Trade ideas
Bitcoin - 50MA/200MA Death Cross at Support Trend LineBitcoin is testing critical support trend lines with increases in volume indicating indecision by the bulls and bears.
The 50MA crossing under the 200MA can either present a buying opportunity on a dip if support holds, or a capitulation if price breaks through it to target the next lower support zone.
Bear market trajectory BTCThis chart doesnt need an explanation,
Good luck,,
Cheers,
I ll update XRP later next week as it is currently unclear if and when an ALTseason may happen, Probably on the last surge of BTC to 102K area, IF
BTC USDHI GUYS.
Always remember we are trading a cup and handle path on the daily chart.
.NOTE. The market can not move against the daily chart.
but if not careful esp on lower time frames we can easily miss calculate due to miss interpretation of RT( RETRACEMENT STRUCTURES).
BTC, USDHI GUYS,
Well we are in a very bad situation as i posted two ideas with a slight difference on the trading path .
like i said earlier the path will never change but i make mistakes when sketching some times.
however we will always get legit entries when we combine the right price pattern with accurate days of the week.
we are currently bullish as of Friday , Sunday detail within a price pattern.
lets see what happens on Monday, Tuesday.
NOTE, MONDAY ,TUESDAY IS WHAT PUSHES BTC IN TO SELLS,
THURSDAY FRIDAY IS THE RESCUE PATTERN THAT PUSHES BULLISH OR BEARISH.
FRIDAY SUNDAY PUSHES THE MARKET INTO BUYS
FRIDAY SUNDAY PUSHES THE MARKET INTO BUYS.
The rest of the days of the week are pullbacks to a continuation trend be it buy or sell.
Most important week of the year for BTC.As You can see on 1W chart (lower timeframes are pure noise) BTC is in most important week of this year. RSI fall below 50 and touched lower band of triangle. Same with BTC price. It's now or never for rebound to rally to 150K. If it fails during this week we are going to go low, very low.
P.S: BTC price first time in very long time ditached itself from World M2 Liqudity (teal line).
BTC LONGI think price dipped to clear enough liquidity for the new leg up. now that almost all internal liquidity is done, we can try longs here
BTCUSD 45m – Pennant Breakout Setup Toward 100k Target1. Pattern Formation: Bullish Pennant
The chart shows a pennant, formed after a sharp downward move followed by price compression.
The upper trendline is descending, the lower trendline ascending, converging into a tightening triangle.
This is typically a continuation pattern, but because the preceding move was downward, traders will often wait for confirmation from the breakout direction.
2. Breakout Attempt
The price is breaking slightly above the upper trendline, marked as ENTRY.
This suggests a potential bullish breakout, but:
The breakout candle is still small.
Ideally, you’d want volume confirmation (not shown in the image).
3. Stop-Loss Placement
The STOP LOSS is placed safely under:
The lower pennant trendline
Recent consolidation lows
This gives a logical invalidation level—if price drops below this, the breakout has failed.
4. Target Projection
The target of $100,006 is consistent with a measured move calculation:
Height of the initial impulse (the pole)
Added to the breakout point
On your chart, the projected move equals about +10%, also labeled on the right.
5. Risk–Reward
The setup shows good R:R, since:
Stop-loss is close
Target is distant
However, pennants can generate fakeouts, so caution is warranted.
6. Market Context (from the chart only)
Current price around $95,984.
The overall trend in the 45-minute view appears mixed:
Strong drop earlier
Stabilization
Compression
The breakout direction will determine the next phase.
BTCUSD – Full Market Analysis and High-Accuracy Trading Plan
BTCUSD – Full Market Analysis and High-Accuracy Trading Plan
Date: 16 November 2025
Time: 4:30 PM (GMT+6)
1. Overall Trend Direction
BTCUSD remains clearly bearish on the higher timeframes.
Both the 4H and 1H charts show a continuous sequence of downside Break of Structures (BOS), confirming that the market is in a corrective bearish phase.
Over the past few sessions, BTCUSD has dropped from 104,000 to 100,000, then to 98,000, and finally into the 96,000 region.
Every bullish pullback has been shallow, reflecting the presence of institutional sellers.
The price is now consolidating around 96,000, which often forms before a continuation move to the downside.
The higher-timeframe structural liquidity at 94,000 remains untouched, making it the primary downside liquidity target.
In summary, the overall market bias is still bearish, and intraday bullish rallies are corrective in nature rather than true reversals.
2. Technical Analysis
The current technical landscape is dominated by supply zones and liquidity structures.
Major Supply Zones (Strong Resistance)
These zones previously generated strong sell-side pressure and remain valid bearish continuation levels:
102,000 – 104,000
106,000 – 108,000
110,000 – 112,000
Immediate Intraday Supply (Current Reaction Zone)
96,200 – 96,500
This zone is very important because multiple equal highs (EQH) have formed here.
EQH serves as a liquidity pool that smart money typically sweeps before initiating a reversal.
This makes the zone the most probable area for short-term rejection.
