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BTC: Reclaim 110.4–111.1k or lose 108.7k — the pivot__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is in a corrective phase after the 117–124k top, still holding the HTF demand at 108,713–107,286. Price is highly level‑driven, with a mild risk‑off tone capping rebounds near 110.4–111.1k. Momentum: 📉 Slightly bearish below 110,402–111,135, with a low‑range structure holding above 108,713. Key levels: • Resistances (1H/4H/1D) : 110,402–111,135 (major lid), 114,471, 117,971. • Supports (12H/1D/1W) : 108,713–107,286 (demand zone), 98,330 (weekly base). Volumes: Very high on the sell‑leg in 4H/2H/1H; normal to moderate on 1D. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H filters stay up, while 6H/4H/2H lean down; 1H/30m/15m show tactical long windows on support. A reclaim of 110.4–111.1k would align TFs higher. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Reading NEUTRAL SELL → confirms capped rebounds and slightly contradicts the HTF up filter. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic stance: HTF trend still up but fading; stay opportunistic and disciplined around key levels. Global bias: Neutral‑bearish below 110,402–111,135; bias invalidated if a daily close above 111,135 holds. Opportunities: • Reclaim buy: Go long on breakout + held retest of 110,402 toward 111,135, targeting 114,471 next. • Tactical sell: Fade clean rejections at 110,402/111,135 if risk‑off persists, targeting 109.0k then 108,713. • Breakdown sell: Short confirmed loss of 108,713 (≥2 closes + failed retest) toward 107,286. Risk zones / invalidations: • A break of 108,713 likely opens 107,286 and raises downside momentum risk. • Reclaim of 111,135 invalidates tactical shorts and unlocks 114,471. Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): • PCE in line: supports “higher‑for‑longer” and a firm USD → mild headwind. • Fed “data‑dependent”: restrictive but flexible; market guided by levels. • Spot ETFs: negative daily flow, 7‑day near neutral → cautious near term, MT adoption intact. Action plan: • Long (reclaim): Entry 110,450–110,650 / Stop < 108,713 / TP1 111,135, TP2 114,471, TP3 117,971 / R:R ~2–3. • Short (rejection): Entry 110,100–110,300 / Stop > 111,135 / TP1 109,000, TP2 108,713, TP3 107,286 / R:R ~1.8–2.5. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall, HTFs remain constructive while MTF/intraday manage a base‑building range under nearby resistance. 1D/12H: Up filters softening; 108,713–107,286 defended; a reclaim above 111,135 would target 114,471. 6H/4H/2H: Down sequences with notable sell volume; 110,402 caps rebounds; loss of 108,713 likely opens 107,286. 1H/30m/15m: Tactical long windows on support (absorption/wicks), yet need a sustained push >110,402; otherwise the low range persists. Major divergences/confluences: HTF support confluence (108,713–107,286) vs mild risk‑off impulse; clearing 110.4–111.1k aligns TFs higher. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro is slightly constraining but not shocking, while on‑chain/flows set the tactical pivot. Macro events: • PCE in line and firm USD: reinforce “higher‑for‑longer” → mild risk‑off bias. • Fed data‑dependent: restrictive yet flexible; elevated sensitivity to levels. • New US tariffs: potential near‑term inflation impulse → possible risk‑off spillovers. Bitcoin analysis: • STH Cost Basis ~109.5–111k: a key psychological/technical pivot; fast regain fits bull‑market behavior if held. • Options/futures: post‑expiry “cleanup” and positioning reset; snapbacks likely if levels are reclaimed. • ETFs: daily outflows, 7‑day near neutral; MT adoption intact, but caution short term. On-chain data: • Sentiment washed out (low Fear & Greed) with improving hashrate: structurally supportive backdrop. • Stablecoins: recent issuance indicates “dry powder,” not guaranteed to deploy. Expected impact: Without a reclaim of 110.4–111.1k, mild risk‑off weighs; above it, MT/flow confluence favors a squeeze toward ~114.5k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is basing in a low range atop HTF supports, with a mild macro headwind. - Overall trend: neutral‑bearish below 110.4–111.1k, yet 12H/1D filters remain up. - Most relevant setup: reclaim buy above 110.4–111.1k toward 114.5k; conversely, loss of 108.7k targets 107.3k. - One key macro: PCE in line and a data‑dependent Fed keep a mild risk‑off tone. Let the levels lead: wait for a confirmed reclaim above 110.4–111.1k or a breakdown of 108.7k before committing risk. ⚖️
Long
by Ox_kali
BTC 15M Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 47❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 15-Minutes timeframe . 👀 After several days of decline from the zones we previously identified, we are back to analyze Bitcoin for you. On the 15-minute timeframe, Bitcoin is consolidating above the $108,800 support level, with the upper boundary of this consolidation at $109,760. A breakout above this level could signal the beginning of a new structure and trend. A breakdown below support, however, seems less convincing for a short position, as many traders who feel they missed out are now stepping in to buy. Current support zones are acting as both maker and taker buy levels. Bitcoin requires increased volume to confirm either a breakout or breakdown. With the upcoming weekend, however, risks must be carefully managed due to typically lower market activity. 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it is currently holding above the 50 level but facing resistance around 59. A breakout above 59 could enable Bitcoin to break consolidation resistance and push higher. On the other hand, a key zone lies near the oversold boundary; if Bitcoin enters this area, selling pressure could intensify and trigger a deeper correction. 