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BTCUST.P trade ideas

BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, >> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. - As we had explained in my last idea, I think we are still moving in this Brown X, which starts to form this Irregular flat pattern Green wave ABC. - till now, I don't have any confirmation of ending this Green wave B, just breaking 115000 will confirm it. >> Reminder: * For the biger imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Orange wave A of the final White C for ABC from its begining. * For the smaller imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Blue wave C of the final Green C for the upper Orange wave A. * For the tighter imagination of the BTC path, I think we are still moving into the correction wave B for the upper Blue wave C. Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon! Thanks, bros
by MASCryptoAna
$BTC to 108k easily....should have bought BTCZ on Friday!I've been trying to warn folks months, weeks, and days ago about this and it's quickly unraveling. History may not repeat itself, but it rhymes and BTC is whistling all the way down the next support level of 108k then 100k, then 70k"ish." BTC correlates with Nasdaq and many companies are not doing well and the economy is doing worse than reported figures. If you're holding, let it go before you are left with worthless digital coins. Every major technical indicator shows weakness and history has not been kind to BTC (major drop to follow after ATH). Best of luck out there!
Short
by antonini2002
3
#Bitcoin Bearish Setup: $BTC is facing heavy resistance at 120k#Bitcoin Sunday Update Bearish Setup: CRYPTOCAP:BTC is facing heavy resistance at the long-term trendline (around 115K–120K). Volume is dropping, a double top has formed, and retail entries are clustered above 110K–120K, creating a strong trap. 🔸 Support 93K–95K: This aligns with the CME gap, weekly EMA50 retest, and liquidity pool. Market makers likely drive price into this zone to flush weak hands before the next leg higher. 🔸 Upside Target: 135K–150K (after correction) Once the correction plays out and retail gets washed out, BTC is expected to resume its bullish cycle and push into new highs. 🔸 Risk Level at 124K: A clean weekly close above 124K with strong spot demand would invalidate the short-term bearish thesis. 🔸 Outlook: Short area remains 110K–124K. Best strategy is gradual profit-taking on spot and step-by-step short positioning until the correction into 90–95K plays out. Reload lower for the next bullish leg.
Short
by CryptoSkullSignal
BITCOIN btcusdt DAILY PRICEACTION BITCOIN ON DAILY is giving a different structure, the breakout of a demand floor and the retest has experienced twice retest from the structure. FED rate cut ,hold or increase will come as a surprise due to matrix used in the voting and decision making by FOMC members. FED CAN APPLY THE Taylor Rule if they want to. The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions. What is the Taylor Rule? It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors: The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%). The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output. The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating. Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth. Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions? The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency. It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth. The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy. During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment. The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets. this points to FED holding federal fund rate at 4.25% to 4.50% for a long time ,despite persistent pressure to lower fund rate like BOE,RBA BOJ ,RBZ have done this year. if the current price of BTC doesn't see upswing dont complain because smart traders and banks have kept a secret away from public space. ALLOW FEDS DO THERE JOB,DONT SPECULATE THEM. #BTC #BITCOIN
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BITCOIN TRADERS SHOULD ALLOW FED SET RATE ,RATHER THAN SPECULATING IT.THE CHANCES THEY WILL APPLY TYLOR RULE IS ON THE DESK. The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions. What is the Taylor Rule? It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors: The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%). The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output. The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating. Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth. Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions? The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency. It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth. The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy. During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment. The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets. AM WAITING ON SELL FROM THE ROOF . HUNTER WAY. #BTC #BITCOIN
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, >> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. - As we had explained in my last idea, and Ended the extension wave for Blue wave wxy, then reversed and broke 115900, as I mentioned as a first indication. - I am waiting to see the formation of the Brown wave X, will it be Brown X and then back to Brown Y ? Or will have the confirmation of starting the final wave C to end the total bullish counting as the final top. >> Reminder: * For the biger imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Orange wave A of the final White C for ABC from its begining. * For the smaller imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Blue wave C of the final Green C for the upper Orange wave A. * For the tighter imagination of the BTC path, I think we are still moving into the correction wave B for the upper Blue wave C. Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon! Thanks, bros