Major Support Zones
95,800 – 95,600 (intraday demand)
95,200 – 95,000 (secondary demand)
94,000 (weak low and major sell-side liquidity target)
If the downside continuation unfolds, these levels are likely to be tested sequentially.
Among them, 94,000 is the strongest liquidity magnet.
3. Smart Money Concept (SMC)
BTCUSD shows a very clean SMC structure.
Key observations:
1. Multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) to the downside
Intraday structure repeatedly shifted bearish below 97,000.
2. Continuous creation of Equal Highs (EQH)
Each corrective rally has formed EQH, indicating liquidity build-up.
Smart money typically sweeps this liquidity before initiating aggressive selling.
3. Untouched sell-side liquidity at 94,000
This is a weak low and a major area of interest for institutional players.
4. BOS on 5M and 15M timeframes
These confirm that intraday momentum remains strongly bearish.
Based on this structure, the most probable next move is:
Liquidity sweep at 96,200 – 96,500 → bearish continuation toward 95,600 → 95,200 → 94,000.
4. Fibonacci Analysis
The most recent impulsive decline was from 98,000 down to 94,000.
Fibonacci retracement levels:
0.382 = 96,100
0.50 = 96,400
0.618 = 96,700
Price is currently rejecting from the 0.382 – 0.50 region, which is a standard bearish pullback zone.
If price extends to 0.618, that level becomes the final mitigation area where a strong rejection is likely.
5. RSI Analysis
4H RSI has pulled back from oversold conditions but remains below 50, confirming bearish momentum.
1H RSI has printed a lower high, which supports bearish continuation.
15M RSI shows clear bearish divergence at the EQH region, indicating a liquidity sweep and potential reversal point.
6. Volume Analysis
Strong selling volume has been present during downside moves.
Pullback candles show significantly lower volume, indicating weak buying pressure and confirming that the current bullish move is corrective rather than accumulation.
Volume profile also shows heavier activity below current price levels, suggesting a move downward to fill liquidity.
7. Fundamental Overview
The broader fundamental environment remains neutral to bearish for Bitcoin.
A strong US Dollar Index (DXY) is pressuring risk assets.
Overall risk sentiment in global markets is weak, and Bitcoin ETF inflows have declined, indicating reduced institutional buying.
The market has not yet recovered from the recent sell-off.
Technicals and fundamentals are aligned toward a bearish scenario.
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High-Accuracy Trading Plan
Main Market Bias: Bearish
High-Probability Sell Zone
96,200 – 96,500
This zone is the confluence of EQH, Fibonacci 0.50 retracement, intraday supply, and a smart money mitigation block.
Stop Loss:
97,000 (structure invalidation)
Take Profit Targets:
95,600
95,200
94,000 (major liquidity sweep target)
Low-Risk Countertrend Buy Setup (Scalp Only)
Buy Zone:
95,000 – 94,800
This zone contains 4H demand and potential liquidity-based reaction.
Stop Loss:
94,400
Take Profit:
95,800
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Final Summary
BTCUSD is currently in a strong bearish correction phase.
The price is trading inside the 96,200 – 96,500 supply zone where liquidity has built up, making it the most probable area for short-term rejection.
The main downside liquidity magnet remains the 94,000 level.
The most likely market sequence is:
Liquidity sweep above → bearish continuation → targets at 95,600 → 95,200 → 94,000.
Broadening Pattern as a Top Reversal on BTCI believe downside movement is not done yet. Broadening pattern is forming and it will shake first bulls and then bears. Top is around 150k.
BTC Short term buy activated.
Took A buy.
BTC/USD — Why I Took This Buy Setup (Breakdown Only, Not Advice)
On the 15-minute chart, price had just completed a strong sell-off into a discounted zone, leaving behind multiple unmitigated demand areas. After that aggressive move down, the market began forming a corrective structure instead of continuing with impulsive selling — a sign that sellers were weakening and a potential pullback was forming.
Why I Looked for Buys
Price reached a discount zone: After the downward push, BTC tapped into deeper demand levels where buyers previously showed interest.
Multiple demand blocks stacked: The chart shows three clear bullish order blocks below current price. These zones supported the idea of a reaction.
Shift in structure: Price created a higher low inside the demand and showed early bullish displacement — a signal that momentum was transitioning from sellers to buyers.
Liquidity grab under the lows: The wick below cleaned liquidity before reversing, which often fuels a short-term retracement upward.
Target Area
The target is set at the imbalance / inefficiency zone above, which aligns with:
The nearest fair value gap that price hasn’t filled yet.
A logical point where the market might rebalance after the heavy drop.
Also lining up with a minor supply zone, making it a natural take-profit region for a corrective move.
Since this is a counter-move within a larger downtrend, the target is conservative — just aiming for the inefficiency fill, not a full trend reversal.
BTC Breakdown: Yellow Zone Lost — Red Zone (80K–76K) in SightNow that Bitcoin has lost the yellow zone (98K–99K), further downside is likely, with a potential drop toward the red zone between 80K and 76K
BTC Long-Term Support and ResistancesHere is what I envision the next few months for Bitcoin. Continue retracing then another move up. Our worst case scenario would be around 60k. Seems like a really solid spot for a rally.
