Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Technical Analysis – October 2025:Bitcoin just hit an ATH above $125K, and now it’s consolidating in a tight pennant pattern! This TradingView chart breaks down key levels and signals for traders. Here’s what’s cooking:
🔑Key Levels
- Support: $106K-$102K (strong demand zone, backed by 1W MA50)
- Resistance: $126K (near-term target), $138K (Q4 projection)
- Pattern: Bullish pennant forming post-ATH breakout
🔍 Indicators:
- RSI (H4): Oversold bounce, signaling buy opportunity
- MACD: Bullish crossover on daily, hinting at momentum
- Volume: Rising institutional inflows ($10B+ ETF AUM)
📅 Date: October 15, 2025
💬 What’s your take on BTC’s next move? Drop your thoughts below and let’s discuss! Follow for more crypto TA updates.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTrading #PricePrediction #October2025
Trade ideas
Bitcoin Faces Key Liquidity Levels — High Volatility ExpectedWith a break below the $113,726–$113,893 range, over $400 million in long positions could be liquidated.
Additionally, a break of $111,548 could trigger another $252 million in liquidations.
You can consider taking positions around these levels, but keep in mind — volatility is likely to spike sharply once these liquidity zones are tested.
While Bitcoin did manage to bounce from $111,879 with increasing volume, I personally don’t like the structure of the recent candles. For now, I’m staying on the sidelines, avoiding both long and short entries until the market shows clearer direction.
Sometimes, patience is also a position.
Bitcoin plummeted as US-China tensions escalated again.
The world's two largest economies continued their battle over key industries related to defense and national security.
Washington and Beijing renewed their battle on Tuesday after China decided to sanction five US subsidiaries of Hanwha Ocean, a South Korean shipbuilder, for alleged ties to the US government. Hanwha's stock price plummeted 8% on the news, while Bitcoin fell 4% before recovering in the afternoon.
(China accuses Hanwha Marine, a South Korean shipbuilding company, of assisting the US in a Section 301 investigation / Hanwha Marine)
A formal announcement from China's Ministry of Commerce stated: "In response to the US's Section 301 investigation measures against China's marine, logistics, and shipbuilding sectors... we hereby announce the imposition of countermeasures against five subsidiaries of the US-related Hanwha Marine Co., Ltd., effective October 14, 2025."
Section 301 of US trade law allows the government to respond to unfair trade practices. The US alleges that China is secretly engaging in unfair activities aimed at dominating the marine, shipbuilding, and logistics industries. Beijing has been accused of subsidizing these industries and even employing "forced technology transfer" to "reinvent technology."
The United States subsequently imposed service fees and tariffs of up to 150% on Chinese marine products. Beijing retaliated with higher service fees and, today, sanctioned Hanwha's US subsidiary, accusing it of assisting Washington's investigation.
"A Google Translated version of the official Chinese announcement states: 'The US Section 301 investigations and measures against China's marine, logistics, and shipbuilding industries seriously violate international law,' and 'Hanwha Marine's US subsidiary assisted and supported the US government's investigation, endangering our country's sovereignty, security, and development interests.'"
Bitcoin and Hanwha stock weren't the only assets affected by the news. The broader cryptocurrency market fell 2%, and stocks experienced some volatility following the announcement, but subsequently recovered. However, the Nasdaq remained down 0.18% at press time.
At the time of writing, it was trading at $112,334.40, having earlier plummeted to $110,029.49 following the Chinese announcement. The cryptocurrency is down 7.55% this week, despite having risen as high as $116,020.49 since Monday.
FAQ ⚡
Why is Bitcoin down today?
Bitcoin fell over 4% after China announced sanctions against a subsidiary of South Korea's Hanwha Ocean, which has ties to the US.
What sparked the US-China dispute?
Washington imposed steep Section 301 tariffs on China's marine industry, prompting Beijing to retaliate.
How severe was the market reaction?
The overall cryptocurrency market fell around 2%, with Bitcoin briefly dipping to $110,000 before recovering somewhat.
What is Section 301?
It's a US trade law that allows tariffs to be imposed on countries accused of unfair or coercive trade practices.