🕯 Candle size and volume on the 15-minute chart remain within a range. We must wait for significant volume inflow—either upward or downward—to confirm direction. Bitcoin is shaping a new structure for the upcoming week, so patience is required until a breakout with decisive green or red candles occurs. 🧠 Trading outlook: It is preferable to wait for market structure to mature, with multiple tests of both support and resistance. The candlestick type used for entry is crucial, along with momentum confirmation at key RSI levels. A breakout above $109,766 combined with RSI surpassing 59 could provide a long setup. A breakdown below $108,795 combined with RSI falling below 30 and stronger selling pressure could trigger a short setup. Keep in mind that weekend trading usually comes with lower volume, which may result in indecisive structures—unless an unexpected global event sparks volatility. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by CryptosWinter
BTC/USDT Analysis. Buyers Lost Momentum Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update. Yesterday, Bitcoin followed the less favorable scenario: after testing the $111,300-$112,000 local zone, the price failed to consolidate above it and broke the local low. Just ~$300 short of the ~$108,400 zone (cluster anomalies), the market entered a sideways range, where clear buyer defense was recorded near the lows. At the moment, we expect a test of ~$108,400 and a possible recovery toward $110,000. If sellers return from that level, we anticipate a move toward the daily buyer zone, with the first target at $107,000. Buy Zones: • ~$108,400 (cluster anomalies) • $107,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes) Sell Zones: • ~$105,000 (initiative selling volumes) • $111,500-$113,000 (accumulated volumes) • $115,000-$116,000 (accumulated volumes) • $118,000–$119,000 (accumulated volumes) • $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption) This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
The ABCD Pattern: The Market’s Favorite Alphabet TrickIf the markets had a secret language, the ABCD pattern would probably be one of the first letters you’d learn. Clean, geometric, and surprisingly common, this formation has been studied for decades. In abcd pattern trading, it’s not about spelling words. It’s about spotting balance, symmetry, and rhythm in price movements. 📐 What Is the ABCD Pattern? Think of the ABCD pattern like a zigzag that markets often draw. It’s one of the simplest chart patterns in technical analysis because it shows how price usually moves in waves, not straight lines. Here’s how it works: A → B (Impulse Move): This is the first strong move, either up or down. In trading terms, it’s called an impulse leg — the market pushes in one direction with momentum. B → C (Correction): After a big push, the price takes a breather. This is the corrective leg. It doesn’t usually erase the whole move, just part of it. C → D (Continuation Move): Here’s the key: the price often makes another move, similar in size and angle to A → B. That’s why people say the ABCD has “symmetry.” So, when you connect the dots A-B-C-D, you get a neat geometric shape that traders call the ABCD trading pattern. ⚠️ But a warning straight away: no matter how perfect an ABCD looks on paper, it cannot be read in isolation. Without confirmation from other tools — volume, momentum indicators, or broader market context — it’s just a geometric doodle on your chart. 🟩 Bullish and Bearish Variants Like most patterns, ABCD has two moods. The bullish ABCD pattern shows up after a down-move, hinting that the market might be ready for a rebound. The bearish sibling often forms after an up-move, suggesting exhaustion. The structure doesn’t change — it’s always AB, BC, and CD — but the meaning depends on where it forms. In a bullish ABCD, sellers push the price down twice before running out of strength, and that’s when buyers often step in. In a bearish ABCD, buyers push the price up twice, but eventually lose momentum, giving sellers a chance to take over. So when you see an ABCD chart pattern, you’re not just connecting dots — you’re watching how buyers and sellers take turns, and where one side might finally give up control. 📊 Real Market Example Take Bitcoin in early 2021. After a powerful rally from around ~$14K to ~$42K, BTC corrected back to ~$29K before surging again to new highs near ~$64K. This sequence mapped cleanly into a textbook ABCD pattern: A → B: The rally into the ~$42K peak. B → C: The correction down to the ~$29K zone. C → D: A rebound to ~$64K, completing the mirrored leg. It wasn’t a trading signal on its own — far from it. However, when combined with fading momentum and volume divergence, the ABCD chart pattern provided a visual anchor for identifying exhaustion in what was becoming an overheated market. 🧩 Why the ABCD Pattern Still Matters The appeal of the abcd trading pattern lies in its simplicity. Markets are noisy, messy, and emotional. The ABCD strips that down to a geometric rhythm that even a beginner can spot. But here’s the catch: if you lean only on it, you’ll miss the bigger story. Professional analysts stress this constantly: the ABCD pattern works best as part of a toolkit. Pair it with Fibonacci retracements, moving averages, or support/resistance zones, and you’ll see how it fits into the wider puzzle. Alone, it’s just half a sentence. Together with other tools, it becomes part of the market’s story. 🎯 Final Thoughts So, what is the ABCD pattern? It’s not magic, not a guarantee, but a visual lens. Think of it as one of the market’s favorite ways of whispering: “Something’s happening here.” The trick is listening carefully and comparing it with the rest of the orchestra. Because in trading, and especially in crypto, a single instrument never plays the whole song.