BTCUSD 4HR CHART FIBONACCI BTC/USD 4H — Price currently hovering around 95,862, testing key Fib zone. Watching for reaction at the 61.8% retracement level. If bulls hold this level, potential move toward 100K zone aligns with previous impulse leg. Bearish rejection here could retest 94K support. Volume and structure will confirm bias.
Bitcoin mega bullish Inverted chartFalling wedge on the inverted chart. Likely to come back and into the 60 range. Bulls will derisk under 100k and bring us to normalcy. This is completely ok and fine and healthy. But overall, dca into real crypto. Monero, Bitcoin, Ada even looks like a buy at the 25 cent level. There are only a handful of crypto and I think privacy is going to branch off into its own things.
Monero is the only true Crypto.
$BTC: UNDER SERIOUS STRESS Who would have thought that at the end of September, when Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) was working towards achieving a new all-time high (ATH), while it was showing a negative divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), it would have lost 25% of its value by today?
The reality is that CRYPTOCAP:BTC formed a Double Top pattern with a target price of $88,910. Currently, it is struggling to maintain the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, having fallen below the trend line that has connected the higher lows since the beginning of August. In the daily time frame, the 200-day SMA is at 110,518, crossing from above the 50-day SMA
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is becoming oversold, which makes a bounce likely, but until proven otherwise, the trend is bearish
Triple Resonance Lays a Solid Foundation for Upside Core Logic for Going Long: Triple Resonance Lays a Solid Foundation for Upside
1. Institutional Trends: Strong Low-Level Absorption, Clear Capital Layout Signals
Despite short-term profit-taking in the market, institutional capital continues to flow in at low levels. According to CoinDesk data, large institutional buy orders emerged in the $94,000 support zone, with OTC market trading volume reaching $18.6 billion in 24 hours—surging 42% from the recent average. Institutions like JPMorgan and Galaxy Digital absorbed selling pressure through the OTC market. Meanwhile, the outflow trend of ETF funds has slowed, with net outflows narrowing to $120 million in the past 3 days—a stark contrast to the previous daily outflows of $500 million—reflecting institutions’ "buying on dips" behavior. Historical data confirms that concentrated institutional absorption at the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level (corresponding to $94,200) leads to an 83% probability of growth in the subsequent month.
2. Fundamentals: Solid Hash Rate Support, Uncompromised Network Security
Mining fundamentals continue to improve, providing underlying support for prices. Bitcoin’s hash rate momentum indicator remains in positive territory and continues to rise, with the current hash rate stable above 370 EH/s. There has been no "miner capitulation selling" typically seen during sharp declines. Miners’ balances remain stable, with a 30-day net selling volume of only 0.8%—far below the 5% average during bear markets—indicating high miner recognition of current prices. Network security and consensus foundations have not been affected by the correction. The divergence between hash rate and price signals potential for subsequent price catch-up.
3. Technicals & Sentiment: Resonance of Supports + Sentiment Bottoming, Rebound Conditions Mature
Technically, multiple supports form a resonance. $95,600 lies between the $94,200 Fibonacci 0.618 support and the short-term key support at $95,543—a zone whose effectiveness was verified during the Q4 2024 rally. On the daily chart, MACD green bars continue to shorten, with bearish momentum gradually fading. The RSI indicator has rebounded from the oversold zone to 41, signaling the end of short-term adjustments. In terms of market sentiment, the Fear & Greed Index has dropped to a low of 28, leaving ample room for sentiment recovery. Trading volume has shrunk from 27,579 BTC during the previous volume-driven decline to a current low of 165 BTC, indicating phased exhaustion of selling pressure and distinct characteristics of consolidation and bottoming.
4. Macroeconomic Environment: Policy Expectation Game, Limited Downside Room
Uncertainty surrounding Fed policy persists, but the market has fully priced in hawkish expectations. The economic recession risks and affordability crisis mentioned by New York Fed President Williams provide potential support for a December rate cut. While market pricing for rate cuts fluctuates, there is limited room for further downside. After the end of the U.S. government shutdown, sentiment toward risk assets has improved. As a high-elasticity risk asset, Bitcoin is expected to benefit from expectations of liquidity easing and rally in resonance with U.S. stocks and commodities.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy：95000-96000
tp:97000-98000
sl：93500
BTC downtrend continuationWe have watched this pair drop all week. Here's my setup for a bearish continuation. For a 1:5 solid risk-reward
Bitcoin Price Prediction from the Perspective of a Blind and Dea"Everything is clear. Throw unfounded claims and rumors in the trash."
Bitcoin long term - Don't be madTULIPS
Not financial advice.
CDBCs will kill crypto
It's not the future.
I will buy Bitcoin at 2 USD
Not financial advice.
$BTC BTC NEXT UP LEG NEAR 143000.
IF BTC close this week blow 94500 we can see the slip blow 90k towards 87k