BTCUSDT.P — C-Wave Short Setup/EntryTL;DR:
Bear HVN rejection, momentum rollover, C-leg targets 111 k–110 k.
Short bias intact while under 113.5 k.
⸻
🩻 Market Logic
This is a C-leg continuation play within a corrective structure, trading momentum + order-flow confluence:
• CVD down + CRVOL flat = liquidity fade.
• RSI breakdown = momentum confirmation.
• HVN rejection = structural trigger.
If 113.6 k gets reclaimed on strong volume → thesis invalidated; above that, next play is the L-BOR toward 116 k – 122 k.
After the liquidation flush and retrace, BTC printed a textbook A–B–C corrective structure inside the larger wave-5 on hourly charts.
The B-wave retraced ~0.93 of the prior drop — deep enough to trap late longs but shallow enough to preserve bearish symmetry.
🧠 Technical Context
• 1H HVN: 113.1k zone acting as supply shelf.
• RSI (10m): rolled under 50 → momentum shift confirmed.
• CVD: still negative (~–55k) — buyers not reclaiming control.
• CRVOL: >1.1× → active but fading = exhaustion, not expansion.
• Fib projections (C-wave):
• 1.0 × target → 111.55k
• 1.618 × extension → 110.38k
⚙️ Execution Plan
• Short Entry: 112.9 k – 113.2 k (bear HVN underside)
• Stop: 113.6 k (above 1 h wick)
• Targets:
• TP1 = 111.55 k
• TP2 = 110.38 k
• TP3 = 109.8 k (full C-leg completion)
• Bias: Bearish until hourly close > 113.48 k
BTC,Wyckoff,Fib areas Here are my two main scenarios and thoughts on the current BTC structure:
First of all — I’m still bullish. I don’t think we’ve reached the end of the bull run yet, but I do believe this is the final phase of the bull run and the altseason.
On the chart, you can clearly see a major shakeout that confused almost everyone in the market — we saw massive liquidations, nearly 100%.
On the hourly RSI, we’re now showing oversold conditions, and I believe we’re about to take the last low soon, which might set up a strong reaction.
So, I’m watching three main scenarios for a potential move:
1️⃣ Scenario 1:
Price pushes up to the 118,000–119,000 zone first, then drops lower to sweep liquidity below the previous low around 101,500, targeting 94,000–96,000, while RSI shows a bullish divergence.
2️⃣ Scenario 2:
Price goes straight down to 94,000–96,000, then begins a new impulsive wave toward the next major targets at 137,000–144,000.
3️⃣ Scenario 3 (Bearish Breakdown):
If price breaks below 94,440 with strong candles and no wicks, it could confirm further weakness — we may see lower lows and continued downside movement in the coming sessions.
If the next wave gets more aggressive, I wouldn’t be surprised to see 158,000 as an extended target.
For now, I’m staying on the sidelines — I want to see how the market develops and what kind of structure we form in phase C on the daily chart.
Bitcoin's Deleveraging Reset: A New Phase BeginsThe Bitcoin market has undergone a sharp deleveraging, with over $19 billion in open contracts wiped out. This rapid reversal in leverage triggered widespread liquidations and a significant shift in investor positioning. Momentum indicators like RSI and spot CVD confirm the extent of the move, showing a drop in buying pressure and dominance of aggressive selling in the short term.
Despite the intensity of the event, the broader market structure remains intact. Spot trading volumes are still high, ETF inflows continue steadily, and on-chain metrics signal robust activity. This suggests that while leveraged participants were forced out, institutional demand and structural capital are still present, providing underlying support to the market.
In the options market, traders have repositioned around new volatility regimes, with increased demand for downside protection. On-chain metrics reflect a normalization, with profitability ratios cooling from euphoric levels but still indicating a market led by profitable holders. Overall, the market is entering a consolidation phase, marked by renewed caution, selective risk-taking, and a more measured rebuilding of confidence across spot and derivatives markets.
BTC Bias — Watching for Breakdown & Short OpportuniesLast week I was leaning bullish on Bitcoin, but that bias has now been invalidated after losing structure on the daily. Price has broken below the 5/10/20 EMA stack and failed to reclaim it — signalling indecision and potential downside momentum building beneath the surface.