Education
by WhiteBIT
1
BITCOIN DAILY/4HR THE daily trendline and 4hr trendline break out will be watched for forward guidance. if we break the top layer resistance we buy and target 123k current all time and high and factor the possibility of 135-130k-128k zone for next sell. And our sell will be on break of steep ascending trendline acting as dynamic support and we will watch 114k and 111.78k zone and further downslide wiill be 90k-100k zone. zone by zone layer by layer. the structure of the market is clear ,it will never lie. trading is 100% probability and you need the mindset of a hunter, dont buy because others are buying. your risk to reward ratio should be your trade reason. GOODLUCK
Long
by Shavyfxhub
6
The Power of Confluence – Turning Chaos into Clarity!Most traders lose because they jump on the first signal they see. A trendline break, an RSI crossover, a candlestick pattern… But in isolation, these signals are weak and often misleading. The market rewards patience and confluence; when multiple factors align at the same level, turning noise into clarity. 📈 Why Confluence Matters Think of trading signals like witnesses in court. One alone may be unreliable. But when several confirm the same story, the probability of truth skyrockets. The same applies to trading setups. 🔑 Types of Confluence - Structure + Trendline: A horizontal support aligning with a rising trendline. - Fib + Zone: A 61.8% retracement overlapping with a demand area. - Pattern + Level: A double bottom forming right on a key support. - Multi-Timeframe: Weekly support intersecting with a daily trendline. - The more elements lining up, the stronger the zone becomes. 📊 Example Imagine Bitcoin approaching $107,500. On the weekly, it’s a major structure. On the daily, a falling wedge support. On the 4H, RSI is oversold. Alone, each signal is average. Together, they form a high-probability buy zone. ⏳ The Takeaway Confluence isn’t about predicting the market; it’s about stacking probabilities in your favor. Instead of chasing every move, wait for the market to whisper the same message from different angles. That’s where consistency is built. What’s your favorite type of confluence setup? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
27
Bitcoin Roadmap: Can BTC Hold the $108K Before Next Big move!?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to break the Support zone($110,920-$109,900) and Support lines yesterday with the help of a Bearish Marubozu Candle(the Marubozu candle volume was acceptable). Bitcoin is still moving in the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) and near the important Support line, Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($108,165-$107,000). In terms of Elliott Wave theory, Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3. Microwave 4 of the main wave 3 is of the Contracting Triangle type, and the main wave 3 is of the extended type. I expect Bitcoin to start rising and attack the Resistance lines after completing the main wave 3 from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Support zone($108,200-$107,240), and Important Support line. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $110,624-$109,836 Note: If Bitcoin touches $106,800, we can expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800). Note: If Bitcoin goes above $111,000, we can expect a renewed rise in Bitcoin. --------------------------------------------- One of the indices that helps the Roadmap of Bitcoin and other tokens is the USDT.D%. USDT.D% currently seems to have managed to break the heavy resistance zone and this is NOT good news for Bitcoin and other tokens, and perhaps a further correction in the crypto market is on the way. USDT.D%’s roadmap for me is that it is almost in line with today’s analysis of Bitcoin. --------------------------------------------- Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
13
Bitcoin (BTC): Back At Major Support Zone | Golden Buy Area?What a dip we have had, which led the price to a major support zone of $108K. Now we have approached a golden buy zone, which previous times has been working out well for us so we will maintain the similar game plan like we had all the previous times. We look for some kind of smaller accumulation to happen inside this area; after that, we want to see proper market structure break and movement back to upper zones. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
1
