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BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas

Sep 1, 2025 - BTCUSDT Short ScenarioIn the recent downtrend, each retest of the descending trendline has shown a slight weakening in bearish momentum. Currently, the price is approaching a key daily support at 105,500 . Since Bitcoin has already broken previous support levels and dropped to this point, a test of this final support zone seems likely. Therefore, once the price reaches the trendline, I will monitor its reaction on lower timeframes. If bearish continuation is confirmed, I will be expecting roughly a 3% downside move. For opening a position after Bitcoin reaches this area, I will also check Bitcoin dominance to decide whether to short Bitcoin directly or look for setups in altcoins. If BTC dominance rises, I will focus on short opportunities in altcoins. The next important reactions will be around 106,500 and 105,500 . As mentioned earlier, we are already seeing early signs of weakness in the current downtrend: 1. Each touch of the descending trendline shows reduced bearish momentum. 2. The bearish waves are getting smaller in size with each touch of the trendline. Thus, in these final support areas where buyers may step in, the probability of a trend reversal is now higher than at any previous point in this downtrend.
Short
by Utopia-2025
1
Analytics: market outlook and forecasts 📈WHAT HAPPENED? Last week was marked by an update of the local minimum again. However, the breakdown turned out to be uncertain and weak, accompanied by delta absorption. We've rebuilt the global buying zone on the daily chart: now it's in the range of $108,000-$102,500. Until the price is fixed below these levels, the global trend can be considered upwards. In the short term, bitcoin is still in a downward trend. It's extremely risky to open long positions before the breakdown of the inclined line. The seller's activity remains limited, but the buyer doesn't take the initiative either. 💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? The main scenario for the current week is the expansion of the range to collect liquidity in both directions. The minimum is most likely not formed yet. For a more confident decline, the market needs more activity. This requires two conditions: an increase in open interest from the buyer and liquidity in the form of stop orders. For now, it's better to refrain from trading the first cryptocurrency or, in anticipation of the resumption of the global long trend, consider grid spot strategies. Buy Zones: • $108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes) Sell Zones: • $112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone) • $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone) • ~$116,500 (volume anomaly) • $117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes) • $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption) 📰 IMPORTANT DATES The following macroeconomic events are expected this week: • Tuesday, September 2, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for August; • Tuesday, September 2, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (PMI) USA for August; • Wednesday, September 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for July; • Thursday, September 4, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector in August; • Thursday, September 4, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States for August; • Thursday, September 4, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the business activity index (PMI) in the US services sector for August; • Thursday, September 4, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-manufacturing sector (ISM) USA for August; • Friday, September 5, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States for August. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin (BTC): 100 & 200EMA Are The Key ZonesBTC is testing the 100EMA again, which is the main battleground right now. If buyers manage to hold this zone, we’re going to look for a BOS setup that would open the road towards $140K–$150K. But if sellers break below and secure the 100EMA, then the 200EMA becomes the next logical dip target. That’s why we’ve got two separate buy entries lined up — one right here, and one lower in case we get the deeper liquidity sweep. Gameplan remains the same! Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
01/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $113,692.97 Last weeks low: $107,357.75 Midpoint: $110,525.36 Despite continuing the short term bearish trend, BTC saw a net inflow of $441m via ETFs last week and $1.08B for Ethereum ETFs. Continuing high demand has capped this drawdown for now at weekly low (~$107,500) with three separate drives into the level and a bounce each time there is a clear line in the sand to monitor this week, for now it is advantage bulls. In terms of data releases there isn't much big news on the way apart from Unemployment data later in the week. I don't expect this data to influence the decision to cut interest rates later this month, as it stands a cut is going to happen. We've just started a new month and so as always bigger players who de-risked for month end can begin deploying capital once again during a period that will be pricing in a rate cut. These factors look good for the bulls after a 14% drawdown from ATHs, could the local low be in? For me I'm still mindful of the previous poor performances each year around September, the difference being this time a rate cut is on the way which changes the dynamics slightly. IF Bitcoin were to retest the $100k mark the R:R on a long there would be huge, a -20% move down, quite normal in bull market situations. IF the 0.25 line (~$109,000) hold/reclaim a LTF change in structure would be bullish with an invalidation below weekly low. The target from there would be weekly high for the bulls.