by MASCryptoAna
BITCOIN BTCUSDTThe Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions. What is the Taylor Rule? It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors: The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%). The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output. The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating. Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth. Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions? The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency. It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth. The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy. During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment. The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets. Basic Taylor Rule Formula r=p+0.5y+0.5(p−p ∗ )+r ∗ r=nominal federal funds rate (target rate) p=actual inflation rate p*=target inflation rate (~2%) y=output gap (percent difference between actual and potential GDP) r*=equilibrium real federal funds rate (often assumed to be about 2%) In simple terms, the Fed should raise or lower rates in response to inflation deviations and output gaps to stabilize the economy. The Taylor Rule matters because it guides the Fed to pursue a balanced approach—tightening policy when inflation or growth is too high, and easing when the economy slows or inflation falls short—helping to achieve stable prices and sustainable growth. The Taylor rule also points to a hike Even when considering the prior data, the Taylor Rule also suggests that the Fed could hike the Federal Funds rate. The Taylor Rule is one of the most reliable tools that the Fed considers for monetary policy action. It's based on the neutral rate, inflation measure, and the resource gap measure. Since these are not easily measurable variables, the Taylor Rule allows for simulations with different measures. The most common measures are summarized in three scenarios. Currently, two scenarios put the Federal Funds rate at around 4.25%, which is the bottom range of the current level of the Federal Funds rate, and suggests no cuts or hikes are necessary. However, Scenario 3 is putting the Federal Funds rate at 5.45%, which suggests that the Fed should hike by around 1% from the current level. The fact is that the unemployment rate is very low at the full employment level, while inflation has been well above the 2% target for a long time now. trading is 100% probability ,EURUSD buy gains today could become bearish tomorrow. trade carefully WE NEED BUY/ SELL CONFIRMATION FOR NOW, ALLOW THE MARKET TO COOLOFF FROM JACKSON HOLE SPEECH OF SIR JEROME POWELL TWISTED DOVISH COMMENT ON FRIDAY. THINK LIKE A HUNTER #BTCUSDT
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BTC will fall to 100k then 90k , sell nowHello friends, as I predicted in my previous idea, Bitcoin has started its retracement wave and I think it will continue to the range of 119-120 thousand. Bitcoin gave its last chance to exit today before starting its extensive correction. Elliott wave analysis shows that Bitcoin has completed its main wave 3 at the price of $ 124,500 and the price drop from this range to $ 111,500 was actually the first wave of the corrective impulse wave series. I expect the price to rise to the range of $ 120,000-119,000 and this will actually be the second wave and after that Bitcoin will have a big drop to the range of $ 100,000. We will not have a new NATH.
Short
by vmoradian6
2
BTCUSDT (30M) – Breakout & Retest | DROP YOUR THOUGHTS MUST?Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones BTC broke out of the downtrend structure 🔻, confirming a shift in momentum. Price retested the buying zone 💰 (around 114,800–115,000) and is now attempting a recovery. Order block sits above 118K, a crucial zone for liquidity. Market Overview After a long bearish leg, BTC showed signs of reversal with a strong breakout move 🚀. Bulls are eyeing higher targets if the buying zone holds. Failure to hold above 114,800 may lead to further dips. Key Scenarios Bullish Continuation 🚀 Holding above 114,800–115,000 → 🎯 Target 1: 115,626 🎯 Target 2: 116,645 🎯 Target 3: 117,429 → 118,096 (Order Block Test) Bearish Breakdown 🔻 If BTC loses 114,800 → 🎯 Retest of 112,400 zone possible. Current Levels to Watch Resistance: 115,626 → 116,645 → 117,429 ❌ Support: 114,800 → 112,400 ✅ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Long
by PEAKALPHAFXMARKETS
Thoughts on btc 💡 Fresh Insights on #BTCUSD 🪙 📈 Shifting Market Dynamics: Potential Upside to 125K... ——————————————— Following a deceptive drop below support—a scenario I highlighted in my previous analysis—and buoyed by dovish signals from Powell, BTC surged from 112K up to 117K. In the wake of Powell's address, which flipped the fundamental outlook to bullish, Bitcoin shattered the short-term downtrend, sparking a climb to 117K. The momentum has since tapered off, leading into a pullback amid the weekend's reduced trading volume. That said, the optimistic fundamentals remain a key factor for upcoming moves. Easing interest rates might provide a solid boost to the market... From a technical standpoint, after probing the 112K area again and creating that fakeout breakdown, Bitcoin has flipped the overall sentiment. By sweeping liquidity and dismantling the nearby bearish pattern, the setup now tilts toward the bulls. Key targets on the radar include 117.8K, 120.27K, and up to 125K. Resistance Zones: 117K, 117.86K, 120.27K Support Zones: 114.6K, 111.9K Should the bulls defend the price above the top of the recent range—staying over the descending channel and the 114.6K level—during this dip, buying pressure could ramp up. Overall, the market shows promise for challenging the upper boundaries of the broader range.