While the weekly chart is still holding the 20 EMA (so the higher-timeframe bias remains technically bullish), the constant back-and-forth on the daily suggests exhaustion. If BTC closes a full candle below the weekly 20 EMA, that’s my trigger for a confirmed shift — and at that point, I’ll begin actively watching for short setups across the board.
Many altcoins — especially hype names like HYPE, BONK, MOG, BRETT, and PEPE — are already showing clear weakness. If Bitcoin breaks down from here, those are likely to unwind hard, giving some of the cleanest short opportunities we’ve seen in months.
For now, I’m sidelined and patient — waiting for BTC to either reclaim the daily EMAs and re-establish strength, or confirm breakdown for a full risk-off move.
Questions for discussion:
– Do you think BTC holds the weekly 20 EMA or breaks it this time?
– Which altcoin looks weakest to you right now if Bitcoin rolls over?
– Are you staying flat, or preparing to position short on further confirmation?
#BTCUSDT Daily ChartPrice is currently ranging inside a minor daily demand zone after breaking below the 100MA. MACD is showing bearish momentum, RSI is sold and EMAs are neutral. We should see price bounce from here if and give us lower timeframe confirmation in order to expect further bullish movements.
BTC not looking goodI've been saying this for a while now, and it has been mostly true. Now, someone made a bigger short position (like +400M). This is not the dip! If anything, take the inverse with an ETF (e.g., MSTZ, BTCZ). It will cross below 100k, it's not a matter of if, but when.
Best of luck folks!
BTC Daily — Channel Check / Keep Your Leash Tight 🏄♂️
Yo fam, BTC’s still movin’ inside that rising channel — highs around ~125–126k, lows riding that channel floor. We just saw a nasty shove down that clipped the lower channel and popped back up, so right now price is sitting in that mid-channel zone.
What I’m seein’:
The big picture is still bullish (we’re in an up-sloping channel), but momentum’s wobblin’ — that last dump showed sellers still got teeth.
If BTC can hold above the channel floor and reclaim the midzone, bulls can breathe and we could retest the highs.
If price fails the channel support on a proper close, don’t be surprised to see another leg down toward the lower trendline (that’s where the real buyers usually hide).
Levels to watch (quick & dirty)
Upside / invalidation for bears: reclaim & hold above the recent highs (~125k area).
Key near support: the channel floor / current lower range (~105–110k area) — watch how price behaves there.
If that breaks: next structural support is much lower (purple long-term trend sits well below), so risk ramps up.
Game plan
No rush to size up big — wait for a clean structure (retest + rejection or a proper breakout).
If you wanna trade: lean small into retracements, or wait to see a solid retest of the channel floor for a higher-prob buy.
If you’re hunting shorts, only consider them if price rallies back into resistance and gives a clear bearish structure — otherwise respect the channel.
TL;DR
Bull market vibes overall, but momentum’s shaky after that shove. Sit tight, watch the channel floor, and only paddle in once the structure gives you a clean entry. Play safe, ride smart 🤙🌴
BTC Blow off topBTC is still tracking for my blow off top thesis end of October-mid November, Like most I didn't see the crash coming over the weekend, however structure and shape still on track for an explosive end rally. With the weekends antics we either get one of the most hated rallies that will cause everyone to FOMO in or 126k was the top and the bear market has already started. With the 100k floor holding and getting back to around 115k I think its going to be the first option rather than the later.
Bitcoin Eyes $116.6K Breakout Confirmation📊 Market Update — Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
BTC has successfully confirmed the low time frame zone, holding steady above both the support and volume range, which signals continued short-term strength.
Currently, price action is consolidating within the upper boundary of the range — a sign of buyer absorption before potential expansion.
🔹 Key Level to Watch: $116.6K
This level acts as an important confirmation point — a 1-hour (or higher) close above this zone could validate a breakout continuation, opening the path toward the $120K–$125K range.
If BTC sustains this structure, the bullish momentum remains intact, with low time frame structure aligning with higher trend support.
📈 Bias: Bullish Continuation
🎯 Next Targets: $116.6K → $120K → $125K