning of the month
For me, this is NOT the END.... but near the beginning of the next push
BUY BITCOIN
BTC Enters Danger Zone: Eyes on the $84K–$74K Support BlockBitcoin has broken below the critical support level at $103100 , confirming a continuation of the broader bearish structure.
With this breakdown, the next major demand zone lies between $84,890 and $74,671, where price may temporarily slow, consolidate, and produce a technical rebound before the larger downtrend resumes.
This zone is likely to attract liquidity, stop-hunts, and market-maker manipulation — so caution is essential.
This is not a dip-buying area for inexperienced traders. Only those who fully understand liquidity behavior, order-flow traps, and market-maker dynamics should consider any strategic positioning here.
I will continue updating this analysis with:
• Expected rebound levels
• Market structure shifts
• Potential trade setups
• Risk-management considerations
Follow this idea for continuous updates as price approaches the zone.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #CryptoMarkets #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #LiquidityZones #BearMarket #TradingStrategy #CryptoTraders #ChartAnalysis #SwingTrading #MarketUpdate #BitcoinAnalysis #BTCPrice
10% LONG POSITION As we cab see the price bounced from that support level multiple times, and this time not only boncing from it , this time clearly have swept the liquidity from tha recent low , and have given as a good reaction and a good confirmation to the up side , possibly headed to the previous high ( HRLR)
Triple Contrarian Signals Break the Bear Market Narrative1. On-Chain Structure: Clear Bottom Characteristics, Supply Contraction Builds a Safety Cushion
On-chain data shows multiple bottom signals, diverging from the "bear market" appearance. The NVT ratio dropped to a 2025 low of 1.48, below the 2022 bear market bottom of 1.6. Historical data indicates a 92% probability of growth within 12 months when this figure falls below 1.5. Miners net accumulated 42,000 BTC in 30 days, with balances reaching 1.863 million BTC—marking the largest monthly increase since January 2023. Hash rate simultaneously climbed to 378 EH/s, and the divergence between hash rate and price signals potential for subsequent price catch-up. Meanwhile, exchanges recorded net outflows for five consecutive days, reducing circulating supply by 93,000 BTC in total. Chips are concentrated in the hands of long-term holders, with large-scale panic transfers accounting for only 2.1%—far below the bear market average of 8.3%.
2. Capital Side: ETF Outflows ≠ Institutional Bearishness, Off-Exchange Absorption Is Strong
Bitcoin ETFs saw cumulative outflows of $2.8 billion in the past month, but this is not an institutional bearish signal but rather capital reallocation from "off-balance sheet to on-balance sheet." Major banks like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs absorbed chips through the OTC market, with off-exchange trading volume surging 78% in 30 days to bypass ETF subscription and redemption restrictions. This "apparent decrease but actual increase" pattern emerged at the March 2020 bear market bottom, followed by a 170% Bitcoin rally in the subsequent six months. The cost basis of long-term holders is approximately $68,000, and current prices, with nearly 50% floating profits, have not triggered large-scale selling—indicating solid institutional core positions and sufficient low-level absorption capacity.
3. Macroeconomics & Liquidity: Non-U.S. Capital Becomes a New Engine, Dollar Negative Correlation Strengthens
Bitcoin has evolved from a "U.S. dollar liquidity asset" to a "global liquidity asset," with incremental liquidity driven by fiscal expansion in non-U.S. economies serving as the core driver. Global M2 growth remains at 8.7%, and non-U.S. economies reach 11.8%. Such funds have higher risk appetite and still have room to double their allocation ratio. Bitcoin’s negative correlation coefficient with the U.S. Dollar Index has strengthened to -0.78. The current U.S. Dollar Index is in a correction cycle, further reducing Bitcoin’s holding costs and resonating with gold’s safe-haven properties. Although the probability of a Fed rate cut in December has dropped to 51.6%, the market has fully priced in hawkish expectations, leaving limited room for further downside.
4. Technical Side: Resonance of Key Supports, Oversold Rebound Signals Emerge
$96,000 is near the critical support level of the 200-day moving average ($95,730), forming a dual defense with the cost basis of short-term holders. On the daily chart, MACD green bars continue to shorten, forming a golden cross prototype, while the RSI indicator has entered the oversold zone—signaling exhaustion of short-term downward momentum. Upper resistance focuses on the upper edge of the previous consolidation platform at $108,420. The price gap between the current level and the resistance provides ample room for rebound expectations; a breakthrough will open the channel for valuation recovery.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy:95500-96500
tp:98000-99000
sl:94000
Bitcoin´s top confirmed, bear porn next- follow up on several of previous analyses where it was stated that, after losing the 120k level, Bitcoin is very likely to head lower
- what we have here is a rounded top with a neckline of around 100 700 - as long as price is below that level bias is firmly to the downside
- price target of this formation is anywhere between 79 - 75k
- I expect the 80k region is going to be extremely strong support so shorting into that level is ill-advised
BTC/USD - Rising Wedge - Reversal Pattern - Short/Sell IdeaBTC/USD - Rising Wedge - Reversal Pattern - Short/Sell Idea📉📉
Bitcoin is forming a rising wedge on the 4H chart, a bearish reversal pattern signaling weakening bullish momentum. Price is currently around $114,700, with wedge resistance near $128,000 and rising support around $112,000. A confirmed break below $112K could trigger a move toward $103K, with the main downside target at the volume Point of Control (POC) near $97K — a major liquidity zone where the highest trading activity has occurred.
A brief retest of $115K–$118K after breakdown is possible before further downside. Invalidation occurs on a decisive breakout above $128K.
CAUTION: BITCOIN'S CORRECTION JOURNEY TO $96,050Bitcoin has hit a resistance wall with a double top on the weekly as well as the monthly timeframe. What's even more concerning for bulls is the RSI divergences on these time frames. Volume has been drying up as price was hitting new all time highs while momentum was also declining. Now the smoke has now lit up into a flame and the big correction is in progress.
I am expecting an A-B-C correction to an initial target of $96,050 where bulls will step up buying pressure to go up to make either a higher high or a lower high on the weekly chart. Stay tuned for further update.
Cheers fellow traders!






