$BTC market update.CRYPTOCAP:BTC Market Update CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently ranging between $120K and $106K. If you didn’t enter near the bottom of this range, be cautious—there’s still a strong chance of rejection since the 1W consolidation isn’t finished yet. The recent liquidity grab was expected, and with the CME gap nearly filled, the market is now at a decision point. What’s next? We’re sitting in the middle of the range: If rejected, we could revisit the bottom around $106K, which would offer a stronger entry for the next leg up. If momentum continues, the next target is the top of the channel at $120K. The rejection scenario looks more likely since this push wasn’t impulsive—it was news-driven and unfolded slowly over a week, suggesting market makers may be buying to trigger short liquidations. Indicators: RSI → Each time it overheats, a cooldown follows. A better entry may be lower since this move seems topped. MACD → Still ranging, offering clear buy/sell zones. Stochastic RSI → Pointing toward a cooldown, reinforcing the rejection case. Bearish divergence → If it is forming now, it would validate this idea further. Keep and eye on it. Always remember: DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
4
waiting for BTC to recover, accumulate above 107KBTC Technical Analysis (4H Chart): After breaking down from the rising channel, BTC has confirmed a bearish structure, forming lower highs and lower lows. Price recently bounced from the 108,800–109,000 support zone, which aligns with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. This is a key short-term support area to watch. If buyers can hold this support, BTC may retest the 111,600–111,700 resistance zone. A breakout above could open the path toward the higher resistance at 115,300–115,400. On the downside, if the 109,000 zone fails, the next bearish targets lie at 105,900 and deeper Fibonacci projections around 104,200–103,100. Trend Outlook: Short-term: Possible recovery toward 111,600 or even 115,300 if demand holds above 109,000. Medium-term: Still bearish-biased as long as price stays under the 200 EMA (~114,000). Key Levels to Note: Resistance: 111,600 – 111,700, 115,300 – 115,400 Support: 109,000, 105,900, 104,200 – 103,100
Long
by Nova-Scalper
2
BTC 110K IS A NEW UPTREND FOR LOW TIME FRAME UPDATE 26/09/2025BTC/USDT Update On the low time frame, BTC is still in a breakdown structure, trading around 109.5K – 109.7K. However, the market is now approaching a key reversal zone where a new uptrend could start. Key levels: 110K → first confirmation level. A strong reclaim and close above this would be the first signal for a potential uptrend after more than a day under pressure. 113,296 – 113,892 → main trend resistance zone. Only a breakout and confirmation above this range would flip the structure fully bullish again. Upside scenario: A move back above 110K confirms low time frame strength, opening the path to test 113K+. Downside risk: Failure to reclaim 110K keeps BTC under bearish momentum, with risk of continuation toward 108K or lower. 📌 Summary BTC remains in breakdown mode but is close to reversal territory. Above 110K → first low time frame uptrend confirmation. Above 113K+ → stronger trend reversal back into bullish cycle. Below 110K → downside risk stays active.
Long
by SatochiTrader
1
Bitcoin at a Crossroad: Will $101K Support Hold?BTC is trading inside a clear descending channel, indicating a sustained bearish trend. $101,558 – a potential short-term support level. $98,795 – a stronger support aligned with the lower boundary of the channel and long-term trendline. Long-term trendline support: Still intact, starting from late 2024, suggesting that the macro uptrend is not yet broken. If BTC holds above $101K and rebounds, it could reattempt a breakout from the descending channel. A breakdown below $98.8K may accelerate bearish momentum, potentially pushing the price toward $92,703 as marked on the chart. On the upside, a confirmed breakout above the descending channel could bring BTC back toward the $120K region.
by milad-bit24
DeGRAM | BTCUSD will retest the $106900 level📊 Technical Analysis ● BTC/USD rejected dynamic resistance and broke lower within the falling channel, confirming short-term bearish momentum. ● The price targets the 106,900 support zone, with continued pressure from lower highs and strong resistance near 124,000. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Bitcoin is weighed down by risk-off sentiment as U.S. yields rise, while weaker liquidity and stronger dollar outlook add to downside pressure. ✨ Summary BTC/USD remains under dynamic resistance, targeting 106,900 support as bearish momentum dominates. Short-term outlook stays negative unless 114,000 is reclaimed. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1