by waqarxbt
BTC - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 23.08.25Greetings, we did briefly break the 112k level which was followed by a bounce yesterday. We assume the move down from the ATH was only the Wave A of a bigger correction displayed as yellow ABC. The resistance area of the B Wave lies between the 0.382 FIB at 116397 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 123000 USD. The bounce from around 111600 USD is counted as Wave A or 1 and now we are working on the Wave B or 2. The support area lies between the 0.382 FIB at 115084 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 112263 USD. If this is a Wave 2 we preferably stay above the 0.786 FIB at 112817 USD. If it is a Wave B it could go bit lower. We also have some further support right below the last low at around 111500 to 110500 but we deem it more likely to see a bounce earlier. Remember that we have a bigger support area below that goes down to around 103k. In both cases as deem a retracement into the support area and a move up in either the Wave 3 or C as most probable. At the moment we can't determine which count it is but after the next move up we would want to see a Wave 4 and 5 in the impulsive count or alternatively the break of this Wave 4 support area would shift probabilities even more towards the yellow ABC which we already think is more likely. Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Long
by KanashimiBro
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #161👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s move on to Bitcoin’s analysis. Today, after yesterday’s upward movement, Bitcoin has entered a correction. Let’s see what triggers we have for trading today. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe After yesterday’s bullish move that came following Powell’s speech, I mentioned that since the movement was news-based and also close to the weekend, the probability of a correction was high. ⚡️ That’s exactly what happened. Bitcoin itself did not continue upward today and was rejected from the 116829 resistance level. However, Bitcoin dominance remains in a downtrend, which has allowed some altcoins paired with Bitcoin to continue moving upward. 🔍 If Bitcoin dominance continues to decline while Bitcoin ranges or trends upward, altcoins can provide very good positions and it’s better to focus on them. 🧩 But if dominance begins to correct and forms green candles, we can shift our focus back to Bitcoin and open long positions. 🚀 In this case, the current trigger for a Bitcoin long position is the breakout of 116829. Breaking this trigger could push the price toward 122545. 💥 If the RSI bounces from the 50 level and moves upward, we can take it as momentum confirmation for this position. Additionally, if volume increases while the price approaches the 116829 resistance, we can use a candlestick setup to enter, or place a stop-buy order above the resistance. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
12
Bitcoin Soars: Buying Opportunity with Strong Uptrend!On the BTCUSDT chart, Bitcoin is trading in an upward channel, with strong support at 111,900 USD. The next target for Bitcoin is 123,400 USD. If BTC holds support at 111,900 USD, the uptrend could continue. News Impact: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at a potential interest rate cut in September, weakening the USD and reducing bond yields, which has led to a flow of money into safe-haven assets like Bitcoin. Additionally, the Trump administration is calling for strong interest rate cuts, which could further weaken the USD and push Bitcoin prices higher. Conclusion: With supportive macroeconomic factors and a positive technical trend, Bitcoin could continue to rise strongly in the future. Investors can look for buying opportunities around the 111,900 USD support level and expect the price to reach higher targets like 123,400 USD.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
7