by ProR35
Bitcoin (BTC): Entering Q4 | Targeting $150K On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin continues to respect the 100EMA and 200EMA, with market price steadily dragging both indicators higher. This week opened with a retest of the Bollinger Bands middle line, which acted as dynamic support and provided a solid bounce — an early sign that buyers are still in control (though the week is just getting started). As we move into Q4, we expect liquidity to rotate from BTC into ETH, reducing Bitcoin’s dominance. That doesn’t mean BTC won’t print fresh ATHs — we’re still looking for a push into higher zones — but ETH will deliver bigger gains in this phase. Our upside target for BTC remains at $150K before the next bear market cycle begins. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
1
Bitcoin Price Consolidation and Bullish Continuation PotentialBitcoin has entered a corrective phase, marking a consolidation period after its recent upward momentum. This pullback appears to be technically expected, with price action likely to extend toward key support levels. In a deeper correction scenario, Bitcoin may retest lower support zones—potentially the bottom of its current ascending channel. As long as the price holds above these key support areas and reacts positively near the lower boundary of the channel, the overall bullish structure remains intact. If support holds and bullish momentum resumes, Bitcoin has the potential to push towards new all-time highs. Based on current chart observations, the next major resistance zone lies between 115,000 and 120,000. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck Guys. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Long
by MrMartin_11
19
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Buying Opportunity From Confluence ZoneBINANCE:BTCUSDT is rebounding from support after completing an ABC pullback inside the broader upward channel. The structure shows a mix of compression phases and breakout legs, now aligning near a key support zone. As long as 106,000 holds, price could extend toward 117,000, with 125,000 as the next major resistance zone. The broader momentum remains bullish, but continuation depends on buyers defending this mid-range. 📉 Key Levels Buy trigger: Breakout above 112,000 with volume confirmation Buy zone: 106,000–108,000 accumulation region Target: 117,000 Invalidation: Close below 100,000 💡 Risks Failure to hold 106,000 support may expose BTC to deeper retracement toward 97,000. Broader macro headwinds, such as Fed rate outlook, could limit upside momentum. If sellers step in strongly near 117,000, rejection could trap late buyers. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
11
BTC - breadcrumbsObserving bullish div. (Double divergence) Huge liquidity Zone 106,400 - 107,100 sat below. Appears that BTC is reacting to the fibs. Currently bouncing off 618 Prediction: I think that BTC is leaving the lower liq zone as a snack for later. Rally into the week +3%. However think we will run into resistance @ 110K which is the weekly high x 3 / low x 1, the 0.5 fib, a liquidity zone and would touch a macro uptrend. Then start to move down to grab said liquidity but ultimately moving down to 786 @ 103K mid-september. Think this will act as a long squeeze for traders expecting new ATHs. Then parabolic rally into late Q4.
Long
by Strength_in_numbers
#BTC Beware of a Weekly Pullback📊#BTC Beware of a Weekly Pullback⚠️ 🧠From a structural perspective, the market is bullish, and the broader trend remains bullish. The ideal target range of 134.8k-175.5k remains achievable, so we need to look for lower levels to participate. ➡️Currently, the weekly closing price is below the weekly support and resistance lines and has fallen below the July low. Therefore, I believe it's too early to be bullish at this point, and we should be wary of a deeper correction. ➡️In addition, we've always seen a surge after a drop of around 30% from a high. Starting in March 2024, BTC fell 24.77% before surging. Starting in January 2025, BTC fell 32% before touching the rising channel and surging. Starting in August 2025... ??? ⚠️I believe a new buying opportunity will be located in the yellow support zone below, around 87k-96k. Let's see 👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Short
by wolf_king888
[IMPORTANT] BTC starts to show weaknessBTC is approaching a weekly close below the 120D EMA. If this breakdown is confirmed, we could expect BTC to move lower towards the 50W EMA. If the 120D EMA break is confirmed, my plan is to: Reduce my altcoin positions. Wait patiently for potential long opportunities at around the 50W EMA area ($90,000-$95,000) If the 50W EMA is broken by a weekly candle, then it's very likely BTC will have a big correction (in bearish phrase). Please also check my long-term BTC prediction with the below link. It seems BTC is facing a very strong resistance zone. I’m not certain this is the cycle top as suggested in the analysis, but I remain cautious about what’s ahead for the crypto market and have already started reducing my exposure. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
by evasivesteering
BTC Rejection can touch 100K.......The chart is showing what looks like a double top pattern at the recent highs (~118k–120k USDT), marked by two "R" resistance points. The neckline is roughly around the 112k zone (green support line). A confirmed breakdown below this neckline could activate the double top target, pushing price lower. 2. RSI Divergence There’s a bearish divergence — price made a higher high, but RSI made a lower high. This signals weakening bullish momentum and increases the probability of a pullback. 3. Support & Resistance Zones Immediate resistance: 118k–120k Immediate support: 112k (neckline) Next major support: ~104k (previous range support), and then ~96k if selling intensifies. 4 Possible Scenarios Bearish: If BTC closes below 112k with volume, it may head toward 104k, possibly even 96k. Bullish invalidation: A strong daily close above 120k with increasing volume could negate the bearish setup and lead to new highs. The second push to resistance faced a strong rejection, completing a double top pattern. This rejection, combined with high bearish volume, strongly signals downside momentum. The setup confirms a likely move to lower price levels in the near term.
Short
by limitissky77
BTC/USDT – Downtrend Continues, Target Around 105KHello everyone, Over the past week, Bitcoin, after failing to break 123K, has clearly shifted into a strong downtrend, forming a continuous series of lower highs and lower lows. The recent drop broke through the 112.1K level—which aligns with the 1.0 Fib of the previous decline—and the price is now trading below all the upper resistance clusters. From a technical perspective, supply zones and FVGs are exerting significant selling pressure. Specifically, the 116.4K–117.7K area (Fib 0.618–0.5) combined with the previous FVG supply has repeatedly rejected price, while the newly formed 109K–111K zone just below 112.1K could act as a selling area if BTC retraces upward. The layered FVGs above indicate that supply remains thick, emphasizing that any rebound is likely to be capped by selling pressure. Momentum and candlestick behavior also confirm that sellers are in control. Long red candles, short pullbacks, and lack of volume expansion on upward moves all suggest that buying strength is insufficient to push the price higher. This technical signal reinforces the likelihood that the downtrend will continue. Regarding targets, the confluence support cluster at 104.8K–105.3K is a reasonable destination for the current decline, aligning with the 1.618 Fib extension and previous demand zones on the chart. If this area breaks, the risk of a deeper drop could extend toward 102.5K–103.0K. In summary, the downtrend structure is clear, supply and FVGs above are dense, and the path of least resistance remains toward ~105K. Each rebound to the 109K–111K area is likely an opportunity for sellers to reassert control, keeping the bearish trend dominant.
Short
by EmmaChartist
32